📅 Published on: 2024-12-10 19:25:39

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Tune in to get the best College Football picks and predictions of Army/Navy, Veterans Bowl and CFP Preview

College Football Picks Bowl Season Pt.1:

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Bowl season is here and everything is on the line for these college programs. The players have played all season to get to these moments to showcase their skills on the national stage. There are plenty of exciting games on the schedule, and the BetUS team is here to break down each game, give you valuable insight, and help you find winning picks. The team will break down this weekend’s 2 fun games. The first is the enduring rivalry between Army and the Navy. Secondly, They will preview the Veterans Bowl between South Alabama and Western Kentucky. then the team will give you an early preview of the college football playoffs. the team will break down match ups such as Indiana vs Notre Dame, SMU vs Penn State, Clemson vs Texas, and Tennessee vs Ohio State. Get the best college football insight here at the BetUS college football show.

Tune in to get the best College Football picks and predictions of Army vs Navy, Veterans Bowl and CFP Preview! BetUS’s host Gary Segars and our college football betting experts Kyle Hunter and Parker Fleming will go over the latest NCAAF news, betting trends and the best NCAA Football odds available to give you their college football picks and predictions for the 2024 College Football season.

In this video:
NCAAF Army/Navy + CFP Preview Picks 0:00
Army vs Navy Game Picks 4:41
Veterans Bowl: South Alabama vs Western Michigan Game Preview 13:48
CFP 1st Rd Preview: Indiana vs Notre Dame Game Preview 21:02
CFP 1st Rd Preview: SMU vs Penn State Game Picks 30:50
CFP 1st Rd Preview: Clemson vs Texas Game Picks 38:37
CFP 1st Rd Preview: Tennessee vs Ohio State Game Preview 47:41
NCAAF Army/Navy + CFP Preview Q&A 57:55
NCAAF Betting Record 1:13:18
NCAAF Best Bets Army/Navy + CFP Preview 1:13:51

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Connect with our hosts and experts on X:
Gary Segars: @GaryWCE
Parker Fleming: @Statsowar
Kyle Hunter: @KyleHunterPicks

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College football picks,sportsbetting,College football odds,College football expert predictions,College football best bets,College football free picks,College football regular season,Free College football picks today,football betting trends,college football betting trends,College football Army/Navy + CFP Preview,College football Bowl Season,college football predictions,betustv,College Football Predictions,NCAA Football Odds,Free Picks,best bets,Army vs Navy,CFP

🕵️‍♂️ Transcript:

[Music] he [Music] welcome to the BET us college football show it’s the Tuesday December 10th edition of the show and it is Army Navy week I’m your host Gary seagers you can follow me on the socials mostly on X Gary WCE signing day was last Wednesday the transfer portal already bananas uh we got a college football playoff field to discuss all kinds of things so let’s go ahead and introduce the uh the experts here the fellas on the left side of the screen of course our stats analyst I call him the numerical Guru at stats of War on X he is Parker Fleming Parker I think that we could talk about the Dynamics of this sport overall for probably well over an hour today and we would never get to actual games but we might have time to do that tomorrow we’ll figure that out today I’m going to ask you this do you find this year’s cfp in the Bowl matchups exciting overall I think I think it’s a lot more Intrigue I don’t know how much that is just the expanded format versus you know we’ve had some parody and some realignment of talent that have led for better games I am a little bit worried about the playoff just because we saw so many of these Conference Championship Games look decisively one-sided uh and so you wonder you know is is that parody is there a limit to that are we going to see some blowout matchups or with a little bit of time to get healthy and to strategize or some of these underdogs going to be able to uh scrape out some upsets so excited to watch just from that angle no idea what we’ll see but we’ll try to wait through the numbers and what we’ve seen on film and uh and make heads and tails of it this week most certainly on the right side of the screen of course our award-winning professional handicapper at Kyle Hunter pixon X he is Kyle Hunter Kyle I’m going to ask you the same question how exciting to you are the matchups that we’ve got I mean first I’m excited to move on from last weekend because I had a terrible weekend last week so I’m excited to move on um but I would say there’s a lot of intrigue because it’s something so new you know we’ve never seen this happen before I agree with Parker I’m concerned about the fact that there were so many blowouts I mean so many of these games that I thought were going to be good games last weekend not good games at all so uh hopefully not a sign of things to come especially in the other bowl games other than the playoffs but uh we we know there’s going to be plenty of pandemonium with opt outs and things like that in those but um um something new to delve into we all love college football so I’m excited about it all right let me go on and tell you bet us is giving away a classic Ford Mustang if you follow us on X that’s _ official uh you get to vote on how bet us is going to customize this vehicle uh entries to Wi the car can be earned through the BET Us official social accounts they can also be earned through every $100 you dep at excuse me deposit at bet us uh you can be you got to be a customer to win so if you haven’t already make sure and visit bv.com join and make sure that you sign up over there Parker if you would so kindly tell these fine people how they can help us out today yes of course Gary the best way to help us out is to be here be part of the chat uh and make sure you’re here while you’re while you’re here and watching the show and following along with us make sure you go ahead and like the video uh being being in here and uh and just click a like make sure you subscribe throw on those notification Bells all that stuff helps us out in the algorithm I don’t really understand it but it just helps us get to people who want to uh find the show and would enjoy the show additionally if you’re into audio or you’re just a person who likes the show and wants to support us anywhere you get your podcast audio the BET us football show has us and our friends over at the NFL show there uh in that same feed go uh subscribe to that five stars nice comments toss them in there as well help us out with that too most certainly most certainly yes leave the five star reviews on the podcast uh you can also follow the odds along with us bv.com ODS as I mentioned before you can join the action bv.com jooin where if you are a new user to bet us use the promo code TV1 150 you will get an exclusive 150% deposit bonus on your first deposit all right gentlemen we got a we got six games to check out today let’s go ahead and get to this thing and uh and then we’re going to have a nice long extended Q&A so long as there are people in the chat that want to do that uh first game up we start with the only non postseason game left on the schedule the Navy mid shipping and the Army Black Knights they’re going to face off in Landover Maryland 300 p.m. eastern time on CBS Army currently a 6 and A2 Point favor at bet us juice is- 115 Navy plus 250 or sorry plus 210 on the money line Army is a minus 250 uh the total here is 38 a half so we’ve got an implied score of 22 and5 to 16 Kyle I I think we’ve got an incredible quarterback matchup we got Horvath and Dy in this one potential Horvath is not playing he didn’t play in the last game we’ll see what happens there but uh the Army offensive line coach and the co-host seeve Matt drinkle uh was just introduced to Central Michigan’s new head coach I don’t feel like we get important staff changes from these two service cies before this game very often does this impact your thoughts on this game very much not really um I I think for this game you know we go back and um I’ve said this before we’ve had so many unders it’s like 80% unders in service Academy games uh that’s why the total has gone down it was 40 and a half it’s 38 and A2 I think it probably will go down more honestly um I think na is a different team by quite a bit than what they’ve been in recent years I think we’ve established that pretty well you know really good offensive coordinator that’s been uh Forward Thinking they’ve changed the way they play quite a bit I think one of the best examples of that is their last game against East Carolina where Woodson Braxton Woodson came in uh looked a little bit bad there at the beginning of the game but finished with 165 yards passing they lit up East Carolina there in the fourth quarter sorry if you had the under in that game it was three nothing at halftime and 37 points in the fourth quarter took it over one of the worst bad beats there’s been this year um it appears that Horvath will probably try to play but if he doesn’t it looks like Woodson’s at least an acceptable fill in that could do a decent job there throwing the ball around running for quite a bit too Army off that great win over two lanes certainly they ran the ball 55 times through two passes who needs to throw it if you’re having that much success obviously I think they’ll probably have to throw it more here because we’ve seen in these games in the past like they know each other so well they’re against similar offenses in the uh practices I think they have to mix in some trick plays some passes once in a while um the two teams are 121st and 133rd in Tempo so long slow drives again but Army’s first in offensive line yards Navy’s 39 the two defenses Navy’s 118th in defensive line yards Army’s 119th in defensive line yards is not quite low enough for me to take the over I think it has to be you know that 35 or 36 range for me to take an over um I know I’ve said this before I made a lot of money betting the under on this year after year about 10 years ago uh but those totals were 52 53 you know things like that now we’re talking about 38 and a half my number here was 40 I can’t bet the over but the under doesn’t look free to me either as far as the side here um I think the side’s right about Fair also Army has been consistently very good there are enough changes with army that you know if you get to the full seven maybe you want to lean Navy but I I am curious you know do we get final word on whether Horvath will play yeah let’s let’s hit the trends right quick Army did win last year 17 to 11 they uh they won and covered in three of the last four meetings total as as Kyle mentioned it went under every year from 2006 through 2022 it finally went over because of overtime uh and then last year the total was 28 and it pushed now this year uh the total is 12 well excuse me 12 points higher uh than it was last season or around there it got up to 40 it’s bounced back down a little bit it it’s bouncing around between 38 and 40 somewhere in there right now when it comes to this season Army just two and four against the spread in their last six games that does include a blowout win last week over two lane in the AAC uh title game Parker over to you these two I mean they’re they’re top three in defensive red zone conversion percentage neither team really turns the football over they’re both way better on offense than they are on defense how are you breaking this one down yeah very very uh fun matchup here and I’m glad we were all worried about the weirdness potentially Army Navy meeting in the AAC championship game and then having to play this one again and I’m glad this worked out where this game will mean something both teams are are really invested and they didn’t play the week before uh quick pull on some stats here in terms of passing yards overall Bryson Daly uh has just passed Kelvin Hopkins Jr um as 14th overall in Army passing yards for career uh you know obviously fewer games and some of the guys ahead of him on the list but in terms of the modern era that is the most that anyone in Army has had uh since you know for 2010 um on the other side Blake Horvath in just two years is 30th uh for for Navy only 14 games that he’s played uh 30th for Navy all-time passing yards in terms of careers up against some guys who have played three and four years and started up all of those Seasons so just huge volume from both quarterbacks we’re seeing both offenses really really Thrive and kind of adapt for the modern era Navy is 45th in opponent adjusted EPA per play army is 22nd but as you mentioned these defenses are a little bit rough Navy is 69th Army is 70th overall a couple things that are concerning about both defenses one Army 73rd in Echo rate allow they they are playing low possession games but they are giving up quality possessions they are 16th in points bar eckle we saw for instance in the north Texas game North Texas have some first and first and should score a touchdown a couple times and North Texas did not score a touchdown there so Ben don’t break for Army they’re controlling The Possession um and you know playing really really slow obviously rushing a whole lot this is team 132 and 134 and Rush rate over expected as you would expect for the service cies Navy’s defense on the other hand uh 54th in Echo rate but 50th in points in points per quality possession so they are giving up some of those points um both of these teams do not miss when they shoot Navy’s offense fifth in points per quality possession Army’s offense second in points per quality possession so really really good offenses that do generate opportunities and take advantage of these opportunities this is as offense heavy as we’ve seen one of these games we know that this game gets weird we know that these coaches and players care about this game more than anything else on their season we’ve seen time and time again the underdog pull out a stunner the result go the opposite direction so I don’t want to go on a side here but I think these offenses are so good and these defenses are so bad and particularly these offenses are so good at finishing drives that I think I’m actually going to ride the over here I think this is too low it wouldn’t surprise me to see both teams in the 20s frankly and that gets you over very very easily I I think we’ll see a couple big plays I think we’ll see a lot of trickeration but I do think we’ll see an offensive game unlike what we’ve seen in the past from these two teams just because the quality of the offenses has been so good uh quick note adding on to what Kyle said about Matt drinkall leaving uh I’m I’m under the impression that offensive line is a little bit like you do everything you can in the offseason and then you just push and you hope injuries happen and there’s not a lot of game- to game strateg and optimization going on there so that’s probably a bigger offseason loss than a game- to game loss just from a how do we handicap this specific game sense obviously you’ve interacted with him on Twitter before he’s a great guy a very energetic guy and potentially you know some motivation Factor but I think I I don’t think Army’s going to have any trouble getting up for this game most certainly I don’t I don’t believe that’s going to be an issue uh even with getting up emotionally for the previous game against tane my model’s got this Army minus 8 and a half now if this were a normal game I don’t know that either team really gets a stop here Army third and available yards percentage Navy is 31st uh but obviously that’s with some of the games where Horvath was out I I would guarantee it’s way higher when Horvath is in uh now despite the relatively easy schedules you know Kyle brought this up Army’s defense is number 112 and offensive line yards allowed Navy’s number 115 uh but these two teams run similar Styles they know each other incredibly well if I had to go a certain direction I would lean Army here but what we’ve seen out of this game over the years uh with all these unders Etc these teams slow methodical they feel each other out in the first half Etc I’m going to go with the first half under 192 uh I don’t think we see a ton of points in the first half I think in the second half is where you start to feel a little bit of pressure you start to take more risks with those offenses that’s the direction I’m going to go here so let me go and lock that one in I’m going to take that first half under at 19 and a half and Parker is going to go with the full game over at 38 and a half on this one yeah Parker in the chat G second half chaotic second half that’s what we’re rooting for here I can dig it we get some halftime adjustments uh think things get a little bit crazy and it opens up that’s something to root for right there I love it oh yes oh yeah I mean we saw it with navy last week against East Carolina like Kyle said three nothing at the half and uh and then just Goes Bananas in the second half so yeah that’s that’s the direction that I’m I’m feeling it we’re going to thread this thing I feel good about it for the last non postseason game Let’s uh let’s move on to game number two and this is the Saturday night bowl game uh you know where we’re we’re starting our Bowl talk here Saturday December 14th it’s the veterans Bowl in monery Alabama where we’re going to see the South Alabama Jaguars against the Western Michigan Broncos 9:00 p.m. eastern time on ESPN South Alabama currently a favorite of eight points in what is effectively a home game uh Western Michigan plus 265 on the money line if you’re feeling froggy about the Broncos here total of 59 on this that’s an implied score of 33 and half to 25 A2 Parker let’s start with you South Alabama their quarterback Gio Lopez is questionable to play running back fluff bwell he is in the transfer portal that doesn’t necessarily mean is not going to play but I mean obviously this close to it who knows at this point um you know Lopez was on the sideline at the end of their last game against Texas State uh the backup Bishop Davenport did play well but not having Lopez makes this game a lot more interesting uh this thing was at 11 and a half uh it’s come all the way down to eight at this point the total is is I mean we we’ve got 59 on the graphic I I think it is dropping as we speak uh what tell me what number do you make this one Parker yeah you know full full strength and not accounting for injuries I’ve got the this is South Alabama closer to four or five points here obviously the offense is very very explosive but Lopez has been out with some injuries they’ve been inconsistent uh they’re only 67th in EPA per play uh when you adjust for opponents which I I don’t know I think you guys would agree that feels low for kind of my eye test when Lopez is healthy so they’re brought down a little bit uh by some of those games and maybe some of those inconsistent plays that have been a little negative really good at finishing drives 17th overall Western Michigan’s defense 124th there not not great in that uh in that domain um and you know South Alabama is is going to be very successful in in both the run and pass game 11th and rushing success 27th in rushing um or in dropback success even as they’re a little bit lower than that in EPA per play you look at the early down split um the best unit on the field is South Alabama on first and second Downs they’re 24th in EPA per play Western Michigan’s defense 106 so uh not optimistic overall about this Western Michigan defense being able to contain South Alabama that even if they’re on their second you know their second wave of players they still do have some creativity some explosiveness there that they can drum up and we’ve seen them drum up um Western Michigan on the other hand uh you know on offense is 104th overall they really don’t do much well they want to run the ball a lot looking like a service Academy team 123rd in Rush rate OV expected but 94th in EPA per Rush 119th in rushing success rate so uh this could be another game State game here where if South Alabama can drum up uh you know any kind of a lead they can just sit back can defend the run against a team that can’t really impose their will on players and uh on people and and should be able to take care uh here uh obviously a little bit dodgy with you know who’s going to play and who’s not going to play South Alabama’s numbers uh overall are again a mixed bag between starters and backup so I have this one a little bit closer than the spread I think my lean would have to be South Alabama here just because Western Michigan has been so poor uh on the defensive side of the ball and when South Alabama’s been moving well it’s because of the explosiveness on offense yeah both both of these teams one and three straight up and against the spread in their last four games so neither team playing well towards the end of the year South Alabama 4-1 against the spread in their last five as a double digit favorite but obviously that has dropped off uh Western Michigan 4-1 against the spread their last five as a double- digit Underdog but again the double digits has it it’s gone gone gone uh my number here was already South Alabama minus 7.2 but that’s at full health I’m probably going to manually drop this because of Lopez being out it’s Western Michigan’s first bowl game since 2021 it’s effectively a road game as I mentioned Mobile to Montgomery is only about 170 Mi uh 247 Talent composite has this kind of a wash uh Western Number 96 South Al number 94 so no big Advantage there the difference in these two teams as far as advanced stats Go is is pretty massive the Jags I’ve got at number 18 in raw PPA margin that excludes garbage time and in western Michigan I’ve got number 94 and Kyle over to you the Broncos defense uh obviously their biggest weakness number 125 in success rate allowed uh they’re number 128 in points allowed per Drive equally bad against the run and the pass South Alabama’s offense is incredible just raw numbers wi when raw numbers wise whenever Lopez plays tell me tell me Kyle what do you see in this one well I mean I think this is the first example we have of these b games are going to be really tricky to handicap and I’ll just say from the beginning like we don’t know exactly who’s going to play it makes it really difficult um Lopez is much better than Davenport at the back up quarterback so uh it would be a significant adjustment there I think uh from what we’ve seen from Davenport he’s had 64 dropbacks uh PFF grade of 61.7 I think Lopez is one of the best uh G5 quarterbacks there is significant drop off there now the question is uh what do you do without the with the unknown I think somebody thinks Lopez isn’t playing based on you know the line move here um and Western Michigan’s defense hasn’t really been able to stop anybody so can they stop even the backups for South Alabama it’s kind of a fair question to ask they’re 127th in pass play success rate allowed definitely the weakest unit on the field is Western Michigan’s defense um they’re also among the worst teams in the country in red zone defense once you get into the Red Zone you score touchdowns against them Western Michigan 114th and third down conversion percentage on offense 102nd and third down conversion percentage allowed on defense um to me Western Michigan wants to run but South Alabama second secondary is kind of the weakness they’re better against the the Run than they are uh against the pass for many years the Mac um did poorly in bowl games and this was kind of like the laughing stock like you know just fade the Mac against the spread in bowl games free but in recent years they’ve actually been pretty good they’re 17 and 10 against the spread in their last 27 bowl games I’m GNA lean over I will say I don’t know how much I like the over if Lopez isn’t going to play I think this one will come down a little bit more so I’d wait it out see what you find out as far as numbers but um I think Western Michigan is so weak defensively that we’ll probably see a decent amount of points yeah I think that’s uh that’s a pretty good pretty good game plan there if Lopez doesn’t play i’ kind of like Western to cover this number I’ve already bet him at 11 and a half uh even I don’t feel great about either side on this like I the 11 and a half felt okay because at that point you know two-point conversion and field goal that I feel like that’s okay uh but look these bowl games and we’re going to say this all the time motivation is everything so whatever team ends up getting off the bus that’s probably going to be the one that wins out right so if you like Western Michigan maybe the money line is not a terrible option uh but just remember that team has not been good they are the chat said that they are swiss cheese so step on a duck put that in there just swiss cheese for that Western Michigan defense just terrible so no uh no official locks for us on this one uh but yeah a lot of these bowl games are going to be kind of weird trying to figure out who plays who doesn’t Etc it’s going to be a very interesting interesting bow season moving to game number three and we’re going to start with the first oncampus college football playoff game uh it’s Friday December 20th 8 p.m. eastern Time on ABC and we’re going to see the number 10 seed Indiana hooers head to South Bend they’re going to take on the number seven seed at Notre Dame Fighting Irish for a chance to go to the Sugar Bowl to take on the two seed and the Carson beckus George Bulldogs Notre Dame currently a 7 and a half Point home favorite here minus 105 is the juice at bet us currently money line Indiana is plus 250 we got a total of 50 and a half on this and the implied score here is 29 to 21 A2 Kyle we we said once upon a time that the stat that we would most like to know in advance of a game is turnovers Notre Dame is number one in takeaways per game Indiana is number 12 Notre Dame is number 27 in giveaways per game Indiana is number five it doesn’t look like either team is going to turn the ball over because typically don’t but both of them are fantastic at generating turnovers it’s going to be very interesting to see what happens with this if nobody gets extra possessions and both teams are forced to drive tell me tell me what you see in this uh playoff game this is our early preview for this one yeah I mean I I like this game I think this is a really fun matchup I’m looking forward to this one a lot two really good coaches we’ve talked about cetti a ton you know he just done a great job with Indiana Freeman’s probably been underrated by most people he’s 2311 uh and Two Against the Spread as a head coach and guys how about this Marcus Freeman with more than a week to prepare um B Labs has this s and0 against the spread with an average cover margin of 17.1 points so it has not been close they have been uh whipping some tail there on the other side I I don’t know what to make of that because cetti is fantastic 24 and 11 against the spread as a head coach average ATS margin in those is plus seven and a half points which is really good great coaching matchup Indiana third in the nation of yards per play margin Notre Dame 6th Notre Dame did play a tougher schedule but it’s not significantly tougher um fbii has it 67th and 59th Sager 77th and 67th um like Gary said both these two teams have been great in turnover margin plus 15 plus 16 Notre Dame Ultra aggressive they forced 25 fumbles 17 interceptions that’s tremendous stuff Indiana excelling in the Red Zone on offense 66 trips into the red zone of 54 touchdowns that’s first in the nation that’s fantastic at cashing in at a really high rate both teams really good on special teams Indiana’s 30th in penalty yards Notre Dame’s 83rd my lean would be Indiana plus the points but I will say that’s a pretty weak lean and that Freeman stat scares me quite a bit uh with extra time I want to dig into this one more before we talk about it next week I also want to see what the weather will be like I don’t really know who would it help but I think it’d be kind of fun if it was like snowy and windy for a game like this I mean just um no weather report yet but I I hope we have have a weather report for next week I think that’d be a lot of fun for it to be like oh here we go up North and look at the weather right away uh it would probably really TI off some people but that also would be kind of fun so yes um cetti Freeman also I want to get I want to get your guys’ thoughts I’ve heard a lot of people talking about Notre Dame might be kind of a values play as far as Futures based on where they land here and how well they’ve been playing lately that’s a really popular future here as Notre Dame to win the playoffs so um it’s not necessarily an easy path here for Notre Dame but they have played super well of late um kind of a trendy play my my power ratings have number have Notre Dame number one right now and I don’t feel great about it but like they really have been just destroying teams and granted the schedule is easy and whatnot but all the things that go into mind with the five factors and everything else I mean they are absolutely crushing it so yeah that’s that’s not a terrible uh SP especially considering that Carson Beck is now at least out for the sugar bowls so that would be the next one so Notre Dam gets through Indiana they play Georgia and then you’ve either got Pinn State SMU or SMU waiting on you in the quarterfinals yeah that’s not terrible I mean you you ought to win that one I would imagine I I think Notre Dame would be favored over Penn State uh yeah interesting spot here let’s do the the trends right quick and then I’m going to get over to Parker uh these two teams love covering the spread just absolutely Indiana 9 and three against the spread on the season Notre Dame is 10-2 the Irish 5 And1 against the spread in their last six games against Big 10 teams and they are 4- one straight up in their last five games played in December if you like those crazy kind of stats there the over has hit in 10 straight Indiana Road games is hit in four of Notre Dame’s last five games so something to pay attention to as far as the total Parker I think the odds on Indiana being the first state to have two teams in the cfp would have been like hitting the lottery before the season uh but here we are right Indiana number 11 in special teams sufficiency Notre Dame number 100 Indiana number 30 in penalty yards per game Notre Dame number 80 Indiana’s got the fundamentals Advantage but I I’m I’m showing Notre Dame as number 10 in team Talent Indiana number 57 at some point intangibles can only go so far tell me what you’ve got this one yeah so I I I wanted to point out I have Notre Dame power rated fourth but uh I’ve got Texas Ohio State Notre Dame Georgia all within less than a point in differential there so a lot of clustering at the top they’ve been playing well obviously you know the conversation about resume and the L to NIU is different than a conversation about power ratings for for Notre Dame here but um yeah I think this one’s really interesting uh matchup really matters so we’ve seen this a couple times this year where Indiana has played a physical defensive line and really struggled Ohio State uh Michigan are the two obvious examples of that and I don’t know that Notre Dame is necessarily exactly comparable to that but they do have a really fierce defensive front Riley Mills Junior Tula Maca Howard cross Bryce young um even even Donovan Hench getting getting some playing time there as well uh really really disruptive crew especially in past defense what’s really interesting um is that the linebacker Corp has has been you know super involved in kind of the the Run game so it’s it’s not like the defensive line is creating Havoc at the Run game it’s that they’re fitting the gaps and the linebackers Kaiser and Bowen are racking up the tackles there as well so there’s definitely physicality in the front seven that gives me pause about Indiana just with what they’ve seen uh you know the talent differential there obviously matters as well uh but Kurt zetti with some time to game plan and Notre Dame having some obvious weaknesses uh against some some lesser opponents I I think that’s um really really interesting to see what they can play around with just on the power rating not considering the matchup uh I do have this Notre Dame by about Five Points here which feels a little short for me uh these two teams are mirror images in my ratings Indiana is second in offense 17th in defense Notre Dame 16th on offense fourth on defense so we’re going to get best on best with offense versus defense uh just reading some of those numbers out Indiana seventh in the rush Notre Dame ninth on defense Indiana’s offense fourth in dropback Notre Dame first by a country mile in EPA per drop back second year in a row of that Marcus Freeman team has been good even with some injuries on the back there um and and shout out to Notre Dame’s offensive line that was something we had circled preseason they lost two draft picks they had an injury late in Camp true true freshman starting a tackle I think at both tackles with the injury there um and they’re third in EPA per rush they are uh 27th in rushing success rate so that line is held up despite being a big concern now you could say opponents certainly help into that and they haven’t necessarily faced a defensive front that has really challenged them but is Indiana that defensive front that’s really going to challenge them I think that’s a bigger concern against Georgia for instance someone else down the line so um I’m I’m inclined at this point to slightly disagree with my number um and and and lean towards Notre Dame winning this big I think Indiana uh really the physicality we’ve seen them struggle against it and that has me worried a little bit Indiana wants this to be a shootout they want Notre Dame’s offense to have to keep up with them Notre Dame’s defense is probably not going to let that happen so I think the game State favors Notre Dame here as well uh not not a play this ear early obviously we want to see the weather we want to see I want to see line movement and just what other sharp people are thinking as well before we commit anything here on the show uh but I I I do think that my initial lean here is that Notre Dame will be able to control the pace the physicality on defense will cause Indiana to struggle and uh and Notre Dame should should cover here that’s game State very important for sure uh but like I I’ve got the same number that you do I’ve got Notre Dame by five on this I’m so curious if Notre Dame looks more like Ohio State and Michigan in the trenches or if they look similar to some of these big 10 teams that Indiana has absolutely crushed this season so you know this is our early preview no official play on this we’re going to going to be covering this again next week but uh but I’m I’m kind of with you Parker I kind of lean Notre Dame here even if my number says I shouldn’t uh going to be interesting just curious to see what these trenches look like quick reminder uh if you enjoy the show help us out like the video first off that little button that looks like this thing right here tell your friends about the show also subscribe if you haven’t done that hit that notification Bell so that way you know when we are going live if you’re in the chat of course toss in questions we’re going to hit it during Q&A at the end of the show any bowl game uh whatever’s going on in this sport that you would like for us to give an opinion on toss it in there uh if you notice in the chat there are some names that are highlight of green those are members of the channel so Fox duck Etc uh those guys are 1012 is already a member as well hit that join button your questions will be tossed to the top for Q&A you get to use some of those fun custom emojis of Kyle Parker and myself all right moving right along we go to game number four here uh our next playoff game this one Saturday December 21st noon Eastern on TNT here’s our early preview for the SMU Mustangs heading to Happy Valley to take on the Penn State nitty Lions this one for a chance to go to the fiest bowl to take on the three seed Boise State Broncos Penn State an eight-point home favorite here at bet us the money line plus 265 for SMU we got a total of 54 on this uh and that’s an implied score of 31 to 23 Parker we’ll start with you I’m not going to get into the the cfp committee’s decision on Sunday but I’ll say this because I think it is Rel to the game uh SMU has played uh five teams that I have power rated in the top 40 they looked good against Louisville and TCU they did not look good against Duke BYU and Clemson I’ve got Clemson the highest of those at number 14 Penn State I’ve got at number seven and SMU has to go to their place in the cold it’s supposed to be in the 20s Etc uh maybe lower than that if Parker tell me tell me how you’re looking at this game yeah my Gary one of my first tweets reacting to the on field uh or the home the home field advantage in the first Playoff round back when they announced it was that Penn State was going to be very excited about this like this is a real you’re not you know I’m not locked in here with you you’re locked in here with me situation for Penn State ringing somebody into Happy Valley uh and and and the weather so I’m sure they’re praying for just absolute nonsense here um concerns about smu’s resume are certainly valid the Duke game for instance it’s kind of ironic they should have lost the Duke game by probably multiple scores with how they played and how the stats looked there um the Clemson game that I know we were we were actually for for the audience Gary Kyle and I were legitimately arguing about this in the uh in the group chat on Saturday about like who outplayed who uh I think Kyle and I agree a little bit um and I think SMU outplayed Clemson they gave Clemson 14 points off 58 yards start the game and then were mostly in control there some of that was obviously Clemson towards the end was playing a little bit not to lose and it panned out for him sure but uh I I do think that um they you know SMU did get away or SMU maybe should have gotten away with another one there uh but you know kind of evens out with the Duke game uh they’re they’re close to Penn State in terms of the aggregate in terms of the ranking of EPA per play they’re 12th in uh in margin 19th on offense 11th on defense Penn State uh just only one position ahead of them in net but they’re ninth on offense 10th on defense so just better on both sides of the ball I think the um uh you know the talent differential is probably less when Penn State is on offense and SMU is on defense like I mentioned before the season SMU does have some NFL Talent on that defensive line truly a disruptive unit and this is not the sunny dkes SMU this is not the spread the ball out to Chuck it around um high-powered offense like they are a defensive team Scott Simmons has done a great job uh with with that unit the last couple of years um one big thing that I think is really going to derail SMU uh Penn State is sixth in EPA per Rush even as teams are rushing 3.3 percentage points more than average against them they are holding up against that uh if you can just take that away and say Hey Kevin Jennings is not going to beat us on the ground we want him to make multiple reads we want him to be uh have to escape our really good pass rushers and and kind of be disruptive you can see this unravel for SMU very very quickly um the other side of the ball kind of the inverse curse for SMU pen Penn State does not run the ball super well this season at all P SMU is fifth in EPA per rush but that explosiveness with that Andy cotal Nei offense what the way they put Tyler Warren in different places Drew all’s ceiling that we’re seeing him being able to throw throw the ball downfield they’re second in EPA per dropback they’re second in dropback success rates they Fifth and early Downs EPA six and third and fourth down success rate 11th in quality possession rate they are going to score the ball here um and that kind of mitigates smu’s strength so the combination of you know uh smu’s offense having to do a lot of work here is a little bit worrisome especially when you factor in the cold especially when you factor in Penn State’s run defense and pass rush it’s hard to see how SMU holds up here um even with some time to prepare so my lean here is is to disagree with the number again and and I think Penn State uh could could win this handily yeah SMU 8 and five against the spread this season that includes three and two against the spread on the road Penn State only six and seven against the spread uh and only three and four against the number at home uh my models got pen State minus 7 on this one I I don’t agree with it uh pin state number nine and PPA margin SMU number five SMU number 57 strength of schedule pen State’s number 30 uh I’ve got Penn State at number 10 in net points per Drive SMU number 13 it’s a massive net explosiveness advantage to SMU here number 34 to number 112 uh but again this is I mean this is trench warfare uh that I’m that I’m looking for SMU Kyle SMU is number 16 in plays per game pin state number 117 pace could it could be something interesting to pay attention to on this but you know me I like the I like to hit on fundamentals Penn State is number 25 in giveaways per game SMU is number 99 uh Penn State I’m got number 21 and fewest penalties per game SMU I’ve got number 127 uh special teams effectively a watch where where should the handicap start here Kyle where where would you start at well I I think um Penn State was pretty impressive in their loss against Oregan I mean they ran for almost 300 yards in that game and an offense that has had some trouble running going against the number one team and running for 292 yards um Singleton and Allen are definitely great I think they’ve gotten better blocking here of late I still think SMU outplayed Clemson for most of the game obviously the first five minutes I mean they just kind of gave it away in those five minutes put him up against it Clemson probably did play not to lose they almost lost because they played not to lose um to me both Aller and Jennings were really inconsistent in those title games I thought both of them had certain spots where they looked great both of them had spots where they looked really bad um silly mistakes SMU 79 penalty yards per game Penn State 46 penalty yards per game game p State a little bit better in special teams so on the margin these type of things will matter a decent amount I think SMU needs to hit some explosives here they’re fifth in explosiveness Penn State’s 72nd in explosiveness allowed they gave up a decent amount of those last week uh against Oregon I don’t think SMU is quite as uh you know prepared to break explosives or or has the same kind of Talent on offense State College late December the weather’s going to matter again I don’t have a weather report yet but I guarantee Penn State would like it to be cold old and raw for a game like this um I could only bet Penn State here Penn State as my lean in this one my number is right at it but I think Penn State um would be the only side I’d bet as far as the total I don’t even really have a lean um we’ll see we’ll dive into this more and then talk about it again next week yeah I lean more than lean I’m going to take Penn State in this one in the trenches I expect Penn State to dominate SMU here uh I’m really going to take this thing anything under 10 so I do while it’s our preview I do want to go ahead and get this bet in on the show I’m going to take Penn State minus the8 uh this thing’s already moving uh there’s eight and a halfs out there there’s nines out there already uh so we we’ve got eight at bet us currently I’m going to go ahead and take that because uh I think this thing is probably going to hit double digits I I think that Penn State is just a significantly more talented team especially at the line of scrimmage home field advantage I mean this spot is just nightmarish I think for SMU uh I think P State’s going to be excited about this so I I will and all of them should be obviously I mean it’s the cfp but yeah I’ll take pin State on this uh we got two more games to discuss and uh we only got like 22 minutes so let’s go and move to game number five third first round home game is uh or home home playoff game excuse me Austin Texas that’s right 4 P p.m. eastern time also on TNT this is where the Texas Longhorns host the ACC Champion Clemson Tigers for a chance to go to the peach ball go to take on four seat Arizona State that’s what Arizona State got uh got rewarded with cheers to them uh Texas an 11o home favorite here minus 105 is the juice at bet us currently Clemson plus 320 on the money line total of 52 gives us implied score of 31 a half to 20 A2 Kyle we’ll start with you outside of the ACC Championship game uh we saw Clemson against three good teams the entire regular season they looked outclassed in all of them the Georgia team that Texas just went toe-to-toe with and Atlanta they demolished Clemson back in week one uh while we’re not we’re not doing the whole uh this team beat that team so this team is going to beat that other team and blah blah we’re not doing that right but Clemson has the dudes to compete they just haven’t shown up in the biggest games uh Cal tell me what you’re expecting in Austin here I mean we should do that this team beat this team right I think that’s undefeated I don’t think it’s ever lost I love it um I love it Texas is Fifth and yards per play margin Clemson’s 37th Texas played definitely the tougher schedule Clemson’s plus 16 in turnover margin second best in the country Clemson with some serious fumble luck they fumbled 15 times this year they’ve lost three of them that’s pretty hard to do they picked up a lot of those lost fumbles uh got them back themselves so uh Clemson’s pass the success on offense to me is running the football Texas the 16th and run defense according to PFF the number one in coverage grade overall first and yards per play allowed I think it could be tough for Clemson to score here too Ma battling injuries um you know you would want him healthy be able to use him quite a bit um they they really kind of hadn’t even admitted that he was kind of battling some injuries until last week and then it was like yeah okay he’s not 100% I think ERS didn’t play great in the Georgia game he was fine the wide receivers let him down too six drops that definitely hurt quite a bit Clemson 91st in yards per carry this year the run defense has been a major weakness yards per car allow um and they’re 25 an opponent QPR allowed Texas is first in the nation and explosiveness allowed I really like the fact that Texas doesn’t give up the big plays then you get into the Red Zone their defense is fantastic in the Red Zone um so Texas’s defense I have a lot of faith in them they’ve allowed more than 20 points to two teams Georgia and Vanderbilt Vanderbilt kind of scored right at the end to get uh you know closer in a game that was like 10 to get it down to three U but I think Texas defense is easily the best unit in this game uh so I’m going to go ahead and take this I’ve seen the under going down um the under went under a key number here uh for the game under so I’m going to take Clemson team total under it didn’t mark out last week but I’m going to take it again this time here Clemson team total under 20 and a half under 20 and a half all right I can I can get with this I mean that that aligns perfectly with what I was saying before um neither of these teams routinely overperforms expectations Trends on the season uh Clemson 6- s against the spread Texas is 7-6 against the spread and there’s really nothing to lean on as far as like one team playing certainly better than the other etc etc right uh I’ve got Texas favored by nearly two touchdowns here my last four weeks model actually has Clemson favorite in the game so again I’ve said it on the show every week that last four model is insanely insanely High variant uh very short sample size on that Clemson number 21 and PPA margin Texas is number six in that and this Texas defense is just phenomenal uh inest M’s defense was able to shut down Clemson in the second half of that ACC Championship game uh South Carolina certainly did it the week before I kind of expect Texas toh to do the same thing here Parker I maybe the more interesting thing here is is the fact that Texas uh has been having trouble again with finishing drives they’re currently number 54 in points per scoring opportunity uh but the Tigers defense is just number 47 in that metric what what should we looking what should we be looking for in this one yeah you wonder you don’t wonder I think are starting to realize like there’s a ers issue with the finishing drives I think we we’ve asked about it last year like hey is it sarc is it receivers and is it uh ERS and I think a lot of variables have changed and it still comes down to there’s not making the plays they need to make in the in the plus Zone there it looked good early in the season though right like I we we thought early on maybe the first like four weeks of the Season hey they got this figured out but you know that was when everybody was healthy Isaiah Bond Etc like and you know bond has been walking around with a with a boot on and I mean I don’t know we thought it was fixed yeah so so I think it could be true that they are better um than they were last year uh that they have some regression from early season also SAR has alluded to this a couple times that he’s intentionally leaving some stuff in the bag um and that might be the case like I I I I think you know to the extent that you know he’s not causing them to be this bad but saying like hey we could probably F around and get a little bit marginally better at our finishing drives but we’re not going to do that because we know we have harder competition later on like that’s on the table at least so there might be some gains there think that’s an optimistic take for Texas but um weird to look at this and say that maybe the Vibes at Clemson are better than Texas right now um which is just absolutely crazy and I think I’ve said this before on the show and I’ll say it again with revshare and everything I I still think davo wins another National Championship not this year per se but I think he comes on the top of this covid and nil and transfer Wild West uh and I think he comes out on top so we’ll see how that pans out here looking at these two teams you know clear differences in efficiency Texas is an EPA margin Clemson is 17th you specifically talk about that Clemson Run game they are 14th in EPA per Rush 20th in rushing success rate but the mafa injury has been clear mostly because I noticed uh you know you tweet out I tweet out that graph about yards per yard yards yards after contact per attempt and broken and missed tackle rate and mafa has very good yards per attempt yards after contact he does not break tackles very often um and specifically he’s not you know fighting through contact and uh that that might be a little a little bit of that injury there obviously with the Garrett Riley offense they are extremely boom and bust they do need those big plays Texas has really put a lid on that um four uh 22nd in defensive success rate but third in explosiveness there so they’re not you know prone to those huge plays that really the Garrett rley offense needs Texas obviously has seen that before um uh you know facing TCU and and having to handle that uh it’ be really interesting to see what Clemson can kind of drum up because I I think we’ve seen Kade clubnet kind of start high bottom out and then maybe play Big in a couple moments but we’ve we’ve yet to really see him take over a game uh and I think that’s what they’re going to need here against Texas is him to play his very very best game mistake free Jake Brenning stool an absolute dude there at tight end for them presents some good matchups for this Texas defense but Texas defense is really sound uh at at tackling their their efficiency numbers are good across the board they’re second in points per quality possession allowed uh 13th and third and fourth down success I think they could give this Clemson offense all kinds of fits yeah I don’t foresee this number getting a lot lower uh Clemson has just not looked good against good competition and I I believe that Texas would be considered good competition I am curious do either of you think that we see any kind of an inspired effort from Kade kumnick like can he play better than he has been just because he’s going back to Austin does that change anything for you guys I I think that club Nick’s Canna have a lot of pressure on him here I think that that’s that defensive Line’s the problem I Club Nick’s good this is not me dsing Club Nick in any way he’s had a good season but um I think the defensive line will will give him enough trouble it’s going to be hard for him to do that yeah if there theoretically was some uh astral hyperplane that Kade kumnick could access you think we would have seen it right right right like if it was there would we would at least have some evidence and frankly like games against Abate NC State and pit which I think are arguably his three best games are not moving the needle for me per se not not when you’re going to Austin to face this defensive front no I I tend to agree with you so yeah I don’t I don’t think this number is going to get lower uh it’s it’s at 11 right now I kind of there’s there’s been a little bit of Clemson love in the market and we know that dbo loves playing the underdog role you know little old Clemson we know how that goes but I I kind of think this one starts to Trend back towards two touchdowns here uh as we get closer to the game next week uh moving on game number six and uh in our last uh of the cfp first round home games uh we’ll move on to this one uh yeah we’re going to Columbus Ohio Saturday December 21st 8:00 pm Eastern on ABC The Prime Time treatment it just took Ohio State getting a game on ABC for them to finally not play a noon game uh but the Ohio State Buckey are going to host the Tennessee volunteers for a chance to play the number one seed Oregon Ducks in the Rose Bowl on New Year’s Day the line right now is Ohio State favored by 7even and a half that is an even money juice at bet us currently if you want to take Ohio State there Tennessee plus 235 on the money line total of 47 A2 on this so we’ve got an implied score of 275 to 20 Parker we can talk numbers in a minute let’s start with Vibes man Tennessee makes the cfp for the first time uh everybody’s excited Etc Ohio State on the other side was just booed off the field by their own fans just like two weeks ago the these coaches hyp and day could not be in more different positions tell me what is your early read on this yeah it’s it’s weird because it almost felt like a foregone conclusion that both of these teams were going to be in the college football playoff just the way their their schedules broke down like there was no there really wasn’t a lot of question um overall you know kind of where where these teams are going to land up so um the the the there does feel like a little bit of roller coaster obviously Tennessee bottom bottoming out getting absolutely fooled by an Arkansas defense that you know wasn’t excellent on the season and um kind of was able just to play spoiler there a little bit I I do want to shout out for Tennessee I I don’t feel like Dylan Samson is getting enough due this season I’m I’m very loathed to be the running backs guy but if we’re talking about you know how much a running back matters in in college football and understanding that Dylan Samson has been you know great he’s got a 9 9.8 PFF run grade this season 1400 yards 22 touchdowns uh 3.62 yards after contact and 56 runs of 10 plus yards that’s great for Tennessee um and and I think there’s a lot of uh just just again shouting out a player there who I think hasn’t gotten necessarily his du um Ohio State let me interrupt you real quick how much due does he need uh because he didn’t he win like secc offensive player of the year sure that’s fine that’s fine I’m just saying we’re just talk there’s a lot of talk about running backs this year and I’m just I’m just shouting the man out it’s a good good point yeah he doesn’t get the same kind of accolades that’s not like a hot takey oh I know ball I’m throwing out an obscure player I’m just saying he’s a good player that I don’t feel like I’ve talked about a lot and been like hey man he’s having a great year I just want to shout him out so um gatekeeping Dylan Samson no that’s not what I’m doing here I’m not uh that’s awesome um there’s this really obscure record I don’t know Elvis Presley have you guys heard of him he’s just a musician I like sometime though okay focus we’re I’m back in I’m back in I’m locked in okay Tennessee 10th in uh EPA for play margin Ohio state is first overall uh they’re fourth on offense first on defense Tennessee offense is 26 defense is second um The Vision on defense is absolutely there we’ve known the secondary is a little bit weak but we knew that they were going to have these monsters up front that were going to give them a lot of leeway in the secondary and that’s absolutely panned out for them the offense the Run game as I mentioned has carried them 13th in EPA for Rush only 39th in EPA per drop back some of that is drops some of that is you can point to the Arkansas game Nico throws that ball one just one beat a little bit earlier they score touchdown walking and win that game it’s over um so he’s been very very close all season but has still been kind of inconsistent overall you can see that bearing out in their early Downs numbers so that’s a really key matchup here because that’s that’s kind of worst on best here Tennessee is 56 than early down zpa when this the field is over and Jim nolles in that Ohio State Defense third overall they thrive in those situations where their athletes can make plays uh another thing to point out Ohio State’s defense super penalized especially in pass interference uh the hyp offense loves this man we want those underthrown balls we want you to be in conflict with a receiver and get some of those flags I wonder what Ohio state is doing in practice to kind of Coach themselves out of some of those if they can try to fix that because that I mean Indiana got into it a very very little bit at the beginning of the game if Hyo could get three or four of those Flags man he will have the Ohio State secondary in absolute hell like that is a path for Tennessee to win this game uh with the offense and the way they do that uh Tennessee’s defense has been great against the rush um and uh first overall in EPA fourth in EPA per dropback so really really solid really really balance even as teams are rushing against them uh a little bit more than average so um I I do think that kind of early down late down split for Tennessee’s offense is really going to determine their ceiling can they come in with a game plan when the field is open that um you know challeng as Ohio State Defense doesn’t reveal an obvious tendency and kind of exploits on matchups uh you this will be a game I think where the scripted drives the first drives of the first half and the second half will look vastly different from the rest of the game because of the adjustments nolles and H Bol put out there so really fun matchup really excited to uh look into this I again I have this one at about five and a half in favor of Ohio State so pretty consistently settling in uh kind of on some of these differences here um not not a lean for me on this one I I want to think a little bit more and again see where the line moves a little bit but um I I think that matchup of of Hyo versus NES is really really interesting here both of these teams are 500 in this position right Ohio State 4-4 against the spread at home Tennessee 2-2 against the spread on the road a couple couple of Trends to pay attention to Tennessee 5 and 13 against the spread in their last 18 as an underdog so they don’t perform well as a dog on the other side Ohio State against SEC teams two and8 St up in their last 10 and and Ryan day especially not very good in this spot Kyle since the Alabama win Tennessee has the one game against Georgia where they got completely shut down in the second half the other four games were against Kentucky Mississippi State UTEP and Vanderbilt it’s almost impossible to know really what to expect from this team uh give me give me your thoughts on this one I mean I think um the chat um Jared says Michigan may have broken Ohio State I’m not sure if they’ll be up for this game if they can’t get up for this game then they’ve got serious problems I mean it’s a playoff game we’ll see but if they don’t get up for this game it’s going to be uh major issues I I say this is the rebirth it’s a new season right like we we got all kind of stuff fans want a title or bust I think that’s going to be hard to do for Ohio State they have lots of holes um the offensive line numbers for the year I don’t think they matter at this point they’re so much worse on the offensive line than they were at the beginning of the Season we know that Tennessee is great on the defensive front that’s where I be most concerned definitely Pierce is fantastic he’ll be in the back field quite a bit in a game like this Tennessee is 14th in the country in Tempo Ohio State 109th I do wonder if Ohio State won’t try to push the pace some on offense here to try to get the defensive line tired um so I think Ohio state will probably play quicker than that in this game um I think Ohio state has to throw it to try to open up some of the running Lanes uh we’ll see if they figure out that they shouldn’t just run it right up the middle um pretty consistently um defensively I I think um without naming names or anything I know one of the major networks uh they were talking about the Tennessee Run game and they’re like well Ohio State’s weakness is they can’t stop the run I mean Ohio State’s been pretty good against the run I mean they’re Fifth and yards per carry allowed they might give up yards here I don’t think it’s very fair to say uh that they’re not good against the Run um Tennessee running it on 62% of their plays I would expect Ohio State to do everything they can to stop the run and make Nico beat them I am very concerned as I hear Parker saying you know they love getting those flag I’m like oh no here comes igbos and Burke you know flag after flag that one as a Buckey fan that really does worry me quite a bit um Ohio State’s biggest Edge in this game is in the red zone 10 touchdowns allowed on 29 Red Zone trips for opposing offenses and the offense is top five in the country in Red Zone touchdown percentage until the Michigan game they’ve been really good at cashing in in the Red Zone um to me though seven and a half is a little bit too much I’m I’m definitely leaning Tennessee plus the points here I also kind of like the under let’s see if that under goes up a little bit that might be something I take if it goes up some because I think um Ohio State’s defense great adjustments uh like Parker said noes has been very good at making good adjustments and I don’t think the Ohio State offense uh will go unscathed against that Tennessee defensive front I’ve got Ohio State favored by 12 here but like I I can’t get the thought out of my head about just the insane amount of pressure that that team and and Ryan day’s coaching staff are feeling after they dropped that fourth straight to Michigan if they get off to a slow start like I get the feeling that the Jers are just going to be absolutely deafening in there uh I cannot wait to see what happens in this game like this is such an exciting game uh there’s so many things at play with the psychology of the teams uh along with the actual m matchups inside the game like this is going to be a fascinating fascinating football game no uh no official plays from us on this one um but yeah what a ball game what a ball game we got all right quick reminder if you enjoy the show of course help us out subscribe to it tell your friends about it hit that like button that’s the most important thing right now thumbs up little Thumbs Up Button um and of course hit the notification Bell so you know when we’re going live uh don’t forget we’re going to be here again tomorrow and um yeah I think every every Tuesday from here on at least if I’m not mistake no no no we’ve changed up the schedule a little bit week of Christmas we’re uh we’re going to be here on Monday of that week week of New Year we’re going to be here on Monday of that week and then it’s every Tuesday after that leading into playoff games National Title etc etc so uh we’ll we’ll make sure and let you know on Twitter and whatnot also we’ve got a Saturday Morning Show the closing line show our buddies Jeff and Doug 11:00 a.m. eastern every Saturday get you ready for game day um let’s go ahead and hit Q&A let’s dive into some of this and uh and see what we got going on in the chat today fox jumped in he said what are your most intriguing Bowl matchups and that’s an interesting VY George Vandy George Tech next question that’s I I knew you were G to go there but buddy give me the Gaspar bow give me two lane in Florida let’s go with that thing I I don’t I know MCE is in the portal that he hadn’t said that he’s not going to play in the bowl game but man you got two coaches that are really kind of feeling it going into next season uh some all announced he is staying at tan they have given him all kinds of things that he wanted as far as nil Etc you know tan has more nil money right now than North Carolina how insane is that that’s a pretty wild pretty wild so anyway um well they do currently how’s that I don’t know what belich is going to get out of but we’ll figure that out later you got to read all 400 Pages before you know that yeah of the manifesto somebody leaked the Bible right Parker Kyle what uh which one is intriguing to you my friend well I mean I agree with Parker as well but um others Syracuse Washington State I think that’s a fun game high total Washington State just completely fell off the map at the end of the year yeah like yeah I mean people talking about them in the playoffs that was um definitely good thing they didn’t make the playoffs based on how they played at the end um High total that one’s being played at San Diego though uh and we’ve talked about that before so um I BYU Colorado is fantastic as well yeah one one more I want to say South Carolina and Illinois I’ve seen some of the Illinois fans it’s kind of funny I was following along with some of the message boards and they’re like man it’s disappointing we’re only playing South Carolina it’s like a I mean you guys are underdogs by women and a half points so careful careful what you wish for care boys yeah there’s there’s a lot of interesting ones for sure um Louisville Washington I think could be interesting in the sunbowl uh you know Iowa Missouri I know Luther Burton’s not playing but like that I still think that could be fun in Nashville there’s uh there’s just some some interesting ones uh that Army line by the way against Marshall uh opened at like seven if I’m I no opened at like 9 N and a half it’s out to 13 right now I mean it’s bananas lots of uh Lots interesting stuff I got a sneaky one that I think might end up being the best one like not you’re not just the most interesting depending on if they opt in and who all plays Baylor LSU might be like a legitimately awesome football game I know that LSU is going to going to have some like probably going to have the tackles uh opt out and and we’ll see what nme does and everything but at full strength honestly like I think LSU wins pretty handily but I I honestly think that’s a very very good highquality football game which I I’m worried will be rare this uh this offseason that would make sense that would make sense have y’all heard so pit and Toledo play the day after Christmas in the what whatever the bulll is in Detroit right um there’s talk about candle maybe going to Michigan if youall heard that no I haven’t heard anything on that no wow I think I could get behind this like you know y y’all know my feelings towards uh Jason candle and and his covering ability but you know maybe help out Chiron Moore a little bit as far as some of the head coaching duties and whatnot like he he at least knows how to run a successful program um could be interesting there very very is Alex or like the dcoin fan yeah no all right whatever I’ll work on that one for Twitter that’s a tweet I’ll work on that later all right duck jumped in how does wazo show up for this one tons of portal players offensive coordinator just left seems like a spot to bang the orange well yeah I mean that’s kind of yeah I don’t know depends on depends on which portal player we’ve got in there right I think the running back has already announced that he’s he’s jumping ship um I don’t know like I feel like that offense once you have people on staff that understand how to run that offense then you’re okay and we don’t know that they do for sure but I don’t think the offense is just going to completely drop off like it Arbuckle ran Zack ky’s offense and he was 26 years old when he got the offensive coordinator job at Western Kentucky so like I kind of feel like they’re going to be fine moving the football um I don’t know I mean that’s that’s GNA be interesting does kle McCord sit out if like is he you think he’s NFL sh hey coach Coach Brown said it man we don’t opt out we play football right it’s a Winn’s watch right Winner’s watch my my one thought there Gary just because we’re in Q&A I wouldn’t do this during the show is like you saw that clip about Dicker talking about you know it’s hard and we got to figure out those guys and I just think the biggest thing we’re not talking about is like we’ve got to figure out a structure in place where these kids can’t transfer for nothing that’s not to say I want to restrict their movement but like we’ve got to recoup like Washington State identified those guys developed those guys they get a buy out when the coach that they hired goes somewhere else like we’ve got to figure out a way that these teams don’t just get decimated every time they get good talent and they can sustain themselves a little bit that’s just I I felt really bad for him looking at that clip and just how you know hey you build something good and then it gets raided and there’s nothing you can do about it yeah yeah I I agree uh Syracuse by the way six and a half half favorites in that spot it opened two and a half so it’s still under a touchdown right now uh wavy wack jumped in where can we find out how many opt outs each team will have x.com that’s going to be your spot for the most part um you just got to keep up with them like there’s I think there’s a few places that are actually keeping up with transer portal whatever but like 247 on three etc those are going to have your lists uh if you want it you know very quick and whenever it actually happens be following beat writers this is something that you do before the season here’s a little trick uh go and create Twitter lists of all the beat writers in certain conferences and that way you get upto-date information uh the guys that you know have good info that way you can go and check out all right so what’s going on in the Big 12 what’s going on here D so those kind of things uh it’s well worth the time to to schedule the now it does take a lot of time to clear them out when these guys end up up moving uh say if you’ve got a guy that’s covering East Carolina and then all of a sudden he gets the beat on North Carolina you got to move him around so it becomes a whole thing but it’s well worth it I’m telling you so you you find out stuff quickly on there uh do you guys have any any options as far as like keeping up with opt outs and whatnot I’ve us I just yeah I just go to like action or whatever that has it like listed chronologically by bows and all that especially like for the show you know on Twitter obviously when you’re like doing your research Twitter’s the best spot but a couple sites will do that kind of that logging stuff yep that’s right Stucky does wi I forgot about that yeah Stucky does a good one uh let’s see derko gaming how about uh monin interviewing for the West Virginia job is his head all there no that’s West Virginia I think Rich Rod is I watch the pat mcy show about West Virginia yeah that’s I don’t think Jeff Mon’s gonna be West Virginia’s head coach no not not going to happen um let’s see Gabriel jumps in he said Army first half minus half a point that’s not terrible half a point how is that I only minus 300 free money yeah I mean I don’t know yeah I kind of think that Army is going to be I like Army a lot more in this game than I do Navy uh we kind of talked about that yeah that’s not terrible that’s not a terrible bet uh ddb Notre Dame versus Tennessee final one holler to make 100 what say you do either of you think that Tennessee is getting through Ohio State Oregon and most likely Texas coming off the other side of that one one 100 feels kind of small for for [Laughter] that because then you still got to get Notre aame past Georgia and I guess pin State and I mean do we really trust I don’t know I feel like that would have to be significantly higher Kyle does that seem like decent odds on that uh I want to find a different partner for Notre Dame rather than Tennessee Tennessee that’s a really tough route um Notre Dame could make it that wouldn’t surprise me a lot but I’d want to find somebody else yeah Tennessee going through that Gauntlet I mean that is I mean my gosh Ohio playing at Ohio State then Oregon in the Rose Bowl and then you would have I guess Texas probably in the Peach Bowl I guess it would be no I don’t know what I don’t know what it would be at this point I mean aren’t you just going to get better odds even if you believe that’s gonna happen aren’t you just GNA get better odds roll on money line for both of those teams yeah I think so yes yeah just on the math that’s a silly bet I think I can say do the money line don’t parlay this thing just do the money line for those two teams and and roll the money over just do that that’ll be a lot easier for you um Jared Hollinger is Riley Leonard playing yeah from everything I’ve heard Kyle do you know anything about this I definitely assume riy Leonard’s playing so I I have nothing on this I have not seen a single thing that said that Riley Leonard might be injured or anything like that he was injured earlier in the season but yeah I don’t that’s not on my radar maybe you have amazing information but that’s not something that I have seen well that would be that’d be pretty big wouldn’t it like I think we’d see some huge line movement for that um man all right Jared Hollinger what is Clemson’s team total uh Kyle you took that one under 20 and a half right correct 20 and a half I took that partially because I think it could go down to 19 and a half yeah yeah I would almost expect it to um let’s see ddb wants to know how exactly does the portal work do players enter coordinates to a certain school and then say beat me up Scotty uh I do know that it is uh kind of chilly in the portal from what I’ve heard uh it feels like you’re you’re floating from what I have been told uh no JD pel does he talked about this on what was it Andy and Ari or whatever the other day and he said basically like the way that it happened with him way back when and he was in an ivy Le School uh but back then it was there was no list now there is a data base that you have to enter your name into but you don’t just get to enter your name into it you have to go through your administration at the school so you tell the school hey I’m going to put my name in the transfer portal they have 48 hours to put your name into this database and you can either put in that uh you don’t want to be contacted by anybody in which case everybody already knows that you have picked out where you’re going to go already or two you can be contacted and everybody blows your phone up if you are a good enough player so that’s effectively out this word Parker if I got that right yeah effectively you enter your name into the central Clearing House most of the time someone a family member or representation has secured at least potential Landing spots yep that’s the way it goes um Kyle this is an interesting one from Jared uh and this will be the last one so that we can get out of here um oh no no no we’ll do two more we’ll do this one in one more uh I’m an Iowa fan this is from Jared I’m an Iowa fan pretty nervous without Caleb Johnson I still think Missouri is no good though can’t believe they got matched against my Hawks do you have do you guys have any thoughts on that game so there’s no Luther Burton there’s no Caleb Johnson so the best overall player for both teams is going to be out for that one Missouri I believe is like a two and a half Point favorite currently and all these lines are going to be I mean they’re going to go all over the place Kyle without Caleb Johnson Iowa on a third string quarterback I mean the Missouri defense is not terrible you uh what do you think of this one Missouri minus three and a half pretty much across the okay um 40 and a half the total I think I should a bet under 43 and a half when it started is what I’m thinking right now I still think under is probably the right bet here um who’s going to get explosive plays in this one I think that would be really tough to come by what side to bet I don’t know I mean I don’t want to bet Iowa a third string quarterback but I I don’t think Missouri is really good at getting margin either our show was going to be live at uh at 1 pm Eastern that day and uh and that game comes on at 2:30 p.m. Eastern that day on Monday December 30th it’s in Nashville interesting spot interesting interesting spot sker Jennings said do you guys think Alabama brings effort against Michigan solely based on the notion of getting a 10th win for the season in the reliaquest bowl uh and so basically Alabama has had 10 wins every year dating back to 2008 this would extend that streak if they were to get there I I don’t know this coaching staff so I don’t know um they’ve had eight guys ENT the portal none of them [Music] starters maybe maybe is Kane is Kane W getting a look at some of these second second tier job openings um that would be the only thing on my radar but I don’t know how serious that is I think I just heard his name thrown around yeah I think well he was thrown around for the uh for the Southern Miss job and obviously Huff got that one but that was just because Kane’s dad had like ties to Southern M or what or used to coach there um I don’t know I had the first time I I’m not surprised they didn’t do that again um yeah I don’t know I think they show up but you know I don’t I don’t know what I don’t know if milro is coming back we got a lot of time until that one I mean that’s a that thing’s almost a month away so what is it oh no no it’s not a month away it’s three weeks away so that’s on New Year’s Eve I I don’t know I I think that they’re going to show up and and try and get to that 10 win mark because you don’t want to lose that streak in your first season but who’s to say at this point Kyle you got a feeling on this one I really don’t I was going to yield my time to you this is uh I mean they could show up and still not cover 11 and a half too I me it’s a decent amount of points so I think there’s two questions there will they show up and want to win a game and will they cover 11 and a half with a l total Michigan’s defensive line uh is not going to let Alabama we in like period what I’m curious about is uh rushing the passer Etc can they can they create Havoc against that Alabama offensive line yeah we’ll see if they can it could be a long day for Milow and that depends on whether or not Milow plays if Ty Simpson plays I think he’s better suited against this Michigan defense than milro who knows who freaking knows all right all right if you got any other questions toss them in the comments here on YouTube we’ll do our best to uh to get you an answer for any of those let’s go ahead and recap our records thus far on the season uh as it sits right now I am 5857 and2 Kyle 39 29 and 1 Parker 42 and 51 that puts us at 139 137 and3 overall only 50.3 6% on the season so we got to do our best during bull season to make sure that we uh stay above that 500 and see if we can’t get back up to 52.38% uh let’s check out our Best Bets from today’s show Parker I’m going to let you lead us off here tell us uh tell us what you got yeah forget the N the The Vibes and the narratives I think Army Navy is going over uh 38.5 that’s my play for today I am going to take Army Navy first half under 19 and a half so we’re going to thread that needle and I’m going to go ahead and take pin State at minus 8 I think this thing ends up double digits by the time we get back here and talk about that game again next week so I’m going to go ahead and take pin State minus the eight at home Kyle uh which uh which player are you rolling with I’m going to go ahead and lock in Clemson te total under 20 and a half I like it I like it all right as always make sure keep an eye on the latest odds bv.com ODS for that and join in on the action bv.com jooin do not forget the promo code tv50 it’s going to get you an exclusive 150% deposit bonus on that first deposit you can follow the guys on X Parker at Stats War Kyle is at Kyle Hunter piix and I am at Gary WCE uh we are here Tuesday and Wednesday 1 p.m. eastern time throughout the college football season and uh and yeah the schedule’s going to change a little bit holiday weeks every Monday at that point December 23rd December 30th we’re here at 1 p.m. Eastern uh Doug and Jeff with you every Saturday morning 11:00 a.m. eastern make sure you are subscribed to the channel and that you like the videos hit that notification Bell so you know when we go live that’s going to do it for today’s show you guys in the chat we love all of you with all of our hearts we appreciate you for taking some time out of your day to come in here and talk ball with us with that said for bet us where the game begins God bless college football and we’re going to see you guys again tomorrow thanks for watching the BET us college football show hit that subscribe button below hit the Thumbs Up Button as well and jump in the YouTube comments below if you have any questions we’ll be down in those comments here throughout the week [Music] oh

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