📅 Published on: 2024-11-29 04:20:23

⏱ Duration: 01:35:28 (5728 seconds)

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📝 Video Description:

Sam Factor (@WalterPicks CEO) breaks down everything you need to know fantasy & betting related for the Week 13 Thanksgiving matchups between the Bears vs. Lions, Giants vs. Cowboys & Dolphins vs. Packers

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0:00 Start
2:30 Bears vs. Lions Overview
14:20 Giants vs. Cowboys Overview
23:24 Dolphins vs. Packers Overview (Weatherman Sam)
36:30 Chiefs vs. Raiders Overview (Black Friday Game)
42:43 Sam’s Thoughts on the Spread
45:00 FREE Prop Picks of the Day!!
49:15 Sam’s Statistical Analysis #1
50:14 Sam’s Draft Kings Lineup
54:50 Start/Sit Advice

🎙 Channel: WalterPicks

🌍 Channel Country: United States

📂 Tags:

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🕵️‍♂️ Transcript:

and we are live for Thanksgiving Football week 13 how we doing everyone it is the best day of the year it does not get better than this we got three football games we got amazing food and lots of family it is undoubtedly my favorite holiday of the year and we got three great football games on today we got another football game on tomorrow a Black Friday game between the Chiefs and the Raiders today we kick off with the Lions and the bears in Detroit in the Dome the next game after that we got the Giants in Dallas we got a true Banger of a Thursday football game there between Drew lock and Cooper rush and then tonight I would say probably the best game of the day maybe this Bears Lions game ends up being it but the dolphins go too green Bay playing in cold weather in that game we’re going to talk through the weather a bit weather man Sam’s got you of course for the night game today then we got a pretty fun game tomorrow afternoon starts at 3 pm Eastern that game Raiders versus the Chiefs we’re GNA talk through all four of those games in detail on this live stream today I’ll be live for like the next hour next hour and a half Happy Thanksgiving to everyone truly truly thankful for all of you seriously everyone that tunes into these lives All Year everyone that’s tuning in on Thanksgiving today everyone who helps me make this a reality uh this this live streaming I do every single week this job that I get to have around fantasy football and sports betting a true dream come true for me I’m incredibly thankful do not take a single day for granted all right we’re goingon to get to a lot of difficult starts hits today I mean there’s a lot of difficult starts this week there are no by- weeks this week in week 13 which really does create a very difficult starts sit environment first week with no buys I think since week three or week four of the Season we had the buy apocalypse last week too so a lot of difficult starts to talk through uh in week 13 and we’re going to really really focus as much as possible on the games today and the game tomorrow because I’ll be live Sunday morning like usual on Sunday all right so let’s go game by game here to start we’re going to start with the first game of the day kicking off in just about three hours we got the Chicago Bears traveling to Detroit let’s start start with Chicago here let me start with the Bears here so I actually like the Bears passing attack a decent amount today I think that the Bears also by the way keep this game pretty close they’re 10o underdogs in this game over 90% of the the money and the bets are on the lines in this game which is understandable the Lions have been steamrolling Caleb Williams though and the Lions they haven’t allowed a good fantasy football quarterback performance since week eight against Mason Rudolph who happened to score a rushing touchdown that game to get him over 20 fantasy points the the only game before that we’ve seen a quarterback over 20 points was Gino Smith back in week four those are the only two QBs to go over 20 points ver the Lions the Lions defense has not been a great matchup for quarterbacks this season they’re allowing 17.6 points per game that’s eighth fewest in the NFL so I’m a tiny bit nervous for Caleb Williams in fantasy I don’t think Caleb Williams is a must start in fantasy obviously I don’t think too many people are forcing Caleb Williams into their starting lineup but it’s notable that Caleb Williams is arguably coming off his best game as a pro last last week was arguably Cale Williams best game it’s possible we see that momentum keep up he was the qb4 last week 340 passing yards two TDS ran for 33 yards as well he had a couple incredible plays in this game and I really do feel like the Bears offense is built to play against this Lions defense because where the Lions have struggled this season is stopping wide receivers they’re fourth best against running backs this year in terms of fantasy points allowed they’re the number one defense versus tight ends this season they’re the eighth best versus quarterbacks but they’re the third worst versus wide receivers this season and on paper heading into the season I mean there was a very good argument that the Bears had the best wide receiver Trio in the league really hasn’t come to life for the most part this season but I still think this is one of the better WI wide receiver trios in the league I still believe romad dun is one of the most underrated wide wide receivers in the NFL see I’m definitely in on on the Bears receivers today I think DJ Moore is a great start a DJ Moore coming off one of his best games of the Season really DJ Moore Keenan and Keenan Allen coming off two two of their best games of the season seven for 106 and a touchdown last week for Keenan he was the wide receiver sorry with for DJ Moore he was the wide receiver four last week that was the highest he’s ranked in any given week it was his second best fantasy performance he’s now had at least 13 in back toback games but the target share was only at 15% but he still has at least six Targets in four straight DJ Moore has an incredible ceiling in this game they’re 10-point underdogs they’re going to have to throw I have a lot of confidence in the pass volume being there for the Bears today that’s good for DJ Moore that’s good for Keenan Allen that’s good for romad dun I personally think Keenan Allen is a good start today as well let me pull up on the YouTube live I got wide receiver ranks for us I I like romad dun and Keenan Allen a decent amount pretty similarly I think they they yeah all three of these guys rank within 10 spots of each other they all project really close Keenan Allen’s coming off his best game of the season 23.6 fantasy points he was a wide receiver five DJ Moore is wide receiver four last week Keenan Allen was wide receiver five in kind of a somewhat comparable match up too versus the Vikings in comparison to this match up versus the Lions a keen had 9 for 86 he had a a 32% Target share that was his highest of the season by far the most targets he’s had in a game of 15 but it wasn’t like romad dun was left out he’s still had 10 targets too he didn’t have a great game 8.9 points he only caught five his 10 targets but they since we’ve seen the new coaching staff take over for the Bears the new OC the new play CER they’re running almost exclusively three wide receiver sets which I do think bodess well for them in this matchup I think the Bears offense will keep this game Closer Than People expect I think they cover the 10-point spread but yeah we’re starting DJ we’re starting Keenan we’re starting radun in a lot of spots they’re not none of them are like absolute must starts in a week with no by weeks you know there’s going to be leagues where it maybe does make sense to bench some of these guys but you should feel pretty good with DJ Keenan and a Dun today I’m absolutely terrified for DeAndre Swift I want nothing to do with Swift in this matchup lines allowing the fourth fewest points per game to running backs this season dandre Swift had nine and a half points last week only 30 rushing yards for DeAndre Swift last week this is a very difficult game on the ground for the Bears I I mean I think I take the under at 13 and a half rushing attempts he had 13 last week he’s been right around 13 to to 16 in most games Rush share was fine only an eight and a half percent Target share though Roshan is also a threat to steal the goal line touches and Roshan stealing some of the receiving work the the role looked a little bit better for Swift Last Week than it did the week before but I’m benching Swift if I can he’s running back 27 in the Walter picks out this week we are Live on YouTube guys we are live on Tik Tok smash the follow button if you’re watching live on Tik Tok I cannot see your comments unless you follow on Tik Tok you’re watching live on YouTube guys smash the like button hit the Subscribe button helps me out a ton I do appreciate it thankful for all of you on this wonderful Thursday morning we got a great slate of games ahead of us um all right why SL so low on DK yes DK meaf picked up an injury not 100% that DK meaf plays this week Ian we were waiting for more information but he did not practice yesterday with a new shoulder injury for DK mea all right let’s get to the other side of this this Bears game before I get sidetracked to the start sits all right so the the on the line side of the ball so we’re starting the the Bears receivers I think kale Williams is an interesting upside play too but I think the the only good starts really for the Bears are the wide receivers in this matchup on the line side of the ball obviously you’re starting uh jir Gibbs David Montgomery this is a Revenge game for for Monty he picked up an injury last week and we saw what can happen last week I think really the first time all season Monty picked up an injury it looked like he was good enough to go back in they didn’t put him back in uh we we end up seeing a season High 66.7% snack percentage for Gibbs and he absolutely smashes 25 fantasy points scored twice on the ground uh he had 90 rushing yards three catches if either of these guys miss time the other one is a top three running back in fantasy football and maybe the number one running back in fantasy football Monty’s going to be playing today but yeah both these guys are top 16 options Gibbs is a decent bit ahead of Monty let me hop over to the running back ranks here on I got uh some additional insights for you on this on this special Thursday live stream I got the rankings for the week up ahead of time here so I’ll pull the running back ranks here as we look through this but David Montgomery is a good start he’s not a must start in all situations but he’s about good of a chance of a touchdown of any running back this week so you can feel pretty good about him Aman Ros Brown still a must start wide receiver he’s been banged up dealing with a knee injury and last week was his first week without a touchdown since week week two it was eight straight games I think he had yeah eight straight games and he was getting up there to the NFL record but didn’t score last week I still played 94% of snaps though the Bears have been the number one defense first wide receivers this season there is not a defense allowing fewer fantasy points wide receivers than the Chicago Bears so you can be a little bit nervous about him mon ra but he’s obviously needs to be started in basically all fantasy league still it’s not like we’ve seen no receivers have success I mean just last week Jordan Addison had 30 points he was the wide receiver W last week eight catches at 162 but Justin Jefferson he had his worst game of the season last week 4.7 points completely taken out of the game I mean one of these catches came on the last drive he he had I think under two fantasy points heading into the last Drive of the game last week for that Vikings Bears matchup uh so I I’m definitely a little bit nervous about am man ra but you kind of have to start him in fantasy I don’t really want to start go in this game I think this will be a very run-heavy attack by the Lions both these offenses match up pretty well versus these defenses right the Lions they’ve really struggled to stop wide receivers this season they’ve been great against every other position and the Bears well they’ve been really good against every position other than the running backs and that’s not good when you’re playing the the Detroit Lions who have arguably the best rushing attack or second best rushing attack after the Eagles in the NFL this is a top two offensive line and two of the better running backs in the league so I think the Lions end up winning but this game’s Closer Than People expect it’s a 10-point spread I think the Bears keep it closer than that I like DJ Keenan and a dunesday today I think ad Dunes is the most underrated of the group and we’re starting Gibbs we’re starting Monty and I’m not I’m not starting Jameson Williams he does really kind of fit that Jordan addson role a bit Sam lorta is interesting I actually think Sam lorta is getting a bit underrated in this game too let me hop over the tight end ranks here as we talk through this game one again we’re going to talk through all three games and then we’re going to grind through the start sits we’re going to get to a ton of start comments on this live stream today Happy Thanksgiving to everybody out there a shout out to everyone who’s tuned in on this holiday hit the like button and the Subscribe button if you’re watching live on YouTube helps me out way more than you could possibly realize if you’re watching live on Tik Tok guys smash the follow button all right let’s get to the tight end ranks here because Sam leor does not rank well this week he does not project well this week week Sam leaport is having a downright Bad season he’s averaging 8.4 fantasy points per game he’s been over 12 and a half fantasy points just twice this season he’s been under five fantasy points in three of his last five games I mean there’s a low floor for Sam lorta but I do think he’s an intriguing sleeper in this game today you know I was in on the Tucker craft a couple weeks ago he put up a donut versus the Bears for those of you that tune into all the lives that was that was one of the biggest misses I think for me of the season but then last week T.J hackinson goes 714 and we were in on that talked about that on the Sunday live we’re very in on Hawkinson last week with Josh Oliver out and I’m pretty in on lorta in this game given this matchup and Sam lorta also seems to be about as healthy as he’s been all season 93% snap percentage last week that was the second highest of the season for Sam leapa 82% route participation that was the highest of the season last week for Sam lorta we just saw this Bears defense take Justin Jefferson out of the game and if they’re able to do something similar in this game to am man raah and or to Jameson Williams you gotta think Sam lorta steps up and we really haven’t seen a big Sam laor game yet this year I think we could see it today I do think it’s it’s in the cards today I think Sam laor is an interesting an interesting sleeper today he doesn’t project well because the floor has been bad all season again he’s been under five points in three of his last five games he missed week 11 so we’re not counting that one against him but it seems like he might be the healthiest he’s been all season the role was the biggest it’s been all year last year he had an 18% Target share last game too he’s been now at at least 15% Target share and each of his last four games so the role seems to be improving over the last month for Sam lorta over what it’s been in the first seven weeks first six weeks of the season so I’m intrigued by Sam laort today even though he projects really poorly all right that’s the Bears Lions game again I think the Bears keep this game close I would not be personally shocked if the Bears pulled out a massive upset in Detroit today because I think the wide receiver matchups here for the Bears are very strong Cale Williams coming off arguably his best game as a pro and it seems like the firing of the offensive coordinator for the Bears in the new play car caller is it going to be a good thing all right so on to the second game the bang over the football game today we got the Giants traveling to the Dallas Cowboys Drew lock the third starting QB now for the Giants Drew loock better than Tommy DeVito I think he’s better so I don’t think this is bad for the Giants if anything this is good for the Giants it’s bad for Giants fans who maybe want them to lose for a better draft pick but it’s better for everybody else it’s better for all the fantasy players you know Malik neighbors massive ceiling massive massive ceiling in this game I think you need to be starting Malik neighbors this week versus the Cowboys the Cowboys defense has been one of the worst defenses in the NFL this season they’ve been crushed by running backs and I’m a little bit nervous about Tyrone Tracy I know we’re going to get some Tyrone Tracy comments today we got props of the day James I got you with some props coming up here after we get through all three games I got a DraftKings lineup for you today too a Thanksgiving specific DraftKings lineup we got three free player props all for today and then we’re going to grind through starts sits once we get there too pull up the wide receiver ranks here uh but yeah you got to be starting Malik neighbors who’s been pretty disappointing uh really since the the start of the Season he ripped off three straight games over 23 fantasy points week two three four we’ve not seen him over 15 fantasy points since and I think today’s about as good of a matchup that we could see since that stretch yeah this is the best matchup that Malik neighbors has had since that stretch and actually his last game leak neighbors last game over 20 points over 15 points was against this Dallas Cowboys defense back in week four he had 12 catches for 115 yards in that game that was a 39.5% Target share he’s been over a 30% Target share basically every game of the season he is by far leading the NFL in Target share and I don’t think that changes with Drew lock and I do think Drew lock gives him a higher upside than Tommy DeVito so yeah top 15 wide receiver Malik neighbors he pretty much has to be started in all spots you know I start guys like George Pickins Drake London I probably would go am mon ra over him T hiin cidd lamb Mike Evans I’d still probably play over him uh we’re gonna get to cidd Lamb on the other side of this game in a second but yeah Malik neighbors is a borderline must start Tracy I think I lean towards benching him he fumbled again last week scored nine points in a great match up first the Bucks this is a great match up for him first the Cowboys but he’s had back-to-back great matchups guys he played the Panthers in week 10 he played good in that game he fumbled that game away for the Giants and end up scoring 15 point four fantasy points not bad obviously 103 rushing yards in a touchdown but he only had one catch and then last week vers the Bucks only 42 rushing yards in a great spot the offense was struggling to sustain drives and then he had four catches for 28 yards those all came in garbage time he actually only ran eight routes I mean the role was really not great for Tracy last week guys he played 41% of snaps he only ran eight routes 22% route participation his snap his his Rush a was at 45% I’m the lowest we’ve seen in a month the snapshare was about as low as we’ve seen since he took over as the starter and he fumbled again and so there’s not much reason to think this changes that much heading this week he definitely is the best running back on the Giants the most Ed most efficient running back on the Giants but he is splitting work with single ter still Eric Ray still will get some snaps and I think the Giants will be trailing in this game and his receiving role has not been great again only eight routes last week I mean the route participation in weeks prior had been much better than that so I’m nervous about Tracy I think he’s a very risky play today the matchup is good so there’s some upside there but I think the floor is really low for Tracy as well you know Keenan Allen versus Tracy I think I that that question was getting asked in the Discord yesterday I would go Keenan Allen pretty easily there I would go all three of the Bears receivers over Tracy today pretty easily I think the ceiling for all three of those guys is significantly better than Tracy ceiling please please don’t start W Del Robinson uh today please don’t start at Devon single ter Darius Slayton today I think Theo Johnson similar to to Sam lorta interesting sleeper I definitely would would take leor over him but we’ve had now what is this four straight games with at least three cat mates four straight games with at least six and a half fantasy points I I don’t hate Theo Johnson’s props today he’s not he’s not one of the free player props on this live stream but he’s been over his his his prop line which I think is at 24 and a half yards in five straight games and it’s not like the Cowboys have been very good versus tight end guess their fourth best in receptions allowed but the last few games we’ve seen God Schultz and SS all go over eight fantasy points so interesting sleeper Dio Johnson on the on the cowboy side also just let’s pull up Drew lock here for a second I I have more confidence in Drew lock than Tommy DeVito I was very down on the Giants offense last week when he talked through it and you know I think most people were with me on that I’m not overly bullish on Drew lock I mean these are the two starts we saw from Lock last season 17.3 fantasy points 12.1 if you’re watching live on Tik Tok guys by the way come to the YouTube live link is right in the Tik Tock bio I can share my screen on the YouTube live so it’s just a little bit better better of a view viewing experience if you’re watching live on YouTube guys smash the like button hit the Subscribe button on the YouTube live we got you locks game logs up right now and we’re looking at his two starts from last season he completed over 66% of his passes in both those you know one of these games came against this horrible Eagle secondary one of them was against a good 49er secondary I think it gives them a little bit more hope than Tommy Deo and it wouldn’t be shocking to see an even better passing ceiling than Daniel Jones you know they weren’t starting Tommy DeVito over Drew lock because they thought Tommy DeVito was better they were starting him for the fans and there was some contract incentives they didn’t want Drew loock hitting but at this point it’s out of their hands Tommy DeVito is out in this game I actually don’t know if he’s been confirmed out but I think it’s close enough to confirm that we can confidently talk about Drew loock being in I can refresh the news here in a second all right let’s get to the other side of this the Dallas Cowboys so I think the Cowboys win this game I think they cover the spread in this game I think R Rico D is a fantastic play a fantastic play today I’ll go back to the running back ranks here and again we’re going to get to the start sits here coming up probably like 10 15 minutes away from grinding through some start sits we only got one more game like two more games I guess quickly to talk through but yeah I like I like the Cowboys uh to win this game CD Lamb’s a must start this week his target shair has been great with goober rush I mean the he he’s like a little bit in this in dare I say the W Robinson role where the air yards really haven’t been incredible for CI lamb look at this 41 air yards last week on a 37% Target share he had 12 targets but 41 air yards I mean he’s getting so many easy looks right around the line of scrimmage you know not a huge ceiling there for lamb in that role but a very very good floor I mean he’s been over 16 points now in what is this five six of his last seven games you know I know some of those he weren’t with Cooper rush but he’s back-to-back games over 16 fantasy points back-to-back games with at least eight catches in 67 receiving yards he hasn’t scored the yet with Rush he’s got a good chance to do that today C L’s an absolute must start and then Rico dle is also a must start this week he is we just saw the Giants allow four rushing touchdowns they’re one to each of the running backs last week Rashad white scored Bucky Irving scored sha Tucker scored and Baker Mayfield ran one in in total to the just the running backs the Giants lowed over 200 yards combined total yards rushing and receiving and three touchdowns to Rashad white buck here bring Sean Tucker and Rico D is going to be in for a big workload today Rico D’s coming off one of his best usage games the season 60% snap share for Rico D last week that was the second highest of his season it was the highest Rush share of the season for Rico D 68% Rush share he had 19 carries that was the second most of the Season had another three targets as well he’s got at least three targets in four straight games I mean he is the clear lead back right now and this is one of the best matchups of his season he’s really got a great schedule rest of season gets the Giants this week then the Bengals Panthers bucks I mean really really good schedule throughout the rest of the season for Rico D so yeah Rico D mustard he had 10.8 points last week versus the commanders I think that’s about his floor in this game he did not score we have not seen Rico D score a rushing touchdown yet this season he does have three receiving touchdowns no rushing touchdowns yet he probably scores a rushing touchdown in this game start thoughts on starting Herz over burrow yeah we’ll get to the start SS here in a second but I would go Herz over burrow um all right seeing some questions for some different positions we’ll get to those in a second too but yeah I think the Cowboys handedly beat the Giants in this game I I really don’t want to start anyone other than lamb and D though every other player on this team is a must bch unless you have the Cowboys defense the Cowboys defense is a very strong defensive option for Fantasy this week all right on to the night game here we got the Miami Dolphins so let let let’s hop to weatherman Sam here for a second because there is some weather to be aware of I’m sure it’s going to get talked about a lot and the weather’s it’s cold that’s the weather report it’s cold the Dolphins Packers game the feel like temperature to start the game is going to be around 15 degrees so below freezing temperatures here in Green Bay these first two games of the day these are in doome in Dome games so you know perfect way the last game of the day outside in Green Bay 15 degree weather it’s going to feel as low as eight degrees by the fourth quarter of this game it’s going to get colder throughout the game personally I’m not concerned at all I’m really not concerned at all about this weather and I think this Dolphins weather stuff is gets a little bit overblown it’s important to understand the extremes when it comes to weather and this is not an extreme weather game it’s not 15 degree weather you put some Under Armour on you wear a sweatshirt underneath if you really need to and you can play through this cold weather very easily I do not think this is going to impact the efficiency or the volume of any player in this game you know it the narrative here is obviously the Dolphins and Tua has struggled in the cold and I’m sure there’s some data showing how bad Tu has been in some of the cold games but some of those games were extreme cold we got to separate out the extreme cold from the cold just cold weather is not that concerning and there is not a a large sample size of data suggesting that cold weather negatively impacts NFL offenses the game that the the the Dolphins lost in the playoffs last year that was extreme cold guys that was I was very concerned before that game that game if you guys recall I think it was like negative 25 negative 30 degree type of weather that’s not what we’re dealing with tonight I I me this is very manageable cold weather it’s cold sure it is cold it’s not extremely cold in the grand scheme of of the spectrum of cold so that’s the weatherman Sam take in this game by the way you know weatherman Sam had a big week uh what was it last week the Thursday night game the snow game between the Steelers and the Browns I wasn’t concerned about that game I we we were on the weather report we knew there was going to be snow there wasn’t substantial enough wind to be very concerned and what we see they over smashed the offenses were passing still pretty effectively and the snow was even a little worse than we anticipated and it didn’t matter these guys can play in the snow and the other thing that often gets lost in a lot of this weather analysis guys the defense plays in the same weather as the offense it’s not just the offense playing in this weather and a lot of times the snow actually benefits the offense because of that I always think back to the leech on McCoy snow games when it’s snow all right so that that’s the weather man Sam take I don’t care about the weather that’s that’s the take for me and they’re going to talk about it way too much 15 degrees it’s going to be cold just be aware it’s going to be cold if if you’re into the two of sucks and the cold narrative then then no so be it but just beware it’s cold I’m not too worried about so you’re starting hm you’re definitely starting aan I think two is a great option two this week and this is going to be an interesting spot for the Dolphins offense because two is coming off back-to-back massive games he’s been over 23 fantasy points in back-to-back games he’s thrown for almost 600 yards and seven touchdowns in his last two games twoa by the way by far leading the NFL in completion percentage it’s really not close 73.3% completion percentage for Tua this season he’s been over 71% completion percentage every single game since he returned from the concussion I mean truly incredible completion percentage here for Tua and this is his hardest spot in really the last month against the Green Bay Packers he doesn’t get to play the Patriots and the Raiders every single week so it wouldn’t be shocking to see him take a small step back but this this Dolphins offense has been cooking over the last two weeks and I do think they keep this game comp comp I do think the Dolphins have a very real chance to win this game in Lambo in the cold and kind of Silence the cold narratives around the Miami Dolphins we haven’t seen a quarterback over 20 points versus the uh the Packers though since week eight that was Trevor Lawrence but they played Brandon Allen last week Caleb Williams the week before that then Jared gof in a game where the lions were running the ball a ton CJ Stout only had five points Kyler only had 12 points Stafford didn’t do anything back in week five but Donald had a decent game there hasn’t been very many big quarterback games verus the Packers maybe we see one today from Tua who’s been about as hot as nqb over the last few weeks I think Tyreek Hill is a borderline must start in this game Dolphins underdogs Tyreek has not had a ceiling this season but the floor has been solid for Tyreek Hill I would easily play Tyreek over Wadd we’re talk about Wadd I know we’re going to get a ton of Wadd start sits Wadd is the definition of a start sit nightmare moving forward I mean he’s been horrible All Season he’s had one good game really this whole season maybe two if you count week one Tyreek has really only had one big game but he’s been consistently involved every week he’s had a floor of about 10 fantasy points which is not bad and I do still think the ceiling is there the target share has been pretty consistent for Tyreek only 15% last week but I I feel okay about Tyreek seiling in this game he could have a 100 plus yard game uh in in the cold in Green Bay so Jaylen wle he’s coming off his best game of the season yeah week one and and then week 12 last week those are the only two games where he’s been over nine fantasy points he’s been under nine fantasy points guys in all but two games this season he is not a safe play you know there’s a ceiling here we saw the ceiling last week he actually should have had even more points last week he almost had another touchdown in this game but again he doesn’t get the Patriots this week he gets the Packers Packers have allow the ninth points per game to receivers this season they’re allowing only 138 receiver yards per game and there’s the target share too for w wasn’t even that good it wasn’t even like the rooll was like amazing 22% Target share for WD you know nothing crazy it was nine targets they threw a bunch the a yards were good for w maybe we see WD get get it going obviously we’ve seen a long history of w being very effective and good we just haven’t seen it this season for the most part so a pretty R start sit here with Wadd I would say there’s a ceiling but a very low floor and with Tyreek there’s a pretty solid floor and an even higher ceiling so I’m still going with Tyreek overw pretty easily let me hop over to the wide receiver ranks here on both live streams Happy Thanksgiving by the way everyone shout out to everybody in this live stream right now it is the best holiday of the year we got three football games on today starting out with the Bears Lions then we got a banger between the Giants and the Cowboys and then we’re talking about the night game right now between the Dolphins and the Packers and again I think the Dolphins keep this one close I think with how their offense is playing this will be a close game the Dolphins defense has also been a bit underrated this season all right John R Smith we got to talk about him as well uh he is I think he’s the number one tight end in fantasy football over the last month John R Smith has been the number one tight end in fantasy over the last month I mean he’s having an incredible season he’s at number six now in fantasy points per game over the whole course of the Season he’s got back-to- back games over 23 points backto back games where John Smith is ranked as a top two fantasy football tight end I mean I did not see this come and I have not been on this you know this is definitely an L for me with John Smith I have maybe out there on a few basball teams I hope I definitely do I mean it’s it’s pretty crazy when you think about last season how frustrating it was that John Smith was stealing Red Zone targets away and stealing so much much work away from Kyle pittz he’s having a better season than Kyle pittz this year guys JN Smith is wild stuff it’s hard it’s hard to say for sure that this is going to continue on a team where he has to take targets away from Jaylen Wadd Tyreek Hill and Devon hen but he’s been out targeting Wadd and T reek very consistently and this is not a bad spot for him either I mean he’s a pretty good start this week he ranks as a top seven tight end uh for us this week up up the tight end ranks here the only tight ends I’m starting over John Smith this week David and joku Tamm Hill Travis Kelce George K Bowers and McBride that’s it end of list I I mean the tight end tiers I think are pretty clear this week there’s like a very long tier two at tight end this week but tier one’s clear it’s McBride Bowers KD Kel and KD especially if Bowers play if if Pie plays that’s still up in the air but even last week without pery KD was the only effective guy in that offense and then tier two JN Smith squarely in that Tamm and joku jonu Kate Aon Mark Andrews EV Ingram Zack Herz Hunter Henry and hackinson i’ put those all all those guys in tier two but J Smith is near the top of that list so yeah he’s a pretty good start in this spot the the Packers have allowed the seventh most receptions per game the 12th most receiving yards per game about a half a touchdown per game to tight ends just last uh was this yeah last week KD went for 682 in a touchdown catching passes from Brandon Allen so John Smith I would probably start over over over lorta he’s I think the number one tight end on the Slate today I’d play Kelsey over him though tomorrow on the Packer side of the ball so we’re not gonna have Romeo dos in this game that’s pretty massive for the wide receivers I think it puts jayen Reed you know near must start territory but the match up’s not great here the Dolphins have been good versus wide receivers they rank eighth best versus wide receivers this season we haven’t seen very many spots this year without Romeo dobs but when one of these Packers receivers Miss is time it really does consolidate this offense make this these wide receivers a lot more appealing because this is one of the offenses that spreads the ball around the most in the NFL really these are two offenses that spread the ball around a lot in this game but no Romeo dobs that definitely makes Jaden Reed a lot more appealing the Pats receivers did nothing last week the Raiders rece receivers did nothing the week before that versus the Dolphins they played the Rams uh the week prior to that and Cooper COV and PUK nkua both did well the Raiders pass receivers are two of the worst receiver rooms in a league so yeah I I think the Packers at least one of these receivers ends up outperforming pretty dramatically Jaden Reed and Christian Watson are the two that I’m most excited about though down hav Wicks we really have not seen him do much the role should be better for him with dobs out but I still think he he will split some that role with the other receivers on this team we’ve not seen davan Wicks go over three and a half fantasy points since week seven he’s only gone over three over four fantasy points three times this whole season so he’s he’s an interesting sleeper in Darth throw but definitely not a guy I want to force him starting line and Tucker craft is not startable I don’t think uh in this game he did better last week he had 10.6 points last week he scored but he only had two catches 9% Target share we’ve now seen tcraft under a 12% Target share in three of his last four games most of those games I think all those games without Luke Musgrave I mean he’s out there almost every single play he’s running routs on almost every single dropback but his role has not been good so yeah Jaden Reed I think is good start Josh Jacobs too you know must start must start with Josh Jacobs in this game he’s back-to-back games over 23 fantasy points back toback weeks for Josh Jacobs being a top five running back he’s got four touchdowns and 180 rushing yards in his last two games hop over the running back ranks again here yeah starting Josh Jacobs Josh Jacobs right at the top of tier two for me I think you could argue Josh Jacobs into tier one as well yeah I’m playing tesm over and joku and a this week I I am I got T at number five he’s the top tier too for me yeah Josh jaob is a must start and this is a good spot too for Josh jaob matchup wise the Dolphins have not been very good with running backs this season again they they were okay the last couple of weeks but they played the Raiders in the Pats this is a really really prove it spot here for the Dolphins after two huge games against two horrible teams now they get a true playoff matchup vers the Packers in the cold we’ve seen a lot of receptions from running backs versus the Dolphins that should vote well for Josh Jacobs Josh Jacobs not only scored three rushing touchdowns last week but the week before that he had four catches for 58 yards he only ran five routes last week but there’s a really really run heavy game script here for the Packers they will run a lot when they are leading so Josh Jacobs B start Jaden Reed a good start I think the Dolphins keep this game close though I think these teams are pretty pretty comparable and I’m not buying into the the cold narrative here for the Dolphins I think this weather will will get overblow in this game all right on to the last game before we get to some of the starts free player prop and the DraftKings lineup for Today Happy Thanksgiving to all this is my favorite holiday of the year for sure we got football we got family we got food I I mean it really how does it get better than that it really does you can’t you can’t convince me otherwise all right so we got the the Chiefs playing the Raiders second time this season these two teams are playing we got the second time of the year and really the last time of the year because the Raiders are not a playoff team we got the Kermit the Frog narrative here for Pat Mahomes you know rewind to right during draft season before the season started in the NFL preseason got the Kermit the Frog uh remark from a member of the Raiders defense about Pat mahomes’s voice and you know very justifiable remark you know he does kind of sound like Kerman the Frog you know it was a pretty good a pretty good dig there on Pat Mahomes but last time we saw this uh Kermit the Frog narrative come out this was week eight it was at the time the best game of the season from Pat Mahomes 19.2 fantasy points 262 and two I think this is the floor for Mahomes in this game you know right around 19 fantasy points Mahomes is starting to heat up a little bit fantasy wise in the first seven weeks of the Season guys we did not see Mahomes go over 17 and a half fantasy points a single time then we got the Kermit the Frog narrative versus the Raiders he scored 19.2 we have now not seen him go under 16 and a half fantasy points since then that’s five straight games his floor is 16 and a half points right now his ceiling is much higher than that last week was his best fantasy game of the season 28.8 points he scored uh he he had 269 passing yards three TDS and he also ran for 60 yards on five carats see I like Mahomes a lot this week I think he’s borderline must start in a week without buys you know there are other other quarterback options that would play over Mahomes like Herbert and burrow and Jane Daniels I’d play Baker over all those guys Josh Allen Lamar and Herz I’d play over him but yeah Mahomes a great option here in week 13 Kel’s a must start Kelsey had a huge game last time versus the Raiders as well scored 25 fantasy points had 10 catches for 90 yards in a touch touchdown he’s been a little disappointing last couple weeks he had six for 62 last week and a good match up versus the Panthers but this is a fantastic spot for Kelsey definitely an argument that he should be tight end one this week um I will go to the wide receiver ranks next yeah so for for the receivers for the Chiefs I don’t know how you trust any of these guys right now they’re playing a a hodg podge of wide receivers DeAndre Hopkins is splitting more time now with Juju Smith Schuster now that he’s back Xavier Worthy is has had some flashes recently he scored nine points last week he scored SE almost 17 versus the bills the week before that last time when he played the Raiders he scored he had four for 37 in a touchdown scored 14 points one of his better games of the Season he does have a ceiling but the floor is low for all these wide receivers and Pacho is likely to play in this game so I want really nothing to do with Kareem hunt who’s been pretty disappointing and in his own right the last few weeks Kareem hunt back-to-back games under 12 points in fantastic matchups I mean he’s a little bit like a a poor man’s niji Harris and not in a good way right now for the Chiefs and for Fantasy Football he’s reliable for the Chiefs he’s playing a ton the rush a has been great but with Pacho back he hasn’t scored in back-to-back games and the match up’s not bad here for hun but I really think he’s a bench this week Devon V yeah he’s definitely been on a heater as well all right so Hopkins he’s startable but definitely not a must start a pretty risky start I would say he scored last week to save his fantasy day but I mean the snap percentage he’s playing under 50% of snaps in Back toback Games he’s under 20% Target share in three straight games I mean he the role here is not safe for any of these receivers really the only two guys you should feel confident here are the are Mahomes and kelse I think the Chiefs will likely throttle the Raiders in this game you know behind the Kermit the Frog narrative on the Raiders side of the ball Brock Bowers is a must start the Chiefs have struggle versus tight ends this season really the only the position they’ve really struggled against Bowers is coming off one of his most disappointing games of the season but Brock Bowers still on Pace Brock Bowers is still on Pace guys to break puka aa’s reception record from last season truly incredible from a tight end he leads all tight ends in receptions he’s third in receiving yards per game he’s second in fantasy points per game in a game where they’re going to be trailing he had 10 point8 versus the Chiefs last time five for 58 that’s his floor right around his floor in this game I we just saw floor outcome last week 7.8 I mean he is the tight end two in the Walter picka this week only behind Trey MCB start Marv or Brian Thomas yeah I think it’s Brian Thomas over Marv I do like both those guys a lot we will talk through that a lot on the Sunday live I like both of those receivers a lot this week I think they’re both really solid Stars I would play Tracy over Pacho don’t start Peko I didn’t I didn’t mention that when we just talked about the Chiefs I don’t want to start hunt I definitely don’t want to start pcho I mean similar to not exactly like but similar to the Jonathan Brook situation last week I mean you could not start Jonathan Brooks last week that ended up being a very good call you can’t start Jonathan Brooks till you see the rooll grow you can’t start Peko until you see his role back I there’s absolutely no guarantee and I would not expect Peko to just step back into the Workhorse role he was in before the injury hunt has played good enough and the Chiefs are big enough favorites there’s just no reason to to like put this massive workload onto pcho immediately coming off the injury jacobe Myers is a pretty Good Start in this game despite kind of this the tough matchup last time versus the Chiefs he had 17 points caught six for 52 in a touchdown he’s been over eight 8.8 points now in four straight he’s been over 17 points in three of his last four games the role is very strong right now for jacobe MERS he’s playing basically every single snap he’ a 32.6% Target share last week he’s been over 25% of the team’s targets now and three of his last four I me he’s the clear top receiver on the team alongside Brock Bowers basically both these guys together they’re G going to combine for over half the targets any given week so both both them are interesting starts I like Bowers more than Myers you know Bowers a must start Myers is a good start I would say not a must start all right so that’s the Raiders Chiefs game went through all four games again if we’re talking about against the spread I would go with I’ll pull this up here the the bears plus 10 the Cowboys minus three and half the Dolphins plus three and a half and I I probably take the Chiefs I think they’re minus was it 13 they’re minus 13 I mean with 13 points I honestly think I’d probably go with the Raiders there after the Panthers kept it close last week but the Chiefs are going to win the lions are almost definitely going to win but I think that bear the Bears game the Bears will keep it closer than people expect the Cowboys and uh the Packers are the favorites in the other two games I think the Dolphins cover the spread there have a good chance to win uh pretty toss-up game for me there I think the the weather is getting overrated though in basically all the dolphins stuff so I’m happy to take the Dolphins there and then the Cowboys I like as well let’s talk through the three free player props I got for you today then we’ll get to the DraftKings L up then we will grind through the start zits for the rest of Al Happy Thanksgiving to everybody out there truly guys truly thankful for all of you out there I’m going to do my best to get to all the start Z questions that I can uh we’re about to go through Jerry or waddle oh man that’s actually close we got a Jerry Judy Revenge game versus the Browns on Monday Night Football uh sorry not versus the Browns versus the Broncos on Monday Night Football Browns versus the Broncos in that game that’s close I I probably would go I think yeah I’d go Judy I’d go Judy over Wadd I’m gonna be telling a lot of people I think the bench bottle uh after his big game last week good morning kylo Happy Thanksgiving to you and your family as well thankful for what you do thank you Kyle appreciate you man would you go Swift or hubard yeah I’d go I’d go hubard over Swift I would and then J and Dallas D good starts I think Dallas D is a great start Jameson Williams I’m a little bit less certain of I think there’s a ceiling there James Williams kind of fit fits that Jordan Addison role that we saw last week Jord was the wide receiv receiver won last week 31 points and the the Bears really shut down Justin Jefferson he had his worst game of the season he only had two fantasy points going into the last Drive end up under five fantasy points Justin Jefferson that’s a little scary for man ra really a little scary for James Williams too like it’s not a great matchup for the Lions receivers it’s a great match up for the running backs so I would say James Williams a pretty risky High sealing option Dallas D is a great option though vers uh Drew loan a crumbling Giants team all right let’s get to the three free player props of the day so starting out I got Sam lorta over 37 and a half receiving yards I think Sam lorta is a risky fantasy option but I do really like this prop line let’s talk through it I I missed on crafts receiving yards line versus the Bears a couple weeks ago uh but he didn’t get I think he had what two Targets in that game one Target in that game yeah he had one Target Tucker craft I mean sort is getting more than a Target in this game and as I looked into the data here for Sam lorta there’s a lot of encouraging signs that Sam lorta might be able to turn it around here down the stretch of the season and one of them is just the usage so he’s playing the most snaps he’s played really all season 93% of the snaps last week that was the second most of the year and then he had the second most routes he ran of the year his route participation last week was the best of the Season 82% route participation the target has also been actually pretty encouraging for Sam lorta over the last month his average this season is 14.2% but he’s been at at least 15% in each of his last four full games he didn’t play in week 11 with an injury but he’s been at at least 15% he’s he’s average is close to like 20 to 25% over the last four games he had at least six Targets in three of those games and then you look at the match up here versus the Bears and it’s hard not to get a little excited they’ve allowed 73 receiving yards per game to tight end this season that’s sixth worst in the NFL and just last week T.J hackinson got seven of his was it nine targets he had seven of his nine targets for 114 yards and they’re setting the Sam lores line at 37 and a half in a game where they’re playing the Bears I think this game too will be closer than people expect and that’s part of the reason I like this as well I got two props from this game I also like De Bron madun 43 and a half receiving yards Line This is a beat it in one catch type of line for romad dun I have a lot of confidence in all three of the Bears receivers today you know it’s possible two of them smash and one of them disappoints a bit but romad dun is playing every single St and he has a fantastic match up here first the line so I like to say on the port to line let me pull the adun uh data here for a second as we talk through the dun one and then we’ll talk about dat as well and know I already touched on him a little bit but just last week we saw 10 targets for Roma dun he only caught five of them for 39 but the air yards have been very consistent for dun he’s over hundred air yards in four of his last five games and week 10 when he didn’t get the the air yards I mean he fell well short of this line three catches 23 versus the path they were very runhe heavy though in that game he’s over 20% Target share uh in three straight he’s had at least 19% Target share in five straight games I mean the role and the volume are there for ad dun I still believe he’s one of the more underrated receivers in the league uh disappointed efficiency wise a little bit last week only caught 50% of his targets his catch rate has not been great this season I do think that will improve as time goes on though and this is a very very good match up for him versus the Lions and the Bears are going to throw a ton in this game I mean a 20% Target share for ad dun in this game could mean 10 targets it could mean 10 Targets in this game not all target shares of course are created equal we saw Michael Pitman do okay last week catching passes from Anthony Richardson 6 for 96 from Michael Pitman uh really not the best receivers that the Lions have had to play over the past month or so so but yeah I do like romad dun over yards in this game as well and then the the probably my favorite prop of the day is Rico D the score the Giants allowed four rushing touchdowns last week to the Tampa Buccaneers Rico D has not scored a rushing touchdown this season we don’t need this to be a rushing touchdown anytime TD here for Rico D it’s at plus 100 so dead even odds I think Rico D has a great chance to get in the end zone today and I expect it I expect him to score today in this match up versus the Giants the Cowboys are favorites at home in a dome Rico D coming off His Highest Rush aare of the season I mean 19 carries last week guys if he gets 19 carries versus the Giants he’s scoring I mean really I think he only needs like 10 and he’s got a very good chance to score some quick interesting stats here about these games before we get to the start sets that I pulled from sharp football analysis the Lions have scored a touchdown on a league high 35.5% of their possessions that is the leads the NFL average in the league is 22% they’ve also outscored their opponents by 105 points in the first half this season by far the largest margin in the league Bears have to keep this game close in the first half the Giants speaking of of of uh offenses for a second the Giants have only LED on 9% of their offensive snaps this season the Dallas Cowboys though they’ve been outscored by 118 points at home this season that’s by far the most in the league Cowboys playing at home in this one talking about the Dolphins offense the Dolphins are at 3.02 points per Drive since Tu returned in in week eight that’s the second best in the league they’ve had some good matchups but they’ve been a very very efficient offense this season all right let’s go to the DraftKings lineup quick probably not too surprising of a DraftKings lineup here for me after everything we’ve talked about so far shout out to everybody in the YouTube live right now by the way smash the like button hit the Subscribe button Happy Thanksgiving to every body in the live stream right now kyn Williams where is he he’s at in tier three number 19 running back this week I’m a little down on kyen it’s a good match up for him but he’s been I think Under 12 and a half points for four straight games now yeah draing lineup so I’m double stacking Caleb Williams with DJ Moore and romad dunes again I like the Bears passing attack today I’m running a fact in this first game uh kicking off at less than three hours now a couple hours away jir Gibbs and Sam lorta in this lineup for me too so I’m really heavy on the Bears line game here I’m going Tyreek from the Dolphins game Josh Jacobs on the other side of that game and they’re going with the Cowboys defense and Ric dle stacked together too I do really like this dle Cowboys defense stack today I was the other guys that I didn’t get into this lineup but I would strongly considered today Malik neighbors I think has really high ceiling for tournaments and I really think tyriek Hill in tournaments makes a lot of sense too these are DraftKings lineup uh lineups for tournaments specifically uh if you’re playing tournaments on DraftKings today uh do you think Chase brown or J hper definitely Chase Brown all right Brian we got to start it here for Brian at Tik Tok live pick two Rico Monte or London yes I saw this earlier too Rico versus Monty that one’s close let me pull the wide receiver or running back ranks here on the YouTube live as well let’s go Rico D versus Monty I think it’s I think it’s Rico yeah it’s Rico D it’s Rico D over Monty in a full PPR League especially oh Drake Drake London 2’s got to be considered though too if you have that as an option it might him no it’s it’s D then Monty then London tough match up here for London versus the Chargers yeah mon and Rico yeah I would go Monty and Rico too I think that’s the better floor play I think both Monty and D have such a good chance at touchdowns I think I I probably agree with Walter on this one perie or Tua I mean do we know for sure P’s even playing and we really don’t I don’t think we do right he hasn’t got a full practice yet Brandon Cooks by the way he’s likely to be back today first time we’ve seen him in quite some time let me pull up Brandon Cooks here don’t think that you know affects the game too too much we haven’t seen him since week four actually his last game was against the Giants he got hurt in the Giants game comes back 10 weeks later nine weeks later plays the Giants again Aaron Jones or Bucky yeah I really don’t want to bench Bucky this week we got Bucky Irving running back 17 are running back 14 it is Aaron Jones there I’m going to try to prioritize guys that Thursday Friday starts it because I’ll be live Sunday morning too so we’re g to try to prioritize the start sits for today let let’s start with quarterback decisions I’m gonna I’m G to do what I do on Sunday morning lives here if you guys have quarterback start sits send them in the chat send them in the chat if you’re watching live on TiK ToK by the way hit the follow button I will not see your comment unless you’re following why is Tracy so low because Tracy he played 40% of the snaps last week he f again and he’s on a terrible offense and he’s not in a very good receiving role either he ran eight total routes last week he had four catches but he ran eight routes all in garbage time he ran he was a season low really since week five for him snap percent percentage he’s splitting time with Deon single he’s a bad on a bad offense the matchup is good for Tracy don’t get me wrong there is a ceiling there but do not start Devonte Smith he’s touchd on the pendent and I should have realized that last week Devonte Smith didn’t play last and he might not play this week would you start eight start Addison or Swift in the flex yeah I don’t hate Monty to score let’s go with swift versus Addison yeah it’s it’s Swift over Addison pretty close but I think it makes sense Addison coming off a huge game I mean he’s had a couple big games now he three of his last four games over 15 points they scored in all three of those Cardinal defense has been pretty inconsistent this season but yeah I think it’s Swift over Addison comparable I’m better ceiling for Addison but I think a much better floor there for Swift who’s over under 13 and a half carries today I think the under probably goes for Swift I don’t love Swift but I don’t I think I think he’s a floor option if you want the ceiling you go Addis in there if you want the floor you go Swift I think I would lean Swift though I still don’t have a ton of confidence in Addison and then so the night game between the Packers and the Dolphins I I like Josh Jacobs to score uh in that game and I also don’t hate I don’t hate the Tyreek props in that game either the receptions and the receiving props for Tyreek those aren’t the official free player props of the day I like the props a little bit more in the other games but um all we got a good QB one here in let me go go to the QB ranks here too on the Tik Tok live and on the YouTube live that’s we talk through this this was a good QB question here from Josh and the YouTube live happy turkey day to you as well guys Happy Thanksgiving to all of you guys seriously super thankful for all of you whether you’re tuning in for literally the first time or or tuning in for the menth time on these live streams or you’ve been tuned in from the beginning uh from this morning we’re an hour in now we got about 30 minutes left in the live but I love the Walter pick app appreciate you man yeah if you guys haven’t checked out the Walter picks app yet man you got to check it out I mean it’s going to help you in fantasy down the stretch here it’s going to help you with props for the NFL uh for the NBA for the MLB when the MLB comes back we’re going to be adding more Sports uh to the the betting side of the app too in the near future I do appreciate you guys a ton checking out the app it’s a free app and it comes with a completely free 7-Day trial to all the premium features in the app too if you use code Sam when you sign up that does help me out of ton all right let’s get to this QB question Allen or Mahomes burrow or Daniels I mean yeah these are all great quarterback options I’m not benching Allen I don’t think I don’t think you can bench Allen I we saw a bit before the buy for the bills we’re we’re heading into the stage of the Season where Josh Allen is just in playoff mode and he starts running like crazy and we saw that in his last two games over 50 rushing yards and a rushing touchdown in his last two games I mean he’s really just up there in the Jaylen Herz Lamar Jackson tier regardless of match up you know it’s a little bit of a tough match up here the 49ers allowing the second fewest points for G quarterbacks this season but yeah I’m going Allen I’m going Allen over Mahomes I like Mahomes a lot too I mean Burrow’s right up it there in tier two burrow momes and who’s the other option here yeah and Daniels these all these guys are in tier two Allen’s in tier one though so yeah I think I would go Allen D or Jones yeah it’s D over Aon Jones just slightly AR-15 Goff Stafford or Russ I think it’s Anthony Richardson I think Anthony Richardson’s a pretty good stealing option this week versus the Pats a really good chance of some rushing production in this game the Pats have been absolutely obliterated by quarterbacks in their last two games I mean back-to-back weeks where the Patriots have allowed four passing touchdowns they’ve allowed over 27.5 fantasy points in back-to-back games I mean 60 fantasy points allowed basically from the Patriots to quarterbacks in the last two games I mean truly they are getting crushed Anthony Richardson you know not an amazing game from him last week but he did well versus the jet the week before that he scored two rushing touchdowns in that game I mean he could easily score two rushing touchdowns in this game versus the Pats yes I’d play him over Stafford over Russ over gof I don’t really want to start Goff this week I think there’s he’s startable in certain spots but the Bears defense has been pretty good against all positions related to passing and receiving they’re allowing the third fewest points per game to quarterbacks uh darnold then love did go back-to-back games over 20 points against them the last two weeks so 20 points wouldn’t be that crazy from gof in this game but what’s like the real ceiling for gof in this one I don’t don’t think we see a Jags like performance where he dropped 35 you know I think 20 points is like the ceiling whereas for Richardson the ceiling’s in in north of 30 points so yeah I think I would go uh with Anthony Richardson there got an interesting one here not a qb1 but we’ll get to it anyway because it’s definitely Thanksgiving related who do I start at Flex Debo Keenan Ridley adun or Amari yeah so this one’s between the Middle three receiver I don’t think you can confidently start Amari this week versus the 49ers we really haven’t seen the full Amari role is so I think he’s pretty risky here let me hop over to the wide receiver ranks uh Tua or Kyler yeah I would go Kyler over to I don’t hate Tua today but I would go Kyler over Tua if I had to make that call Kyler in in the Cardinal offense have been super inconsistent let’s hop over to the wide receiv receiver ranks that answered this one all right so we got Debo and Debo like so tough to trust unless P’s playing Keenan Allen and AD dun I like a lot today I think I would probably play Keenan here over Debo let’s get Debo out of here put a Dun in yeah it’s Keenan and then wow yeah Ridley and adun are close Ridley and adun are both good options yeah I think it’s Keenan Keenan’s the best Lex option here Ridley probably has the highest ceiling not Keenan projects for the high ceiling too Kenan is the best floor and ceiling option I again I do really like the Bears passing attack today I like Keenan a lot I like adun a lot too he’s the free player prop of the day over 43 and a half receiving yards one of the free player props of the day but yeah I think Keenan is a great fantasy option and keen’s coming off what was he wide receiver five last week yeah wide receiver five 23.6 points for Keenan last week Jan Jennings and Pie uh sorry Jan Jennings and Debo really really difficult to trust if pie doesn’t start we do have pry projected in right now he was limited Wednesday will decide when we get out there is the report we’re reading here for pie I think it’s likely that he plays and if he plays it’s definitely massive for this entire offense This Is It You Know The Season’s pretty much on the line here for the 49ers this week vers versus the bills if if the 49ers lose this week the they’re under 10% chance to make the NFL playoffs I mean they need to win and they’re playing the bills that’s part of the reason uh ranks as high as he does I me he doesn’t rank that high he’s wide receiv receiv for 31 there’s a lot of guys I play over Debo S D or Brian Thomas Jr yeah I like both those guys a lot they’re both in my mustar video this week I really like Brian Thomas Jr in this spot first the Texans it sounds like there’s a good chance we see Trevor Lawrence play which definitely will be good for Brian Thomas Jr but it’s still dle still have to play dle so I have Higgins cidi Evans and makoni which three do I start yeah so I think you have to bench Evans here I think you bench Evans we got Evans one spot ahead of lamb and they’re both ahead of T Higgins wow yeah interesting spot here for T Higgins this week too I mean he’s really a must start in most leagues you got really good options so I actually think T Higgins is maybe the bench year we haven’t seen a bad game from T Higgins really this whole season I mean the the worst game we saw was week three that was a while ago we’ve seen over 12 points at least 12 points in all the other games since I mean missed three games in that stretch the steals are his toughest opponent yet though Nicks or burrow against Pittsburgh yeah I still think it’s probably burrow over Nicks definitely close call though D or Hall man I mean here we are and Brie might not even play re Hall might not play this week he did not practice yesterday he’s hopeful the Jets are hopeful that Breece can play he’s dealing with a knee injury how much are they really pushing Breece through this knee injury even if he plays you know I think it’s D I think it’s D over Hall I think it’s Gibbs over Hall D I think we have D and Breeze back toback in the ranks you know in spots like this this season you know if it’s close you got to take the guy you know is playing today in a good matchup and not the guy who might not play or might not play his full role on Sunday in Breeze Hall so yeah I think I would go datle there Bree all right Bucky versus kyen versus Pickins versus Nate neighbors pick three thankful for everything you do Sam enjoy your Thanksgiving Cameron thankful for you as well man truly I am all right Bucky versus Kyon Williams yeah this is not easy start set this is honestly one of the toughest start sits of start set weeks of the season because there’s no by- weeks this week uh week 14 is the final bye-week week next week and then we got no by weeks really the rest rest of the way but yeah when there’s no buys you know some really tough starts hits sometimes the buys you know make it even easier but yeah kyen Williams over pickings and neighbors too you got to pick three here I think it’s between these two Bucky and kyn I’m starting pickings and neighbors assuming this is a PPR league and yeah it’s Bucky man it’s Bucky over kyn kyn has a better boom percentage but a lower floor I almost disagree I almost see it the other way in terms of the ceiling floor here I mean we’ve seen the floor from Kyan it’s 10 points and this is a good matchup for him he did score last week but the receiving roll pretty much evaporated in front of our eyes didn’t get a single Target he has no Targets in his last two games now he’s like L become this touchdown dependent running back on a team that throws a ton now in the Red Zone with cup and puka back Bucky coming off a massive game even a better matchup arguably for him this week versus the Panthers so yeah I think it’s Bucky over kyn but it’s close and it doesn’t feel right but yeah I’m playing Pickins and neighbors over uh over kyen Williams too kyen or Anan definitely hn there not even really that close let’s hop over to the running back ranks let me know in the comments of the YouTube live the Tik Tok live what rankings you guys want to see next obviously I’m not not going to be able to get to all of the start it comments but I’ll get you as many as I can how many confident which is why it’s good to know what positions you guys want to see in the ranks because that will help with a lot of the ones I can’t get to how confident are you in PCO I’m not confident at all in Peko in his first game back you know I compared it earlier in the live when we were talking through that game I compared it to Jonathan Brooks last week you know I don’t think it’s quite the same you know it’s definitely not exactly the same but it’s similar and the result is the same do not start PCO you know do not start Peko it’s a good game it’s a good matchup versus the Raiders I don’t want to start hunt or peo though I mean there’s such a wide range of outcomes in the role there and the whole reason Peko was so good for Fantasy was he was in a Workhorse role on one of the better offenses in the league I don’t think that’s so clear thankful for you Sam thank you for you for you as well Tad appreciate all all of the people in the live stream right now for the first time for the menth time I know Tad you’ve been in these lives uh many times throughout the season and past Seasons too man do appreciate uh What uh you do supporting the lives uh and the app seriously appreciate everyone who’s who supported the Walter picks brand in any way um super super thankful always on this day every year all right Hill Higgins hubt Marv Bucky or Rico start two here man yeah this is this is not an easy start sit you know a lot of guys I want to start here let’s let’s let’s work through this one Hill versus Higgins let’s start there I think it’s I think it’s t Higgins over Tyreek Hill yeah I would go t Higgins over Tyreek that one’s pretty close I think they’re pretty comparable options honestly this week I think they’re both if you’re watching live on Tik Tok I got T Higgins and Tyreek I think in the same tier actually T Higgins end of tier two I got Tyreek at the top of tier four so a couple tiers apart so yeah it’s t Higgins over Tyreek again we haven’t really seen a bad T Higgins game I know the match Up’s tough here for T but you’re only starting two you might not even start Higgins I I don’t think you can start Marv I do really like Marvin Harrison Jr this week he ranks his wide receiv 15 ahead of Tyreek Hill I would play Marv over Tyreek but I don’t think I’d play him over T and then Bucky vers hubard I’m like a little bit nervous for chuba hubard that Jonathan Brooks world does slowly increase yeah I’d go Bucky over him so let’s let’s compare these three yeah it’s t Higgins and Bucky Irving I you can’t bench Bucky against the Panthers coming off a huge game last week versus the Giants scored 27.2 points last week was the running back three had six catches for 64 yards he was also tackled at the one twice and did not get those touchdowns that one of those went to sha Tucker I think another one went to Baker or or to Rashad white he did end up scoring rushing touchdown later in the game but he could have had three touchdowns in this game you know it’s a little concerning that he’s he’s not the primary goal line back they’re going to mix Sean Tucker in and Rashad white in but even in this three-way Committee in this matchup really tough to bench Bucky so we’re going Bucky over trba hubber we’re playing Higgins over all of these guys you can’t bench the Higgins in PPR Legette or Wadd there’s an interesting one uh I wonder who projects better here between Legette and W let’s check this out I think yeah so the get projects a bit better I think I’d probably go waddle in this one though I think this is close enough the game that Waddle’s coming off I think you can start waddling that one I don’t really want to start waddle just in general though Tyrone Tracy or jonu Smith in the flex yeah so I usually hate starting two tight end man John Smith’s been so good this season we were talking about it when yeah they’re projected they’re both projected 11.6 Tracy and Smith jnu Smith is the number one tight end in fantasy over the last month let that sink in guys I mean crazy I don’t think he’ll be the number one tight end over the next month but he projects the top seven tight end option this week Tracy’s got a good match up here versus the Cowboys I think I’d play Tracy over Janu you at least get some locked in touches with Tracy I usually lean running backs in spots like this where the projections are really similar the boom and bus probabilities for Tracy are better the floor and ceiling is arguably better have a great Thanksgiving we need the Thanksgiving food rankings yeah I haven’t thought through full the full Thanksgiving food rankings kylo but I definitely have some thoughts I mean I’m I’m pretty easy goinging when it comes to food but Thanksgiving you know the reason is the best holiday is the football obviously uh but also the family of course and then also the food those three things the trifecta of things for Thanksgiving and yeah for the for the for the food I would say like the high the highest floor for me at my Thanksgiving the mac and cheese you know mac and cheese in general just such a high floor play I think the ceiling though like when you talk about the floor ceiling sometimes I think the turkey is is the biggest variable and there’s a lot of a lot of ways you can mitigate the risk with the turkey but the the the ceiling of the turkey is massive right the ceiling of the turkey if it’s not dry can can be game-changing for the whole meal but uh the floor sometimes can be low I think for for the turkey so I think I think that that’s that’s my quick food analysis there but you know the gravy the stuffing the mashed potatoes a really high floor ceiling there too I mean really everything is is a pretty safe option uh at least at least at my Thanksgiving um all right let’s get to some of these starts before you have to wrap up here a super Flex start two Kyler Winston or taes Hill man tesm Hill has taken over uh the the fantasy football landscape really I mean he’s he’s the top of tier two for tight ends I don’t know if I’d start him over Winston though man I mean Winston gets a match up versus the Broncos I think you can’t start an actual QB over taes taes is the number five tight end option wow yeah T has a better chance a higher boom probability than Winston but yeah you got to go Winston over taes not a not a Thursday OD question here though Thanksgiving Happy Thanksgiving to you too Connie Watson or Amari yeah let’s let’s pull up Amari here I don’t know how to feel about Amari because we haven’t really seen a full Amari game he’s been hurt he does not project well this week at all bad match up versus to 49ers there’s no Romeo dos this week the ceiling here is high for Amari yeah I’d go I’d go Watson I think we see a good Jaden Reed game but Christian Watson Davian Wicks they’re in play they’re in play this week without Romeo dobs like that’s pretty massive for both of them Thursday Alvin how we doing Happy Thanksgiving to you as well it is the best holiday of the year in my opinion there we got Mike Evans makoni neighbors Mooney or Brian Thomas Jr yeah very good options here it’s so so tough to bench makoni right now I really want to start Brian Thomas Jr this week as well you really can’t bench Maki do you have Evans in here yeah it’s Evans and lad I’m playing Evans and lad over over Malik neighbors over Darnell Mooney and over Brian Thomas Jr yeah yeah I’m torn on neighbors there too yeah I really don’t want to bench neighbors I mean it’s not comfortable feeling benching Malik neighbors today especially when you look back at his last game versus the Dallas Cowboys that was like his last big game the last big game from leak neighbors guys was back in week four versus this Dallas Cowboys team he had 12 catches in that game for 115 yards didn’t even score and was a top 10 wide receiver that was the last game we saw Malik neighbors go over 15 points though you know it’s been a bad a rough stretch for Neighbors as the Giants entire team really crumbles before our eyes so yeah there’s a ceiling here for neighbors but there’s a ceiling for these other guys too and I honestly think the floor is pretty significantly better for Maki and Evans I still think Evans is going to get to that thousand yards like he’s going to do it he’s he now needs over 100 yards per game to do it but any any one of these these weeks man Evans is going to go for close to 200 yards then that’s gonna be a big storyline down the stretch a CJ or B Knicks yeah this is an interesting one here uh for the quarterbacks I think it’s strad versus the Jags yeah St gets the Jags Nico Collins fully healthy b Nicks is up against the Browns I think I’d go i’ go stra this week over Nicks I’m playing btj I think over DJ Moore let’s let’s do this comparison quick I like both these guys a lot I like the Bears passing attack a lot I really think the Bears keep this game Closer Than People expect over 90% of the money and of the bets are on the Lions today I mean that’s an insane percentage the Bears are are built offensively to play the Lions defense the Lions the only weakness for the Lions all season on really the whole team has been stopping wide receivers they rank top 10 versus running backs they ranked top 10 versus quarterbacks they ranked top 10 versus tight ends they rank bottom five versus receivers though and these are three of the better receivers in the league you know starting with DJ Moore I think on this team Keenan projects even better than adun but I think all three of these guys are good options but I I’m not benching Brian Thomas Jr Christian I really don’t want to bench Brian Thomas Jr in this game versus the Texans we’ve seen some massive wide receiver games versus the Texans Brian Thomas Jr is by far the best receiver on the Jags Gabe Davis is out for the season now Christian Kirk obviously out for the season I mean it’s really just Brian Thomas Jun and Evan Ingram left and they get this match up versus the Texans Texans offense is going to throttle the Jaguars defense they’re gonna have to throw in this game Trevor Lawrence might play it sounded like he might not even play again this season now suddenly he might play again this season I mean him and pery are kind of in similar spots in my mind it’s like are they playing this week are they playing the rest of the season I mean both of those things are still kind of up in the air for both guys but yeah I think the floor is good over 30 points allowed the Titans were reers last week from the Houston Texans over 30 points allowed to the Cowboys receivers the week before that uh almost 30 points allowed to the Lions receivers in a game where the Lions barely threw the ball uh the in that game versus the jet that Thursday night game over 50 points allowed to their top two receivers I mean there’s a really big ceiling for btj this week see I’m going btj over all the pack over all the Bears receivers D or Tracy definitely doubal it’s got to be D over Tracy I really don’t think it’s that close I wouldn’t be shocked to see Tracy have a good game because Tracy is a very efficient running back playing a horrible Cowboys run defense but he only played 40% of snaps last week and he’s fumbled in back-to-back games and the Giants offense is awful and their offensive line is terrible so I’m not I’m not like sold on Tracy this week I think he’s more of a bench than a start I’d play Tyreek over Tracy uh all we’re gonna go to Tik Tok subscriber only comment mode here on the Tik Tok live make sure I get to all those on this Thanksgiving super thankful for all of you guys seriously very thankful for everyone who’s tried out the Welter pick app that helps me out way more than you could ever realize I’ve spent the last four years of my life helping build the Walter picks at for you guys got a win week to get into the playoffs Demetri we’ll get to that Tyreek DJ Stephenson or Debo pick two wide receivers One Flex also jnu or Ingram yeah I’m going jnu over Ingram and then I think I’m going with these first two Tyreek and DJ and Stephenson vers Debo man that one’s close the Pats get the Colts this week not a bad spot but Stevenson completely flopped last week I mean he’s got an incredibly low floor P’s probably going to play so I’m go Debo over Stevenson so it’s Tyreek DJ and D.A over Stevenson and Demitri how we doing manoles or Herbert who got the best chance worried about Herbert since Dobbins is out yes so I actually think Dobbins being out might be good for Herbert I think they could lead to more pass volume for Herbert I’m going her from m home super close one though for sure Happy Thanksgiving uh to you as well guys Happy Thanksgiving to all you guys I’m super thankful for everyone vict uh vider thanks for doing the Tik Tok Live subscription I’ll get to all the Tik Tok live subscriber comments here coming up in a second um Thursday Night Football question part of the Year small details matter of course Cowboys defense can I trust them yeah I would go Cowboys I’d go Cowboys over Vikings I don’t think I put up the defense ranks yet today but yeah I do like the Cowboys the Broncos the Colts the Lions the Cowboys I mean in the games today and tomorrow it’s the Lions the the Chiefs Lions Cowboys Chiefs those are the defenses you really want right now Aaron Jones or jsn yes so meaf might not play if meaf does not play I mean you’re gonna want to start jsn not that’s not a Thursday question so you got some time right now with Aaron Jones but if Mecha I’d go jsn but right now as it stands I’d go Aaron Jones Swift or J oh gosh man I don’t want to start either of these guys really I’m definitely very nervous for Swift in this spot versus the Lions the Lions have been very good versus running backs this season they’ve been kind of crushed by receivers this season I’m also nervous for Jameson Williams I think jamson Williams ceiling is pretty high though we just saw Jordan nson go for a 30 BMP scored 31 points Jordan nson was the wide receiver one last week versus the Chicago Bears eight catches 162 and a touchdown they completely shut down Justin Jefferson though and the Bears have been very good vers receivers this season the Bears are actually the number one defense ver wide receivers this season they’re allowing the fewest points per game the fewest catches per game the fourth fewest touchdowns per game so I’m I’m nervous for Jameson Williams Floor I think the ceiling is there for weo J in this spot and I think the floor is kind of low for Swift to honestly think I would probably go Jameson Williams there over DeAndre Swift but it’s close and and Swift’s definitely the safer option are we got Gus Edwards Amari or Pitman Happy Thanksgiving Sam Happy Thanksgiving to you as well Chris Stark yeah I think it’s between Edwards and Pitman I’m pretty out on Amari this week I think this is not uh a question that we need to answer today either which is good I think I’d go Pitman though yeah Pitman with without Downs he gets the Pats too I would go Pitman I have hunt Peko Swift J and Shakir let me pull this up on the YouTube live here hunt Pacho Swift J Shakir I’m not sure who to flex yeah it’s not hunt it’s not Pacho it’s Shakir yeah play Shakir over J play Shakir over Swift play Shakir over pcho and Hunt yeah I think it’s Shakir there Allen suton J tarq Niko start three Keenan Allen Sutton Tyreek n so you’re starting Nico this is a start two we’re not benching Nico definitely not I me let me hop over to the wide receiver tiers here I mean Nikos is the number one receiver in the projections this week I think he has a pretty good shot to be the number one receiver rest of season he gets the Jags I he could go for 200 yards verus the Jags it would not be shocking at all so Keenan Sutton and Tyreek I would bench James and Williams for sure here it’s it’s start two between Keenan Allen cland Sutton who’s been absolutely balling and then Tyreek Hill yeah it’s between Keenan and Su you’re starting Tyreek I would start I would start Tyreek I know Keenan and S have been better of late like especially just looking back to the last game man Sutton’s been on an absolute tear since his donut really tough to bench him I think you bench Keenan I think you bench Keenan in the spot you play Tyreek you play s and you play Nico too neighbors Sutton Hill Adams Thomas Jr pick three start three in PPR that one’s definitely close neighbors vers Sutton I think I’d go neighbors there over Sutton yeah I would Devonte Adams is really interesting one too I think I would go neighbors Tyreek and Brian Thomas Jr let’s do Brian Thomas Jr here man s projects better than him too no he doesn’t actually yeah I would go neighbors Brian Thomas Jr and Tyreek I’d bench Adams I’d bench Sutton all good options even though it’s snowing in Buffalo I should play Shakir yeah let’s check out the weather report here again weatherman Sam had you for the game tonight too so there’s going to be some cold weather in the game tonight I don’t care really at all oh yeah so this some sort of snow game sounds like we should pump the braks a bit it’ll be cold it doesn’t sound like there’s going to be like super significant snow it’s not a white out game yeah I still think I’d go Shakir I still think I’d go Shakir would you show your mustards oh yeah let me so this is actually just the mustards for today just the mustards for today I have up on the Tik Tok live so I I’ll read them out if you’re watching live on YouTube too let me pull up the wide receiv ranks here again so the guys that I think are pretty good start so Mahomes the must start in most spots Ian there’s there’s no buys this week so in all leagues you don’t necessarily need to start momes two I think is a good start I would actually wouldn’t call him a must start Gibbs Monty dle Jacob’s hn feel great about all those guys starting all of those guys today Aman raw even though they shut down Justin Jefferson last week you kind of have to start am man R st Brown in this game he was eight straight games before last week with a touchdown a CD lamb Malik neighbors Jaden Reed I think you should feel pretty good about with Romeo dobs out I think Christian Watson has a pretty good feeling too a DJ Moore dun I like Keenan too I think all three of the Bears receivers are good starts not must starts I think Tyreek is a good start Brock Bowers Kelsey John Smith these are all borderline mustards I mean Kelsey and Bowers they are mustards John Smith a borderline mustard the Lions Cowboys Chiefs defenses all great and the guys that I’m very scared to start today which is maybe the easier list you know the must start list is tough because there’s no buys this week and it really depends who you’re starting guys over the must bench list is easier these guys I’m absolutely terrified to start today that includes uh Drew lock Jared goth Cooper Rush Aiden oconnell DeAndre Swift I’m pretty scared of Tyrone Tracy I think is very very risky playing coming off a 40% snap percentage fumbled back-to-back games and only ran eight routes last week moer Jaylen Wright I want nothing to do with Abdullah Kem hunt and Pacho H please don’t start Kem hunt or pcho super risky starts Jameson Williams Jaylen W DeAndre Hopkins these are guys that I would prefer to bench I think Jameson Williams has a really high ceiling but also an incredibly low floor in this matchup again we just saw Jordan Asen go for over 30 points and then at tight end KT Tucker craft Theo Johnson shmaker I want really nothing to do with um tight end rankings please yeah I got you with the tight end ranks here on the YouTube live would you start Keenan Pitman Ridley or mun of DJ Mo and Hopkins I think this one’s Keenan and I might go with Ridley Pitman over Hopkins too I don’t think you can start Ming this one I think Keenan and DJ Moore playing together too is a pretty a pretty safe High floor high ceiling option I think the Bears are going to have significant pass volume today I mean they sort of have to just just looking at the matchup for the Bears here again the Lions they’ve been so good defensively against every position that isn’t wide receiver their third worst though versus receivers this season thanks for the follow guys on the Tik Tok live Earth or McBride got to be McBride got to be McBride DK Keenan or Judy yeah that one’s Keenan I think it’s Keenan over Judy man Judy Judy looked great last game in the snow game Revenge game for him this week he actually might project better than Kean does God yeah he does I I still think I’d probably go Keenan over Judy it’s definitely close don’t really love the match up this week though for Judy start three jsn makoni James Co Aaron Jones He you’re benching James cooker jsn there and you don’t have to decide today you’re playing makoni Aaron Jones though almost definitely and then if DK is out it’s probably jsn over James Cook if not it’s probably James Cook hunt peka or Swift it’s Swift don’t play hunt or Pacha I’m playing Keenan over Judy and over DK DK might not play this week DK mchf might not play my running backs are hn bejan kyin and Chase Brown start to yes so it’s it’s oh man you got to start three you gotta be able to start three here hn versus Chase Brown’s close that’s a close one it’s Chase Brown over hn and you’re not benching Bean so yeah it’s Chase Brown over raan if you have to make that call but I don’t want to make that call I want to start all three of those guys they’re all top 10 all top eight running backs hop over to the running back here here I think they’re all in the tier one for me yeah they are all tier one running backs DJ Moore Shakir Tracy Wadd pick two yes you’re playing DJ Moore for sure Shakir Tracy W man that’s close that is not an easy start sit there Shakir versus Tracy I feel like Tracy might project the best here but I don’t feel good about Tracy today yeah he does man in a PPR League this is a really difficult decision Tracy projects the best though I think you kind of have to go Tracy in the spot forsus the Cowboys it is a good match up for Tracy Happy Thanksgiving Sam Happy Thanksgiving to you as well Thursday football question need some help either flexing Mooney Monty or tesm Hill I want to do Monty but the injury scares me yeah the the injury is definitely you know cos for some concern but I think Monty still has such a good chance at a touchdown this week tesm is is not easy to bench right now and then you got Mooney too who Mooney Mooney was dealing with an injury before their by we I assume he’s back to full health now yet it’s Monty man you got to go Monty here if you really want to shoot for the ceiling you know you could go with ton but such a good floor for he scored in basically every game there’s only two games he hasn’t scored this season I he’s number four in rushing touchdowns per game this year the Bears have not been very good defensively they’re 10-point favorites Revenge game for Ma you got to think they get him a touchdown today on Thanksgiving a wonderful day for Thanksgiving today um yeah so I think I I would risk it despite the injury for Monty I’m going Gibbs over Monty but yeah you start Monty and Gibbs yeah start Monty and Gibs that’s another one like starting starting the Bears receivers together starting the lions running backs together I mean High floor and ceiling way to do it if you have all those guys on the same team Tucker crafter tesm it’s got to be tesm it’s got to be tesm overcraft and then Wadd or Debo man that was close two guys that are kind of sketchy starts we got Debo over Wadd if Pie plays I think I would go Debo over Wadd I know wad had a game last week but it was his first game over nine fantasy points since week one he’s been under nine points in all but two games Jaylen WD this season pick two Mo Shakir Tracy WD yeah I think we just got to that one hunt yeah Swift over hunt and peo I would go neighbors over DJ Moore neighbors over DJ Moore trade idea Pacho and mcbad for London hackinson already have CMC Henry and bjon is my RB Vore I don’t really tra I don’t like trading way McBride though I do like the idea of trading way running back I don’t hate hackinson and en joku but I would hold on to McBride right now man he could easily be the tight end one rest of season I mean his role is incredible Flex Reed Mooney Pitman W wandale BR Rob white and Warren yeah this one’s Reed man go Jaden Reed and then for the running backs B Rob white and I don’t think is Brian Robinson playing this week what’s the latest on him practice Wednesday so it seems like he could play that’s pretty big Eckler’s gonna be out he projects pretty bad right now white has a great matchup and then Warren who’s really coming off his best game of the season yeah that’s white go with shad white go with shad white for the running back go with Jaden Reed Jaden Reed Without Romeo dobs is is a really good option this week etn or mvs oh God we’re back with the mvs questions m mvs is just not a guy that I’m going to like if he’s only getting two catches a game it’s etn it’s etn over mvs I’m benching mvs in like like 99% of spots Herbert or Baker so tight with the projections hey I don’t want to bench Baker I really don’t want to bench Baker he’s having an incredible season he gets the Panthers I think you got to go Baker unless you have Josh Allen Lamar or herds I mean then it’s Baker he’s the top of tier to you for me Bucky or Rico off waivers I am very in on Rico dle today I don’t know how you can’t be in on Rico dle I mean Bucky Irving’s obviously got a great matchup the difference is Bucky Irving is in a three-way committee really it’s a two-way committee and Sean Tucker could steal some goal line reps just like we saw last week the match Up’s obviously great for Bucky but the match Up’s good for Rico dle here too man I me Rico D is coming off his highest Rush a of the season and it wouldn’t be shocking to see him said a new season high of rusher he’s got a really good chance to score his first rushing touchdown today he’s had at least three Targets in four straight games and the Giants just allowed four rushing touchdowns to the Bucks I like dle more than Bucky this week I’d probably take Bucky the rest of season ceiling wise a Herbert or Baker yeah we talked about that one Stephenson Tracy or Gus Edwards I think I would probably go Tracy over Stevenson ad dun or Ridley that was super close to really comparable options there I like adun a lot I like the whole Bears passing attack a lot I think it’s Ridley though yeah wow they’re actually back to back in the ranks they back toback in the ranks they projected both projected 12.2 points in the Walter pick app by the way guys if you have not checked out the Walter pix app yet you got to check it out it is the best app for Fantasy insights it is the best app for player props as well Bobby I got you uh Devonte out for me for the flex ad I Mitchell Wix or Elijah Moore single ter any other waiver dudes please Bobby how we doing man yeah so ad ad Mitchells he’s in play he’s got to be in play with Downs out we had the Mitchell prop last week that was the only one that missed for us last week he was one yard short two yards short uh despite getting three targets which is way more than I would have expected he does not project well still this week Downs I do think will be out Wix is playable Elijah Moore is playable too let’s check this out Wix versus Elijah Moore I think Elijah Moore projects yeah way better Elijah Mo has actually been pretty consistent yeah I think I think you go Elijah Moore here I’m not playing single Terry I’m not playing single T no thanks thanks for the gift in the Tik Tok live man I appreciate it Zack Herz or lorta yeah I’d go I’d go Zack Herz there I do like lorta today so let me let’s talk through the three free player props today real quick before we wrap up here I’m taking Sam leapor over 37 and a half receiving yards Rico D over half a touchdown and Roman dun over 43 and a half receiving yards those are the three free player props of the day I actually didn’t update the record here we went two for three last week should have gone three and0 but we’re now up to 31 and 19 that’s 63% on the season we’re going three and0 today three and0 on this this F fantastic Thanksgiving Day Swift or Tracy I’m going Tracy I think over Swift oh man I think they’re actually really close here I think Swift is actually one spot ahead of Tracy man no it’s Tracy it’s Tracy over Swift TM or Andrews it’s TM over Andrews Cooper cup Devonte Adams DJ jsn standard format yeah I’d go I’d go Cooper cup I think i’ go DJ Moore man Devonte versus DJ Moore is close I’d go DJ Moore I think it’s standard especially Bucky or Conor Bucky or Connor not a not a Thursday question I think it’s Bucky though I’m going Tracy over Swift I’m defin nervous about kyn down the stretch the RO has been great for kyin just the production has not been there the touchdowns have not been there and the receiving role hasn’t really been there either love the helpman Anderson how we doing Moore Pard Mooney TM Hill could always start Hill over uton to I would start Hill over odd it feels weird and i’ would go these first twoo I’d go DJ Mo and Pard yeah start DJ Mo and Pard swifter Hawk for Flex man is that that crazy to go hawk there I don’t think I’d rather bench Swift if I can Swift and Tracy I’m pretty nervous about today yeah I would go I would go Swift still over Hawk it’s close though love or Richardson I think it’s Richardson over love Happy Thanksgiving to you as well Ike Tracy Addison to dunesday Shakir Pitman or chup yeah I think it’s a Dunes here I would go dun over Tracy over Addison over Shakir over Pitman and over Chu that’s good one to end on I think guys I’m super thankful for everyone in this live super thankful for all the follow followers on Tik Tok and YouTube the subscribers on YouTube all the subscribers of the Walter pix app seriously enjoy the day hope you guys all have a fantastic Thanksgiving as a quick recap I like the Bears to keep this game Closer Than People expect today I think the the Dolphins keep that game versus the Packers close and I’m not concerned about the cold in that game tonight and I think the Cowboys probably throttle the Giants I like weo datle a decent bit today too I would go Keen down over Jawan Jennings for example uh prop piic the day Sam La Porto over 37 and half receiving yards D over half a touchdown ad Dunes over 43 and half receiving yards guys time is the most valuable thing we have thanks for spending some time with me today have a fantastic fantastic Thanksgiving enjoy the game tomorrow between the Chiefs and the Raiders to Chiefs are 13-point favorites in that game that’s a lot of points for the Raiders but the Chiefs almost definitely will win that game we got the kerit the Frog narrative tomorrow for the Black Friday game guys have a fantastic Thanksgiving enjoy the football today good luck everyone we’ll be back live on Sunday morning as always have a good one

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