📅 Published on: 2024-11-28 17:00:06

⏱ Duration: 00:35:36 (2136 seconds)

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Unlock the secrets of NBA Fantasy Basketball with a deep dive into unique player statistics that could redefine your strategy. Discover how assist conversion percentages, passing volume changes, and shooting efficiencies can impact your fantasy league. Featuring insights on players like Jalen Suggs, Jordan Poole, and Tyrese Maxey, this episode is packed with data-driven analysis to give you an edge.

Join Josh Lloyd, the lead fantasy analyst at Basketball Monster, as he breaks down the numbers behind the game. Explore how Davion Mitchell’s increased passing volume or CJ McCollum’s rim finishing improvements could influence your next trade or waiver wire decision. Are you ready to rethink your approach to NBA Fantasy Basketball?

Don’t miss out on these game-changing insights—watch or listen now to elevate your fantasy basketball strategy!

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🕵️‍♂️ Transcript:

let’s do something a little bit different it’s Thanksgiving let’s dig into some stats that you just won’t find on any fantasy site you won’t see him anywhere but sometimes they tell a story maybe they don’t I don’t know we’re filling in some time Michael Bolton thanks Josh it’s Michael Bolton here and it’s time for another episode of the locked on Fantasy Basketball podcast let’s get to it let’s get to it indeed you are locked on fantasy your daily NBA fantasy podcast part of the locked on podcast Network your team every day hello and welcome to the locked on Fantasy Basketball podcast brought to you by basketball monster my name is Josh Lloyd and on this day that is turkey day over in the United States I guess we can all agree that the worst form of turkey is Turkish delight no not not not not the same thing anyway Turkish shots are bad I’m also the lead fantasy Analyst at basketball monster.com and you can find me on Blu sky at Josh lloyd. b.so on Twitter at Red roore bball on Tik Tok red roore bball and on Instagram at locked on Fantasy Basketball today’s episode is brought to you by fangel start the season with a big return on fangel new customers can place a $5 beton if you win that first $5 bet you get $150 in bonus bets go to f.com to get started also check out lock on.com and uh find your team and find your favorite teams newsletter sign up at loond da.com all of the best info for on your team deliver it to your inbox hit a thumb and a double bang on this one as well H thanks that’s not the right word Happy Thanksgiving is what I’m trying to say to those of you in the US that celebrate or anywhere around the world who may be former people from the US who live somewhere else I don’t care whatever if you celebrate Thanksgiving hope you have a good one time with family all that sort of stuff I’m recording this before the massive 14 games on Wednesday so some of the numbers will probably change a little bit but I’m not sure that’s that important to be honest what I wanted to look at and we did this show a couple of weeks ago when we had a day off for I’m going to say it was election day maybe maybe it was the one game Thursday we had we looked into some uh percentage changes over the over the seasons two pointers and three-pointers and free throws and yeah who was really sort of trending up and trending down and what was weird but I want to get into stuff that’s a little bit deeper this these numbers aren’t super hard to find but you’ll never find them on Yahoo you’ll never find them on fan tracks honestly we don’t we don’t display them at b monster but maybe it’s something we do in the future I don’t know but sometimes they go a a long way to understanding why some things happened and and what I try to do on this show is and and I do some of this and we talk about a lot we just what happened like what what just happened in a game and I’ll go through one on the recap show and I’ll give you the stats that someone had and I’ll say well this guy’s ranked here and all this sort of stuff but that’s all well and good and some people call for that hey why didn’t you praise this guy had a big game all right that’s cool but I’m not sure it does anything for our our movements looking forward and what we got to take out of it and where we move into all that stuff so I want to use this as a way to provide sort of analysis dig into some of the numbers forward project what could improve what might not improve what might fall back all that sort of stuff so there are a few things I want to look at here first part we’re going to look at is passing stuff second part we’re going to look at is different breakdowns of shooting and again I think that sort of stuff is hidden often and we don’t see it we don’t know we just need we know the end result versus knowing the recipe and I know that sounds confusing but confusing but stick with me we are going to talk about a bunch of stuff here which I think some of you will find interesting I hope some of you find interesting interesting I I’m going to say I created a that but I didn’t I just it’s very it’s the most basic thing you’ll ever find in terms of the assists cuz assists obviously a big category in fantasy we know they can be harder to find off the waiver wire and there things that can really Elevate or or or drop someone down in the rankings and I created something here I’ll just put it up on the screen I called it the assist conversion percentage basically I have a look at um every like the assist totals that a player gets plus potential assist and if you don’t know what a potential assist is a poti assist is when a player throws a pass that if the the shot had have gone in it would have counted as an assist now of course an assist only counts if the shot goes in but the pass is still there that’s creating that opportunity right so what I wanted to see is that for someone and that their all their complete and total assist chances which is converted assists plus potential assists how many of those actually became assists so that sort of working out what is a player doing in terms of passing and and to not not take out the impact of their teammates hitting shots because some of that is also passing related you get someone a wide open shot you get someone a shot at The Rim I didn’t go that granul into it that can change that sort of stuff in terms of percentages but it is worth looking at with some of these players to understand maybe there’s room for this to improve so these are the top six guys and I tried to do it through guys that are relatively fantasy relevant without you know the hey this guy’s 100% versus 0% that’s a lot of caveats here but I’ll go through the top six names here you’ve got jayen Suggs Jordan Paul tyres Maxi Anthony Edwards Victor wanyama and Drew holiday so what do I mean by that so jayen sugs for example last season 36% of all his assist opportunities which is assists plus potential assists 36% of those turned into actual assists he was not a high assist player last season we know that this season Jaylen sugs is playing more full-time point guard but the assists just aren’t Rising as much and I think you’ll be frustrated by that and we’ll talk about him a little bit more in a second as well suggsy but 29% of the passes that could be assists for him are being converted into assists it’s a very low number it’s a very low number so what does that mean so when you look at Suggs and you can be disappointed by some of his shooting numbers and I get that there’s been ups and downs and he’s had injuries and minutes and all that sort of stuff but I think that while we can look at his assists and they’re not as high as you would hope even though he’s in a full-time point guard role there is a large potential sence the potential assist for those actual assist numbers to rise he was at 36% last season which is a relatively normal number for converting um assists into or assist chances into assists he’s at 29 28.6 so that could jump up and that could give him an extra one assist one and a half assists per game easily which bumps that value up a lot the other guys it’s all the same sort of stuff here Jordan P was 37% last season he moved into a full-time point guard role and now it’s at 30% so I know the teammates are bad and there’s a lot of Miss shot shout out to Kyle kosma Alex s not hitting shots but if those guys start to hit shots at a better level well Po’s assist numbers will actually rise because he’s again that average 36 37 assist conversion rate is about normal and these guys are all well below and well below where they were last season even tyres Maxi it’s been a very poor start for Maxi with efficiency stuff but also the assists where are they 35.8% conversion last season 29.5 this season and again that’s some of that is teammate lated but you will expect at some point Paul George and Joel embiid play or maybe you don’t with embiid but or even if they don’t that sometimes the other shots will just go in at a higher rate so Maxi’s got that room it’s not that everything has just disappeared and he can’t get assists it’s that they’re just not happening at the rate that we would have hoped Anthony Edwards 38.9% conversion last season 32.7 this season again plenty of room now Edwards has been very much up in the three-point shooting numbers and production’s been strong but there is still room for those assist numbers to rise and the same goes for actually Victor wanyama these are two actually top level players that while you might be marginally disappointed with the output from both of them there is room for both Wy and Anthony Edwards to jump up in assist numbers 31.7 Victors out this season he was at 37.9 last season you’d think that normalizes even if it doesn’t hit back to 37.9 like 35 36 give him a little bit extra the last one there is Drew holiday who is yeah marginalized a little bit there in Boston this season in his role compared to previous Seasons but also there’s a little bit of unluckiness going on there where he’s won from 37.5 to 31.7 assist conversion the other side of that who’s been lucky whose assist numbers are high and maybe it’s just because shots are going in at a high rate well we’ll start with Cameron Payne because this guy’s been putting up huge assist numbers he was at 36.6 last season a relatively normal number 44.4 so while a lot of Pain’s assists a higher because he was playing those extra minutes it was just that basically every pass he was throwing was going in well the the not every pass but like yeah 44 is an incredibly High number so that is going to come down even when like the minutes come down the amount of assists per minute will drop I’m pretty sure Jake laravia he’s been great this season he’s been producing that sort of point forward production 37% conversion up to 44 this season so again that is probably going to come down we’ve loved the bounceback from Darius Garland 35.1% potential uh conversion last season 40.6 this season so again people are just making a lot more shots of his passes rest black was 31.7 very low number last season Anthony black he’s up to 36.4 so he’s in here that’s a big rise but 36.4 is not a crazy number that could easily hold around there so while Anthony Black’s assists are up and his conversion is up I think that’s got a chance of sticking dear Rosen 33.8 up to 38 38 is a good number and you could also attribute that to hey you’re not playing for the Bulls you’re playing for the Kings and there are some better teammates there so maybe that conversion can hold as well and Ma Bridges maybe you make the same D rozan argument where he’s now playing for the Knicks instead of the Nets and your teammates are better 35% conversion last season 39% this season so we can see these numbers and there’s not as many big Rises as there are big fallers but the pain laravia Garland ones are probably more important than the D rozan and bridges ones because there’s context behind that even the Anthony black one there’s context behind that and he was horribly low last season black and it’s bumped back up to about that um that average number we’re going to come back look at a couple more passing things and some shooting starts in a second but today’s episode is brought to you by Skylight frame it is holiday season Thanksgiving over there now in the states and Christmas coming up and other gift giving events and sometimes it can be hard to find those uh gifts for people it’s not an easy thing and you might be separated by oceans and rivers and land and long ways away that’s where the Skylight frame can come in you don’t want to buy someone a useless gift what’s no one wants that like the point of giving a gift is for for the idea the thought but also something that can be useful Skylight frame is the perfect thing two different sizes a 10 iner and a 15 incher which you can hang on a wall and what it is it’s a digital touchscreen photo frame so you get the photos you put them on there you can touch them you can like you can swipe but also you can send out links to friends and they can just upload photos either onto the Skylight app using the code that you sent them or through email and then the photos that they send will appear on your gallery wall also Sky probably doesn’t want me to tell this you could do this with your Mage you actually make something pretty funny happen on those I’m guessing but it’s okay there’s lots of different ways around this Skylight frame for families to keep in touch for mates to have fun with each other Skylight frames enables you to send those photos and get them put straight onto a beautiful looking digital photo frame uh up on your wall so now as a special limited time offer for our listeners you can get 20 bucks off your purchase of a skylight frame when you go to skylightframe.com NBA that is Sky ght f.com snba get 20 bucks off your purchase now at skylightframe.com NBA all right let’s look at some more passing things that I I’ve got here that I think are somewhat important and what it is it’s we talked about conversion of passes B it players that are just doing more passing that doesn’t always lead to assists but it can be a useful sort of indicator to see sort of who’s dealing with the ball in their hands a lot more the top six risers in terms of passes made in terms of guys who again I think are are relevant and with a decent enough sample size here Davon Mitchell went from 28.7 passes made a game to 51.3 and we all know why that is a well not a it’s Emanuel quickley being out so he’s forced into a larger role but that is why we’re seeing his assist numbers rise he’s just doing more offensively he’s not standing around doing nothing like he was in Sacramento his minutes are up and he’s doing that the ones that I find the more interesting ones are the next probably the next five names Jaylen Johnson last season 53.3 passes a game this season 72 .5 I think all anecdotally we’ know that Jaylen Johnson’s doing a lot more in the Hawks offense with the Jon Marin not there but I’m not sure you you realize just how big of a jump that is 73.5 is a is an absolutely enormous number in terms of passes made it doesn’t always mean that he’s passing to lead into assist even though his playmaking is up it means that they are giving him the ball and he is being asked to make way more decisions than he did last season and that’s a pretty good indicator to me that a lot of his value is going to be able to hold cuz he is just being trusted so much more even though his usage not a high usage sort of a player just the fact that he’s got that ball more is very important I found it very intriguing to look at RJ Barrett’s numbers ran Barrett last season 31.9 passes game that is that’s embarrassing that’s so low man did the bro just never passed this season it’s still pretty low 50.8 but it’s a big jump up and some of that much like Davon it’s with Emanuel quickly out and Barnes missing some time but it is important to see that Barrett is doing more in terms of ball movement I talked about Anthony black already and how last season nothing was going in but he also just never made passes 21 passes a game last season he’s up to 39.7 this season remember he also started a bunch of games last season Mr black as a rookie he did but he just was uninvolved he’d go out there he’d get the ball and he’d like pass it off and then never touch it again so we’re basically doubling the amount of passes that Anthony black is making in a game and he definitely hasn’t doubled minutes it’s important to note Jaylen Suggs also we talked about how his um conversion rate to assist is very low look how much more he’s being asked to do 32 passes a game up to 50 passes a game now some of this is PA Banker’s absence yes but also this that added responsibility so he’s got the volume way up we talked about how the potential of sisan getting converted so there could be maybe not but there could be a sizable assist Spike coming for Suggs and the last one is kont George we talk about a rookie like Anthony black doing more kte George went from 46.4 up to 63.8 now his minutes are up he played 27 a game last season he’s up around 32 this season so that’s that but that’s doesn’t account for this whole jump up here that’s almost 18 extra passes a game for keionte and yeah he struggled with a lot of his shots but there’s the idea that he is his terrible ball hog who takes a bunch of terrible shots and he does take a bunch of terrible shots but he is passing at a pretty decent rate like that is a pretty 63.8 passes a game is a pretty high rate and it just shows again how much more involved he is in what the Jazz are doing and I do think and not yesterday may or may not be the example that means this is going to stick moving forward but there’s just a little bit more stuff happening I’m going to look at who has dropped in passes mate and there are a couple of numbers there which are honestly staggering to see how what has actually happened and the number one on that list is damont sabonis and we talked about the Demar D rozan effect heading to Sacramento what would that mean how would the the offense which was just Fox and sabonis last season we knew what would happen with those guys and then D Roan joining like how’s it going to be distributed who’s going to lose out well the sabonis went from 71 passes a game to 52 52 so that is that is almost we’re talking a third a third down that’s it’s huge man it’s it’s less than a third but yeah that’s a big drop in the amount of passes he’s making so when you look at sabonis numbers and you want to compare assist numbers or compare what he’s doing he is just less involved in the offense he just is it’s a little worrying two Cavs on this list look at Donovan Mitchell 50.9 passes down to 32.8 D Garland 53.6 passes down to 40.7 both of these guys were doing a lot more passing so I think what my initial takea away from that is on the Cavs is just less passing overall in the um or from the guards anyway with Kenny ainson but we we have seen a lot more of Evan Mobley doing work with the ball in his hands when last season he was probably more of an afterthought offensively and we’re seeing there’s moments you see Evan Moy bring the ball up as well so the passing volume from both Mitchell and Garin is down so just again that is a philosophical change of style we can look at all these things sabonis D rozen’s there we get it Mitchell and Garland new coach changing ideas Grayson Allen went from 36.5 passes a game in Phoenix to 20.4 he’s uninvolved new coach Ty Stones running Point Grayson just doesn’t ever pass the ball he mean it means usually okay obviously if you got the ball in your hand you’re you’re receiving a pass and you’re either passing to somebody else or you’re shooting it the fact that he’s only making 20 passes the game and he’s not taking many shots means he is just not involved anymore he’s just not touching it what about the passport Legend Jaylen durran his minutes are marginally lower than last season but he went from 44 passes a game to 30.6 new coach JB Bier staff and what we know from JB Bier staff which we can infer from this looking at last season’s Cavs where the guards were 50.9 for Mitchell and 53.6 for Garland and this season both the guard numbers are down in Cleveland and the big men are up but in Detroit the big men numbers are down and the guards are doing more stuff with the ball so that is a little stylistic difference so if you’re expecting a little bit more involvement from Duran or usage or passing or assists or whatever maybe don’t and the last one on this list is a little interesting jant now largely this is a minutes thing as well but the gries are such a weird team where they’re able to limit so many different things they do in terms of playing time and that that Mor’s down from 50.7 passes to 38.2 as other guys like Pippen like smart like laravia even jiren just doing a little bit more with the ball in their hands a bit of a stylistic difference there from Taylor Jenkins so again that’s just something that I think is is intriguing to pay attention to now whether this stuff is actionable on a you really sort of macro level I don’t know but I think it’s good to have that in your head when you’re trying to work out well will this change moving forward or what do we think here or can this improve having that sort of info I think is pretty interesting maybe you don’t find it interesting if you do find it interesting by the way drop a comment down below and drop a like on the video I do want to know these different sort of shows that I slot in from time to time if they’re actually hitting with anybody we’ll be back to talk about some shooting stuff in a sec today’s episode though in the meantime is brought to you or not in the meantime it’s always brought to you by fanel Sportsbook you can tackle all of the NFL action right now maybe Thanksgiving G Day games right now with America’s number one sports which of course is Fel right now new customers can bet $5 and get $150 in bonus bets if you win that first $5 bet the Fel Sportsbook app gives you everything that you need need to place live bets on the NFL all in one place so in the middle of the game you might get a hunt you can check out all the latest stats the live play byplay all that stuff on the exact same page where you would place your bet so go to fel.com right now and join up and get $150 in bonus bets if you win your first $5 bet that is fel.com never waste a hunch and make every moment more with Fel an official Sports partner of the NFL and don’t forget to gamble responsibly all right so we talked about passing in those first first couple of segments there um what I think we want to talk not what I think what we’re going to talk about now is shooting percentage now we talked about two pointers and three pointers the last time we did this but let’s break it down a little bit more who’s finishing at The Rim because obviously we know that finishing shots at The Rim I hope you know maybe you don’t and I I’m sorry if I presumed that you knew this but shots at The Rim have the highest field goal percentage that is just a simple fact in the NBA you’ve when you finish at The Rim it is the easiest shot to make it is the highest um percentage I’m just going to look what the average number at The Rim is it is 63% at the rim and obviously average field goal percentage in the NBA is like 47 or something so it’s 63 at The Rim these players here are minimum three attempts at The Rim per game who have seen gigantic rises in their Rim percentage Rim percentage on decent attempts is an interesting way to see hey is this like these numbers actually real is this player going to stick at this high level or is there a drop off coming Christian James McCullum was at 51% at The Rim last season which I’m sure you’re well aware is a bad number if the average is the average number of the rim is 63 then you know it’s um when you hit 51 it’s not it’s not super exciting his previous Seasons 51 52 54 54 51 54 and then this season 76 so I’m going to go out in the limb and say that CJ’s overall Fiel goal percentage which is you is backed by a lot of that Rim stuff is not going to hold there it just it just isn’t now on the flip side I think we talk about him a little bit later his mid-range numbers are unbelievably down and he’s normally been a mid-40s mid-range player so you know there’s going to be swings and roundabouts on that sort of stuff but that Rim number no chance jiren Jackson took on a larger offensive load last season and he just couldn’t finish at The Rim despite being a big man 55% is really bad he’s reverted course there he’s up to 6 72.7 I don’t expect that jiren’s able to hold that number but that is a reason that he’s looked so much better this season and the same goes for tar reason for the season 52% at The Rim last season for tar up to 69 this season now he’s not a guy that you’d think is going to be you know taking particularly difficult shots or on particularly high volume or anything like that at The Rim so there’s a there’s a reason you feel okay about that except when you look at his previous two years of 53 and 53% where he’s been a terrible finisher so the last two games have been bad for Mason so maybe there is a regression coming Josh the hit Manhart has been ridiculous and part of the reason he’s been so good and I featured him on a by low sell High the other day talking about his field goal percentage being through the roof and well because it has been right two shooting of 70% which he’s never come close to touching before 52 the year before so what’s going on here he was at 64% at The Rim last season he is at 80.3 now for those of you who don’t know 80. 3 is the 998th percentile so Josh Hart is working as the best finisher or one of the best finishers in the entire NBA at The Rim which is just not real at all it is going to fall away he will not be able to hold up at that number at all and that means that his overall efficiency is definitely 100% coming down that number has no shot of holding Santio Dharma has also been very good this season at The Rim he’s up to 72.7 the same number as Jon in incidentally he was at 60 last season it does make it easier when you get better players there so Bane is there and Moran is playing more it opens things up and Zack Ed has been playing as well so you could expect Improvement but that is a big Improvement that probably does come back a little bit and the last name on this list is someone who’s been shoved into a larger role and yeah part of the reason I was very down on this guy and I didn’t really believe in him being a good fantasy player that’s Christian Brown Christian Brown was not particularly efficient at all as a player he was a 55% Rim player last season 56 sorry and he’s up to 68 at The Rim this season which is well up there he was 17th percentile now he’s 71st so has he just turned into this absolutely Elite Rim finisher is that the yic impact I don’t know like his percentage of shots at The Rim that are assisted is similar 73 versus 77 and yic is helping that but there is there is a large large area for regression and again if 63% is League average at the rim and you look at these guys and do you do I Believe Christian Brown is that much better than League average as a finisher at The Rim I think your answer is probably going to be not really so therefore like there is going to be likely some regression here the other side which you know if you’ve got some of these players or you’re a little bit worried maybe you feel a little bit better about the fact that maybe these guys are able to do more now the first guy I don’t think you should feel good about it all because it’s R hamur and he’s just bad but he is um just not being able to do anything at The Rim 71.7 last season is a incredibly High number and not one that you think is going to hold but his Rim numbers in his career 6064 72 64 and 72 and now he’s at 50 which is sixth percentile he is in an absolute he’s in such a weird spot ruy cuz he’s hitting 48% of his threes but he’s hitting 19% from mid-range and 50 at The Rim which makes his overall efficiency number absolutely in the toilet 51% effective field goals cuz he cannot hit anything that’s not a three and he doesn’t take a huge amount of Threes either he’s in the 25th percentile three-point attempt rate so the shots that he takes he cannot hit the ones that he should take he can is he or the coaching staff smart enough to be able to make that adjustment I don’t know it’s also been a very very rough start from Denny abdia he got benched in Portland his minutes were cut way back down and now there Jeremy Grant out and Donan clingan’s out and Rob Williams is out I think he numbers are actually going to go back up here as extra opportunities arise but this man cannot finish at all he was 66 last season really strong number he was 62 the year before that he’s at 49 this season which is one of the worst numbers in the entire NBA that’s scoot Henderson level he is really struggling now he’s also a horrible mid-range guy and he’s still horrible there and that’s not going to change and he’s shooting threes terribly well which he terribly as well which he’s also been terrible out for every season apart from last season so the track record of him being a good shooter doesn’t exist but in terms of finishing this number is going to rise up so if you’ve got some faith in ruy or not ruy in Denny this is why you should have it Aaron Gordon this is one that is almost that when he returns he’s almost certainly going to improve because we know what Aaron Gordon is he’s a dunker right 6870 70 63 66 at The Rim this season 54 it doesn’t make any sense that’s the case he should be finishing at The Rim but again he’s a little older he’s 29 now he’s not super old obviously but he’s older than he was clearly we all are his um injuries maybe a factor and maybe he just doesn’t have that absolutely Elite Rim finishing that he did in the past but it’s still going to go up from there without really any concern at all the James Harden one I think is relatively easy to uh interpret Harden was finishing at The Rim at an okay level last season 58 which is not great but he’s basically the worst finisher at The Rim in the entire NBA he’s at 45.5 he was 49.3 his athleticism is obviously gone his shooting numbers are terrible he’s having to do a lot more and he’s just taking bad shots and they’re not going in if Kawai ever returns maybe there’s a bump up to some of that efficiency cuz he 58 55 53 58 at The Rim the last 4 years 46 is just such an impossibly low number that there’s basically nowhere for that to go but up it he cannot be worse his mid-range number about the same his three-point number is pretty low he’s been 38 the last two years he’s at 32 but that there is so much scope for that Rim number to jump up it’s also been a terrible season from MIM hakz as we know talked about that a lot on the show he was a pretty good Rim finisher last season hakz you pretty good he sat at 62 so round League average he’s at 50 he also can’t hit mid-rangers and but the thing that he can do this season apparently is hit three-pointers he can’t hit free throws either he has just been like horrid he true shooting his eth percentile in the NBA which is yeah unfathomably bad and he’s losing minutes and who knows maybe a rotation spot but again there is plenty of room for that to be able to improve and the other top end player here is alpr shenon because the numbers there for shenon like Rim finishing 64.7 last season pretty good number just above League average he’s a big man 62 the year before that fine this season 52.6 so what’s going on he’s taking the same amount of shots at The Rim but what is happening is he is self-creating shots at The Rim last season he was assisted at The Rim 60% of the time this season 40 so he’s yeah so he’s just self-creating shots which can be harder to take and that’s probably why that means there’s obviously a little bit more of of a burden on him to do that and that is something that is worth paying attention to but I don’t believe believe we’re going to see a guy who’s been basically 60 61% his entire career sitting there at 52% from the rim which should give you some faith of that improving what we want to look at now is mid-range shooting because when you get hot from mid-range it can really skew some of your field goal shooting numbers up and make you seem better than you are so who’s up there now people don’t take as many mid-range shots at the NBA anymore we know why so I’m only using a filter of one attempt per game now most of these guys are about 1.3 to2 coincidentally demard Rosen leads the NBA at 8.8 I think it is range shots per game and the second highest is at five outrageous Bal Kul 23% on midies last season that is obviously um an incredibly low number and we knew that there was going to be you some pretty easy ways for him to be able to improve that that number because that’s that’s that’s horrid who leads in mid-range percentage actually of course it’s old mate milk TI Jerome at 68.3 he’s leading the league in mid-range shooting of course he’s I think he’s leading in three-pointers as well the mid-range um average is about 40 2% so bill has gone from 23 up to 53 and we’ve already seen this some of these numbers really starting into crater in terms of efficiency so just be aware of how far that Falls maau bridges he’s shooting very well on his mid-ranges he’s up to 60.5 last season 40.8 so m is doing that right M’s mid-ranges are up his assist conversion rate is up yet he’s still bad and bad is a relative term obviously but his mid-range is in the past have been 42 41 44 48 47 38 he’s at 58 this season so I’m going to you be relatively skeptical about bridges maintaining that level of mid-range success it just seems really hard to do now he’s doing this a lot on assisted baskets he was 38% assisted mid’s last season he’s at 60 this season so he’s not self-creating which is helping but there is going to be a fall off there pretty interesting to see Steph Curry on this list not really sure what to make of it to be honest I I don’t know where we go with that Steph was has never really been this High well he was back in 2020 but he only played five games that doesn’t really count we’re talking about a guy that’s sitting 53 uh sorry 61% on mid-rangers this season that’s just a number that I don’t I don’t believe holds 42 last season 61 doesn’t seem real at all Dennis sh also 63% midies this season 44 last season we’ve already seen the Sher drop off come I think we’re going to see way more happen it’s that that number is just like an absolutely impossible number to be able to hold it’s just it’s just not like we’re not sticking at that level um it’s just not a thing it’s just not a thing so I think I think it’s relatively obvious to be able to to note you how how much regression is possibly coming there fron Vagner quite poor from mid-range last season 34% this season 48 so while I can say that that’s a big jump and it is Will FR actually drop off that much I’m not sure cuz 48 is not an incredibly High number and maybe last season he was just terrible at it that that’s possible for FRS I think to be able to hold that number and that’s where again it’s not just about how far you’ve risen it’s like where did you come from where are you at are you at Sky Sky High numbers are you at numbers which are going to improve like where are you sitting on that but 34 to 48 big jump and I think it can hold and Trey young has gone from 44 up to 57 on his mid-range um shooting numbers so that again that is a a jump but the difference there I think with him versus versus like a a France is that you 57 is a very high number for Trey and that his threes aren’t as good but that number is probably likely to drop so who are the guys that can’t hit mid-rangers and what does it mean well no surprise to see is halberton at the top 55% last season down to 29 now 55 is a very high number and yeah regression could be expected but 29 is incredibly low so we do expect that to jump the John kaminga fall off is incredible like incredible 36% from him is actually like a number that you go okay I I I get that I understand why you wouldn’t be because you’re not you know you’re not good you all that stuff where are we at here 133% bro you got to hit more than 133% so while kaminga sucked and I don’t know that he gets more minutes at all the shooting numbers going to rise mid-range Legend the Snowman DeAndre Aton was at 51 last season he’s down at 29 here again he’s struggled the minutes have been down he never takes a single free throw but also he’s been automatic as a mid-range sort of guy that is going to bump bed Maan down from 51 to 29.6 mathine has taken advantage of absences and and really Stak his claim and I think he’s going to hold that starting spot for a while there you do have to think that there is going to be an ability for him to increase but the trade-off here is that mathan was 51 at The Rim last season and he’s 64 this season so he’s risen his Rim finishing he’s dropped his midies do they both sort of come back to the middle it’s possible Malik Monk Is Only 27% on his mid-ranges and same is CJ McCullum we talked about CJ already on the rim section saying how his numbers there are probably going to fall but he’s a 45% mid-range guy CJ down to 27 and Monks at 45 to 27 as well both of those numbers should be able to rise I would think pretty significantly and that like I think is a dive into numbers that I don’t think you’ll see anywhere I don’t think you’ll see that covered anywhere on fantasy and I’m not even sure how much takeaway you have from that so apologies if I wasted your time but I do think it’s interesting to be able to like dive into the wise or the hows or the forward projection versus just saying which I’m guilty of as well saying H he’s good uh he sucks what does that doesn’t really help us so we try to dig into this stuff a little bit more and highlight some of the things that just seem a little bit weird enjoy your time with your family enjoy your time without your family if that’s what you enjoy Thanksgiving we’re going to have a show today I’ll be back with kingy for a mailbag show and also a preview of Friday’s action as well and don’t forget like you were there it might be a tough time with your family for whatever reason just remember like be be proud of yourself and even if your family doesn’t act like they out I’m sure there is they are sometimes we just have trouble um expressing that stuff celebrate the good thing celebrate someone else’s good thing as well you never know what will come back your way guys we are done here thank you so much for listening everyone see you [Music]

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