📅 Published on: 2024-11-27 22:00:15

⏱ Duration: 00:03:21 (201 seconds)

👀 Views: 696 | 👍 Likes: 18

📝 Video Description:

Missouri vs Arkansas Picks Against the Spread 2024 Predictions

Gary gives a quick preview, analysis, score prediction based on advanced stats and data & his pick (lean) against the spread (ATS) for the 2024 College Football Week 14 matchup featuring Arkansas vs Missouri!

From the full 2024 Week 14 Preview show: https://youtu.be/u2mla59zGR0

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Part 1: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-QIJKaVQFLg
Part 2: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BGf9Zdz9a-0

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🕵️‍♂️ Transcript:

Missouri hosting Arkansas Missouri right now a three and a half Point home favorite total of 54 and a half and these two teams right now Arkansas already Bowl eligible uh Missouri is sitting at 8 and three they’re trying to get to nine wins I I’ve got Missouri favored by 8.14 here 8.14 points that is just wild spread based on the last four weeks of stats Missouri minus 15 A2 Missouri did to Mississippi State what they were supposed to do last week Arkansas actually beat State worse however you start diving into this thing and it’s a little goofy uh number Arkansas number 29 in PPA margin Missouri is number 46 the Missouri offense certainly fell off a cliff whenever Brady cook couldn’t play but Brady cook is back now Arkansas number 17 an offensive success rate Missouri number 58 in that uh defensive Success Missouri significantly better number 26 and Arkansas number 46 in defensive success rate allowed if Brady cook is back he and Luther Burton and Theo whis and all that Bunch are going to be able to have some success on this Arkansas secondary Arkansas number 97 in PPA allowed per pass they are Number 103 in qbr alloud and while the Missouri numbers don’t exactly look good that’s because obviously Brady cook was out so when you don’t have your quarterback obviously Things fall down uh on the other side the the Missouri defense really good at stopping the Run uh Arkansas pretty split down the middle uh 50.5 8% Runnings uh Runnings uh Rush rate and on the other side passing the ball they throw the ball 49.4 two% of their snaps uh so they are almost 50-50 balanced here they’re a lot better at earning the ball some of that has to do with ton green obviously he has missed some time as well but regardless they’re number five in rushing success rate Missouri’s defense is number 25 in that uh the best course of success I think is going to be throwing the ball throwing the ball for Arkansas but even then I don’t think that they’re I don’t think they’ll have a ton of success here uh this could get a little bit pointsync kind of lean Missouri penalties turnover margin uh Arkansas a little bit better in special teams I I think I think the numberers wrong Arkansas obviously would love to get this one but Eli dritz his snarky self uh I will take Missouri to cover three and that’s uh you can get that at DK right now uh that is the best number that’s on the board there’s a lot of Arkansas love in the market I’m going against it I don’t buy it don’t trust it thanks for listening to winning cures everything make sure and follow me on Twitter @ gwc if you want to toss in a question you can email me Gary winning cures everything.com make sure and hit that subscribe button and we’ll see you next time [Music]

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