📅 Published on: 2024-12-08 16:00:34

⏱ Duration: 00:26:57 (1617 seconds)

👀 Views: 2261 | 👍 Likes: 106

📝 Video Description:

Willy Adames signed with the Giants on a seven-year, $182 million contract! Also, Tyler O’Neill signed with the Orioles on a three-year, $49.5 million deal!

0:00- Intro
0:30- Adames to the Giants
5:40- Adames expectations
8:48- Tyler O’Neill to the Orioles
10:41- What is the Oroles plan?
14:50- The Orioles’ lineup
20:40- Tyler O’Neill ADP

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🕵️‍♂️ Transcript:

[Music] breaking news no it’s not Juan sto yet welcome into an emergency edition of fantasy baseball today on Saturday night December 7th I am Frank stel joined by Chris Towers today on the show uh we had some big news come out here on Saturday willia Damas signed a massive deal to the San Francisco Giants and Tyler O’Neal to the Orioles as well as Gary Sanchez we’ll talk about that a little bit later on but the big news here Chris willia damus to the Giants on a seven-year $182 million deal the largest in Giants history first big move made by uh Buster posy since he’s taken over the team uh but will adamus had a career year in a contract year he was awesome 32 home runs 112 RBI 21 steals finished as a 19th overall player in Roto he was the 14 best hitter in head-to-head points truly an awesome season and I’m genuinely happy for the Giants I mean they’ve tried the past couple off Seasons to bring in some big Talent will adamus okay not on the level of an Aaron judge a sh Otani but he’s a pretty good get let’s talk about how this actually affects his fantasy value though because on paper it’s a pretty big Park downgrade it’s a pretty big lineup downgrade and on top of that the Giants didn’t really run that much this past season so uh talk to me about Will Adas to the Giants is fantasy value yeah that’s the the the running is I think the the big thing that’s going to be tough to figure out because one Willie Adamas had never been a big stolen base guy before last year he stole 21 bases on 25 attempts before that his career high was eight Steals on 11 attempts career high in both categories so I don’t know like we it was weird because we saw Matt Chapman suddenly become a 15 stolen base guy uh when he was another guy who his career high was four before this so that seems like a good sign he was second on the team with 15 third was Elliot Ramos with six they only stole 68 bases as a team so that’s one where you could look at the Matt Chapman part of it and say all right he joined this team all of a sudden he starts running a lot more but nobody else on the team really ran much you know even uh like Tyro Estrada who has been a pretty solid stolen base threat in the past four stolen base attempts last year in 96 games so I’m not 100% sure what it means I I think I would feel somewhat comfortable expecting like 15ish steals from Willie adamus but I’m not sure how much more and you know you said Park downgrade I don’t know uh if if you look at the stack has factors for the past three years Oracle Park is right behind uh America family field Miller Park uh to those of you who I don’t really like I don’t even know when that change happened so it’s still Miller Park to me uh I tend to stick with those things for a long time but it is a downgrade for power for sure I think probably less so for a right-handed hitter because left-handed hitters tend to do really well with home runs in milwauke and not so well in San Francisco but I think even for right-handed hitters it’s a pretty big downgrade between moving from Milwaukee to San Francisco and Willie Adamas is one of those guys who’s got like good quality of contact metrics not really Elite quality of contact metrics he’s like 82 percentile on X slug last year 81st in Barrel rate actually hard hit rate average EXs of velocity a little lower um not a guy who super maximizes his swing for pull to the in the air so I think on the whole one nobody should have expected will adamus to to replicate what he did last season because it was a career year it was a uh contract year career high in home runs career high in RBI had MLB record I think 13 three run home runs is the is the step that we’ve thrown around a lot so we were expecting a step back either way but a shortstop who gives you 25 plus home runs and 15 stolen bases probably hits third or fourth in the lineup like that’s probably still a very solid starter it’s just certainly not a best case scenario for Willie Adams’s fantasy value I think yeah if you look at the steamer projections they seem pretty fair 240 batting average 26 home runs 84 RBI 13 Steals and that’s before this move so maybe they’ll tweak that a little bit uh that comes out as an $11 player in a 12 team League I I feel like that sounds pretty good uh for will ad damus look he made some improvements this past season there’s no doubt about it you know raised the launch angle hit a bunch of fly Balls to the pull side which obviously plays well for power and uh while he doesn’t hit the ball all that hard you you brought that up the barrel rate 81st percentile like he finds a way to get the most out of it right when he puts the ball in the air uh and hits it to the pull side mention the the park factors specifically for right-handed power a home run factor to for righties he’s going from the sixth best ballpark in American family field all the way down to 28th yeah Oracle Park so I think there was going to be natural regression anyway I don’t I don’t want to pin this all on Oracle park because I think he the most likely scenario is he was going to take a a decent Siz step back anyway uh but someone that could be a a viable player I just think we shouldn’t expect anything close to what Willie Adamas did last season and I have him ranked a little lower than his ADP right now his ADP is right around 70 I had him 85th before the trade the thing is when when you look at the shortstop rankings one I do have Bo bashet ranked higher than Willie adamus which the ADP definitely does not have there’s about 70 80 spots uh between them Bo bashet is gonna wind up being one of the most polarizing players this we talked about that I think earlier this week and Scott and I are both much higher on bashet than the consensus but I don’t really have any room to move will Adamas a shortstop because I I have bashed ahead of him this certainly doesn’t move will Adams up I have Matt mlan next and in the overall rankings I have 45 spots between them so it’s certainly not that big of a downgrade for Willie adamus so I think adamus is going to be around the the 90th player for me between 80 and 90 when we officially unveil rankings you know where it specifically ends up I’m not 100 per sure but it’s it’s a move where you can certainly understand why the Giants did it right that this is a team that has been looking to make a splash in free agency I would guess they’re still going to try um you know maybe a Corbin Burns or or something like that I would think they’re still going to be in play for but it I mean really Shores up the left side of the de the infield on defense there was a couple of reports this week I don’t know if you saw that like they were in on Alex bregman and if they signed him Matt Chapman might have moved to shortstop which would have been weird this makes much more sense this is this is a much more logical way to to spend that money so I get it from the Giants perspective I I still have a lot of questions about what the long-term vision and long-term goal is there and you know what Buster POS is going to do as the uh president of baseball operations but you know from a fantasy perspective I think this one is pretty straightforward a slight downgrade for will adamus but doesn’t really dramatically change the way I view him overall I think that’s where I’m at yeah and you mentioned the early ADP it’s right around 65 so the sixth round of a 12 team league and and willia damus kind of represents this island in shortstop ADP where he’s about 20 picks behind CJ Abrams but he’s also 50 picks ahead of Matt mlan so similar to your rankings there where you know will Damas is kind of right in the middle my guess is he probably moves down a little bit with this move probably closer to pick 75 for will Damas which I I think is okay it’s fine I I I probably will have him lower than that but I gu I I it depends on how bullish you want to be on the stolen bases in particular um because if he can go 3020 again that’s a that’s a hugely Valuable Player obviously yeah I think I would personally expect take the under on both yeah I would I would expect like 10 to 12 seals I think and you know 25ish home runs which again it’s you know solid player let’s take a quick break when we return we will talk about Tyler O’Neal who signed with the Orioles will do that right after this historic Rivals with Unforgettable seasons meet in a game of honor the Army Navy game presented by USAA December 14th on CBS welcome back in Tyler O’Neal signed with the Orioles on a three-year $49.5 million deal that includes an opt out after the first year and he is 29 years old just had a really strong season with the Red Sox he hit 241 31 home runs and 847 Ops he did all of that in just 113 games he averaged three fantasy points per game that was tied for 15th among outfielders and the power is still incredibly real Chris 270 ISO ranked fifth among hitters with 450 plate appearances this past season but like will adamis I feel like there’s a slight downgrade here in the least because he’s going from the green monster in Fenway to uh I don’t know an altered Walmore here in Camden Yards we know that they’re expected to pull the walls in closer to uh home plate but my guess is it’s still not going to be as good as hitting in Fenway Park so what thoughts on Tyler O’Neal to the Orioles yeah one interesting thing is that if you look at the the expected home runs via stat cast actually not a big difference between Baltimore and uh Boston some of that is the pre-2020 when they move the fences in but even over the past three seasons with the fences out in Baltimore the difference between Baltimore and Boston comes out to about eight home runs over three years which is not nothing but it’s not as dramatic a shift as you would expect especially when you have to account for the fact that they are moving the fences in somewhat trying to create you know it was too hitter friendly according to the Orioles before it became too pitcher friendly which everybody knew when they announced that they were moving their fences back 30 feet I’m not sure why they they seem caught off guard by that but yeah I think it’ll probably play Closer to neutral Boston is a pretty hitter friendly park for right-handers so it’s a downgrade but I think the bigger thing here is just I don’t really understand what the Orioles plan is right now like this is one where it feels like there are three more moves coming and they already also signed Gary Sanchez uh to an8 and a. half million one-year contract so not that doesn’t really sound like backup catcher that that is backup catcher like Kyle higashioka got what two for 17 I think it was um yeah that’s fair did Danny Jansen get but I guess he’s gonna be a starter right I think that was like 110 yeah one for 10 something like that so like it’s a re but like with how much adley grutman plays and always has played you’ve got to figure this gums up the works at DH in some way you know not not to say Gary Sanchez is going to be a full-time DH or anything but if he catches 35 games and starts 15 to 20 at DH or adley Rutman starts 20 you know whatever the the combination is I think this does shift some plate appearances over to the C the DH spot where you know you already have between DH and catcher a pretty crowded situation in Baltimore you’ve got you know Ryan mountcastle who I think we all expect a little better from with the defenses moving in because it feels like defenses being moved out hurt him more than anybody but you’ve got Ryan o’n at DH you’ve got uh K herstad who was supposed to be part of the the corner Outfield conversation um you know Kobe Mayo not necessarily a corner outfielder although I think there’s a chance he gets some reps there at at times but this also kind of muddies the water for him because I think the one thing Baltimore had a surplus of before signing Tyler O’Neal was just Corner guys first third left right and now they’ve got another one and with Gary Sanchez in that creates you know at least some new competition for DH played appearances so I just I look at it all and it looks like a team that is still a long way from having their their final 2025 roster set which makes sense it’s December 7th as we’re recording but I also thought this was a team after trading for Corbin Burns that still had a move left last year and they turned you know did end up making a couple of moves at the deadline to go get Zack effin go get Trevor r ERS but I don’t I just don’t understand what Baltimore like the balance between short-term and long-term thinking it still feels like there’s too much like trying to straddle the line and it’s like no you’re a contender right now this is this is the moment and and I don’t know if it’s a a Kobe Mayo trade for garri crochet moving h k hon kirad that that’s the correct okay that’s one of those ones I always stumble on um you know whether it’s moving him for ex Cedric Mullins is an impending free agent at the end of the year so they’re just it feels like there’s still a lot left for this Baltimore Orioles team to do and the only thing is I just I don’t know if I have faith in them to make the next moves or at least right now certainly I don’t know what the next moves are gar crochet just makes so much sense man they I don’t want to say like they have a surplus of prospects obviously and young players and I don’t think you should just give those players away but getting two years of service time from gar crochet and whoever trades for him I assume is going to sign him to an extension as well although maybe I shouldn’t assume that if it’s the Orioles it just feels like it makes so much sense they have so many hitters and they obviously could use another Frontline starter I I don’t think honestly I think two I don’t think they’re going to bring back Corbin burns like maybe I’m wrong about that but it it doesn’t seem that way as of now so yeah g crochet would make so much sense going to the Orioles looking back at their lineup just trying to figure out as of now who’s playing time is the safest the fact that they just played Tyler orne like he’s probably the safest you gota think so yeah I mean he’s going to play a bunch and then you have Colton cowser who you know was one of the best rookies in the American League this past season I I feel like he’s going to play every day uh they need I think they need Cedric mullen’s defense in center field though cower could play there as well then at DH you have Ryan o’hern you still have Ryan Mal Castle it’s it made so much sense to give someone like hon kirat a shot here unless they don’t have confidence in him but the bigger thing for me is just there is nowhere for Kobe Mayo to play right now yeah I was gonna say Third Base but now you know D Westberg thir either there is nowhere for Jackson holiday to play or there is nowhere for Kobe Mayo to play look Jackson holiday looked overmatched enough last year that I think it would be reasonable to go into next season not planning on him being in the everyday lineup but he was down the stretch you know he was the guy who was playing not Kobe Mayo who I think played SE started six of the final 25 games after getting called up at the end of last season um so it’s frustrating because Kobe Mayo still one of the top prospects in baseball has played 151 very good games at Triple A got 46 plate appearances in the majors last year and it just doesn’t seem like there’s any I don’t know strong lean towards giving him playing time and I don’t quite understand what the holdup is there maybe there’s something that we’re not seeing maybe there’s something with the makeup or or the the defense I don’t know but it just it seems like this is a team that’s still needs to consolidate and this is a team that still needs to focus Less on long-term goals and you know we can’t give up on a Jackson holiday or we can’t give up on a Kobe mayor or whatever it is it it does seem like they need to make another Corbin Burns trade and honestly you look at the rotation right now and it’s like Zack effin okay it’s a fine number two or number three star Grayson Rodriguez still like the upside but right now seems more like a number two or number three who you know has had had missed significant time in two of the last three seasons now and then it’s Dean Kramer Albert Suarez Trevor Rogers uh you know I guess Kyle bradish might be back at the end of the summer maybe John means is back by the end but like I I feel like they’re two starters away from being where this team should be and I felt they were another starter away after trading for Corbin Burns last year and I thought they were going to make that move because they gave up so little for Corbin Burns right it was Joey Ortiz and uh DL Hall and it felt like oh they’re they’re set to make another Big Splash and they just never did it so I’m I’m very confused about what the short-term plan for Baltimore is I feel like I’m kind of talking in circles around it but it’s because I just look at it and I don’t understand what the goal is they kind of treat did Trevor Rogers like that was the big pitcher move even though it clearly was not even at the time we kind of figured we were like what are the Orioles doing you know they gave up Conor Norby who you know in a small sample he looked like a pretty damn good player with the Marlins last season so yeah and and look I think Trevor Rogers they’ve already talked about he’s going to drive line to try to build his velocity back up he you know was sitting 94 95 at when he was a rookie the year Contender with the Marlins he was down to like 91 92 last year so that did feel like a long-term view move not a hey this is this is a guy we can slot in our rotation and be a Difference Maker in the second half it never felt like that to me maybe that was just because I watched a lot of Trevor Rogers and he hadn’t been that guy in a couple years I don’t know but maybe they’re really confident that they can build him back up this offseason and he can be that number two guy or number three guy but even so that still gives you two young starters in Grayson Rodriguez and Trevor Rogers who have not been able to stay on the mound the past couple of years consistently Zack effin has a pretty long injury track record of his own it’s more lower body stuff for him historically than than arm but still concerning that he you know not a guy that you can necessarily count on for 30 starts so I just I I don’t something’s missing and we’ve got 4ish months you know three and three quers months until opening day there’s plenty of time for the Orioles to do something but it I’m I’m confused by what the what the approach what the thought process is here and look Tyler Neil is a fine player yeah and given his injury track record only has has only played more than 115 games once in a Major League season maybe they also can’t count on him to stay healthy and they need to count on you know him missing some time and giving him some time off and three years for 9 a half million is not such an owner as deal that if he’s a you know 80% of the time player it’s probably fine but it’s still it just didn’t feel like what this team needed you know and that’s that’s the thing I keep getting hung up on is just like Willie adamus to the Giants makes perfect sense they needed a short stop they don’t think Tyler Fitzgerald’s a long-term answer there great that makes sense you got a great left side of the infield for the next five years the Orioles I’m just super confused and there there’s got to be a cons consolidation trade coming that’s the only thing that makes sense about their roster last question on Tyler O’Neal the early ADP for him is 19.4 that makes him the 45th outfielder off the board he’s going just after kri Carpenter just ahead of names like Taylor Ward and Elliot Ramos what are your thoughts on the price tag for Tyler O’Neal I think that’s fine um I have him a little higher than that I have him uh 151 at outfielder 41 but not a big difference um still has big time power you know in what was it 113 games he hit 31 homers last year uh yeah you know I I don’t expect that pace to continue but all the underlying numbers still suggest he hits the ball super hard he’s a super strong guy he’s got great bat speed all that we we kind of know what Tyler O’Neal is at this point and you know it’s a volatile profile but I think one that helps any team it’s just does he help Baltimore all that much given what their alternatives are I just I don’t really see it yeah and I would say this all but guarantees that Anthony Santander will not be back with the Orioles this off season so whichever team misses out on Juan stto could be in on santand there or some other team I know the Blue Jays are really trying to make a splash this offseason so perhaps that could make some sense H for Santander as well last thing I’ll add on uh Tyler O’neal He did hit 241 this past season the xba was 218 yeah plate discipline it’s gotten pretty bad 33.6% strikeout rate zone contact and uh swinging strike rate both pretty bad so there is potential for some really bad batting average but I I do think the power is still very legit Tyler o’ I mean you gota keep in mind we we’ve seen two very good Seasons from Tyler O’Neal he’s also 30 about to turn 30 turns next year 29 yeah 30 in June and again has played more than 115 games once has an Ops over 722 three times technically but one of them was in 2018 as a rookie in 61 games so it’s also a pretty volatile skill set so I you know I think as an out a number four outfielder where you know we’ve talked a lot in the in the drafts we’ve done so far this year that it’s a lot easier to find speed than power in the mid to late rounds of drafts he is a source of power it’s just there there’s a reason he’s available in the middle rounds when a lot of guys who could hit 40 home runs typically are not available yeah uh my early read is it’s probably a fade I think both guys right now at Cost are probably a fade willia Damas and Tyler O’Neal but if they drop down a little bit maybe that creates a buying opportunity for those those two names quick check woto has not signed yet but it sounds like it could be done any minute this weekend Matt Matts and Yankees apparently have up their offers over 700 million now which is pretty Bonkers it’s a dream come true for both him and Scott Boris man you you get the New York teams bidding against each other and man uh magic magic will happen in that contract whenever that is revealed my guess is sometime this weekend probably uh tomorrow the wi winter meetings start up and maybe they you know think I’m going to the movies tomorrow at 1 o’clock so that might be the exact moment actually when it happens I have a family birthday party from like 2: to 6: p.m oh excellent oh yeah right in that window it’s absolutely going to happen tomorrow 1 155 yeah think will be the will be the time we did have some pitching moves in the past couple days as well but we will save those for next week uh but Luis Severino to the A’s I mean who would have thought it right biggest guaranteed contract given out in A’s history they had to do was move into a minor league ballpark to start spending money which is I I saw someone reference the time that the Marlins got bullied by the mlbpa into giving Josh Johnson an extension this is 12 years ago now maybe more but that’s what it felt like it was like you you gotta act like a real franchise and so yeah give give Luis srino a three-year deal whatever I saw a chart of like the most guaranteed money that any team has given out to every team has given out to a free agent and like somehow seven teams have given out less guaranteed money than this Luis srino trade including I want to point out the Pittsburgh Pirates Who the largest free agent contract they’ve ever given out I I believe was a two-year $17 million deal to Russell Martin wow yeah yeah all right well Pirates you’re next man I mean if the A’s are out here spending money the Marlins the Pirates actually like really should be spend they should be playing in free AG right now with you have to Maxim pitching they have right now yeah you have to maximize Paul while you have him you know under team control for as long as you do that could be a really good rotation this year 100% they have prospects coming too man Bubba Chandler Thomas Harrington that is that is a really really fun young exciting team if if they can you know bring in some offense as well chain Bieber went back to the Guardians he is recovering from Tommy John should be back sometime around the allstar break Klay Holmes went to the Mets as a starter so that will be interesting to talk about uh could maybe be a serviceable spar uh sometime in 2025 but we will talk about those moves uh next week we are going to wrap there for Chris I am Frank thanks as always for tuning in to Fantasy Baseball today please make sure to follow and leave a festar rating on Apple or Spotify and we will be back again uh on Tuesday but honestly probably sooner to talk about Wan sto bye-bye

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