📅 Published on: 2024-12-20 16:48:43
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The Sleepers preview the Michigan State vs. FAU game! PRESENTED BY MyBookie! Double your first deposit with promo code …
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today’s video is brought to you by diers Pro the ultimate platform for serious college basketball fans and betters like me and just in time for the holidays diers pro has the best offer they have ever had it’s now 50% off from December 20th to January 6th if you use code Sleepers at checkout you get access to all the tools that you need for the college basketball Christmas slate with diers Pro you unlock Best Bets props our parlay picker and the brand new dier signals feature to identify top plays for every match match up you don’t want to miss this holiday deal if you’ve been thinking about jumping on board with divers Pro now is definitely the time to do it it’s the best offer that they have made available use code Sleepers for 50% off and bring your college basketball betting game to the next level with dimer Pro jakus come out to play jakus uh yeah if you don’t know this John jais is my mortal enemy uh Florida Atlantic’s new head coach he took over for Dusty may my head coach John jacis comes from Baylor where he coached with Scott drew good offensive guy all of that but jakus made all these splashes in the summer basically uh applauding himself he stood up for a round of applause at his intro press conference because he was bragging that none of the previous Florida Atlantic players had hit the portal yet he was like what how impressive is it nobody’s in the portal I don’t know if you’ve noticed and every all these donors stood up and we like w and then the next day Vlad golden John El Davis and Elijah Martin all hit the portal so uh I’ve always clowned jacis for that I have to come to terms with this this Florida Atlantic team has some substance to them they’re seven and five on the season they’re top 100 on kmom they’re 92nd in the country they are a good fun offense that’s how I would describe this team they play fast it’s very Bor offy like there there’s a lot of yards on the court there’s a lot of Threes being shot there’s a lot of Threes being made they don’t really turn it over good offense all the questions come in on the defensive side but they’ve got some players to watch uh this season their best win was Liberty they beat Oklahoma State on a neutral all of their losses have come to relatively decent opponents and uh by close close margins as well double overtime game against Charleston six-point loss at UCF two-point loss to Drake two-point loss to Florida G Coast so uh for the most part this team has my full attention and uh Michigan State a team that’s definitely better than FAU but you know not this isn’t a cupcake free Christmas matchup this is one that would have my full attention Dion you’re in for Carter today Carter had to be pulled into some work stuff so uh where are you at with this matchup um in honor of cart I want to say the first thing that needs to happen is we need a lot less number 15 on the court that’s something cart tweet out every game do you know who number 15 is Carson Cooper right yeah good job good job yeah but we we need a lot less 15 on the court I think we need a lot like Xavier Booker seems to be coming into his own I feel like I’ve made a lot of jokes at his expense um for still being at Michigan State seemingly looking like he’s going to be there again next year uh he was phenomenal against Oakland last game 18.6 rebounds 5- n shooting um I have am a jce Richardson supporter this man needs to play more basketball in Michigan State I I get it they got him the 20 minutes uh no one played over 25 minutes it was a blowout Victory but he’s your best player right now best player needs to be on the court yeah yeah it’ll be interesting to track that because kind of the whole question with Michigan State right now is are they gonna keep such a deep bench or are they going to change a little bit and uh I’m not exact L sure what it’s going to be but we’ll kind of wait and see here um Florida Atlantic is interesting for for a couple of reasons to me because they are nearly as deep as Michigan State now they don’t go 10 Deep but they go eight deep and they don’t play anybody 30 minutes a game excuse me so you know I’ve always long been a proponent it’s better to have five great players than than 10 good ones Michigan State’s kind of pushing me back on that I don’t think there is a great player on this Michigan State team but I know they have 10 good ones and they all play 25 minutes a game and everybody stays fresh and everybody’s happy FAU does a similar thing but with eight guys at between 15 and 29 minutes a game nobody plays 30 minutes a game they’re very balanced they have all eight of those players scoring eight and a half points a game or more everybody’s between eight points and 13 points so uh for the first time this season you know stylistically it’s different but I think Michigan state is running up against a team that will use their bench as much as Michigan state does and the balance right like the anybody can beat you thing that’s absolutely true with FAU just as much as it is with Michigan State How concerned should Michigan State be that uh maybe their trick of you don’t know who it’s going to be tonight applies to their opponent too in this game I think I think they should only be concerned because Michigan State’s trick of like you don’t know who it could be tonight um we also know whoever it is probably won’t be able to shoot so like it it doesn’t matter which person you put it to the game they’re gonna miss a lot of Threes uh versus FAU we don’t know who it’s gonna be they got some Shooters on that team um so I think I think the bigger fear for Michigan State should kind of be like like it goes with any game are you going to be able to shoot which brings me back to why are Xavier Booker and Jace Richardson not playing more they combined to be four of seven from three the rest of the team was two of 10 yeah get these guys in the game and you have a lot less issues in my opinion yeah Booker is emerging I think we’re gonna see him more I think uh one of the issues with book which we talked about in the recap was like to me Ker’s been Michigan State’s best player and Ker’s playing a lot at the four right now so iso’s gonna have to kind of put one of the two at the Five Spot in order to play them both together and get more minutes for Booker but I don’t think he likes doing that for defensive reasons and zapala has been pretty good too so I don’t know it’ll be interesting to see um Personnel wise for FAU I want to talk about some of their players real quick um names that people may remember if you’re just a generic college basketball fan here Kai Kai tand is in his sixth year of college basketball he played four years at Xavier and uh he is in theory one of the more Dynamic guards on this FAU team he was all Conference USA a couple years ago he’s Big East all freshman like six years ago pre pandemic uh he’s actually been playing he’s probably the second best guard in this team behind Leland Walker Leland Walker also a transfer comes in from Eastern Kentucky he’s been their best guy their leading scorer is Caleb Glenn who’s one of the only guys on this team um that I feel like is an imposing front Court threat now Caleb Glenn started at Louisville all these guys transferred Baba Miller was another uh High major guy Florida state two years true seven foot type Baba Miller he was really not good at Florida State and he’s been surprisingly imposing at FAU and then uh a name Big 10 name should know Nico morti comes over from Illinois after being a bench warmer he’s been like a four assists game guy from FAU probably the best passer on the team so again none of those names are like wow names you’re not coming away from me going through those names like oh we got to worry about this guy like uh I forget who Michigan State played earlier this year but there was the one big Center who was just torching them there’s nobody on this team that’s going to do that but they can exploit a weak spot right they can kind of find the right matchup and much like Michigan state will you don’t know if it’s GNA be Akens or Coler Booker fears you have no idea which FAU player is going to show up that some of the parts is always greater than the hole what’s that phrase the hole is greater than the parts something like that so I thought something like that uh you didn’t mention Cohen Carr though no I’m just kidding my bad breakout half court sensation Cohen Carr uh he is going to be an athletic mismatch for everybody on fa yeah just like he is for every other game including Oakland where he was 0 of four two points five hey he’s he’s coming along strides are being made he’s he’s he’s really making an impact um okay damn it man damn it uh so you mentioned three-point shooting this is what I’m circling because you can go up and down the uh the profiles of these teams and it’s a lot of strength on strength right Michigan State scores a lot at The Rim good two-point offense fa’s two-point defense is like the only good part of their defense uh fa is pretty good everywhere offensively and Michigan State’s pretty great everywhere defensively the one thing that is not strength on strength and is instead weakness on weakness is Michigan State’s three-point shooting versus fa’s three-point def defense this is one of the worst three-point defenses in all of college basketball opponents are shooting 40% from three against FAU Michigan state is shooting only 27% from three on the season now that’s up they’ve been more like 35 36% the last three or four games so I still think we don’t know what the real shooting meter is for Michigan State certainly looks like they’re trending like last year where they’re just going to end up okay from three after being really bad for a month but uh in theory a team that can’t shoot versus a team that can’t guard anybody from three who do you give the advantage to um well I go two ways with it one from the Michigan State perspective I do think there’s lineups that can shoot as a whole I don’t think they can shoot the lineups is those running out there definitely can’t shoot but there is lineups you can deploy that can shoot if you’re Michigan State it just might take away some defensively from an FAU perspective not going to pretend I’ve watched a ton of FAU games but I have watched one um we bet on Indiana uh against I believe it was uh Northwestern like a week or so ago something like that and you were like yeah that team just packs the pain and lets you shoot threes Indiana can’t shoot I forget who they were playing um that’s FAU 90% of the reason FAU is like allowing teams to score 40% three from what I’ve seen is it’s just like cool you can go ahead and shoot those we’ll see if you make it um to me both their weaknesses are easily solved um I think if I’m Michigan State I just deploy a lineup with Booker at the five for a few minutes to kind of make them come guard you and then you get back to what you want to do I think Michigan State definitely has the advantage in that uh in that um competition I guess you could say because they have lineups that genuinely can shoot if they need to go to them yeah yeah the one other thing I would say you look back through the schedule the one team Michigan State played that really basically said like oh you can beat us from three see what happens that was Nebraska right Nebraska’s whole thing is we were not going to let you get off at The Rim just shoot threes and Nebraska’s three-point defense on the year actually pretty good somehow despite that being the the matchup that shows you the three-point percentages are fluky like teams making or missing threes is not always a a direct representation of who they are right Michigan State’s a way better shooting team than what they have shot this year I think FAU has had some poor luck defensively on teams making threes so we’ll see where it averages out here but uh I guess that’s a data point towards maybe you like this match up at home at the Bren Center for Michigan State given you know the one team with a an iffy three-point defense or a strategy to give up threes Michigan stay torched in the past um only thing FAU they don’t they don’t really like dare teams to shoot I would say schematically they’re just not good at covering it and I think part of that is that they’re they’re kind of small I don’t think they have any great perimeter Defenders it’s not going to be like Nebraska where it’s like wide open threes it’s just more we aren’t a great defense than it is schematic you know what I mean yeah yeah I I don’t I don’t think it’s like by the way Nebraska is definitely who Indiana was playing too 100 100% Who Indiana was playing uh but yeah I’m kind of curious where this goes because like like I said like three like you said three points are fluky I also genuinely think you could put a fiveman group out there from Michigan State where four of the five can shoot yeah and you have to guard them who’s the best player in this game jaay Richardson okay so you’re just no no hesitation there because Jay has been quiet the last couple games yeah but he makes even when Jace is quiet he’s making the correct basketball play yeah um like everything he does is it is the play you want him to make he’s not making a crazy amount of mistakes which I think is the difference between him and everybody else that makes sense yeah I was intrigued because there’s an argument uh it’s Akin Akin and Caleb Glenn’s stats this year fau’s Le score are remarkably similar they both average 13 and four so I I would hear an argument for Glenn being the best player I would hear an argument for Akens I would hear an argument for Jace I would hear an argument for kler this is that that this is my point everybody’s good in this game nobody’s great and that’s a weird like like against an opponent that does that same thing I’m very interested in where this matchup goes because I could see it one of two ways path number one Michigan State just has the better players at every spot and they’re both trying to do the same thing but Michigan state has better players so you comfortably win or it’s a little different right because you you see a team that can do all the same things you can do except they FAU can shoot a little bit and maybe Michigan State goes cold and FAU doesn’t and all of a sudden you’re looking up and this one’s a little dicey so we’ll see let’s get to predictions dimer Pro is our partner for all game previews this season diers Pro Predictive Analytics model that simulates every game thousands at times gives you the exact predicted final score the player props to bet I use it to inform all my bets in my bookie it’s truly the greatest resource in college basketball promo code sleepers you get 20% off the first month of diers pro they’re also running a special holiday promo right now that I talked about at the beginning of this video in the ad read that uh jumps this up from 20% to 50% so you’re going to want to take advantage of that but for now diers Pro doesn’t have a prediction out for this game yet because the sports book doesn’t have lines out so we’ll use the kenpom Line Michigan State by 13 over FAU Dion what do you got I like FAU in that spot that feels like a lot of points for a Michigan State team that we don’t know what we’ll get from them um I I and I’m saying this under the assumption it’s Coler and zapala for the majority of the game uh that’s where I think it’s plus 13 if um Booker gets eats into some of their minutes then I I like Michigan State in this one but just with what you said FAU strengths versus fa’s weaknesses this leans more towards an Xavier Booker game to me than it does theala or ker um so it kind of depends on what ISO does but on paper I think I like FAU based off strengths and weakness okay um reasons for optimism for Michigan State here they’ve been good against top 100 teams like they they beat Colorado by 16 they beat Nebraska by 37 so like they’ve proven capable of creating separation against quote unquote like top 100 not top 50 opponents um I’ve been on Michigan State side I think I picked them to cover against Minnesota and Nebraska and Oakland I’ve picked them three straight games I believe they have covered three straight games it’s a sell High spot here I’m taking FAU to cover I said this in a different video fau’s next two games they are at Michigan State and then they’re at home against Memphis take this however you want but I think FAU gets one of these two games and if I’m Michigan State I would be very careful with this one because bottom line profile wise FAU strengths map with all of Michigan State strengths like the the only thing preventing this FAU team from being a top 50 team in the country is their three-point defense and I’m not positive that Michigan State’s three-point shooting is going to exploit that um they’re just as deep as them they’re you know they have a true seven-footer and Baba Miller down low they have a lot of three guard lineups they’re going to be comfortable playing guards with so uh I if I had to put my finger on it give me Michigan State by six I think uh Michigan State probably due for a little bit of a come down performance and I think it’s still going to be enough to win but I really I wouldn’t be that surprised if FAU steals this one uh and I think they will get one of the next two can I add a bit yes I’ve been killing on player props every level Jackson ker under points rebounds assists oh wow why uh like I said I think this is a Booker game i b Bas off everything you said like I feel like they have to go to Booker early I also just think what ker is trying to do is an fa strength so with zala in the game it’s offsetting Michigan State could blow them out kler plays 20 plus minutes it just doesn’t feel like a game where ker is GNA get off yeah okay I guess we’ll see um with that said go green in this game I don’t know if State fans will let me say that but uh I hope that you bury John jaus and pour dirt on him that’s what I happened or what I hope happens here I hope Michigan State wins by 40 give me Michigan State by six this video is brought to you by my bookie the presenting sponsor of all things sleepers media and our favorite sports book on the planet cart why do you love my bookie because they make it easy to play your way and get paid Greg I’m a simple man at heart and my bookie makes it very very easy for me to place all types of bets on all sporting events player props whatever you need my bookie has it if you ever found yourself having having that little thought bubble above your head I want to bet like sleepers media look no further it’s with my bookie and they have a massive insane deposit bonus right now available tell the folks about that Gregory promo code sleepers Link in the description of every video on the Channel with promo code sleepers as a firsttime depositor you can double your 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