π Published on: 2024-11-24 19:32:55
β± Duration: 00:09:29 (569 seconds)
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π Video Description:
Will and JJ breaks down everything you need to know about Best Bets on Sunday Night Football Week 12 of 2024 Season
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0:00 Introduction
1:16 LAR Offense Analysis
2:53 PHI Offense Analysis
7:09 Parlay of the Night
Music Credit on Intro: HoneyJam Records
π Channel: Masterclass Analytics
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π΅οΈββοΈ Transcript:
what is up everybody I’m doc I’m with my man JJ and we got Sunday Night Football tonight Eagles and Rams on Thursday we didn’t do so hot but we were getting all our bad luck out of the way in one game so we could save it all for a nice parlay cash on this one we’re going to break the game down and give you guys the parlay at the end so make sure you watch all the way [Music] through welcome in everybody Rams Eagles me and J were talking about like the schedule looking forward on Thursday and we’re excited for this one so JJ how are we feeling you know I’m feeling great I feel like this is going to be like just pure football is gonna be a great game to watch I think betting wise is gonna be just as good oh 100% And just to break some things down real quick ncua and cup should both be playing this year which we haven’t been able to say for too many of the games this year and Devonte Smith is actually going to be out for the Eagles so while one wide receiver room is getting healthier the other one didn’t get Health this week and then uh Sean McVey is going to be doing his thing with all his weapons available to him and then who knows what we’re going to be getting with serani it’s like spinning a wheel every week so uh we’ll start off with the Ram side JJ what are you seeing there yeah with the Rams side I think offensively it’s probably going to be through the air that Eagles run defense has been really good as of late ever since that bye whatever they did they just got everything C cck and maybe it was just a chemistry thing and you know being on the same page but whatever they did is working um they are still tough to throw against through the air as far as like the deep and middle uh middle of the field uh Mitchell has been dominant uh I’ll have you talk a little bit about that in a second but I mean you’re gonna have to move the ball somehow but when you got puka nula and Cooper cup like even though you’re facing a great defense you’re still going to be able to move the ball some and it’s going to be through those two guys but I know you seen something that you want to Target I mean the main thing that I want to Target in this game is Just keenon Mitchell while I do want to pump the brakes on the hype on him a little bit people are comparing him to rivus Island and that was a different level of cornerback play and it will be in proven otherwise he’s probably going to be on puka since puka is more on the outside and I think that’s going to free up Cooper cup a lot like JJ saying that defense is pretty [ __ ] Elite right now but we’re also talking about a Sean McVey calling an offense and you can only keep him down for so long if the Rams are able to string together a couple good drives I think it’s gonna have to be through cup KY will be kyn but that run defense is the lead and with puka getting that Kenyan Mitchell matchup I think cup is just he has to have a good day if they want to be able to get in scoring position so I think it’s a cup day let’s get to the eagle side yep all right so the only thing I really have to share there is Devonte Smith is out and everybody’s going to turn their eyes to AJ Brown rightfully so one thing I do want to mention is everybody wanted to Hype up Jan doson when AJ Brown went down and then he disappointed and everybody was like okay he’s Johan dodson’s washed that was never gonna be Johan Dawson’s role if we’re being completely honest when he was at his best even in Washington he was playing uh the slot role a little bit of flanker he was never the X receiver so an AJ Brown went down as long as Devonte Smith wasn’t moving out to ex receiver which he did Dawson was never going to get that big of a boost but now that Devonte Smith is the one out as long as Johan doson keeps getting the snaps that is where his addition could be affecting the game a little bit more his lines are plus money at one and a half receptions 12 and a half receiving yards I think both of those do have value and I think now is when we see okay what was the purpose of trading for him this is kind of when it’s supposed to show up at least but I mean we’re also how do you just not throw to AJ Brown every time the dude’s always open he’s a physical freak I mean and that’s really all I have on that side of the ball yeah when you look at the Rams defense they just continuously give up the Deep ball and that’s all AJ Brown this uh this Rams defense does get pressure on the quarterback though that’s been like one of the major things with that we did not expect them to do uh one of their rookie pieces has been great I’m blanking on the name but we just did not expect this Rams defense to get pressure like this without Aaron Donald but here we are and the guy that has been getting targeted if you look at the weeks uh AJ Brown and Devonte Smith played which is weeks one and then six and up until now it’s just been all AJ Brown he had 11 targets compared to Devonte Smith’s too so I mean that says all you need to know you want to remind every one of who had more targets than uh Devonte Smith yeah AJ BR no there was somebody else oh oh yeah uh the boy that we was just talking about D dson yeah if joh was out targeting him before D Devonte Smith in these circumstances what’s he gonna do without Devonte Smith who who knows but I’m I’m on I’m big on the Jan Dodson hyped today if he can’t get it done this week I’m I’m done with him I’ll reserve my right to keep hyping him up but this is this is his last draw for me I mean it’s probably gonna be his last draw from everybody but as far as everybody else uh Jaylen Herz I believe is playing to an injury I can’t remember which one but it should limit his mobility and when they bring pressure when pressure gets to him he actually doesn’t check it down that much and his scramble rate doesn’t move that much so combining those two things with the fact that he is a little bit injured uh I wouldn’t bet much on saquan receiving or Jaylen Herz rushing but that’s really all uh the rest of stuff sequan rushing is just gonna be sequan rushing yeah they’ve been leaning on the Run game a little bit more and you know I think that continues but they’re going to throw the Deep ball lot here too as well to expose that defense so I think with Sequon at this point D I really do think it’s just he sequan saquan so if you give him 20 touches no matter who the defense is he’ll break off a big win or two yep and like you it’s just a matter of how is that big one a 25 yard or a 45 yard and that’s who [ __ ] knows once it gets to that level there’s no value in his lines anymore with his lines in the N 95 rushing yards if you’re betting on that you’re basically betting on somebody to have the efficiency of 1,700 rushing yards in a season that’s a lot so like yeah sequan sequan but there’s just no value in the line itself but that’s all we really have should we get to the parlay let’s get to the parlay all right parlay time and we’re going for a little bit of a long shot we’ve done some plus 2000s and we’ve called those like Lotto type plays and we’ve done a lot of plus 300 plus 400 parlays that have been kind of our bread and butter we’ve been doing well with them but we feel pretty good about where the ball is going to be funneled and where the reads are for this game so we went a little extra we plus 735 without the Boost bandal was offering a 25% SGP boost so we got it up to plus 918 and the first leg we locked in was the LA Rams money line and that one’s a little bit of a system play against the spread home underdogs that are playing a team in prime time where the opponent won their previous game along with some extra like side little details they’re 32 and8 against the spread with a three-point spread you can keep the points give me the money line and let’s enjoy this one next up we got Matthew Stafford 250 plus receiving yard or passing yards sorry he’s hit this in his last I think 11 or maybe even 12 games where both puka and Cooper cup have played and every one of those except for one he actually went for 280 so considering how good the Eagles defense is will give it a little bit of a 30 yard discount but 250 with how McBay loves to utilize the pass game when everybody’s healthy is very low for him and next up Cooper cup over six and a half receptions Matthew Stafford is going to be passing the ball he’s got to pass to somebody and with pukan Nua getting the keenon Mitchell matchup I think uh Cup’s going to have to step up today and six and a half is a line that I think we can all agree is light work for cup if he actually gets utilized how we want him to and the last thing we’re going with is AJ Brown 80 plus receiving yards no Devonte Smith he gets a defense that’s bad against the Deep ball which is where he just absolutely obliterates teams and his hit rate on 80 plus when he’s healthy for the full game is pretty generous so all those together we’re looking at plus 9918 fandel let me put 50 on it so that’s what I put on it but obviously don’t put anything you’re not willing to lose is a plus 918 parlay at the end of the day other than that make sure you like subscribe if you enjoyed the video if you found any of this helpful make sure to follow us on Twitter if you haven’t already our tags are in the comments and good luck if you’re tailing hopefully on Monday morning we’re talking about of cash and we’ll be giving you guys another Monday Night Football parlay video good luck everybody
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