Illinois vs. Missouri Game Preview and Predictions!

πŸ“… Published on: 2024-12-20 17:49:06

⏱ Duration: 00:17:27 (1047 seconds)

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The Sleepers preview the Illinois vs. Missouri game!

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πŸ•΅οΈβ€β™‚οΈ Transcript:

today’s video is brought to you by diers Pro the ultimate platform for serious college basketball fans and betters like me and just in time for the holidays diers pro has the best offer they have ever had it’s now 50% off from December 20th to January 6th if you use code Sleepers at checkout you get access to all the tools that you need for the college basketball Christmas slate with diers Pro you unlock Best Bets props our parlay picker and the brand new dier signals feature to identify top plays for every match match up you don’t want to miss this holiday deal if you’ve been thinking about jumping on board with divers Pro now is definitely the time to do it it’s the best offer that they have made available use code Sleepers for 50% off and bring your college basketball betting game to the next level with dimer Pro Illinois Missouri rivalry game here in St Louis at the Enterprise Center this year uh this has always been a heated series I think uh this is like the one game every year Illinois seems to really really get Juiced up for from a fan based perspective not that there aren’t others but uh Illinois Missouri is a game that matters absolutely it’ll be interesting to see how these European stars for Illinois handle their first foray maybe their only foray into this rivalry From casparis yon’s perspective it’s been a while since we’ve had you on to talk about Illinois Illinois had a week to prep for this game following the two-point loss to Tennessee so let me just start with this with you Dion where uh where are you at with this Illinois team how good do you think these guys are uh to be honest so I I bet on Tennessee in that game um live bet them as well so like I mean obviously like I was pretty happy with the result but I thought Illinois was the better team um it just felt like a game that Tennessee got but if it felt like Illinois controlled it a little bit um and like I said I thought they were a little bit of the better team uh Benham Rick house is very interesting to me uh I I’ve made a lot of jokes at his expense he makes like one or two plays where like I see it and then he’ll make like seven where I don’t necessarily see the NBA thing that like um NBA comps that we’re receiving um but he does make a couple plays where I’m like ah you know what I get it uh casparis I know he missed the free throws at uh at the end that ultimately cost them the game but I also feel like he kept them in it it’s uh a bit unfortunate that he missed those free thrs will Riley’s a walking bucket uh this team’s very talented uh like I said I I I thought they were better than Tennessee that day yeah yeah I think like the game was very there for the taking not to rehash the recap but it felt like uh a game given all the foul trouble for Tennessee and the way both teams shot the ball like if Illinois plays well for their standards they win that game they did a lot of mistake stuff that some of it was self enforced some of it not and ultimately they kind of let it slip um this game is interesting because it’s been a streaky rivalry let me give you some numbers on this going all the way back to like when we were little tiny little seeds in our parents eyes Dion even before that let’s start 1983 Illinois won the next three four five six seven eight straight games from 1983 to 1990 apparently these teams play every single year which I applaud so Illinois wins E Straight then Missouri wins four straight from 91 to 94 Illinois two straight 95 to 96 Missouri three straight 97 to 99 here’s where we get even spicier Illinois from 2000 to 2008 won every single matchup believe that’s uh nine consecutive wins Missouri then won four straight from 9 to 12 Illinois then won five straight from 13 to 17 Missouri then one three straight from 18 to 20 it’s like it just keeps going it’s like Michigan Ohio State football like one team has it for forever and then the other team takes it for four years and you don’t really know what shifts the only time this rivalry has been back and forth has been the last three seasons 21 Illinois won by 25 22 Missouri punked them by 22 and then uh Illinois blew him out last year by 24 so I don’t really know what to make of this Brad Underwood um I’m trying to remember when Brad started but you know Missouri’s won four of the last six in this series which is kind of jarring to say out loud because Illinois’s been the better program for the last six years and yet Missouri has arguably had more success so does that scare you at all coming into this year yeah I mean I think it’s always a bit scary in rivalry games uh where it’s like one team’s clearly the better team but you’re gonna get the other’s best punch and I think when it comes to games like that the team that’s the better team normally doesn’t have their best punch on that day for whatever reason so to me that’s always like a bit of a scary situation but I don’t know I really like this Illinois team like I think you’re always going to get buckets from will Ry you’re always going to get a good version of casparis uh Everybody Plays their roles they have the better um how do you say the last name ivich evich evich they have the better evich Tomy slavich yeah yeah Tomy I call him big tone whenever he’s on the court I’ve been thinking about naming him Tom too but like that’s still that’s still that’s still being worked out if he ever develops a three-point shot that’s big Tom but right now it’s big Tomy uh he’s special I I like his game a lot he he to me is what I was hoping big Z Would yeah I uh I’ve been there’s just no way for me to make say this and and say it cool but uh I’m trying I’m trying to go with the named TI and uh you know because he gets his big [ __ ] popping you feel me like that’s anytime he gets a rebound and puts it back up he can be like y That’s tit right that’s like I I’ve been really working with uh with ti as the time of this is nickname but again there’s no way for me to say that and have it be cool by dropping Ti songs after that I me band man G when he h the portal that’s the rubber band wild that’s the we won’t say the rest we’re gonna we’re gonna stop but so looking at Missouri what a segue uh th this Missouri team is I think good ah ah they’re 49th on kenpom they’re 10 and one they beat Kansas in a game they dominated Kansas in they have played 10 consecutive home games they haven’t left their home arena since November 4th when they were at Memphis and they lost by a to Memphis so I don’t know what to make of this this is a Memphis program coming off an8 and 24 year last year in which they did not win a game in conference play like Dennis Gates trajectory coming this year was like he’s probably going to be fired and now here they are 10 and one I think Dennis Gates knew what was going to happen he scheduled it incredibly lightly I mean they have played nine cupcakes Memphis and Kansas and they haven’t left the home Marina and give them credit they they’ve taken care of business but uh it’s hard to tell how good they are the Kansas win obviously is a data point you beat Kansas like that’s something it at least shows they have an ability to get up for big games but when you look at the Personnel on this team Mark Mitchell is their best player Mark Mitchell was ran out of Duke for not being good enough Tamar Bates is their second best player Tamar Bates was ran out of Indiana for not being good enough uh Caleb Grill arguably their third best player Caleb Grill ran out of Iowa State and UNLV and then Iowa State again for a lot of reasons one of them being not being good enough so I I don’t really believe in any of the Personnel on this team I don’t really believe in any of the results on this team other than Kansas and Kansas has their own issues right now uh how how do you view the caliber of this Missouri team I don’t think they’re that good from what I’ve seen to be honest with you but I will say I think I kind of love them in this spot I know we’ll get to predictions later but I do think I kind of love them in this spot I I I do think they play I’ll say this going into the season thinking a coach would be fired this is a group that’s playing as if they also think their coach is going to be fired and they want to make sure he doesn’t I don’t understand why any of them care though like like if you’re asking me like does Tony Perkins or Mark Mitchell Tomar Bates care that Dennis Gates might get fired I would think no way they want their checks to cash I agree I agree I I don’t understand why they care but they’re playing really hard for a guy who may not have his have one leg out the door because he wants to have one leg out the door but he does have one leg out the door yeah yeah it is interesting um profile wise Missouri’s way better on offense than they are defense they’re the 28th best offense in the country they are just the 100 4th best defense in the sport uh two areas that I am circling actually I’ll give you three areas that I am circling for this game number one Missouri’s two-point offense is fourth best in the country 62% from inside the arc Illinois has a top 10 two-point defense they’ve been very good we’ve talked about how Illinois is very big positionally again Mark Mitchell is a guy that’s got to get his work done from inside easier said than done against Illinois with all the strength they’ve got now the scary part I think matchup you probably got to put H Rick house on on Mark Mitchell that would scare me because he he he’s not as much of like a booty ball beat you in ISO situations guy but he’s a good player and HRI house I would not want to be sticking a star so that’s one interesting thing the other two spots I’ve circled Illinois should beat up Missouri on the offensive boards here they’re very good at rebounding their misses 28th in the Country Missouri sub 300 in in offensive rebounds given up and the last area here Missouri the one thing they do well defensively is force turnovers they’re ninth in the country in forcing turnovers and they’re not good anywhere else defensively but they force turnovers casparis will flip it right so I I would tell you right now if Missouri is in this game it’s likely because casparis turns it over five six seven times in this game if casparis limits turnovers I don’t see how Missouri stops Illinois yeah I agree I mean kasparis to me the one thing about his turnovers is he’s at least making um a decent basketball play I do have to give him that with his turnovers so like they’re they’re ones that like more often than not you’ll live with but he’s gonna like flip them and so I do think I think that’s part of what’s going to keep Missouri in this game I have some other reasons I’ll say for the like when we do the prediction but I think there’s a few reasons including I think they’re going to be able to hang a little bit on the offensive glass with big Tomy as well like I think I think I think Missouri is going to rebound better um than expected in this game too why is that they just play hard like I think it’s gonna be a I think um so part of the reason I think I’m going to be on Missouri Sunday 10: a.m West Coast start that’s football time that’s football time uh it like these games one team all always winds up playing 10 times harder than the other team another team comes in they Sleepwalk a little bit maybe went out Saturday night who knows not going to say they did or didn’t but you typically get a team sleepwalking and that’s at any level it’s not just college basketball see in the pros as well I think Illinois is gonna sleep walk a little bit I don’t think Missouri is going to yeah let me give you the argument on why it’s going to be Missouri that’s doing that you said it’s a football kick kasparis and tomov visich don’t know what football is but they know what ball is that’s that’s earlier though they’ve already watched all the EPL games by the time they get the warm-ups for this game um if there’s if there’s one side I think is partying give me the side with Caleb Grill and Tamar Bates uh if there’s one side I think is in the gym till 3: am. give me the side with kasparis Yak casones we’ll see Illinois blitzed them last year they were the much better team I think this Missouri team’s record is not indicative at all of what they are I mean they’re 10- one have won 10 straight games and they barely back the top 50 on kenpom uh Illinois due for a bounceback performance given what happened against Tennessee they’re due for a game where they just make a bunch of Threes I’m buying some Illinois stock in this one uh quickly before we do predictions you said to me before we clicked record on this uh casparis is fun and I just feel like you haven’t had a chance to talk about how you feel about Caspar act shown as much listen in in the after like a couple of the preseason games I said he reminds me of Luca like I haven’t fully gone off that train it’s obviously different but there’s a lot of similarities to me those heliocentric guards that can score and pass are two things one probably the worst type of player to build around but two an extremely fun player James Harden fun Luca donic fun Devin Booker fun like all these guys that like control the ball Jaylen Brunson also objectively fun jagor demon very fun uh it’s just he’s fun he makes flashy flashy passes he makes he makes the right plays look fun and I think that it makes it makes you want to play basketball watching CU Faris he’s a guy if I was a recruit or a pro or whatever level playing in in in the Euro league I would want to play with kasparis because he’s going to get you the ball in spots that you enjoy and he’s gonna make that flashy play that also gets you like gets you going a little bit like I mentioned Illinois my Sleepwalk we’re also one casparis no look he away from that being all over you know what I mean and it’s like let’s go run this score up at any moment he can turn it up and when he makes those plays it gets everybody else going too yeah that’s [ __ ] to him that’s what we talked about that he has immense amounts of [ __ ] to him um can you make that noise again what was that all right let’s get to predictions dimer Pro is our Predictive Analytics model we partnered with for all of college basketball this season they give you a score prediction for every single game they give you the player CRS to bet that are high Edge promo code sleepers you get 20% off your first month at Diamond Pro I highly recommend all college basketball fans give it a try even if you’re not a better you’ll like seeing the insights and it’ll make you a smarter college basketball fan give it a try see if you like it if you see its value before we get to March we also have a special holiday run right now I talked about at the beginning of this video you can get 50% off instead of 20% off it’s the best offer you’re going to get from diers on diers Pro so go check that out the line isn’t out for this game yet CU it’s not until Sunday so we’ll use the kpom line instead of the dimmer prediction uh the kpom line is Illinois by 5 81-76 what do you predict will happen here 8576 you said 8176 81 rough morning for me hearing the scores by the way uh gotta be better gotta be better um that’s a low I I like Illinois if it’s five that’s low I got got Illinois by 20 plus uh I think they’re the much better team I think Mark Mitchell is the mismatch but Mark Mitchell’s a guy you will live with taking tough twos like he’s not Martinelli like he he has no offensive game he just wants to get to the rim and uh I think Illinois’s interior defense will shine casparis just needs to limit turnovers he’ll probably turnover six times and you’ll still probably win by 20 but uh yeah expect these runs in this rivalry to continue back-to-back blowout wins for Illinois from my side here this video is brought to you by my bookie the presenting sponsor of all things sleepers media and our favorite sports book on the planet cart 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