📅 Published on: 2024-12-06 12:14:51

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Sam Factor (@WalterPicks CEO) breaks down everything you need to know for fantasy & betting for the Week 14 Thursday Night Matchup between the Lions and the Packers.

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🕵️‍♂️ Transcript:

and we are live for Thursday Night Football how we doing everyone we got a truly great game on our TV screens in just a couple of hours the Green Bay Packers traveling to Detroit playing in the Dome the Packers are threo underdogs in this game this game has the highest the week shout out to everyone in this live stream hopping in at the beginning if you’re just joining the like button hit the Subscribe button we’re going to go through all my thoughts for this game we’re going to talk about every single relevant player in this game what to expect in this game you know I’m ready to go with a free player prop that I feel very good about there is going to be a lot of points scored in this game this game has an extremely high high scoring potential that’s why it has the highest over under of the week and that’s why you should expect a decent amount of fantasy points scored in this game before we dive into it today this is a very special week at Walter picks it is free Walter pick week this week which means everyone in NFL’s week 14 is getting free access to the Walter fix app so if you’ve never gone through and and done one of the premium subscriptions in the app which you’ve always been been interested to try it out this is the week you can sync as many leagues as you want you can sync your book your your sports books to test out the BET tracker that we built over the last couple of years you can get our player prop insights our game betting insights our start sit insights everything is unlocked for you in week 14 the link to to the Walter PI app is in the Tik Tok file in the YouTube description pumped for that so much to talk through in this game though so let’s get into it let’s start with the Packers in this one this these two teams they already played back in week nine this was not that long ago we’re here in week 14 a little over a month ago now when these two teams played but in under much different circumstances the game was in Green Bay it was pretty heavily raining throughout moments of that game and Jordan love was very hobbled he was actually questionable to even play at all heading into that game and you could see it throughout the game I went back and rewatched that game this morning and Jordan love was not himself this is a much healthier Jordan love and this is an even more injured Lions defense I really want to start Jordan love tonight there is not very many QBs I’m starting over Jordan love tonight it’s a short list this week in week 14 Josh Allen Joe burrow Jaylen Herz these are the guys I would consider tier one let me hop to the QB tiers pull this up on both the Tik Tok and the YouTube live here I got the ranks ready a little early this week so I can help you guys out with some tougher week 14 starts it’s it’s it’s winner in time in a lot of leagues I’m in the the playoffs in I’m in eight high stakes fantasy leagues I’m in the playoffs already in seven of them and one of them it’s a win and in situation for me so I’m locked in man this is week 14 it’s basically the fantasy playoffs is how I’m thinking about it uh so I got the start ready for you a little early this week so the only QBs I’m really starting over Jordan love this week there’s only five of them it’s Joe burrow Jaylen Herz Sam Donal Josh Allen and Baker Mayfield that’s it tier one to me is these top three guys Allen burrow and then Darold Mayfield and then it’s love and there is a lot of Reason To Expect Jordan love to play well tonight like I was mentioning he was hobbled in his game last time versus the Lions he was one of his worst fantasy performances he had 273 yards was actually on the higher end for him but he threw no touchdowns he threw a pick six at the end of the first half as well in that game but he did throw the ball 39 times which was the second most of his season the Packers haven’t trailed much this season but when they played good offenses they have thrown a lot take take this St for example the Packers they’re averaging 40 over 40 pass plays per game when playing teams that ranked top 12 in scoring that’s been four times including that game versus lions in week nine in their other games almost half the amount of passing attempts 24.3 pass attempts per game in their other 12 games this is one of those games we should see the Packers throwing and the rushing attack will probably have success too we’re definitely starting Josh Jacobs he’s been on an absolute tear and most of the injuries for the line guys the Lions have the most players in the NFL on IR it’s like 12 or 16 players something crazy like that almost all on the defensive side of the ball particularly on the defensive line in in the linebacker group so a lot of Reason To Expect Josh Jacobs to stay hot he’s been a top five running back in three straight games where I’m from that that’s what we consider hot he’s on hot streak right now and he gets the Lions defense that’s very banged up a game that’s projected to be very high scoring he’s got about as good of touchdown upside as any in the NFL heading into week 14 so you’re obviously starting Josh Jacobs he’s also coming off a four catch 74 receiving yard game if he stays that involved in the past game you got to feel pretty good about that as well 78% snap share last week that was the second highest of his season and we saw the rush aare TI the highest he’s had since week one he had 19 carries that was 76% of the team’s carries and now he’s had back uh two games in his last three he’s had over 14% Target share the Packers didn’t have to throw much last week though against the Dolphins that’s been the story most of the season when they’re playing teams that aren’t up to their offensive standard that’s not the case tonight against the leading NFL team in scoring the lons lead the NFL in points per drive this season but over the last three weeks it’s the Packers who lead the NFL in that stat so a lot of things pointing to a very high-scoring game in this one so we’re starting Jordan love and we’re starting Josh Jacobs and Romeo dos he’s out in this game which makes both Christian wats and Davian Wicks pretty interesting and you definitely got to start Jaden Reed let me pull up the wide receiver ranks here you got to feel pretty good about Jaden Reed he projects as a top 15 option I mean in almost all leagues I think you kind of have to start him but I really wouldn’t be shocked if it ends up being Christian Watson or davan wits that ends up leading the Packers and receiving because they actually both played more than jayen Reed last week in fact both guys with Romeo dobs out last week set season highs in snap percentage they played the the highest percentage of snaps they played all season they were really not coming off the field 94.4% snap percentage for Christian Watson Andrew I’m not jinxing anything 94.4% it’s not percentage for Christian Watson last week and I think it was 97% for Davian Wicks both these guys you should expect to be on the field yeah sorry 89% for wicks Christian Watson led the team in snaps last week for the first time but both wicks and Watson had season highs in SN percentage Wicks by the way he’s actually been targeted a lot on a route run basis he’s actually only been under 20% Target per route run rate once this season he ranks 15th highest in the NFL in targets per route run this year he’s been over at at least 20% in three straight games so if the snap percentage sticks and his Target per per run number sticks I mean we’re probably going to see at least another five targets to Davian Wicks if the pass volume’s as high I think it’s going to be it could be closer to this week four game where he had 13 targets I mean there’s a real ceiling for davien wicks in this one similar to that week four game we saw the ceiling there he had a 24% Target share in that game 200 air yards finished with 24.8 fantasy points was the wide receiver three that’s the ceiling for wicks and that’s the ceiling for Watson too Watson averaging 20 yards per reception this season in a game that the Packers could easily throw it 35 Plus times I think we’re projecting 34 pass attempts in this game again there’s been a clear difference in the pass volume for the Packers in games versus good offenses vers games B against not great offenses I I shouldn’t even say good and bad it’s it’s great and not great when they’re playing top 12 scoring teams they’re averaging over 40 pass attempts per game in the other games that’s 24.3 so I like this whole offense tonight for the Packers I think you want players in this game tonight so we’re starting Jordan love starting Josh Jacobs we’re starting Jaden Reed I’m starting Christian Watson in a bunch of spots I think Watton and Wicks definitely two of the tougher starts here tonight and then Tucker craft he’s definitely playable in a bunch of leagues too he had a d donut a couple weeks ago I’m pretty sour about that still because I had his prop that week but he’s now gone back toback games over 10 points he’s actually got at least 10 now in four of his last six games no Romeo dobs is good for him as well he’s playing over 90% of snaps we think the pass volume is going to be high in this game there’s a lot of scoring potential so you could do much worse than craft I’m starting JN Smith KD and joku Kelsey MCG over him there’s an argument uh for a lot of these other guys in tier three over him too auton Ingram hackinson Ferguson leaport even dley this week against the Chiefs he’s in a pretty good matchup with lad makoni banked up do think lad plays this week though for those tough Thursday start sits I’m not benching lad for any guys playing tonight other than Aman R Brown will’ll get to those wide receiver start hits coming up here in a second but leaport is a tough call for sure this week lorta I had his prop on Thanksgiving that was the only one I think we didn’t hit on Thanksgiving he actually had one of his best fantasy games of the Season his second best fantasy game the season because he scored twice he had six yards we’ve not seen Sam lorta have more than three catches since week eight I mean it’s tough to start Sam lorta right now I lean towards benching Sam lorta I got him in the maybe worth it category tonight depending on which tight ends you’re you’re you’re deciding between but there’s a good argument to be benching Sam leaport let me pull the tight end ranks here on the YouTube live guys shout out to everybody in this live stream right now we got a great game coming on our team screens in just about two hours a true Banger divisional matchup game between the Packers and the Lions Packers comeing into this game three-point underdogs I kind of think the Packers win I like them against the spread and at plus 140 right now with those odds I got the free player prop coming up here in a second and then we’ll grind through start HS as well but I think the Packers win this one I think the offense in general you’re going to want to start guys in this game I think wit is a pretty interesting sleeper and I like chis Watson a lot as well for that reason all right let’s go to the Lions side of the ball though because the Lions they lead the NFL in points per drive this season I mean you really don’t even need to look at the stats to know that the Lions if you just watch the games are one of if not the best offense in the NFL they have the best offensive line in the NFL or at least they’re in the top two right there with the Philadelphia Eagles they have two of the best running backs in the NFL which M Gibbs David Montgomery both are top 12 options tonight obviously you’re starting both of the running backs let me pull up the running back ranks here on the YouTube live and the Tik Tok live as well guys if you’re watching live on Tik Tok smash like button hit the follow button if you’re watching live on YouTube before I go a little bit further into my thoughts on the lion side of this game we’re offering a free week in the Walter Bix app completely free no strings attached it’s not a free trial everyone has completely free access to the app for this week 14 of the NFL season so if you always wanted to try the Walter pick app but never for whatever reason did one of the premium subscriptions this is the week to try it out access to all the prop insights all the game betting insights League sync bet sync everything you could possibly imagine and more in the Walter pix app this week link is in the YouTube description if you want to check that out link is in the Tik toac bio as well it’s going to help you with all your Fant fantasy and betting decisions that’s the best way you could possibly support me to use code Sam uh when you sign up if you’ve never signed up for the app before that helps me out as well do appreciate that all right let’s get to the rest of the L’s thoughts so obviously we’re starting Gibb I mean really we haven’t seen a bad game like a very bad game from Gibbs once this season he has not been under 10 fantasy points a single time in this entire season in fact last week was his worst Fantasy game of the season he had 87 rushing yards and 17 receiving yards almost 100 total yards only two catches his receiving Ro he he actually hasn’t had more than three catches since week seven receiving R has not quite been what it was at times last season and David Montgomery in in a lot of these games is playing more than Gibbs but obviously you’re starting Gibbs and Gibbs has a higher ceiling Monty’s also a must start though he is fifth in the NFL in touchdowns per game averaging right around one touchdown per game he’s also been a pretty active receiver he’s got nine catches over his last three games that’s more than jir Gibbs has you gotta be starting both Monty and Gibbs in this one and then Jared gof he’s startable too I would play Jordan love over gof but I’m not benching Goff in a lot of spots either they pull up the QB ranks here again so I got go just two spots below love so let me read you the top 10 QB ranks for the week again so I I’m going Allen bur Herz darnold and Mayfield over love then it’s love at the top of tier three I got go and love in the same tier just like I have craft and lorta in the same tier I think they’re actually in tier three the tight ends also I like craft and love more than Golf and the porter but but all four of those guys are not bad starts Kyler Murray and Mahomes had go over golf then it’s gol I’m playing golf over Cale Williams Golf over Justin Herbert golf over James Winston golf over Stafford Levis two a Russ it’s kind of a tough QB week out there I think you could do much worse than the two QBs playing in what’s projected to be the highest scoring game of the week and I think it has a chance to beat this total of 52 and a half for a lot of the reasons I outlined when talking about the Packers so we’re starting Jared gof as well in a bunch of spots again the Lions lead the NFL in points for Drive the season but the Packers lead the NFL in that metric over the last three weeks we’re starting man R Brown who’s cooled off a tiny bit over the last couple of games only 12.2 12.3 in his last two respectively we haven’t seen a touchdown from him in back-to-back games after he ripped off eight straight games with a touchdown from week three to week 11 he probably gets back on track tonight in a game like I keep saying is probably going to be pretty high scoring we don’t need to talk too much about Aman ra because that one’s pretty obvious but we’re definitely starting am man R st Brown tonight in basically all situations he ranks his wide receiver six in the Walter picks out which again is offering a free week this week I I I would go go over Herbert yeah Herbert had a really disappointing game last last game they really only have one receiver on the whole team the Chargers which is not great for herbo uh and then Jameson Williams he’s startable I really would prefer to bench him over Christian Watson I’d play Watson Reed am man raw all over him davan Wix versus we Mo J MO is pretty close I think honestly I would lean Wicks over Jameson Williams Tim Patrick has been pretty involved in this offense recently as well we have seen back toback games five catches for Jameson Williams decent snapshare for Jameson Williams let me pull up Tim Patrick here as well we can check this out yeah 70% snap percentage for Tim Patrick he’s really solidifying himself as a part of that that starting three rece receivers uh khif ramond he’s been out for a little while he’ll be out in this game as well so it’s really Tim Patrick wh Mo J and Aman ra but obviously the two running backs get involved in the past game s lorta gets involved this offense both these offenses at times can spread the ball around a decent amount so Jameson Williams really a similar option i’ say to davan Wicks a pretty high ceiling with the way that he’s used but also a little bit of a sketchy floor and again I think I I personally would probably go Wicks over Jameson Williams given the matchup for the Packers offense in this one but it’s close and I would knock you for going Jameson Williams over Wick so again I think the Packers win this one I think they win as underdogs in this game I think they’re a pretty underrated heading into this one against a very injured Lions defense I think both offenses have a lot of success in this game and I was talking about it in the Bears Lions game I thought the Bears had a chance to pull off a big upset on Thanksgiving you know I thought that spread was way too large that ended up being really wrong in the first half and pretty right in the second half and by the end of the game you know that was a great call uh that the Bears game Lions game was going to be much closer than people expected and it definitely was I mean the Bears really should have forced overtime in that game I think we could see something similar tonight between the Packers and the lines part of the reason I thought that was the bearss receivers are some of the best in the league and that’s exactly where the lons have struggled similar spot here for the Packers and their receivers um all right let’s get to the free player prop then we’ll we’ll grind through some of the start sits for tonight so the free player prop tonight it is Christian Watson you probably knew an over was coming you probably knew it was for the Packers if you’ve been listening from the start by the way if you’ve just been listening from the start smash the like button hit the Subscribe button on YouTube I do appreciate it we’re about to get to tons and tons of start State questions for some of those diff more difficult Thursday night starts sits tough week 14 with all the buys this week too all right so yeah I got Watson over 49 and a half receiving gos we are at 62% we at two for three uh on Sunday only missed on Justin Herbert that one didn’t end up being close because blad M literally had the entire team’s receiving yards uh but the other two cash Brian Thomas Jr Marvin Harrison Jr now we’re going with another receiver here Christian Watson over 49.5 receiving yards he’s averaging 20 receiving yards start 20 yards per reception this season so we really just need over two and a half catches likely in this one he really could beat this prop in a single one or two catches that’s the type of player Christian Watson is I think I would go gendo over Watson I like him a lot all right let’s get to some of the start S questions now Watson worthy Westbrook Aina yes I mean all Westbrook Ain does to score touchdowns we’ve been talking about on these lives it feels like for a while now we definitely talked about it a lot in the live stream on Sunday by the way I’m live every Thursday every Sunday if you guys haven’t tuned in to the Sunday lives you got to tune in to those those are always a ton of fun but yeah I’m going Christian Watson over westbr k westbr k ke is like in a much better version of Marcus Val the scan who I absolutely would not be starting over Christian Watson Christian Watson is an even even better version of scantling too I’d go Jameson over T.J Hockinson I don’t really like playing two tight ends and Joe hoer sh Smith let me hop back over to the tight end ranks let me know in the Tik Tok live which ranks you guys want to see next same thing in the YouTube live let me which positional ranks you guys want to see next I can only see your comment on Tik Tok if you’re following them so make sure you follow that’s just how Tik Tok Works um app has me one win away from clinching my buy yeah we got playoff insights coming in the Walter pick app let me show you guys this here quick I think I have it here this is we got some position grades coming soon to you guys just saw sneak peek that on the YouTube live by the way we’re also live on YouTube if you’re watching live on Tik Tok link is right in the Tik Tok bio and viewing experience I can share my screen as well um Reed or Monty yeah I think I go I think I go Monty there Le Porter or auton happy PR yeah it’s auton it’s auton over leaport wide receiver rankings I got you with those next I think I Watson versus DJ Moore yeah I don’t think DJ more practiced today it’s definitely more if he plays but he might not play I think I’m okay going Christian Watson there um so this is me here just beat any 70% chance to make it in this the last this is the last League I need to make the playoffs in 70% chance it’s a win and in situation I got some outs even if I lose but yeah we got the playoff ODS and the Welter picks at now tons of of valuable information to glean from that all right let’s get back to some of these starts Zs crafter dly this week Lions defense worries me about craft yeah I think we have crafted dly super close let me pull the tight end ranks here again I think it’s I think it’s craft over dle and yeah it’s fair to be a little bit concerned with the matchup versus the Lions but remember the Lions this is not the full healthy Lions defense we’re getting tonight they have the most players out in the NFL right now the most IR players in the league last time against the Lions he had 7.6 four catches for 34 it’s not a terrible floor for a tight end and the se he played 100% snaps in that one he’s been back up over 90% last week too with ROM oabs out he had six catches last week that tied a season High I’m okay going craft over dley I don’t hate dley this week though at all either pick two pickings jsn Reed and neighbors and thank you for your input appreciate you Jaden yeah pickings has to be started and neighbors I think has to be started too over over re I play Pickins and neighbors over re let’s let’s go through the guys I’m starting over Jaden Reed I would start George Pickins over Jaden Reed let me go to the wide receivers here we’ll po the wide receivers on the YouTube live here as well um definitely fair the lines have been decent against tight ends but I still think I would go with with craft over dley I think I have them in the same tier though too but yeah so the receivers I’m starting over Jaden Reed tonight obviously Jamar Chase Jefferson puka don’t need to talk about those guys those are the tier tier one tier two guys puka Drake London T Higgins am man raw lad Cooper cup Mike Evans Mike Evans dealing with an injury I think he’ll play lad dealing with an injury I think he’ll play as well and then CD lamb same thing I think he’ll play Jobe Myers he didn’t practice today I think he’ll play I’d probably go Myers over Reed with the match up versus the Bucks AJ Brown obviously Malik neighbors and then George Pickins that’s it though I’m playing Jaden Reed over guys like DK meaf I’m playing Jaden Reed over guys like Jon Smith and jiga DJ Moore Jerry Judy who’s been absolutely balling I think I’d go Jaden Reed over him as well start Montgomery or Johnny with flex yeah I’m definitely starting Montgomery over all tight ends basically other than Brock Bowers DJ Moore Christian Watson yeah so let’s leave the read the latest on DJ Moore because he’s been playing really well too but he was SI lined with a quad injury again on Thursday inability to practice Wednesday but that was a common day off day but he didn’t practice Thursday and now we’re in a tough tough start sit decision with DJ Moore I’m okay going Christian Watson in a spot like this I really am I don’t want to risk having a zero in the lineup or really be scrambling on Sunday morning is lorta a good start over auton and craft now I would go craft then auton then lorta that’s how I have it in the tight end rank I’m going neighbors over ver Monti yeah craft or Ferguson it’s craft yeah it’s craft and I I I think it’s craft like like kind of easily it’s somewhat close let’s pull up the tight end R here a lot of lot of tight end questions tonight rightfully so I knew these were going to be two the tougher tight end start seits of the week with craft and Lort and really like unless you have Bowers and McBride and Kelsey and joku KD or Janu I mean then all of a sudden tier three is like a long tier three I got in all the same tier for me this week Tucker craft Kate Aon Evan Ingram T.J hackinson Jake Ferguson and Sam leapa and will dley that’s seven guys in tier three they’re all projected like within a point of each other I mean it is some tough start sits but that’s exactly why we do these livs help you through think through some of these ster start sits see I think I would go craft over Ferguson I mean it’s just a much better offense really good match up for Ferg definitely will give you that this gives Ferguson a higher ceiling but craft a better floor than Ferguson but projection over one point more that Cowboys Bengals game is projected to be high scoring two only three points Less in the over under I think that’s the high second highest tied for the second highest over under of the week with that bills Rams game so yeah this one’s pretty close man and let’s look at Jake Ferguson’s numbers real quick I don’t think he’s he’s practicing in full he’s fine he’s going to be back after missing two games oh yeah but it’s Cooper Rush yeah just much about rather bet on Duran love than than Cooper rush I think got go craft over Ferguson Monty or Connor why do you have craft so high because it it really comes down to the Packers passing attack let me talk about this again real quick Jaden Reed or Tyreek same reason I got Reed and Christian Watson and Don D Wicks pretty high too and lover her yeah go love over Herbert like pretty easily pretty easily and I think it’s Jaden Reed over Tyreek as well uh so let me just talk through my expectations for this game one more time and again guys if if you haven’t heard yet it’s free week at Walter pits the entire app the entire Walter pick app is free for everyone this week you do not need to opt into a free trial so if you’ve never tried out the premium features in the Walter pick app now is your time I spent the last four years of my life helping build this app it is going to help you with fantasy is going to help you with props you’re watching live on YouTube you can see the app on the screen right now and see some of what you can get for free but if you’re into player props you’re into spreads or lines or you’re in the final stretch of your fantasy season no matter what it is the wter picks app is going to help so check it out use code s when you sign up does help me out I do greatly appreciate it all right so the Packers are probably going to have to throw more in this game than we’re used to seeing we’ve seen only four games this season where the Green Bay Packers have played an offense that ranks top 12 in scoring in those games they’ve been over 30 pass attempts in every single one and they’re averaging over 40 pass attempts per game in the game in the in the other 12 games where they weren’t playing a top 12 scoring offense they’re averaging 24.3 pass attempts per game this is a Packers team there’s a lot of teams out there it feels like in the NFL this season like this they want to be a run first team and you could argue the lions are a little like this too they want to be a run first team but when they fall behind they’re not afraid to throw and they’re not afraid to throw a lot we actually saw this in the Packers Lions game back in week nine where Jordan love threw the ball 39 times the second most of the entire season season despite battling ankle and knee injuries that a lot of people thought were going to hold him out of that game he did not look fully healthy in that game they still threw a 39 times because they fell behind in the first half we could definitely see something play out like that in this game this week and we just saw last week Caleb Williams had his best fantasy game one of his best fantasy games of the Season he threw 39 times last week we’ve seen in five the last games for the Lions the opposing QB has thrown at least 33 times so that’s the reason I like T Jaden Reed davan wits Christian Watson I think all these guys are pretty good options I don’t know why it says Wix playing saints that that was a mistake on my end uh start three Adams Reed Adams Reed lad Addison and Mark Cooper yeah it’s the first three bench Addison bench Cooper uh let’s go to the wide receiver ranks Sor the running back mes here and let’s get back to some of these start tis kylo how we doing happy Thursday to you as well it was a fantastic Thanksgiving man is the best holiday of the year always is always will be I think uh I was here quickly on Sunday so hope has been well uh should I start J over Mooney or Evans not n KY we’re benching Jameson Williams for both Mooney and Evans and Evans I don’t think practiced today but I do think he’ll play and I still think Evans is gonna hit a thousand yards he got back on track last week made a couple incredible grabs in that game went into overtime which helped him out but Mike Evans I think is going to crack a yards again if he can play in the rest of these games at full health uh evening Sam how we doing Nikki in the YouTube live we’re live on Tik Tok and YouTube right now guys shout out to everybody out there in this Thursday live stream if you’re watching live on Tik Tok let me know in the comments which positional rankings you want to see next AJ Brown’s low because I don’t think the Eagles are going to throw much the Eagles have not been throwing very much they’ve had some of the lowest pass volume in the NFL not all target Shares are created equal guys it depends how much the team’s passing a 30% Target share on the Eagles might might equal a 20% Target Target share on on the Packers this week with the difference possibilities in the past volume the Panthers have been keeping games close but I’m not sure they’ll keep it close versus the Eagles AJ Brown lad Reed jacobe and should I be worried about the Jamar injury no I think jamar’s gonna play I think you gotta go lad in this one and honestly it might be jacobe over AJ Brown this week man AJ Brown just one spot ahead of jacobe yeah I I’d go lad and AJ Brown I’m playing lad and AJ Brown over jacobe and over Reed as well so here’s some of the receivers I’m playing over Jaden Reed today jar Chase obviously Jefferson obviously puka obviously London T Higgins am man raw lad Cooper cop Evans I think those are all relatively obvious maybe some of the less obvious ones I’m playing CD lamb AJ Brown jacobe neighbors and Pickins over Reed that’s it I got Reed right at the top of tier four Sam pick two Devonte Smith Rashad white or Nick Westbrook a PPR I do think devvon Smith back this week pretty sure he’s practicing in full let’s see where he’s at definitely tough to trust though again with that pass volume potential in that game I I definitely still start him over Westbrook a though it’s Westbrook a is not the type of guy I like starting in fantasy definitely Marquez Valdes scantling esque so yeah I think it’s the first two guys over Westbrook can not a Thursday night question though do you want to prioritize the Thursday night starts it’s Westbrook or J now that’s a good question and that one’s I think Jameson Williams oh man we got Westbrook two spots ahead Jameson Williams we’ll do that comparison here in a second we’re live on Tik Tok and YouTube by the way guys if you’re watching live on Tik Tok come to the YouTube live link is right in the Tik Tok by our we got a bunch of J Mo questions here in the YouTube live too Jameson Williams th and Shakir yeah I mean th had an incredible game last week too definitely is that in play in this one that shakir’s been pretty consistent all season I think you got to go Shakir yeah the floor for Shakir in the last six six games has been seven points I know some of those receivers are probably coming back and the looked amazing last week he looked like he looked at the start of this last season in his last game eight catches 99 yards and a touchdown he had a 24% Target share 10 targets I do think that Jaylen Coker will be back this week I think jaavan Sanders will probably be back this week should be plenty of pass volume for the Panthers yeah I’m going Shakir and James Williams over th Monty or James Conor i’ go Monty over Conor go back to the running back ranks oh man Connor’s one spot ahead oh I think I’d go Monty over Connor I think Monty’s got a better chance at a touchdown Ben James Conor definitely a really close one after the trade where I give etn dehop and Jonathan Brooks were Gibbs yeah I like it easily getting the best play in the trade not even close it got VTO that’s ridiculous unless there’s clear collusion unless both sides don’t want to do the trade too you get you can’t be Ving trades St pick one please Rome Adam TH or Elijah Moore fullo PPR man yeah you got to see which of those Bears receivers play that’s a Sunday morning question Kyler or Herbert also a Sunday morning question but I lean Kyler over Herbert for sure mik Evans is still questionable yeah I I’m okay just rocking with Jaden Reed but I do think Evans is gonna play I’m starting Joan overcraft is that crazy yeah it’s a little crazy it’s definitely a little crazy we got Jan Johnson here projected 7.9 points he’s all the way down in tier the bottom of tier four crft at the top of tier three must win for playoffs by weeks or killing me yeah you’re not alone man would you start Tim Patrick over Quinton Johnston Parker Washington or Ray Ray mlap switch up the ranks here oh God this is a close one I wouldn’t start him with Ray R McLoud Parker Washington had a huge game last week I don’t think wow yeah this is a tough start sit here I don’t think I’d play Tim Patrick I don’t he’s been playing more but what’s the real ceiling for Tim Patrick especially in like we just saw a pretty real ceiling for Parker Washington yeah 2 points he was the wide receiv receiver five last week I mean obviously going to be tough to repeat but yeah I think you probably don’t go with Tim Patrick there I think Tim Patrick is is a bench lover momes yeah so there’s really not that many QBs I’m playing over love this week and and Mahomes is not one of them the only QBs I’m playing over Jordan love this week it’s a short list Josh Allen Joe burrow Jaylen Herz Sam darnold Baker Mayfield end of list that’s it then it’s love and then I’d go Kyler and Mahomes and then I’d go golf I’d like golf tonight too again I think this game is going to be incredibly high scoring yeah some people in incredibly tough spots this week in week 14 and by the way if your playoffs stting week 14 you got to find a new Commish you got to find a new leag I mean starting the playoffs in a week 14 week with all these buys is just ridiculous I heard a couple crazy stories about that should I start chub or hunt yeah you can’t be starting hunt I mean I don’t like starting chub but you really just can’t be starting hunt he’s got absolutely no explosive playability P’s R is growing every single week I I mean the floor is low for Nick chub and what’s the ceiling really I mean he doesn’t really even have like a multi-touchdown ceiling he doesn’t have big playability at least at least chub’s got multi- touchdown ceiling at least evening sir good evening Zachary guys if you’re just tuning into to the YouTube live smash the like button hit the Subscribe button if you’re just tuning in to the Tik Tok live guys smash the follow button and let me know what position rankings you want to see next I will not be able to see your comment if you are not following so smash the follow button for watch live on Tik Tok Baker or Goff yeah it’s Baker it’s Baker over Goff again I just ran through the QBs but there’s not that many QBs I’m starting over goof there’s really very few QBs I’m starting over love it’s Allen burrow Herz darnold Mayfield then it’s love how start Mayfield over both QBs tonight the Bucks are gunning for a playoff spot right now an NFL playoff spot and that’s a big and big reason to Baker Mayfield and how good he’s been this season ranks fifth in fantasy points per game he’s been on a bit of a Down strrretch obviously Godwin out Mike Evans just came back I mean their team their offense has been pretty banged up but he’s got a pretty high ceiling against the Raiders one of his best matchups he’s had really since his really good stretch to start the season he’s battling injuries himself too but yeah I would start him I would start baker Mayfield over gof I wouldn’t start him over love though sorry I think I said that wrong I would start love over Mayfield I start Mayfield over gof I would start darnold over both QBs tonight though I do like the match up a lot for darnold neighbors or makoni yeah it’s got to be Maki man I think he had a 51% Target share last week 51% and then Jameson Williams or Wilson I assume that’s Garrett Wilson you’re starting Garrett Wilson yeah we still believe in Aaron Jones yeah I still have some belief in Aaron Jones Tyreek or Pard on the flex I think I’d go Tyreek there definitely pretty close in case you guys missed it earlier it is the free week in the Walter pick app this is the first time in history that you can get 100% free access to the Walter pix app with absolutely no commitment no free trial it’s just a free week for everybody in the Walter pix app if you’ve never tried the premium features in the app you got to try them here in week 14 player prop insights game betting insights League sync you can syc all your sports books to track your bets across Ross all of your books so much more in the Walter pick app too link is in the Tik Tok file link is in the YouTube description use goam when you sign up that does help me out a ton I got you with the receiver rankings uh and we were just looking at those to yeah I think I would go lad over neighbors I mean I really really don’t want to bench lad and he’s already practicing on a limited basis so it seems like he’s gonna play this week shout out to everyone in the live stream right now guys we got a banger of a football game on tonight between the Packers and the a lot to talk through tonight I’m definitely playing love in most leagues Jordan love the only QBs I’m starting over Jordan love Josh Allen Joe burrow Jaylen Herz Sam Donald and then it’s Jordan Love by the way if you’re watching live on YouTube you can see the Walter pick app on the screen right now and it is a big week for the Walter pix app the free week for the app everyone has unlimited access in the Walter pix app for free this week you don’t need to do anything just go on the App you’ll have unlimited free Access Link to that’s in the YouTube description in the Tik Tok box you’re watching live on Tik Tok you get all these tools in the Welter pick app for completely free the free player prop for me this week which you would have already known about if you were in the Walter pick Discord that’s in the YouTube description as well I’m going Christian Watson over 50.5 receiving yards actually got at 49.5 earlier some places still have it at 49.5 it looks like Christian Watson averaging 20 yards perception that’s the second highest in the NFL this season we wrote up his reception line which you can get again for free in the app this week earlier and that is also looking like a great value at plus 133 on MGM but Christen Watson has hit this line in two of his last three games he really he can do this with just one or two catches last week he had two catches 67 yards but one of the main reasons I like this dos is out Christian Watson had a season High snap percentage last week and the Packers when they’re playing teams that score we’ve seen them throw way more this season I mean they really want to be a run first team but that kind of falls apart when you’re down against the Lions in an offense that can put up a lot of points the Lions by the way they lead the NFL in points per Drive the Packers lead the NFL in points per drive over the last three weeks though and in games they’re playing top 12 scoring offenses Packers are averaging over 40 pass attempts per game the last time they played the lines we saw Jordan love throw it 39 times that was second most of his season in games where they’re not playing top 12 offenses they’re averaging closer to 24 pass attempts for game so I think you got to have some faith in the Packers passing attack in this one also in that last game between the Packers and the Lions back in week nine Jordan love was pretty banged up he was very banged up actually an ankle injury a knee injury that he was dealing with he did not look like himself definitely not the case in this one who is the safer starter Russ or G it’s got to be G again this game is the highest over under the week I think there’s G be a lot of scoring in this one I think it’s definitely goth over Russ all right let’s get back to some of these start sits uh in the live stream need help appreciate everything you’ve done with Walter pick thanks man must win winner makes playoffs yeah I’m me Jeff I’m in one of these spots this week too man it it gets it gets the juices flowing it feels like playoffs like the playoffs are here man they’re here I’m pumped I’m as locked in as I’ve ever been heading into the playoffs I got a chance to make it in every single League it feels good standard Jameson Williams or Dr London yeah standard league but this one’s not close Jeff don’t overthink this one and I I I’m I’m battling a similar slightly more difficult but similar start it decision between Wicks and Jawan Jennings in one league and I really want to start Wicks I want to watch him tonight and have you know I want to feel something tonight I want to root for something tonight but in a spot like this man you got to go with Jordan love I mean it’s really not that close this is PPR rankings here but the the non PPR you can switch down the top right here let me just switch to non PPR quick for you uh here in the standard settings in the Welter pick app but yeah Drake London he’s wide receiver four I mean London is in the the tier two of receivers this week right up there with puka nikua and T Higgins and am man ra and lad and cup and Evans a really good game environment for him this week versus the Vikings the Vikings are maybe the most pass funnel defense in the entire NFL we saw that play out last week for Kyler who had a season High Pass attempts ver the Vikings last week so yeah I feel pretty good about Drake London his floor and ceiling this week he’s a must start in basically all leagues like I’m starting over with st Brown yeah I’m seeing that one in the YouTube chat right now too a Jerry Judy or James Connor man that’s a close one not a Thursday night question though I probably go with James Conor there was close goof or Love Tonight yes it love it’s love over go let’s do this comparison quick um and and part of the reason is the lions are just even more likely the lions are are like the Packers times too when it comes to their play Tendencies like that the Packers want to be run first the Lions want to be even more run first especially when they get in the Red Zone which really lowers the touchdown upside for golf and we’ve seen games where that’s not the case and don’t get me wrong I think both these QBs are startable tonight I’m not saying go and must PCH I got them both in the same tier in my rankings I got the QB rankings up right now let me actually switch over the wide receiver ranks rankings here on the YouTube live but I would go love over GF we’ve seen love average more points per game this season he’s avering averaging more yards per game this season if we look at the passing stats wow exactly the same touchdown rates both at 6.5% complication percentage has been better for golf but the attempts per game a bit higher for Jordan love I think the pass volume is going to be there though for Love Tonight a little bit higher of a ceiling this is saying for gol it’s actually really close but yeah the match is better and where the Lions have struggled this season is stopping wide receivers and that’s something that the the Packers have in in plenty we just saw Caleb Williams dropped 26 versus the Lions the lions are the most injured defense in the NFL they have the most players in the NFL on IR currently I think it’s 12 on IR I mean it’s it’s like half their defense they’re missing starters and backups all along the defensive line and in the middle linebacker group you know that almost impacts the the rushing more but also the rushing uh the pass rush which is part of the reason we saw Caleb Williams succeed in the second half last week that was the first big game we’ve really seen and Jordan love did again have the second most pass attempt of his season last time he played the lines so yeah I think a lot of reasons to feel decent about Jordan love in this one swift J or spars I think this one’s Swift swift hasn’t practiced yet but I do think he’ll play show wide receiver yeah I got you again if you want to let me know what position you want to see next on the Tik Tok live I won’t see your comment lless you’re following though on Tik Tok if you guys are watching live on YouTube guys smash the like button hit the Subscribe button I do appreciate it um yeah I think I would go DeAndre Swift in this one I’m playing gendo I think over Shakir that one’s pretty close I’m playing love over Mayfield but that one’s extremely close Mayfield a little banged up though he has not been quite the same over his last few I just joined Detroit D yes or no it’s a no Nick it’s a definite no let me read through the must starts the the probably worth it the maybe worth it and the must benches quick for you uh I’ll P the defense ranks here too but I’m not starting either of these defenses tonight this game is projected to be the highest scoring game of the week by far the highest over under of the week the next closest is the game between the Bengals and the Cowboys on Monday Night Football two horrible defenses in that one but we’re starting Gibbs you must the guys that are must starts for me tonight Gibbs got to start up Josh got to started David Montgomery am St Brown need to be started Jaden Reed in most leagues should be started and Christian Watson in deeper leagues 12 team leagues I really want to find a spot for Christian Watson I’m starting him in every League that I have him I think his ceiling is ginormous in this game jackon where’s your Excel sheet Jack that’s on the Tik Tok live got screenshots to the Excel sheet on on the Tik Tok live on the YouTube live better viewing experience to get the Walter pick apppp view of it on the the YouTube live but yeah I’m I guys that are likely worth it Jordan love Jared gof and Tucker craft I think you got to have some faith in the Packers passing attack tonight I expect they rushing attack to have some success too with how banged up the Lions defense is which is why I think Josh Jacobs is a no-brainer must start also with the role he’s had may be worth it I think dant Tavian Wick is an interesting sleeper tonight a pretty interesting one I don’t hate his props either or when you look into this game both Christian Watson and Davian Wicks they both had season High snap percentages last week and dant D Wicks has had at least 20% of his routes have resulted in a Target in all but one game he is the 15th highest Target per route run rate in the NFL I mean truly impressive stuff and there’s good reason to think he’s out there in most of the snaps tonight he played uh a season high like I mentioned a season High 89% of snaps last week he hadn’t had a single game over 80% yet this season before last week and there’s no Romeo dos that’s why these guys are playing as much as they are uh they really one of these offenses that spreads the ball around a lot they at times were playing four or five wide receivers suddenly it’s just a three wide receiver team between Wicks Reed and Watson and and uh was it Bo Melton hel mix in a little bit but really not much I think you got 40% of the snaps and Le didn’t play at all so a more Consolidated Packers offense we’re dealing with tonight so yeah I think Wix is an interesting sleeper too and then the guys who got a bench I like both kickers tonight by the way too because of the the potential scoring but the guys you got a bench you got to bench both defenses in this game especially the alliance defense with all the injuries but Packers too in this matchup and then you got to be benching you know the obvious ones there’s really very obvious must benches in this one no one controversial Emanuel Wilson Chris Brooks Tim Patrick Bo Melton I think I saw one Tim Patrick question on the live he tough one here Wix or Elijah Moore yeah this is is a tough one for sure and I got I gotta like I’m really strongly considering Wicks over Jawan Jennings and I know it’s not going to project for wi I do think the Wix has a really high ceiling in this one though I’m definitely nervous about the 49ers offense oh I’m still a non PPR my bad let me switch back to PPR my brain only works in PPR I assume this is a PPR question as well someone had non PPR questions why I switched but that definitely will change it here and yeah Elijah Moore projects a bit better but look at the boom percentage here I mean the ceiling is undoubtedly higher for wicks than it is for Elijah Moore maybe Elijah Moore has a slightly better floor that’s what Walter’s suggesting here in the Walter picks app and I definitely am often scared to go against Walter Walter has the best player projections you could possibly find across all fantasy settings probably a good time to remind everyone it is the free week in the Walter pix app too you get completely free access to custom insights when you sync your league to the Walter pix out this week answer the questions bro I’m trying man I’m going as fast I can we’re going to grind through the start S question segment yeah I’m going I’m going Wix over lash more personally I’m chasing the ceiling and I’m someone who likes to chase upside I think there is more upside than DAV Wickson in this matchup of course the lions lions allowing the most points to wide receivers this season no defense is allowing more fantasy points to wide receivers than the Detroit Lions and we just kind of saw it last week with the Bears Too do I play leor tonight or Ferguson on Monday Night Football yeah let’s hop over the tight end ranks here it’s really close between those guys I personally lean Ferguson though over Lea we haven’t seen Lea have more than catches s in like in like over a month should I start J I have Keon Coleman but he’s questionable yeah and this one I would I don’t think Keon col’s a lock to play haven’t seen him play in a while gotta win weekend yeah gotta win weekend in a lot of a lot of leagues this week I’ve got to pick three between cup Evans Jefferson and jacobe Myers and not a Thursday night starts it here tough call here for sure you’re probably benching jacobe or cup though I really I’m not benching Jefferson and I really don’t avch Evans either auton isn’t projected that much in PPR yeah I think this is a good spot for auton this week against the Raiders I know he hasn’t been as good recently a RICO or DK oh man it’s probably Rico play Craft tonight or wait to see if cancade yeah I’m going craft over concade like pretty easily like I don’t want to play cancade like at all I mean even if cancade plays he’s probably splitting a role with DW Knox I mean cancade arguably can be dropped in in a bunch of leagues I’m not not feeling confident with Alon Cade at this point of the Season how do you feel about KT this week not great definitely not feeling amazing about KT versus the 49ers only had 5.6 games in a game that I think we just saw Caleb Williams one of his best games of the season one of his highest passing yard totals of the Season only three catches 26 he’s been out there a ton he’s playing basically every snap but I don’t feel great about Kat definitely would go craft over lorta I’d play both those guys over Kat to worthier lorta oh man I think I go worthy there Watson Wicks or Hopkins I’m going Watson over wicks for sure and I think i’ play him over Hopkins too yeah hackinson or lorta yeah it’s Hockinson over lorta let’s go back to the Packers here RB rankings please yeah I got you with the running back ranks pull those up on the YouTube live as well we got a great game guys coming up and now just about an hour and a half the Packers traveling to Detroit in the dome environment the last time these two teams played in in Green Bay it was pouring rain Jordan love was dealing with an injury this is going to be a much different game we’ll go to wide receiver next lorta or dley is super close I think Ian dley over lorta I do like the match up for dley a lot this week I would go Wicks over craft I don’t want to start two tight ends if I don’t need to yeah we can go to QB next lover Baker let’s go to the wide receivers then we’ll go to QB next Watson or MBS yeah I I’m I’m a known MBS hater I want nothing to do with Marquez Val scantling he he has now was it three games with more than one catch this season I mean just not the type of guy like starting you know he’s a worst version of Nick Westbrook Kina who I would start uh both Christian Watson and Donavan Wicks I think I’d probably go west 4 over donante Tavian Wicks but I’d definitely go Christian Watson over uh Nick Westberg wad Tilman etan or white I’m already starting Bucky not if there’s night question here either but yeah you can’t go etn here it’s probably white yeah just go Bucky and white in both a good match I actually think it’s a pretty high floor play non PPR pick two Montgomery Bucky Chase Brown you’re probably benching Montgomery here I’d play Bucky and Chase Brown over Mony let’s go to the QB ranks here talk through the QBs again I see some QB start sits in here yeah I’m playing Bucky and Chase Brown like pretty easily I think over Montgomery as good as Montgomery’s been I think it is gendo over dbo I mean how do we trust Debo this week Debo’s been a start it nightmare this season and you just know one of these weeks we know the ceiling for Debo we haven’t seen the ceiling this season you know only is one game two games over 100 yards only one game over 20 PPR fantasy points last season we saw multiple games over 30 fantasy points but we haven’t seen it this year man he’s been under seven points and three straight I mean he’s been under 25 total yards in three straight games he is negative one rushing yard too like you got to think he gets a little bit more involved as a rusher with CMC and Mason out now but not a good match up here versus the Bears I mean I think it’s gendo yeah do you like Jordan love this week yeah I do I like him a lot let’s talk to the QBs again here quick again the the Packers are gonna have to throw most likely they’re gonna have to throw in this game we saw a 39 pass attempts from Jordan love which was the second most of the season the last time he played the Lions and that was the game where he’s battling knee and Ankle injuries so yeah we like Jordan love this week a lot and actually uh if I’ll talk to the free player prop coming up in a second too but yeah the only QBs I’m playing over Jordan love it is Joe burrow Jaylen Herz Sam Donal and Baker uh Baker Mayfield I think I would go love over Mayfield yeah I would go love over Mayfield I put I put love right in that tier two I move him above bigger Mayfield here so yeah I would go love over Mayfield but I would go Donald over love I do like Donald against the Falcons a lot this week then I would go Baker Kyler Mahomes and then I would go go Caleb Levis there’s some really tough QB starts HS but I think it’s Caleb I I do like Levis this week I do like the Calvin Ridley Revenge game narrative this week too weatherman Sams here for you tonight Dome game easy easy night for weatherman Sam by the way weather manam those of you who’ve been following along with weather man Sam we talk about the weather every Sunday for the games that in which the weather matters first L really of the Season you know I’ll eat the L uh this week with with the that build game you know just totally different weather than what I thought was going to happen in what the weather report was showing you know the weatherman Sam and all weatherman other all weatherman were were wrong about that bills game definitely impacted the game tremendously you know much much worse weather than I was expecting but no weather tonight we’re in the dome and we should see plenty of passing and plenty of points in the game projected to be the most scoring of the week Where’s Lamar bro yeah so these are this week’s projections and Lamar’s on B yes he’s on B Lamar’s not on on the rankings he’s on bu these are start sit projections here for week 14 not rest of the season projections but yeah Jordan love he’s the top five QB option he’s at right at number five only four QBs really I’m playing over toward love this week by the way guys it is free week in the Walter pix app it is the free week which means everyone gets unlimited access in the Walter pix app this week if you’ve never tried the premium features in the app you can sync all of your leagues for custom AI powered insights to help you start S decisions looking at the rest of season rankings planning ahead for the fantasy playoffs if you’re still trading in your league we get a super powerful trade analyzer that’s completely free the link is in the Tik Tok bio in the YouTube description also uh you can sync your sports books across all your different books track your win loss and get some interesting insights about what your best can worth at when it comes to uh your bets and then also there’s player prop insights for every single player every single game across the NFL NBA MLB obviously no MLB right now uh but the player prop insights game betting insights are better than anywhere will find them uh hey there Walter do we go Caleb against the 49ers in such an important week classic mistake here uh my name is Sam Walter is the AI model that I helped build that powers the Walter pix app that’s why the Walter pixs app has the best player projections you will find uh classic mistake though don’t worry about it Caleb against the 49ers in such an important week yeah it depends who you’re starting him over I mean there’s two sides that every single starts it no need to spam guys in the you YouTube chat I think I would go craft over Jake Ferguson Monty Hall cook jsn neighbors I do have some faith in Caleb Williams this week but it depends when you’re starting them over Monty Hall cook Jas and neighbors yeah it’s definitely neighbors here and I think it’s cook I think it’s neighbors and cook love to hear that yeah you know I respond to both yeah at this point love love or Baker I’m going love over Baker I’m playing love over Baker and Herbert dehop or two but not a Thursday night there gotta prioritize the Thursday night starts it guys Jaylen Warner Christian Watson happy PR gotta be Christian Watson man gotta be Christian Watson Christian Watson’s the free player prop of the day we are over 62% on the free player props this season 34 and 21 we’ve been very good on Thursday nights as well really like the Christian Watson prop tonight at 49 and a half receiving yards he’s hit this in two of his last three games he had a season High snap percentage last week no wide receiver on the Packers played more than Christian Watson in their last game he’s also number two in the NFL in yards per reception I’m locking Jaden Reed and J for my 14-man league yeah M I like it I definitely like Jaden Reed stealing a lot in this one too Josh Jacobs or chase Brown you really can’t bench Chase brown right now you really can’t s Mahomes for love yep I play Love over Mahomes I’m playing tuer craft over jakay Ferguson I’m playing in joku over lorta I’m playing GF over Ross I’m playing Reed over Westbrook Ain I’m playing Christian Watson over Westbrook a should Kyler neighbors or Myers yeah I think it’s neighbors not a Thursday night question there though Jaden Reed or jsn and full PPR let’s do this comparison quick on the YouTube live you guys are are tuned in the YouTube live guys smash the like button button hit the Subscribe button helps me out a ton I do appreciate it if you’re watching live on Tik Tok guys smash the follow button let me know what position you want to see next I saw someone asked for wide receivers I can’t see your comments unless you follow on Tik Tok so hit the follow button and then let me know what position rankings you want to see next for week 14 all right Jaden Reed versus Jackson Smith to get in jiga also guys the Walter pix app it is free week in the Walter pix app completely free it’s a completely free week in the Walter pix app you got to check it out if I don’t get your starts it it’s the best place to go you can syn your lead you’ll get insights custom to your scoring settings you can sync your books uh to the BET tracker to see how you’re doing across all the different types of of bets and all the different books you can get player prop insights a bunch of props identified for the game tonight I really like the Christian Watson line over 49 and a half receiving yards tonight all right we’re doing J Jaden Reed versus Jackson Smith and jiga here definitely a close call I think you gotta go read jsn has been balling I mean it’s not an easy gu to bench got at least 11 now in four state it was a little bit of down game last week only four catches for him last week only a 14% Target share and Jaden Reed had a weird game last game he played less than Wicks snap wise he played L than Wicks and Christian Watson and he only had three catches but two of those were touchdowns and it was a 21% Target share still because the Packers did not need to throw much and they’re gonna throw in this game which definitely bodess well for the ceiling of Jaden Reed again the Packers they’re averaging 40 pass attempts over 40 pass attempts per game in their four games versus top 12 scoring teams so when they play good scoring highs scoring offenses they’re throwing them I mean that makes sense but this is this is important to note because they can be really run heavy I this is almost twice as much throwing as we’re seeing in games against non top 12 scoring teams 24 pass attempts per game in those 12 games so yeah that bodess well for Reed it bodess well for wicks it bod well for Watson and Tucker craft and even Josh Jacobs I think it’s it’s not necessarily bad for he had over 70 receiving yards last week he’s been getting more involved as a receiver too tight end tight end I got you with tight end yeah some tough some tough tight end start sits uh in this game tonight for sure with lorta and with craft I do like craft like a decent bit more than lorta but I have them in the same tier so it’s it’s really I don’t feel that strong about where you’re going to rank the these guys in tier three I think they are all in the same tier all the way from Tucker craft down to will dley you know I’m playing all those guys over C pittz who is in the next tier but it’s close man lorta scored tce last week but we still have not seen Sam laor have more than three catches since week eight he only has three games we’re in week 14 guys he’s got three games with more than three catches this whole season and Tucker crou he’s coming off a pretty good game six catches for 78 yards yes I lean crft slightly I have a little bit more confidence in the Packers passing attack in this one RB rankings please yeah I got you with that next Mark Andrew and Ferguson this year because I love the pain no love for fouth no this is not the fouth love live stream let me go to the running back ranks here fouth has still I think he had I think a better game last week but still been out targeted by Darnell Washington since rust over yeah he’s had his best game of the season last week six for 68 in a touchdown how many targets did he have yeah seven targets so maybe maybe he’s he’s beating darell Washington now but up until then he had not been which is not a great sign for Pat Fri is Ferguson going to play yeah I do think he’s going to play I’m going Watson over Nick West like pretty easily me hop over to the wide receiver ranks again yet if neighbors over read the guys I’m starting over re George Pickins Malik neighbors jacobe Meyers uh AJ Brown CD lamb Mike Evans Cooper cup lad makoni and Myers didn’t practice today but I do think that he’s gonna play I don’t know I don’t know how sure you should be about this one it’s close I it’s a better match up for Hawk better ceiling for Hawk hackinson was a pretty big disappointment last week he only had 5.8 only three catches snack percentage was still up there though I think Josh Oliver might be back this week he still has a 20% Target share yeah I honestly think I might go hackinson over lorta if I sorry over craft I definitely go Hawkinson over lorta I do think Mak is gonna play too yeah he’s already gotten in limited practices so I do think he’ll play jacobe Myers is really high up there jaob ranks at wide receiver 12 this week what do you thought theark Cooper and Nick chub yeah both super risky right now chub has just not been himself he’s not not the efficient Nick chub that we once knew at least not so far this season he does have touchdown upside but Jon Ford’s mixing in a bunch he’s getting a lot of the receiving work and Amari you know it’s just a how much he’s gonna play how healthy is he really thing let’s see the latest on Mario I think he’s going to play this week it seems like he’s been pretty close yeah three days ago sorry he did play last week excuse me yeah he had that lateral there a Snow Game too yeah I don’t hate I don’t hate Amari in the spot versus the Rams we’ll see if Keon Coleman plays which I I think is definitely up in the air has he been practicing he was limited Thursday so he looks like he might play that wouldn’t be great for Amari Cooper an offense that definitely will spread it around a lot too yeah I don’t I don’t love either guy really rest of season who is my team yeah I’m Pats fan you can kind of see the helmet behind me here on the YouTube Lobby I’m a I’m a Pats fan who’s rooting for Drake M for the Pats to lose every single week at this point uh let’s switch to the QB ranks here obviously I’m not I’m not going to complain as a Pats fan um PPR chrisan Watson or Elijah Moore yeah we talked about this one earlier it’s Christian Watson man and I honestly think dantean Wicks versus Elijah Moore is kind of close too I think both Wicks and Watson have a higher ceiling than Elijah Moore and I’m someone that likes to chase the ceiling man I do uh like to chase the ceiling all right one more time for the people in the backass it is the free week in the Walter pick app 100% free access to the app all premium features for free if you were always wondering about the premium features but didn’t want to commit or you haven’t tried them out in a long time this is the week the entire app is unlocked for everyone all you got to do is go to the app that’s it and it’ll be unlocked for you link is in the YouTube description link is in the Tik Tok bio I promise you this app is going to help you in fantasy it’s going to help you with player props use code we sign up if you haven’t yet that does help me out I don’t have the defense ranks up on the Tik Tok live but I can show do not start both of the defenses in this game I do have the defense ranks on the YouTube live though I’ll pull those up if you’re watching live on Tik Tok you go to the YouTube live and see those I’ll go to running back yeah next as one final recap for this game tonight I think there’s gonna be a lot of fantasy points in this game I think there’s going to be a lot of scoring in this game and Vegas agrees this is the highest projected scoring game of the week I think the Packers fall off the upset in this game this game where I expect the Packers to throw a lot the Packers threw 39 times in their last game versus the Lions that was the second most we’ve seen Jordan love through all season that was the game Jordan love is battling an ankle and knee injury not the case tonight that’s why Christian Watson’s the free- player prop that’s by I think starting Jordan love makes a lot of sense big week huge Lum Aaron Jones Conor K9 Maki or Wilson yeah not a Thursday night yeah I don’t think you start Watson in a spot like this you got to start Maki and you’re probably going Connor here or you got to sit one yeah you probably sit Wilson you probably sit care Wilson yeah I’m going GF over will Levis I’m playing in joku over lorta uh I’ll hop over to the running backs here before we wrap up on the YouTube live guys that’s my time guys thank you so much for tuning in time’s most valuable thing we have enjoy the game tonight good luck everyone why don’t I like GF yeah why do I like go he wasn’t great ver the Packers last time that game wasn’t closed last time the the lons were up multiple scores at half they they didn’t throw the ball that much 22 pass attempts like he’s had way more pass attempts than that in every game since because the Lions defense is decimated man this is the most injured defense in the NFL lines are only three-point favorites in this game they’re probably gonna have to throw know they want to run but they’re probably gonna have to throw I do like love more than GF and go is like a a good start not a must start in a lot of leagues that start Mahomes over him Kyler over him Baker over him love over him and Donald over him and then the obvious ones hers BR and Allen but I would start golf over guys like Caleb Williams Herbert Winston Stafford Levis in a game with the highest projected total of the week that’s my time guys thanks so much for tuning in I will be back live of course Sunday morning so make sure you hit that subscribe button so you don’t miss out enjoy the free week in the wether pick app if you’re taking advantage of that and I’ll talk to you all super soon

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