📅 Published on: 2024-11-30 15:00:45

⏱ Duration: 00:09:27 (567 seconds)

👀 Views: 570 | 👍 Likes: 29

📝 Video Description:

** THIS WAS RECORDED BEFORE BLAKE SNELL SIGNED WITH THE DODGERS **

Why does Chris have Corbin Burnes as his SP4? How good can Garrett Crochet be in 2025? Chris remains higher than Scott on Pablo Lopez. How does anybody rank Jacob deGrom?

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Want Fantasy advice, news and analysis fast? Fantasy Baseball Today in 5 will get you caught up on what you need to know to win your league in just 5 minutes every weekday morning. Join host Frank Stampfl and company as they help guide you to a Fantasy championship. The FBT crew will filter through the news cycle and deliver what matters most from a Fantasy perspective so you can make your add, drop, start & sit moves all before breakfast.

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🕵️‍♂️ Transcript:

let’s take a look at Chris’s top 20 starting pitchers for next season on fantasy baseball today in [Music] [Applause] five welcome into fbtn 5 on Saturday November 30th I am Frank SEL joined by Chris towers and let’s take a look at your early top 20 starting pitchers for next season we’ll go in groups of five and your top five is Terk scoel Zack Wheeler Paul skin Corbin Burns and Logan Gilbert something we’ve talked a lot about Chris is there’s a pretty clear consensus top three starting pitchers and then it opens up at sp4 you have Corbin Burns ranked as your sp4 does that mean you are buying the adjustments we saw from him later on in the season yeah I think the one thing that that I always like to focus on is when a player is aware of where things are going wrong for him because we can you know oh his cutter is not as good well if he’s throwing the cutters the same way and it’s just not working the same way then you know that becomes difficult to to to fix but in Corbin Burn’s case he’s talked about how he had a really bad August and everything kind of came to a head where he said you know my cutter kind of turned into a a bad for seamer uh he used more colorful language at the time but that that was the gist of it and he said I didn’t worry about it because I was still getting guys out and then August happened and he got crushed he had an RA I think over six in the month of August it was really bad and he put in the work to reorient the cutter get the movement profile back got a little velocity back it looked more like it did pre 2023 and the whiff rate in the month of September was 27% which was right where he was in 2022 when he had a you know I think a 30% strikeout rate did he win the sa young in 2022 or was that I think it was 2021 he won the sa young but was one of the best pitchers in baseball I’m not necessarily saying he’s like all the way back you know I don’t necessarily want to bet on a 30-year-old bouncing all the way back to their Peak but we saw enough signs there in September that I can go ahead and look at Corbin Burns and say I know the floor is super high now there’s the the path to a high ceiling as well you know maybe 220 strikeouts instead of you know 190 is like he had last year good ratios I I think all that is pretty easy to project from Corbin burns your SP 6 through 10 you have Chris Sale Cole Reagan Garrick crochet George Kirby and Dylan CE and crochet a polarizing pitcher all off season he was on a pinning basis maybe the best pitcher in all of baseball but there are questions what team is he going to be on next season and how does his arm respond going from 25 total innings in 2023 all the way up to 146 this past season I mean look starting pitcher is a position defined by unpredictability and unpro ability I don’t know if that’s a word but we’ll just say it is and I think that’s as true or more true this year than ever when you look at the position as a whole there are just a ton of guys we’ll talk about a few more of them who just you look at them and it’s like I don’t really know what to think like I could see gar crochet being a top in terms of just talent I think he might be number three I think it might be ski scoble and crochet in some order based on what he showed last year best K minus walk rate in baseball best Sierra in baseball good quality of contact metrics Elite swinging strikes on his on multiple pitches including his cutter um I just don’t know like he’s never thrown anywhere close to as many innings as he did last season and he faded in the second half he had a a four ER after the AAR or after July 1 I believe I don’t know what to make of that right like it it was the the most circumstances a starting pitcher at the major league level has maybe ever had to deal with has this huge breakout in the first three months on the worst team in baseball thinks he’s going to get traded has the the demands about a long-term contract if he does get traded the white sock don’t trade them trade him but they limit him to four Innings or less in every one of his final starts in the month of July August and September pitching on an uncompetitive team pitching in that scenario how much of that is just like it’s hard to stay 100% focused that won’t be an issue in 2025 he’s going to be at minimum he’s going to be on a team that projects to win 35 40 more games than the white socks did last year so I don’t worry about wins I don’t really worry about talent I have a lot of questions about injuries I have a lot of questions about how he’s going to just bounce back from that but I’ll bet on the talent here and for a guy who’s not currently injured at least all right your SP 11 through 15 you have Garrick Cole framber Valdez Michael King Pablo Lopez and yoshinobu Yamamoto and Pablo Lopez is a name that you’re actually higher than Scott on you have at 14 Scott has at sp19 the underlying skills still look very good for Pablo Lopez but he also has a 387 ER since coming over to the twins so at at this point it it almost feels like that’s the expectation with Pablo Lopez is that he will have a higher ra and maybe a little bit of a higher whip than you’d like yeah and and that’s a reasonable argument to moving him down to to more like an SP you know a lower end SP2 than where I have him which is a higher end SP2 I think one just philosophical gap between Scott and I this year when you look at our rankings is I I think Scott cares way less about projecting workload I think he’s just ranking talent and that might be the right way to go at a position where nobody’s projectable as far as workload goes because everybody gets hurt I I can see the case for it but Lopez feels to me like one of the the I don’t know five most projectable in terms of volume in terms of the the number of strikeouts you’re going to get in terms of the number of starts you’re going to get out of him there are going to be bad starts in there maybe he’s more like the new new age Aeron Nola where he’s not quite an ace but like 80% of the time he is and that might still be worth drafting this High I could very easily be talked into moving Pablo Lopez down but at a position where there are so many question marks he’s not one let’s about one more question mark SP 16 16 through 20 you have Luis Castillo shto imanaga Blake Snell Jacob deg Grom and Aaron Nola only one question mark in there there’s lots of question marks uh Jacob deg Grom I have no idea I mean he he made his return from Tommy John surgery late last season he should be ready to go on opening day still seems electric I mean he got a bunch of whiffs and his you know very small sample size he also has not thrown more than 92 Innings since 2019 so uh how did you decide where to put Jacob Toom um I put a blindfold on some darts at the wall I did uh an Excel function just equals random go uh I don’t know if that’s actually a function in Excel but let’s let’s say it is uh I I don’t know like I I like this is how I feel about Jacob De Gro like his velocity was down last year was that because he cannot throw 99 miles hour anymore or is it a conscious effort to put less strain on his elbow I don’t know I don’t know if Jacob deg Grom knows I like it’s it’s wholly unknowable I think when Jacob deg Grom is on the mound he will be one of the best pitchers in baseball maybe the best pitcher in baseball I don’t know if that’s going to be 170 Innings that’s possible I don’t know if it’s going to be 170 pitches it’s just a wholly unknowable the the upside is he’s by far the best pitcher in Fantasy Baseball if he makes 160 Innings that might be enough for Jacob degr to be the best pitcher in fantasy baseball based on what we’ve seen the past like seven seasons when he’s been healthy he might not make it out of spring training I I genuinely have no idea and it’s not one where I can look at it and say well if he’s good in spring training I’ll move I’ll rank like it’s not a question of whether Jacob deg Gram’s good right now it’s a question of how long he can stay on the mound this is very much splitting the difference probably being on the optimistic end of splitting on splitting the difference that being said his ADP is the sp8 right now so I’m not being optimistic on Jacob deg Gro I guess I I have no idea what to do with him all I know is if he’s going to be the number eight SP drafted in most drafts there’s no world in which I have Jacob deom on my team and same could be said for me Chris I think the entire podcast the way that uh Jacob gr is being ranked by you and Scott and I haven’t ranked yet but uh yeah probably will have the Grom somewhere around here we’re not going to be drafting him if this ADP remains for more extensive Fantasy Baseball coverage listen to the fantasy baseball Today podcast on Spotify Apple podcast or anywhere else podcasts are found thanks for listening to Fantasy Baseball today in five and we will be back again next week bye-bye [Applause]

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