Pregaming – Bet Strategies for NFL, NCAA Football, NHL, NBA, NCAA Basketball – Friday, Dec. 6, 2024
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π΅οΈββοΈ Transcript:
[Music] never stop for get it if I want it got to make to myself a promise I won’t quck keep going till I got it I won’t give up till I’m On Top no I ain’t the type to give up if I do something man I do it till I get what I want I turn a business out of nothing into something I love I got a poker face but honestly I’m not one to BL I flip a switch never miss man I always stay up don’t let them see you [ __ ] always have a plan to stay tough this life ahead of you ain’t easy it was built to be rough but that’s what makes a personality is tragedy bro oh so keep your head on your shoulders now we ain’t out here moving rocks we out here moving bers now we ain’t getting posterized we out here making posters and we ain’t got what up what up what is up TGF welcome into pregaming we’re here on Sports money we do it every day Monday to Friday 6 p.m. you already know and this is what we do and we’re going to get to doing it tonight we got a full C fully loaded clip and a lot of things popping off at 7 o’clock so we got to hustle tonight and it’s only right that’s the way we move we move fast we take some shots we build some Bank rolls and I’m so excited for tomorrow we are off and running with another big UFC live event I got three Hammer spots already a plus 400 a plus 1400 and a plus 2400 for UFC tomorrow and when I say hammer you guys know what we do on Saturdays those become Hammer spots Get Ready Get Set we’re g to make some freaking money it’s going to be outstanding I cannot just already three of them hav’t even thought about parl those are just straight Place straight shots got to do the research got to do the homework uh how about that homework last night probably look they’re not all roses out there for sure um Sabers blew it darnum they were they were in it long enough for me to go and live bet him that’s what happened on that one as well so they got me twice and the Florida under six was just a [ __ ] disaster so was this Calgary under six it was a bad night in the NHL sadly um because I catched a [ __ ] shot on go prop for N9 to one so I don’t know back to the drawing board I think we got a great spot tonight got a couple great spots tonight so we’ll get into that I literally had to take off today’s slate on the top there was no room there was no room that’s how many games I want to get after there we got let’s see what happened here the Spurs cash cash money for us in the NBA big total big total for a reason we talked about the intersecting zeros we cashed on that thing and shout out to you guys man look right on the Rockets stink in Golden State there’s a reason they had triple revenge on their mind uh but the triple Revenge model does take a hit so I think it goes to is it 64 and 31 now in that triple Revenge spot if you’re on the road against a non-conference team and you are the favorite um the Houston Rockets screwed that one up NC Central got it done uh tight they were crushing him in that first half but uh got it done for us um did not get it done Southeast Louisiana those guys if it takes you longer to type it then anyways um I think they got they went under by 10 uh which was a live bending spot so halftime you know we we took a shot at that and clobbered it but doesn’t do us any good for pregame purposes here Lions first half best first half team in the NFL on point gets it done for us man we were we were dialed into that game uh literally talking about the hook the sharps wanted the hook anything but that hook was just a waste of everybody’s time and uh speaking of waste of times how about Reed you know all the research I do trying to come up with some of these spots these angles these looks I don’t know how I never found out that this idiot kept saying he can’t wait to go into Detroit and it was the most bet player prop and he did nothing literally no call no show did he even have a grab I don’t think he had a grab son of a [ __ ] I should have played that [ __ ] Tim dude I was all Tim Patrick man I was talking about him I was talking about him after the show but backstage before that show could have would have should have didn’t but he came out and uh romped and then uh and then hey my luck with adding last minute plays continues here um and this is a lost for us so uh we got to do some work we got to get back to it because uh they were not happened last night um boy lots of great I hope you guys got a chance to catch that live bet show though the we uh nailed it split those or uh uh fired off at halftime the Green Bay team total over 20 and a half cashed within the two minutes of that second half starting and then that Green Bay taking that second half cash for us as well so uh all in all okay you know not the finest hour but that’s going to happen when we do this on the regular and we got to get back to it it’s time to get to work work you guys know the deal need you to hit that Thumbs Up Button you know how important it is every show everybody talks about it I don’t care if you don’t hit it for anybody else except for sports money network uh we need it we need your guys help we need your support that’s one way to support us uh that does let YouTube know there’s something going on over here and then they will promote it to like-minded individuals you’ve heard me talk about it those like-minded individuals are sharp Sports bets just like you guys and if they know that we’re over here doing this thing they’ll be inclined to come over here and do this thing and then after they do this thing we all start making more money that’s the way it goes take a second now close the chat hit the thumbs up then pop the chat back open I told you we got a lot of work to do we got to move fast take that time now please hit that Thumbs Up Button if you haven’t done so already [Music] all right just like that it only takes you a second it does help us out a ton and you know the deal now is that time to get the pen and paper ready time to get them plays laid out there um Glen green says you lost every pick you put up yesterday just start fading your picks look at this guy huh well I was pretty transparent about it Glenn uh my friend cash that Lion’s first half spot cashed NC Central Cash disperse so you would have taken three losses right there if you faded them all my friend but hey man look we’re not going to win them all that’s the way it goes but uh let’s see what we can do here today let’s see if we can get back in the saddle and kick it off you guys so get them plays out there in the chat let’s see what you guys are on as well it’s not just about people on the screen it’s about you guys in the chat the sharpest chat in the business let’s see if Glenn’s going to put some picks out there for let’s see if Glenn’s got something to say today that’s what I want to see is Glenn’s picks before the game not coming in here afterwards talking about how easy it was to cat that Detroit Lions first half last night oh let’s see him Clint let’s see what you got my friend and uh let’s go Joe T cashed that head-to-head battle last night uh with a me in the St Louis Blues game Joe T picks up the Blue Jackets and the Kooks over six tonight I told you guys man that Community tab is fire we showed you guys where it was yesterday showed you where it was showed you how to access it showed you where that information sits and look at this the community tab poll is now 22 and7 22 and seven had over a 100 votes yesterday 70% Green Bay plus three and a half smashed it smashed it nice job you guys keep going keep rolling uh Jo says check my Best Bets and Gonzo’s Best Bets there as well the sub Club gets his soccer plays posted out there all kinds of things happening in the World of Sports money and you want to make sure that you stay glued in to that Community tab shout out to NJ striker in the house there’s Trans Canada he’s ready to roll oldie in the house J pey says think I’m moving on the ks uh KS P Blue Jackets either win or lose by more than a goal are going to beat the snot out of him tonight that’s what I think oh Puck line Puck line I got you I got you I was like shout out to Trisha M rocking here tonight old e says I like the tight end on Western Kentucky tonight Noah Myers he should get some touches uh shout out to Trisha M shout out to Bo Jackson I hope you had a good time last night bo uh not such a great outcome for them Raptors but the under cached the undercash with these talk a little bit about that one JPC says only team in the NHL that starts with an S I’ll be moving forward is in Dallas Stars Chris M says ice cats minus six under six was a disaster Flyers are sorry luckily we rebounding game on the live and then Detroit came through for the pilot not sure what’s up tonight uh looking for the Friday night guidance let’s go Justin Mel’s here he says Sports money is money Canada is rocking textiles in the house let’s go Cameron cette says tomorrow’s UFC card will be record setting winnings tomorrow’s UFC card looks really exciting it really does uh a lot of great fights on the card a lot of great spots on the card K cannot wait let’s get to work let’s go after it Ramone Scott’s kind of leading Us in here with that Rangers it’s going to be the second game that we talk about but that organization is a complete [ __ ] mess and I’ll give you the sneak peek right now I’m going to pay to find out at a plus 170 I think it’s plus 170 I don’t know what the [ __ ] going on over there shesterkin was backing himself and it was that big news he’s the latest guy to come out there in the market and say I want to reset and reestablish the go tending market and bet him myself we just talked about him [ __ ] in the bed over three goals against average in the start of the Season then they just trade off trouba their Captain dude they did dirty on top of that too they weren’t just like hey um you know you’re a captain and wave your no trade clause they’re basically like you’re a piece of [ __ ] you’ve done nothing to earn the contract we’ve given you and get the hell out of here as fast as humanly possible and if you don’t wave your no trade clause then we’re gonna release you and eat your salary good luck getting on another team now the Anaheim Ducks I don’t know they have uh they have chosen to be Bottom Feeders and uh they bring on ship XS we talked about we won’t even mention his name the former flyer that got picked up and then traded off goodbye good riddens he ghosted on everybody and Anaheim Ducks will take him now they want trouba they’ll take them all right Anaheim I guess good for you but we’re gonna be fading them Rangers here I don’t know what’s going on and that’s a beautiful price tag for a team out of four game winning streak for the Pittsburgh Penguins so there’s a little sneak peek for the action out there Keith each and every strik great time last night I like Pas seaka points rebounds and assist let’s go Cameron says Rock manof to win by split or majority decision plus 900 Sterling by submission Pantoja by rear naked choke at plus 300 Christmas gift to the chat from one Cameron cette he disagrees with my play he disagrees with my play sh all you guys man let’s go uh I um uh textile says I know I have my first seven straight days of winning in at least three months keep learning brewing and cashing that’s what it’s all about the ups and the Downs Joe W’s in the house Irish King’s here Nasty Nate says shout out to Glenn’s mom for never spitting once uh need jenty to have a big night tonight for that Boise State game says NJ Striker that’s probably going to be the game of the night right there that would be my estimation as that is game of the night Cameron n say have 1K on each of them and 500 all right all right let me let the cat out of the bag here if you’re not holding on to a ticket that looks let me find it ah you know what I might just drop it in the community tab let me tell you this I got this premonition I got this vision of a 100 bucks making 50k it’s two likes two likes one of them’s in the UFC one of them’s in the NFL you want me to tell you which one in the NFL we don’t have time for this you guys let me say this I don’t know what the hell’s going on that a guy’s got no touchdowns in his entire NFL career and yet he is the number two most popular touchdown prop this weekend what the [ __ ] is going on in the public that this guy’s getting crushed and he’s at plus 2400 not to score the first touchdown to get any touchdown any whatsoever 2400 so I had to take Sean I mean [ __ ] somebody might know something maybe the script got released then I parlayed it with a plus 1400 or is at 1900 in the UFC got to listen to these interviews they tell you what they’re going to do they tell you it’s going to go down I don’t know I just don’t know but I do know our guy old e gifted a sports money membership he’s helping us grow this community he’s a loyal Trooper rocking with us on the regular spending all his time hanging out being a good sport creating a positive environment hopefully hopefully Glenn who wasn’t a member but is talking [ __ ] can check it out and see what we do long term and how we roll so let’s go uh textil says Lakers Q4 money line Braun ruled in let’s go that’s great news it’s great news shout out to Gonzo shout out to Big Worm in the house Nate the Train by KO I can’t wait it’s going to be fun feels like I don’t know why it feels like we haven’t had UFC in a while I I guess because we didn’t have it last weekend right I guess that’s why I’m fired up for it I’m excited I can’t wait I got the biggest it’s either going to be the biggest throwaway ticket or it’s the ticket you’ll never stop hearing about 100 bucks to win 50k that’s what’s going to go on there that’s what’s going on there uh I don’t know maybe I got a problem maybe I got a problem it’s not a problem if you’re winning though let’s go you guys let’s get to work here tonight we got a lot of card to get to we don’t have a lot a lot of time to do it so let’s pop right off let’s talk about this first game right off the gate here we’re going to look at the Washington Capitals we’re going to look at the Toronto Maple Leafs and yikes if you’re the Washington Capitals that’s all you can say after getting beat up San Jose Sharks what happened you know shout out a couple of you guys I know DM we’re me exchanging messages about fading these capitals and uh Noah vkin expecting him to kind of Wither on the vine that has happened until the [ __ ] big price tag with this San Jose Sharks game that I don’t think I don’t I don’t think we were anywhere near that game but nonetheless uh yeah that’s ugly I mean you come into this thing and you’re uh you know you’re laying a minus 290 almost three bucks to the Sharks and you lose two to one plenty of goals with the exception of that Sharks game 41 54 54 6 five all wins all competitive games all scoring and crushing the totals until said San Jose Sharks coming to town then you got the maple Lees rolling in here four- one in their last but they’re tearing it up right now shout out to Toronto and everything that they’re doing and they’re scoring goals that’s another thing that we like out there um they have been riding a little bit of the under Trin especially the last two games 3-2 against Nashville 4-1 against Chicago but back-to-back home games now going to be their third straight home game in a row and when you look at goal tending if you’re looking for goals I think you’re going to see them tonight what we’ve got when you look at this Washington Capital side of things is Charlie Linden’s coming in he’s got that 2.95 goals against average he’s got an 89% save percentage and he’s been getting shelled his last two games nine goals total getting crushed getting lit up Christmas tree now oetkin and they are built different in Russia you know we talk about this with the UFC that dude broke his leg 17 days ago I think it’s 18 days ago now he sced around the ice like it’s not a thing I’ve blown away to see the resolve and you know that’s got to fire the team up this gu that fast back on the ice ready to go and then they L that dud against the San Jose Sharks stallers going on the other side for the Toronto Maple Leafs three- game winning streak as well um you know 27 to 28 saves against that Chicago Blackhawks team but you know it’s the Chicago Blackhawks against the east on the road they are not a team that’s scoring goals anyway so not to get too excited they were low quality shots but high quality play for us to pop this game off here pop our card off tonight call this one the Glenn special took the first period over one and a half I know that Toronto’s been an under City lately uh I know there’s been a ton of those you know just lower scoring they play defense they find enough it’s kind of this new style it’s almost like a new it’s a new era trap style that they’re out there playing um but I think the motivation is there we’ve got some weaker goal tenders going in the goal we’ve got the capitals are the best first period over team on the road now the Leafs are a great under first period team but nine And1 to the under in the last 10 at some point that little Levy’s got a break and I think you take a capitals team that’s pissed off coming into town after that San Jose Shark spot and I think you got to take this capitals first period over one and a half I I suspect I suspect Toronto wins this game and if you were gonna play Toronto I would take a minus one for the big plus 180 score they’re at home they’ just continue to dominate maybe now the wind is coming out of the sales of those capitals and they need oetkin to come back in this game but uh for now give me the capitals give me the first period over one and a half that’ll be how we pop off that’s going to be how we get things going Karen says shout out to Grandma Grandma horse racing in the house she got the gift and sports money membership out there for us appreciate you Grandma for all that you do even the extras I got the shot glasses here look I got the got the Grandma’s horse racing shot glasses here appreciate you Grandma thank you thank you for rocking that gifting a sports money membership Justin says $100 for 50k sign me up it’s two place what could go wrong what could go wrong uh Trisha says my neighbors are Russian especially certainly a special breed nuke says the Leafs won’t lose another it’s probably true until the playoffs they finally got through that first series though right that was their kind of their killy’s heel right Cameron says my $500 thre leg will pay 220k going to get me a property in Puerto Rico and this will be the last year I get these M effing W2 forms let’s go let’s go appreciate you guys rocking let’s go all right so we got this Capital spot to pop off let’s go to game number two I think I screwed up the sorder I already told you about this one I’m gonna [ __ ] around and find out and I’m going to take a plus 170 at it while I do it Rangers got to show me you got to show me you’re struggling right now you’re your captain now they don’t take the captain lightly although apparently they just don’t care anymore but I think they’ve only had I wonder how many they haven’t had a lot of captains let me put it that way I remember and the reason I know this is because uh Ryan Callahan the hometown uh kid around here uh spent that time down in the Rangers with torella gets that captain ship and um they’ve only had since now he’s not even playing the NHL anymore they’ve only had two captains since him and they traded him on down to Tampa Bay they also traded their follow-up Captain to Tampa and then they had trouba and they paid him the big money and they just treated him like a complete pile of dog [ __ ] the penguins have won four straight as I mentioned n delovic is fresh he’s going in goal on the penguin side of things he’s only played one time in the last four games and he saved 30 of 32 shots the Rangers just embarrassed the Penguins beat him up 6-0 the last time they played each other so you got a revenge- minded Penguins team that’s on a little bit of a streak against a team in disarray they are going to shurin the wild card there is the fact that he just came off that big contract as Ramone had mentioned at the start of the show I I don’t need to pretty it up I’m taking a shot this Rangers team’s a [ __ ] mess and uh I’m going to take a shot at it with uh a team that’s running hot and in Revenge mode and that’s pretty much all I have to say about that all I have to say about that matter of fact we won’t say any more about that we’ll keep her moving we’ll go on to this Dallas and Vegas game game of the night alert game of the night alert we need a pimp slap pod and a Grandma’s wearing your sister’s panties pod okay well we call this one the pimp slap pod if that’s what you want to do uh Dallas Stars firing in this game here and a big opportunity for bounceback situation uh not such a great finish there the Vegas golden knights coming back home 177 and three are these Vegas golden kns and when you look at these two go tenders here we’ve got Aiden Hill confirmed for the Vegas golden knights he’s got that 90% save percentage 11 and four is his record on the season with that 2.67 goals against average off a shut out one zero that was the second one of the Season flip side the stars are firing Stars won three of their last four obviously a bad spot that last game out there gave up three unanswered goals against that Los Angeles Kings team now we were on the Kings with the expectation that this was going to be the game that we jump in and take the Dallas Stars 13 and five is AER he’s got a 256 goals against average he’s got a 91.2% save percentage definitely didn’t answer the Bell that last game three goals 17 shots going to get it done got to play a little bit harder than that and they’re going to run back to him they’re going to try to let him wear that thing out there and Shake It Off shake it off shake shake it off big battle Western Conference Showdown potential playoff teams in the making here Vegas has had a tremendous first um start of the Season at home they’re 10 and three and scoring four goals a game third most in the NHL for home teams we know that first period overs right they they’ve been not so automatic lately but we know Vegas first grade overs certainly the way to go defensively they’re holding teams to under three goals a game Dallas not so great on the road six and seven on the road for this squad out there but there’s a b there’s a ton of systems going on right now for this Dallas Stars team you know the biggest one I came across here is when you’re the road favorite and your opponent’s got a a rest situation so um either they’re on the second leg of a backto back and had one day’s rest in between that or flip them one day’s rest and then before that they were on the second leg of a back toback so essentially you’re looking at two games I’m sorry three games in uh a two-day stretch or three-day stretch I guess we screw that up Road team up to a minus 160 and either on the second leg of a back to back with one day’s rest prior or flip it 413 and 216 that’s the bottom line it’s almost 2 to one huge advantage and if you look at this line doesn’t that tell you everything overall you got this team coming in and one of the hottest teams at home in the NHL is are the Vegas gold Knights and yet the Dallas Stars sitting at a minus 120 yeah we’ll call that pimp slap if you want to if you want to you want to throw a name on one of the plays of the day for that one there yeah that’s my favorite hockey play this one got laid out first thing this morning um as mention full anticipation from that the other day especially especially having them lose to that King team that just made it such a hammer pop over the head drag him out let’s get that cash that’s going to do it for the NHL free games let’s see what you guys have to say here uh KV is in the house jpz likes the Rangers Puck line says let’s [ __ ] go okay uh KV says Crosby point game number 1300 zad point one goal away from 500 two assists away from 400 wellow New Jersey in regulation with brat point point number 500 wow t b looking forward to the UFC uh and Shout Out law in the house says why is Vegas an underdog that’s exactly my point that’s that’s exactly the point that’s a [ __ ] suspect line and then some shout out to juggler 23 22 and six his last 28 posted plays CU he stuper some regression I don’t know man winners keep finding a way to win is what I know says Big 10 home teams in conference games 72 and 38 against the spread when underdogs of underdogs are favored to minus three does play on Northwestern I like that Northwestern look not the Trans Canada jugler says teams having lost their last four games or more have been fantastic in rare role of playing as Road favorites it’s a Pacer spot tonight I like that Pacers spot jugglers Dana dub says the Pacers suck on Friday is that a thing is that a thing do they suck on Friday it’s the first time I think I’ve heard it if it is I want to know about it if it is I want to know about it uh and jugler 23 says in games between two teams with 40% or less winning percentage and lines of four and a half or less either way Road teams are 97 and 64 96 and 62 against the spread that’s the Jazz plus three W I don’t know I can get down with them I like it though I like it there is a uh three-point parlay boost out there for DraftKings we might as well pop it off we’re going to go back to our guy start this show off right now you might be saying how come we didn’t play him the other day when he was minus 130 but now today we are playing him look at the total it’s the highest total on the board it’s like 250 dude should ball you should go out there crush it do exactly what he does every single game man I think I think we caught this guy literally right at the start of this thing and he has been a [ __ ] absolute Workhorse for us ever since and there’s no reason not to go back to him so we’re going to kick that off in this direction here I’ll fire off a couple more three-pointer props for you guys that if you’re interested in that DK bonus then make sure you take it is Jason tatums over three and a half threes vous over one and a half threes uh Jeremy Grant under one and a half threes and Trey young over two and a half threes uh that made up my parlay slip for anybody that’s interested in taking I mean it’s not a huge number that you can put out there but that paid out 15 to one I’ll take a 15 to one payout cash that shot on gold parlay yesterday hell yeah all right let’s move on pick up this pace here we gotta get moving all right the magic and the Sixers we’ll take a look at the cash flow I’ll give you guys just a couple of quick pieces on it and then uh we like I said there’s a lot of games that we have to uh cover here for the seven o’clock start specifically college basketball and college football too so no time to dilly dally the Sixers opened up as three and a half Point home dogs pretty much split 53% of the bets are on the magic 46% of the cash are on the magic then you look at the total it’s come down two points from 209 and a half to 207 and a half 82% of the bets and 81% of the cash are on the over and probably one of the truest tests of all time the Bounce Back Revenge situation um at don’t on a Friday night on top of it Orlando Magic just came in there and uh you know handled them 106 102 but here’s the thing when we talk about line functionality that line opened up at five and a half stickers covered lost we know em beads out but the lines come down two points to three and a half but it’s a bounce back spot that’s exactly what’s going on here Friday night in the city of Phil Philadelphia trying to get another crack at this team that dis disrespected him and you want to know about a team that’s in a Revenge spot how about them Sixers 14-0 versus conference when they are in the Revenge spot after a home game bounce back extraordinaire I think they win this thing out right yeah I’ll take the three and a half three and a half in my back pocket I may have parlayed the Sixers money line together with the Lakers money line trying to maximize that dollar but plus three and a half- 108 seemed like good money let’s go shout out to you aod appreciate you guys rocking jugler 23 says my only NCAA football wager will be on his Alma moer Army five let’s go it’s exciting man see him in the uh AAC it’s exciting exciting to see him in a championship game playing for something important it’s awesome all right so we pop off with the Sixers in that Revenge spot uh game number two we’re going to get to here the Kings the Kings and the Spurs Kings and Spurs we open up we got we open up a minus two and a half and shot up to fives sixes six and a halfs with have 53% of the bets and 52% of the cash in the Spurs that’s called reverse line moving then we look at the total it’s gone from 227 to 228 with 84% of the bets and 85% of the cash on the over that makes sense we saw the Spurs just play Spurs came out there uh taken down a Chicago Bulls team well they didn’t take him down but they went over the number screamed over that 236 and a half no defense whatsoever 139 124 they lose to the Bulls and the Kings coming in with a situation where they just played Memphis they just lost at Memphis 115 110 a high total 243 overall Across The rosters doubtful is wemy doubtful is wemy and if anybody’s heard any different maybe that’s why this Line’s starting to come back a little bit I know I got [ __ ] number compared to what’s out there now uh the best number available is not at Bandu band’s hanging a five DraftKings has got four and a halfs man DraftKings has got themselves in the low price Market on a couple of games today that we’re all over here but six and a half was the number that I laid out this thing with uh this Spurs Kings game and uh you know we’ll go buy the numbers here on a couple of these things and and this one just came down to the situation with the Spurs uh where was it where did it go where did it go where are my notes what happened to my [Music] notes of course I can’t find it now of course [Music] [ __ ] oopsie I can’t seem to find this one where the hell did it go hate when that happens hate when that happens but I can tell you it’s a Spurs spot or I’m sorry King spot uh you know the lot of this action looked at Spurs I’m sorry at the uh Spurs Spurs under action also looking at this thing seeing that the kings are in a strong under position but I was ultimately as looking at this thing as come on where the [ __ ] was it I hate not to maybe I shouldn’t put notes all over the place you know maybe they should be in one centralized and Consolidated system here I’m gonna have to come back to it and I have to come back to it but I’m on it I’m on the kings in the spot here uh I know it’s a Revenge factor for these boys as well uh NBA Revenge game the favorite who lost their previous favorite matchup big spot out there 492 and 294 Revenge was kind of the mine in the narrative that I put across the the card today as we kind of exploit this thing here so that was the case but I wish I could find that number oh well gotta move on don’t have enough time not enough time never enough time f the official play [ __ ] my bad guys uh it’s still an official play I just I can’t get the uh I I don’t know if I deleted it I don’t know what the hell happened but anyways we got to move on we don’t have time we got the Minnesota Timberwolves and the Golden State Warriors to close out the NBA card here today and it is a later spot Timberwolves Warriors Warriors big game the other day opened up his two and a half Point favorites now moved to a one and one and a half Point dog you have 64% of the bets and 70% of the cash on the t-wolves then you look at the total it’s dropped three full points with reverse line movement 83% of the bets but only 68% of the cash hitting that over and that little bit of difference in the cash concern the books some sharper betters respected betters coming in hitting on this under and that’s what hit down as well uh overall between these two teams here and kind of their situations and recent performances the Warriors obviously just took care of Houston yesterday I know they had the back-to-back Road games I expected I expected more out of Houston 9993 was not the game I expected to go down out there they had a 218 total it still went under the Warriors have now gone under in four straight games but that Denver two games ago that Denver spot sticks out to me those legs potentially gassing out and it’s it’s an older team in this Golden State Warriors so that’s definitely a point of contention you you look at the Timberwolves they’ve got three straight wins and they’ve got a one day’s rest advantage and minimal travel spot because if you look at it they played the Clippers they played the Lakers those are both home games then they roll out to LA Clippers and then they have a day off in between so not a ton of travel in a position to kick some ass but again four straight unders for these guys as well they both are playing Tempo they’re both playing their own Tempo and playing defensive oriented games here’s an intersecting zero spot for you guys the Minnesota Timberwolves are8 and0 to the under in conference play if they have rest advantage and covered the spread the last game they played 8 and0 to the under conference rest Advantage off of cover under golden state8 no to the under in the Revenge game against a team that had less than 15 turnovers their previous game these teams run their own Tempo they’re going to both outpace each other we’re going to see another lower scoring game we’re going to take this number even though it’s dropped three points from the original opening it’s moving in that direction with sharp betting on it and we’re going to tail it jump on that one yikes to8 an army big game big big game here uh conference Championship weekend a lot of fun lots lots of numbers lots you know we get to go into the section of the database that gives us Conference Championship stats different numbers of that effect and this Army Line’s moving in the wrong direction 53% of the bets and 61% of the cash are on two lane 800m start and the line’s moving to five and a half for Army you’re getting five and a half points with army then you look at and then considering jugler 23 stat there it’s a lot of number this total’s dropped from 48 and a half to 45 a half and there’s reverse line movement there 78% of the bets and 66% of the cash on the over I looked at all these Conference Championship games every single one of them has a strong influence for me on the under every single one of them and it makes sense they’re championship games we got the lines are moving down on just about all of them uh in fact the only one that really hasn’t had any movements Iowa State and Arizona State and at first first thought you might consider yourself with the old Iowa states there and say oh that’s going to be a under I think that one has the potential to go over the total I think Clemson and SMU can be a shootout as well but the rest of these games are all looking like dead unders to Me Maybe Penn State Oregon I’m not entirely sure but I’ll tell you from an under Trend perspective in this game what we do have going out there a couple of things one these teams run the ball a lot you know we’ve got a championship dog if their wins are more than the O if the if if you take their wins and you subtract the other team’s wins and it’s great than zero I can’t make this up it’s 19 and5 to the under so Army comes into this one with uh what was it 11 wins Navy comes into this one with I’m sorry Army comes in with 10 wins tuling comes in with nine wins 10 minus 9 is one one is greater than zero it’s a championship game and it’s a big 19 and5 trend of the under not sure the correlation but but if you think about these games these teams you know army they run that triple monster and the best way to go out there and handle a two-lane Squad is to keep that offense on the field keep the chains moving that’s going to be a challenge because Tain number 15th overall in third Downs how about that held their opponents to 7even for 23 on fourth down conversion attempts is number two nationally so third and fourth downs and moving the chains are going to be a difficult challenge for this Army team but they’ve got that uniqueness because they do have that you know Triple Threat if you will overall Army’s head coach 3924 and Two Against the Spread is a dog covering the spreads by four and a half points a game over the last 10 years serviceis this is where I was thinking about jumping in service Academy Schools last 10 years 96 and 66 against the spread in the first half if they’re in the dog roll how about that on the other side Tain uh 19- seven against the spread as a favorite is there coach John sumoll 19 and7 against the spread when they’re in the favorite role covered by over a touchdown plenty of margin 11 and0 when laying Road points the road favorite 11 and0 against the spread but teams that lost was a double- digit favorite before their conference Championship game that is the donut that we saw Twain put up their last game are just five- 10 straight up and five- 10 against the spread when it comes to that conference Championship Game Conference Championship unders in below freezing conditions have gone seven and three and staying well under by a touchdown I’m on the under give you guys a bunch of stats and Trends to consider out there for that one but I like the under I like this Army first half I didn’t officially pull the trigger on this Army first half I might we had till 8 o’clock let’s see what that looks like just for first half comparison purposes uh three and a half three and a half it’s a lot of points it’s a lot of points might have to get there especially here in the service Academy records in the first half I think it’s you know even though Navy’s kind of changed some things up this year and they don’t run the same style offense that they used to that’s relevant because it takes te it takes teams adjusting you know to that triple attack and it takes in that second half to make those adjustments to be able to go out there and figure out it’s one thing to practice against it but when you play a program that does it every single day week in and week out year in and year out they’re [ __ ] good at it so even your practice squad’s not going to be anywhere and you’re capable of doing that and that’s why these first halfs come in for service academies makes a lot of sense to me all right let’s go let’s keep her moving let’s get on to UNLV and I did take this one in the first half you know we look at these numbers we look at these overalls we got UNLV from a plus five down to a 4 and a half with 50% of the bets and 61% of the cash coming in in on UNLV they like this road dot totals dropped from 59 to 57 and a half and yet you have 61% of the bets and 55% of the cash on the over so a point and a half down tick big battle 10 and two UNLV rank number 20 Boise State ranked number 10 this is the game that we talked about a couple weeks ago we jumped on UNLV uh expecting them to find a way to come through for us and they were leading like three quarters of that game jenty in that fourth quarter that’s what happens with running teams that offensive line grinds you down and then that separation comes in at the end of the game leading most of it heartbroken but getting a chance to take their Revenge do they take their Revenge we’ll see but you know the end of the day 2924 game you know they’ve had a few games in between there obviously since then and they’ve won so that was a season low they didn’t hang their head they picked up their bottoms they got back out there and they fought and I expect them to start now it’s going to be some elevation it’s going to be cold probably going to be a little bit of weather in this game as well I like the under I think the under is a strong look but um I took a side I jumped in give me a side in this battle I want this UNLV first half DraftKings this is what I said earlier that DraftKings has got some low price shopping going on right now this is one of those spots where they had three and a half and everybody else was hanging like two and a halfs and look both these teams rush you know here’s the thing about the under and I’ll just kind of keep it simple and short and sweet when you have two teams that run the ball really well but also stop other teams from running the ball really well essentially what that means is you’ve got a team that runs the ball and then underperforms it leads to unders why are they underperforming well they’re underperforming because the team they’re playing has a good run defense and in that scenario like this game the unders hit like 30 straight times UNLV is 11 and0 against the spread on the road when they’re not a double digit favorite either so some numbers baked in there I I support unlb I think it’s going to be a fun game uh [ __ ] Boise State uh that being said though uh should be a great game jent is going to be a lot of fun to watch he’s the guy the talk around town potential Heisman Champion see where he end up going in the NFL draft but uh I think it’s going to be a slow ground impounder tick tick tick tick tick see this under come through and three and a half points over the the field goal and the hook on this thing for that first half is good money so we’ll take that spot and run with it see what we got try too many games you guys I I thought about it afterwards because as I’m downloading and uploading and editing and I’m like there’s a shitload of games in here but look got to take a shot where it makes sense this is one of those games we talked about it yesterday we talked about it the day before this is one of those steam report games the sharp report not the steam report the sharp report actionable betters identified in Vegas making moves and they’re making moves on the Iona goals at two and seven against the Sacred Heart Pioneers the line opened up at one all this money coming in 80% of the bets 60% of the cash coming in on Sacred Heart line hasn’t moved total started at 142 and a half it’s sitting at 142 a half 78% of the bets 78% of the cash on the over these are two [ __ ] schools there’s no question about it uh overall when you look at these guys uh you know they shoot poor they don’t play much defense uh and yet their scores still tend to stay low because they’re just bad nil dollars will change things they’ll be able to recruit and to draft uh you know attract new Talent out there Sacred Heart three wins in their last four games you know you think about the nil dollars kind of comes down to you could be a could be a backup down in like um North Carolina or they’ll give you a million bucks to come out there and play for Sacred Heart and you can be a starter yeah sign me up take the Millie uh Boston University was the most recent dominating Victory on the road as a five-point dog that Sacred Heart came into probably next to Brown the biggest opponent they played on the season they smashed New Hampshire remember we talked about how bad New Hampshire was the other day two and nine just because you played a lot of games doesn’t mean you’re learning anything they smashed him 80 to 63 and you know Iona struggling in their own right one and four in their last five the sharpest think they ever shot this win this game outright they played at Rice they lost 7066 covered the spread they lost against Indiana State 8380 covered the spread they beat Tarlton they’re laying six they won by 11 covering spreads winning games that’s how we get paid covering spreads in this case they got to win this game it’s a sharp Steam report we’re g to take this Iona Galls team and uh I just want to keep it short for you guys because that one’s going to pop off here at seven I took him on the money line was able to Wrangle in a minus 114 not going to bicker over that point 115s 22s 125s now starting to creep in that market starting to creeper on in there and then last game last game making good time really picked it up Huff is not playing for Jackson state is my understanding I will double check but I thought I thought I saw that earlier today maybe maybe remote would know I don’t know if Verone’s still in there let me look let me look H H I like Jacksonville State in that game Lo in that game too incidentally you know the thing about that game if you look at their um you know you look at their last couple of spots out there I mean they just played each other literally they just played each other their last game seven days ago 1917 final uh Western Kentucky gets the win so a bounceback opportunity to exact revenge in a game that does matter that last game didn’t matter I expect that don’t get fooled so much by the score in that game I don’t think either team wanted to show each other the take they didn’t want to let a lot of chalk it out there to be able to figure out how to go out and stop him here and the line movement after coming off that loss okay Steve Bailey says Huff is playing okay yeah I I I thought I saw he wasn’t but now I see he’s got player props out there so all right working as a team beat the steam team Steam raon Scott 9:00 a.m. Monday to Sunday last game big one Kent State big one against Portland the college basketball schedule sucked today I didn’t I didn’t really like much of all um but I did like this game do have a nice little juicy trend for you in this game something with a little meat to it that might get you excited about this opportunity and no we’re not looking at the dog this game open up 86% of the bets and 78% of the cash came in on Portland the lines moved a full point 13s and 13 and a halfs now even though all that money is coming in they’re making it more attractive to bet on Portland and the total swelling from 135 and a half to 140 and a half so you had five points of movement 77% of the bets and 73% of the cash on the over and it’s moved in that direction expecting points points and more points um but overall I mean I’m not sure I get down with that you got four straight unders for this Kent State team Portland so bad though that their opponents are having a field day with them and that’s not going to change tonight uh they did take down Denver 100 101 to 90 crazy 50 full points over the total they lost to Princeton 9467 they lost to Ohio a Max schal 85 to 73 and and it’s so important to notate when you’ve got those conference components because teams are built to play within their conference and those gaps when they go out of conference tend to exist in all of those same programs so I’m benchmarking this Portland team against Ohio and that disgusting loss and thinking Ken State should have a tremendous matchup advantage against these guys they just came off of beating up Kennesaw they lost to Irvine 5139 it’s like a first half score it’s like a like a women’s college basketball score 5139 but they figured it out they got right they go out there they beat Kennesaw 6760 the big trend for you guys on this one H let me make sure I can find it now I don’t want to set it up and then let everybody down again here felt like I did that earlier and yet here I am oh boy bear with me bear with me bear with me what the [ __ ] 7M start it’s gonna pop off here just a minute right now but home teams on a hom stand versus a poor shooting team 70 27 and 21 against the spread think about the sight lines changing because you’re on the road and you’re a bad team to begin with that doesn’t shoot well that home team in a home stand this is going to be the third straight home game for Kent State and it puts him at 77 and 21 kicking ass taking names we’re going to run right with them as well uh you’re going to lay some number you are going to lay some number it’s eight and two and its last 10 but 13 points margin of victory in that spot’s over six 6.2 plenty of margin to work with on that thing and that’s going to be the way we close the show Kent State minus 13 against Portland lay the wood don’t worry about it don’t think twice remot says lashes give up just 61 points per game and their specialty as defense outside Shooters which Portland features Davis has a big night for Kent State I agree I agree I I don’t know about the defense though but uh we’ll see minus 13 we got a big beefy trend on it appreciate all you guys rocking with us here tonight uh and we got it in we got all these plays knocked out now it’s just a matter of having a cocktail waiting to see if they cash dler 23 says let’s rock tomorrow on the UFC Wagers let me say let me share this with you guys I don’t know why I don’t know why I will tell you who it is but I don’t know why uh go down this is the bet the NFL player the touchdown prop the most the second most guy the second most guy bet in touchdown props in the NFL crazy that has not scored this season not scored ever outside of the NFL apprentice apprentice apprentice for the New Orleans Saints p r n t i c the second most heavily bet touchdown prop on the card this weekend Apprentice earlier today he was plus 2400 he’s now plus 2300 over at fandal I bet him I also got him in that parley I told you guys about so do with that information what you will I hope you guys enjoy a great Friday night good luck with your action make sure you tune in tomorrow morning the morning steam with Ramone Scott at 900 a.m. then we’ll be rocking at 5:30 P get back get ready to attack the books the UFC is back I believe it’s UFC 310 they’re in Vegas it looks like an excellent fight card and I’ll share with you that parlay $100 to win 50k going to be a fun night I can’t wait good luck with everyone’s action tonight thank you guys for coming in here on the regular with us the gifted memberships from old e and Grandma horse racing mean an absolute ton we appreciate your support and helping us grow this community we are listener supported every time you guys help bring in a new member means a ton to everybody here so on behalf of the entire Sports Money crew thank you to oldie Grandma horse racing and all the rest you guys I hope you have a terrific Friday night Get Ready Get Set Saturday is going to be a banger we’ll see you guys there good luck Monday to Friday 600 p.m. we don’t stop braing sleep or snow Curtis blow flow [ __ ] all you haters make a [ __ ] using best simulators [ __ ] cashing in all we want to do is win put the juice in the chin now it’s time to begin [ __ ] the books they can take it on the chin surrendering div don’t [ __ ] with the show with capping and with slapping and stacking cash and they won’t know what happen PR gaming and others they seem lame like able meet pain a bullet to the brain we don’t give a [ __ ] like I’m back and I’m joined with my guys oh got to fight going to fight fight fight
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