📅 Published on: 2024-12-18 19:02:59
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how you doing everybody it’s wardy here and we’re back at it breaking down the L of Mets and I know you’re already going to say it wardy you’ve been a pessimist on the Mets trying to potentially land Burns this offseason what has changed great question because things have changed information has been relayed over the past 48 hours or so that we’re going to highlight in a second which further gives us a reason to believe the Mets not only have a chance to now sign Corbin Burns potentially but they actually might even be in the driver’s seat to land Corbin Burns depending on what we’re about to break down here in a second so let me see your initial reactions in the comments down below everybody are you for or against pursuing Corbin Birds this offseason as we’re going to Deep dive all the pros the cons everything in between about his game what has changed for David Sterns the Mets potentially in their pursuit of Corbin burn should have happened and ultimately what are the chances or lack there of ofan the coveted Ace there available in the fre agan Market is what we’re going to Deep dive right here right now so thank you guys so much for smashing like And subscribe on as you first chiming in also thank you so much for hearing from our amazing sponsor at bet us that has you covered what all your sports Betty needs head over to betus.com.pa today folks that way you two can get a 1 150% bonus on your first deposit with our amazing promo code at YouTube 150 along with a 125 bonus after your second and third deposits up to $2,000 and folks if you know me you know I’m a big Nicks fan I’m biasly hammering my New York Knicks night there at the minus 110 odds there at plus 2 and a half which means that they have to make sure that they win the game out right or make sure that they don’t lose by more than 2 and a half points against the Minnesota timber WS in Minnesota against yes Julius Randall and Dante Devan chenzo the first regular season match up between the two in Carl Anthony towns I think CAD is going to be an absolute Menace tonight I’m very excited for this game which I’ll be watching live like many of you Nicks fans so if you guys want to tail my bet outright for the Knicks to either win or make sure they don’t lose by more than a couple points Hammer that 110 to win 100 a 210 total should the Knicks hammer on this bet and come out winning if you guys again want a tail please know I’m not a sports betting expert just a Die Hard fan that loves to play daily bets here at bet us but good luck to everybody that tails and please know that again I’m a big Knicks fan so I’m feeling excited more than anything I am biased with this specific bet so bear that in mind but as we hop back in this one now everybody let’s get into the Lays here as we emphasize what Corbin Burns because Corbin Birds is one of these guys I’ve relayed for a while now how if he’s going to land with the Mets is going to need to be in a very specific way because otherwise there is just endless reasons to believe not only what’s been widely reported at this point but what we know what common sense David Stern has proven to not be a long-term starting pitching type unless he is going after a yoshinobi Yamoto that’s 25 years of age that fits the short and long-term bill that that is really the only exception to do long-term contract for starters at least in the eyes of David Sterns that we know reportedly to this point but David Stern who knows Corbin Corbin Burns better than any other executive in Major League Baseball outside the Brewers organization clearly has a reason as to why he has not went Absolut bananas after Burns reportedly in the frager Mark at this point Point especially with that longterm ask but if that longterm changes the short term that’s where we have ourselves a completely and I mean completely different discussion let’s listen in there from one of the best in the game in Ken Rosenthal of the athletic and there that we see for MLB wide coverage on the latest with Corbin burns from a couple days ago perou territory check it out guys if you haven’t already but just to emphasize a bit on Corbin Burns and the latest with his Market in his humble opinion that being in Canen where is this going is he going to get his I don’t know 7year $250 million deal he doesn’t have it yet obviously because otherwise he would be signed and the question I have is is it going to get to the point where maybe he is a three-year High aav opt out guy what I’m thinking is three years times 45 million that’s 135 million for three years with an opt out after every year it’s kind of like what Snell did last year with the Giants remember he had a high aav and the ability to opt out it was 2 years 2 million he turned it into a 5year $182 million deal on top of the 31 that was what six and 213 something like that pretty good so Ken Rosenthal emphasizes the short-term High AEV aspect as something that could happen for Corbin Burns that he is currently pondering depending on his Market I know that Ken looks a little too wide-eyed there so we’re going to go back to the burns highlights I’m cracking myself up folks I apologize and listen we all know how talented Corbin Burns is I think that’s the main reason why a lot of Mets fans have thrown some flak in the way of David Sterns for not going out and Landing a true race at least at this point in time now I have the utmost confidence in David Sterns that goes without saying the same way that I have a lot of confidence in Corbin Burns if the Mets are able to land him and as someone who has been very pessimistic on trying to land Burns’s off season I’m here to tell you that if Burns’s Market does shrink to the point where he is better suited on a high a short-term deal let’s say exactly what Ken said himself 3 years 4 finl a essentially what you got in MA Scherzer and J Verlander with the Mets a couple years ago no team understands that respective structure of a contract High AV for a starter than the Mets do no one understands that better especially when looking at opt outs as well the Blake Snell comparison is interesting to me when you consider Blake Snell and Corbin Burns don’t come from the same resume right Snell has not been a Innings eater every single year in his career but when he has been when he has been able to throw a certain amount of innings he has been a S Young calber pitcher in the case of burn he has managed to not only stay healthy but stay pretty consistent throughout his career now is one and potentially only year in Baltimore posting a sub threee Ray just disgusting numbers that you guys see down Bel we broken down Burns at Great length already but in a short-term High a situation this is where the Mets are finding themselves in the driver’s seat because I know you might say Wy listen Corbin Burns why would he take a short-term High a deal the great question and I think the simple answer is it would be based on his Market if Burns cannot get the 7 to8 years of$ 250 to 300 million that he’s looking for right now in this market he may be far more inclined to go the shorter term route knowing that he can again say opt to have a contract a year from now and then look for a bigger payday then because the suitors are more appealing because right now there aren’t a lot of teams that are heavily involved for Corbin Burns reportedly it’s headlined by the San Francisco Giants in which they feel like they make the most sense for burns as someone who apparently has had a widespread uh uh Parton me emphasis on potentially going back out west where he grew up that would make a lot of sense similar to even Trevor Bower when the Met those sweep Stakes north of four years ago that we covered on the platform Bower went to the daughters even after a higher a was sent by the Mets simply because of not only how the Mets were not established then but because he grew up a Cali native grew up a dogter fan new agree and made sense in that contract structure eerily similar to what we would potentially see in Corbin Burns High EV on a short-term deal that’s where David Stern a man who knows Corbin Burns and his game greatly during their time and Milwaukee together can certainly sign up and be a part of this short-term High a vision now the cons in something like this are as simple as okay you don’t have any long-term commitment with burn so if he is an ace for you and helps you try to win a World Series next year he might walk in that be that that’s true but then the Mets can make the respective decision to try to bring him back long term or opt elsewhere because they have confidence in their in-house options and their pitching lab that they’re building each and every year now I know a big questions that some of you guys may have is wardy you have been saying all on that the reason why the Mets will likely not get Nick piveta is because of the third and sixth round picks that they’d have to cough up and signing him via the fact that he denied the qualifying offer at $21.5 Million by the Red Sox that is true but the reason why this is a very different circumstance in the opinion not only mine and the opinions of many is simply that this is Corbin Burns an ace caliber starter as good as Nick Peta is and I really love his K toalk ratio I love the expected numbers but Nick Peta is not Corbin Burns we know for certain what we would be getting in Corin Burns next season as an ace cber starter to parong with kodai Singa to headline this rotation whereas Nick PETA you don’t know what you’re getting consistency wise to the same degree and Nick Peta as you would be in Burns so even if it is a one-year investment technically and he Ops out a year from now based on that respective Contra contract structure that the Mets may offer burns his way at short-term High AV even if that happens the value in landing Burns in one year alone I think supersedes any other guy out there in the market not named Roki Sasaki right if we separate susaki cuz those are completely different sweep sticks that don’t factor in this this is not the same money that you’re spending is the IFA pull there in the international fre agent signing bonus period whereas what we have in the Mets here right now is just normal fre Agency for so for burns again if he’s looking to go to a team that can give him a great chance to win next season if he’s looking to also maximize his value I will go on a limit say that no one is going to throw him the same AV that the Mets would be willing to do and especially if you’re going to give up a third and a six round pick for any player outside of what the comps did that the Mets did part me and giving up Those comp picks for Juan s already it has to be for a guy worthy of it especially if it’s going to be shortterm very few none I should actually argue check off the boxes the way that Corbin Burns does he fits the immediate need as an ace cobber starting this rotation yes he may have a preference to go out west so even if the Mets say are in a driver’s seat to land him short-term hiive for all we know maybe he takes a similar if not a little bit lesser value there to be with the San Francisco Giants a 2.0 what Blake snow did last year on that one-year deal opted out and then got a massive contract there with the LA with a ridiculous signing bonus in the case of burns however he may go down that same route and want to play out west at least for one year and see how he fares and that’s completely understandable but the Mets do have any chance in this I would say their chances are now far greater than ever before because of what we just relayed the current connection with David Stern I wonder how positive a relationship the two have because I’m sure it’s there’s nothing wrong there but I’m really curious to see how much pster could potentially have in negotiations should they be acely talking to Burns among other players now the WID belief is that the burns is pretty much an afterthought to the Mets in the sense of that long-term aspect the Mets are never going 7 eight years for Corbin Burns nor should they I think there’s a lot of reasons as to why you shouldn’t do that for someone like him and I think we’ve seen countless examples as to how long-term contract especially on the pitching end might not only always meet the eye once you actually see how it starts up right but in the case of Burns and his value and how he separate himself as that lone Ace ofil in the Fran Market because he is not sham manah he is not Walker beer he’s not Nick PETA and it’s separate from Roki suzaki he’s better than all those that we know publicly to this point that we’ve seen over the years Burns has been consistent the K to walk ratio has been strong even though we know that the K’s H have continued to start to steadily decline the K uh K per9 that we’ve seen over the past couple years but he’s still been able to Garner a tremendous amount of swing and Miss which has been awesome to see as you guys can further see from Burns’s number here numbers here per baseball Savon again he’s in the 90th plus percenti like everything 98th percenti pitch and run value 9 in fastball run value 88 there in Breaking run value 77th in expected year R 91st in fast ball velocity sits 970 touches High 90s there average ex of velocity doesn’t give up much at all 81st percentile 89th in Chase percentage 51st there in K percentage so just above League average because again the K rate has steadily declined over the past couple years that’s something make not of I don’t like how Burns grades out long term but I love him on the shorter term end what we see there in the whip percentage at 74th percentile walk percent 80th 70th in the barrel percentage 95th in the hard hit percentage he doesn’t give up hard hard contact whatsoever and we see ground ball percentage 81st percentile we know how much David Sterns and this met pitching staff has built themselves to a degree on ground ball pitchers Corbin burns with Francisco Lor would do wanders the Mets go out of the way and somehow some way Landing Alex bregman or a more defensively minded third baseman that’s an upgrade over Vientos there with viento still playing every day at firstand or DH that would sh up defense to a greater magnitude than we’ve seen at this point there are a there is a lot of potential in Corbin burns with the Mets on quite literally being a World Series caliber team right away for 2025 if you land Burns to help solidify and fortify this rotation the Mets are one of the best teams already in the National League you can argue that they will go toe-to-toe with anyone they the an at least in the Braves in the Phillies and even to an extent in the Nationals I will be young and hungry and it’s certainly feisty this season uh but I really do like how the Mets set themselves up here on the shorter ter men versus the pessimism which comes with the long ter belief now as we emphasize the opt outs and I also would like to apologize folks if you hear any chirping for whatever reason I do have my window open I just heard some crows out there yapping as we speak so I apologize if you hear anything uh through the mic here but the opt outs are important as well because again 45 mil average and value is a boatload of money but especially if you give player full control where they can dictate how long they want to stay here and stay a three or foure stretch I mean I think that’s the best of both worlds for both sides in the Mets case they have no long-term commitment and Burns’s case he knows he’s going to a shire guaranteed thing of a not only playoff caliber but a World Series caliber team right now it’s also going to help put him on the map and Burns wants to continue to prioritize dollars one sad mistake that he has fell in has been being a part of smaller Market organizations the Brewers do not help your stock at all because they’re the Brewers the Orioles only help you so much when they’re not even showing a willingness to spend the way that we thought with their new ownership to this point and in the case of burns he’s never played in a big Market before if he fared well in New York for a year just imagine how much much bigger of a bag he would get a year from now especially if Burns heavily factors into a deep playoff Run for the Mets in 2025 with juodo with Francisco londor with kodai Sango with hopefully the reunion in polar bear pet Lonzo and everyone else in company I really like how the Mets have set themselves up versus maybe some other teams actively pursuing Corbin Burns so simply put to pit a pin on this everybody if the Mets find themselves in the market as they’re currently playing the LA game right now for sha manah for Peter Lonzo and others because they know that their prices are going to start to come down should that continue to be the case with Burns as we get throughout the remainder of December into January there is a greater belief that burns will not get the contract he initially wanted at 78 years and may have to opt for a shortterm high a or settle for less longer term than what he initially wanted and there’s one thing I know about Corbin Burns speaking to someone who knows him very well on Wolf salmon who covers the Mets through the athletic we had him in a previous live stream over the past week on the platform and he knows Corbin Burns very well during his time covering the Brewers on the beat there at the time and he noted how much BRS has been looking forward to hitting the frager market and how much he’s really emphasizing to do what is best for him and his family’s future he has an emphasis on the farm he has an emphasis on Player Development he has an emphasis on the team’s current status and future all boxes are checked off beautifully in the Met’s favor what is not in their favorite is location that is exactly why Burns does not come here but sign short-term elsewhere I’m going to go on Limb and say it’s going to be somewhere in California baring changes so that is what I’ll leave you with everybody let me know in the comments down below how do you feel about Corin MN and the Mets signing him because again if it if it’s going to happen if it may actually happen it’s going to come more than likely only in this possibility there’s really no other realm at this point in time that we could try to Fathom as it actually happening especially long term I just don’t see it so let me know how you guys feel in the comments down below if you’re for or against the pursuit of Corbin Burns what you like about him maybe what you don’t like about him and ultimately what do you anticipate the Mets to do for the pitching this offseason do you think they’re going to land a starter via trade and for agency do you think they’re going to land just a starter via the Frasier Market or both do you think they’re going to land a starter in the trade market that be that and do nothing else whatever your thoughts are on the Mets and the latest one it comes to them and what is next significantly after wotto drop them down below thank you again for watching and this is your guy W signing out let’s go Mets baby peace out folks have a great one
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