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Nikola Vucevic Is Going To FALL OFF | Fantasy Basketball Sell High & Buy Low TRADES

πŸ“… Published on: 2024-12-03 22:15:06

⏱ Duration: 00:47:27 (2847 seconds)

πŸ‘€ Views: 15505 | πŸ‘ Likes: 396

πŸ“ Video Description:

Unlock the secrets to dominating your NBA Fantasy Basketball league with insights on top performers and hidden gems. Discover why Nikola Vucevic of the Chicago Bulls is a prime sell-high candidate and how Ja Morant’s return could impact your fantasy strategy. Explore buy-low opportunities with players like Trey Murphy and Julius Randle, and learn how to navigate the ups and downs of the NBA season.

Join Josh Lloyd, host of the Locked On Fantasy Basketball podcast, as he breaks down the latest trends and player performances. With detailed analysis on players like Cameron Johnson, Jarrett Allen, and Coby White, this episode is packed with actionable advice for fantasy managers. Can you afford to miss out on these game-changing insights?

Dive into this episode now to enhance your Fantasy Basketball strategy and stay ahead of the competition. Don’t miss out on the latest player evaluations and trade recommendationsβ€”watch or listen now!

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πŸ•΅οΈβ€β™‚οΈ Transcript:

let’s take a look at players who are over and under performing can you do anything with it can you trade them away can you do I don’t know we’ll find out Michael Bolton I’m sure he’s got all of the answers Mick thanks Josh it’s Michael Bolton here and it’s time for another episode of the locked on Fantasy Basketball podcast let’s get to it let’s get to it in date you are locked on fantasy your daily NBA fantasy podcast part of the locked on podcast Network your team every day hello and welcome to the locked on Fantasy Basketball podcast brought to you by basketball monster my name is Josh Lloyd and I’ve had it very tough I was born at a very young age and for the first year of my life I I couldn’t even walk I’m also the lead fantasy Analyst at basketball monster.com and you can find me on Blu sky at Josh L.B sky. social on Twitter at Red roore bball on Tik Tok at red rockball and on Instagram at locked on Fantasy Basketball today’s episode is brought to you by Game Time download the game time app create an account and use the code locked on NBA for $20 off your first purchase also check out locked on daily.com go in there and uh grab yourself a newsletter for your favorite team lock on.com and of course you’re double bangging here we’re trying to hit to 990,000 Subs over on the old YouTube and uh I think we’ll get there eventually Canada we are going to come and save you we’re going to we’re going to save you from being Canadian it’s okay we got we’ve got you we’ll be there really really soon okay so let’s take a look at some buy lows and sell highs and we’ll do the recap of how we did how the buy lows and sell lows that we put out there two weeks and look I’ll be honest with you these ones did not go very well at all and there’s there’s a couple things that we can we can take out of that either um either I’m terrible at this which is is distinctly possible right like I just I’ve got no idea what I’m doing that’s that’s possible or there is something that’s a little bit different this season where maybe slumps and hot streaks are just lasting longer maybe the sample size of six games seven games is just not as um useful to us this season and I I that I’ve got if that is the case I have no idea why that would be but um we will see some of these guys and I look at well that that Sur surely that should have changed but it doesn’t always and we keep persisting with this and at the end of the year we will do probably I think we’ll do it as long as I remember a recap of all lows and sell highs throughout the season and see how all those numbers um projected from each of those times that we did that just to see how it all went even though understanding that sometimes a Buy Low and a sell high can be a short-term thing like you sell this guy here and then he moves worse and there’s been a couple of guys we’re going to talk about in today’s show that sort of fall under that Banner as well but let’s take a look at the way that we uh all the guys that we took a look at last time out the first by low we had was Damen lard and that one worked out incredibly well he was 37th and he’s seventh since we did that show fantastic love that maau Bridges was 110th and then he got worse he got worse and this is where it’s a little bit weird because he did he was terrible he’s 182nd since we did the show but the last time that he played he was very very good so if I waited like three more games would Bridges have now be back to being the 80th best player in that time I guess that’s possible but yeah like he was he was bad and he continues to like have some real struggles over that time period Keegan Murray also uh stayed about the same he was 140th he went to 154th and I am losing significant faith in Keegan as a long-term um category League standard League player for this season I think you hold in 12s but in 10 maybe not Jaylen green also got worse he was 109th and he got to 135th like I said with a lot of these guys I maybe not with Murray as much but Bridges and green I’m I’m very certain that now even though they’ve sort of pushed back slightly that they are going to improve it’s just that you usually expect that stuff to sort of normalize or change within 2 weeks or so but maybe it’s a 3 we thing maybe it’s a 4- we thing I don’t know and then the K kman one I’m going to put the numbers up cuz I’m going to be accountable to it but he was 155th and since then he’s 297th because he played like a 3 minute game in there or whatever it was with that rib spraying and then he hasn’t played since really so that that one that hurts clearly as a is a accountability thing but that’s that’s the reason on that one in terms of the sell highs well France Vagner I had as the 25th best player but since I did the show he is 10th but this one also was one that was yeah the twoe period doesn’t always add up because the thing we said about France is you got to do the STP LTG is that you know that he’s going to be still very good while Paulo is out and then when Paulo comes back he’s going to be worse and the other thing here with France is when you do that you know you’re going to take that short-term hit but you’re looking at what happens in January what happens in February when he does go cold and then the usage drops and then you’ve made that that win so I’ve got no problem with that one where he went from 26 to 10th with France cuz again we knew that there was going to be this is a longer term investment in terms of moving off of him Dyson Daniels is uh was 20th and he’s 104th since then the reality of Dyson is obviously very much in the middle there his shot attempts and he shooting percentages more importantly foul during those twoe period but it’s going to get better and we saw him be very good last game against uh the Pelicans so he will be better than that Josh Hart hasn’t really budged I thought that his field goal percentage which was some of the best in the NBA would drop a little bit he’s gone from 42nd to 35th so that is an improvement it’s a small Improvement but he stayed the same I still believe that that’s a huge sell High though Ben Maan was a pretty easy sell high he went from 33rd to 118th the reality for him is somewhere you’re back I would say in the top 100 but we need to know what happens with n Smith and nard and then the last one is Jared McCain who was 52nd that one was again relatively obvious the stuff that he was doing usage wise and shooting wise and packaging those two things together meant that he was putting up huge numbers is becoming unbelievably great and people were talking so much about he just actually won NBA Rookie of the month for the October November period so that you know people were very much bought in and now he’s coming off the bench in the last game behind Kelly UB he’s 181st since we did that and I I think he is a borderline hold in 12 teamers but that the the length of time that I’m willing to do that is actually pretty pretty short so what should we do should we talk about every one of these shows I always do byow first but I’m going to mix it up a bit because I know this is what you want to hear we’re going to do sell highs and this one’s for everybody the the the long-term um the long-term fans the everydays the guys who the ride or dies the ones who who really believe uh in in this show and the things that we do because our first sell High it has to be it’s Nicola vvi of course it is why wouldn’t it be Vu has been um insane ridiculously good V is over the last two weeks the 25th ranked player he’s averaging 42 fantasy points I do not think that that is who he is very clearly I will continue to say this and I will continue to like this has lasted a long time very obviously six weeks we’re talking here for V to have been as good as he’s been now he started off you know better than this and then he sort of dropped off a little bit and he’s improved back a little bit again but the key factor I’ll continue to say with v is that his usage is down it is lower than it was last season his rebound rate I believe is lower than last last season he he is just hitting every shot in the world it is not because demard rosan is gone that he’s getting more usage and more touches CU that is literally not happening he is taking fewer shots the usage is lower he is just hitting every shot so there are so many things here that I believe are going to fall I actually people think that I hate V I just think that he is not a particularly good NBA Center that he’s a bad defensive Center who has had significant shooting problems all throughout his career right and I thought he was actually one of the worst starting Setters in the NBA last season I said that but I I drafted him in one league in a Roa League I drafted him because again that production is fine it’s all about the value and how you assign that value so I I don’t think that he’s necessarily going to be a top 50 player rest of the season but that and that’s yeah that’s still a good player it’s just not the guy that’s cooking at the moment 21.3 points per game he’s averaging over the last two weeks and the way that he’s doing it it’s really obvious why it’s happening 46% on his threes 67% true shooting cool that’s not who he is like this is not who V is he is not a 46% shooter because you know who is a 46% shooter nobody that’s not true Luke Canard for multiple Seasons Grayson Allen that’s it nobody nobody is sh like this guy shot 29% from three last season if you want to bank on a guy being a 17 percentage point three point uh improver go for it I won’t I don’t know when it will fall off I I got no idea it hasn’t so far and so far yeah so far that um prediction of me saying that he shouldn’t be a top 50 player is is wrong so far but of course your playoffs haven’t started yet and we’re going to see where it goes there’s always there’s also the risk of the trade coming with v and again this is not because of a role change it’s just because every single shot in the world is going in and it continues to go in and it continues to be honestly just mindblowing that how he’s been able to do this I I don’t get it at all I do not get it for a single second but I’m sure people are going to be like oh we love v he’s going to continue to do this okay I don’t think he will I think the three-point shooting will fall like it could conceivably fall 15 percentage points and then he’s you know we have 2.6 threes per game that he’s making go down to 1.2 he’s 21 points a game go down to 18 points and then he’s an 18 and 10 player which is still good it’s just not a top 20 player or a top 30 player and or a top 50 player and and that is again my position on V and I’ll continue to do that and then we’ll assess it we’ll continue to assess it all the way through the season guys we got more buy lows sell highs to talk about but today the episode is brought to you by the Legends over at game time and the new feature Game Time pics what does Game Time pics do well it sorts through all of the tickets and cuts out all of the fluff on the game time app to find you the best viewing experience to watch Nicola vich in person that is all it’s designed for so how do I get the best angle of V with game time picks it cuts out all other games all other team teams all other scenarios just so you can get in there to watch F now of course that would be the version that I create the version that game time’s actually created is just game time pick which does it for any event and any sporting event and any team it just gets you the best value tickets so you don’t have to waste your time trying to find that option it’s got the views from your seat on the side as well it’s got the Allin pricing toggle on the app where you can go onto the app and you click that on and it shows you the full price of the tickets including the fees right there on that ticket you got everything that you could possibly need event protection cancellation event canc protection is probably a better way to phrasee that it’s all there over on the game time app so take the guesswork out of buying tickets with game time piics and what do you do need to do oh you need to go and download that that up of course create the account and use the code locked on NBA and get $20 off your first purchase terms apply again create the account and redeem the code l c k d o n NBA for $20 off download game time today what time is it game time today’s episode is also brought to you by Price picks price picks is the best place to get real money Sports Action with over 10 million members and billions of dollars in awarded winnings prize picks has made daily fantasy sports accessible to all you just pick more or less on at least two individual player St projections and you’ve got a chance to win up to 100 times your money back it is available in over 30 states in the US price picks including California Florida Georgia and Texas and you can win with as little as four correct picks 100 times your money price picks also now offers venmo for quick and easy deposits and withdrawals into your account all the way through the year so head across and download the app today and use the code locked on NBA to get $50 instantly after you play your first $5 lineup download the app today and use the code lock on NBA to get $50 instantly after you play your first $5 lineup price picks run your game all right welcome back to you Legends as we’re ready to go through some more um sell High options here for Fantasy Basketball looking at the the play of these guys over the last couple of weeks and it is I think yeah important I don’t even know you know what don’t worry about what’s important let’s just talk about the next player who is of course temetrius Jamal Morant nar’s only just returned from his injury and that’s important for me to to point out right cuz I’m I’m aware of that but honestly when you’re talking about guys who come back and play only a few games that’s when you’re talking about a Buy Low that becomes more interesting because you go well of course they’ve only played these few games things are going to change but Morant has cooked in those games that he has been played over the last two weeks which I think is three games total he is over that time frame the 26th rank player in category leagues he’s averaged 42 fantasy points and that has been great it’s 22 points a game he’s averaged 8.7 assists and he’s done all this in like low minutes so do we people who look at that and go wow that’s amazing like ja is doing this now what about when he plays 32 minutes a night and I understand that like idea of understand that um rationale behind you go this is great he’s doing this in 26 give him seven more minutes let’s add an extra 20% onto his production he’s going to be cooking as a top 15 player and I don’t believe that’s the case there’s a couple of reasons why do I have any faith that jarand is going to be a 62% shooter for his twos not really he’s running at a 64 true shooting and this is part of the problem that Mor has had throughout his career is he has not been a particularly efficient player so do I have any like faith that Mor is going to continue to be that level of efficient no like not really at all he’s also averaging 1.3 Steals and part of the issue for Mor in category leagues we know this is that he has been a very good assist player a good scorer but he’s really lacked in terms of providing those other peripheral numbers in terms of like steals so he’s at uh8 steals last season 1.1 the year before that he’s got four steals in the last two games combined he’s averaging 1.3 steals over his last three games his usage is up at 31% for this for that time frame and he’s also hitting his free throws now his free throw numbers are wild through his career what’s real I I don’t really know he went from 76 to 75 to 81 in nine games last season 81 and this season he’s riding at 87% over the last uh three games at almost eight attempts per game I I I don’t think I believe that jaran blocked. three shots and point4 blocks these last two full seasons cool he’s at 7 so it’s doubled the block rate not doubled the steel rate but like a 50% increase on steel rate the twoo percentage what did he shoot on those well 53 52 55 and he’s rolling at 62 all right so all of this stuff is relatively obvious but some of it’s hidden right people just got Jam around he’s awesome and what if he plays more minutes all this stuff should rise and I don’t believe it should so when we’re talking or I don’t believe that it will cuz I think there’s some stuff will rise the minutes will rise but I don’t know the production will rise in a category League point of view I I think jar is totally okay at around the 40 Mark I that’s totally reasonable to have him in that area 40s 50s whatever it is you however it is you want to position him I think he’s okay in that mid-range area and you know the gaps between 40 and 50 aren’t that big but if someone looks at these numbers and goes well he’s 26 so he’s averaging 42 points he can actually get to 45 46 then I would be very much interested in like yeah I don’t know about that there’s a few things here that maybe don’t hold to that level and then that is where I’d be looking to do a cashing in on the brand name value now you might want to wait to see if there’s one more or two more games of this from Mor because there is a history of him continuing to get hurt but you always try and find someone who wants to buy in on the hype that the value that is Morant and morant’s name is important and then you see what you can get like if you can get a top 25 player for jar I would do it without really any question at all in a category league in a points League I’d probably look a little higher but Memphis has been very steadfast in their minutes limiting and their depth rotation and that I think is going to play uh a factor here with Moran who in the what the average 45 and 45 and 45 fantasy points the last three seasons I don’t think that he gets there this year honestly I don’t think he’s going to hit that number for this season because I do believe that they will continue to keep the minutes down if you don’t believe that then you don’t sell high if you think the minutes will push up and get 33 34 and he will become a 46 Fantasy Point guy you do that’s okay I think it actually has got some space here to drop off and we take some uh some some focus on you’re trying to sell on that name brand let’s go to a a player in Brooklyn who is absolutely cooking at the moment and we are talking about Cameron Johnson Johnson over the last two weeks is a top 50 player he’s averaging almost 34 fantasy points that’s 20 real life points hitting 3.6 tribes a game he’s at four rebounds which is obviously not a very high number but 91 from the line 53% from the field and it’s a little bit annoying that he just missed that game yesterday on a back toback with the ankle sprain because you people will be like well we know that cam Johnson’s got a lot of injury problems so yeah has it started again and that’s true like there are injury concerns with Johnson but I don’t think that ankle one is one of those ones you should be worried about so what’s actually yeah cooking here well it very obvious you know the thing to do and if you’ve watched this show a million times the the answer is always look to see what 3o percentage is doing 51% on threes over the last two weeks 51% that brings his overall field goals to 53 that means he’s hitting 3.63 a game that means he’s averaging 20 points per game and I just don’t think that any of that stuff is realistic he’s only at a 20 is he’s at 23 usage which is also High during that time frame and it will stay high while cam Thomas is out two cams so while Thomas is out Johnson will take more shots and he’s doing the thing which we love from a fantasy capitalization point of view is that more shots tied in with a shooting hot streak makes everything amplify it’s not quite a logarithmic scale I just wanted to say logarithmic but it does amplify um the value that someone has more shots combined with a hot streak looks awesome and that is exactly what we’re getting from Johnson here he’s averaging 6 blocks as well any mind I think that’s a lot at this guy average. 3.3 and 0.2 the last three seasons so you when you double your block rate it does have an impact on overall fantasy rankings or player Raiders or even fantasy points because you’re in an ESPN League a block is four points right so if it’s an extra if you go from0 6 to3 it’s doubling what you’re getting in that areas and0 6 blocks is what is it like 2.2 blocks or 2.2 points versus you might get normally 1.1 point so just an just one extra point one extra point there the 3.6 triples a game is if they’re 2.9 it’s an extra one or two points on everything every little bit there adds up over that time frame so I don’t think Johnson I think he’s a top 100 player I don’t think that he’s a top 50 guy I don’t think he’s a top 60 player and the other thing is a there is that injury risk and B there is a chance that he is traded or fake injured at the end of the season and his role just does not remain this way he has played way more minutes than I expected him to the shots have gone in at an incredibly High rate he’s also hitting 91 like 91% from the line for the season last season 79 and remember that we banged on and on in the preseason about how free throws along with steals are the most variable year-to-year category and Johnson is one of those examples that’s proving that like go from 8684 7991 so you can say he’s a good free throw shooter and he is and last year was down but now he’s just taken it to an extra level and gone up to that incredibly High number so the usage is up the shooting is up the defensive stats are up all of that is up and it is going to fall off it’s just I I can’t see again you know we can get this stuff wrong at any point I just don’t well no one’s sticking to 51% we know that and then the the Thomas Edition or readdition into the mix will be uh something to pay attention to we’re going to head to SA and this is again trying to take advantage of recent production recent news and I have grabbed Malik monk in any League that I can I think I’ve got Malik monk I’m just going to double check my numbers here uh out of my 1 two 3 4 five six how many leagues seven leagues I’ve got seven leagues and then one of them is a then the eighth one is a what’s the draft and stash League we don’t make any moves and I’ve got monk in two of those I was able to grab him in two of those leagues um which is yeah know I’m happy with being able to do that but this is this is what we’re getting out of him I think that he’s a top 100 guy rest of season and a must roster player he’s averaging 41 fantasy points over the last two weeks since he returned from injury and now he’s been inserted into the starting lineup and that sort of stuff it doesn’t always like people just go well look at him like he’s killing it the minutes are up they’ll stay up and they could and now he’s starting and they’ve recognized it so let’s go it’s Malik monk time and sure but like he’s averaging 22 points with almost seven assists and some of those games came without demato Rosen he’s hitting 4 and 1 half threes a game he’s also blocking a shot per game blocking one shot per game this man if you added up the averages from the last two seasons which of course is not how averages work but 0.5 blocks and3 blocks the last two seasons point4 the year before that so yeah safe to say that I don’t think he’s averaging a block a game 49% on threes he’s attempting 9.3 triples per game probably a number that doesn’t stick with a true shooting of 66 what was he true shooting last season let’s go to those numbers uh 56 and 59 and 59 so yeah look there’s going to be a pretty significant dip here I think that he’s a clear top 100 player I think he’s like a 32 to 35 Fantasy Point player he’s rolling at 41 fantasy points he’s rolling as a top 35 guy the since he returned from injury and that just isn’t a realistic thing you know you’re not going to get a top 35 player in a trade and the idea of these shows is not always just about doing trades it’s about understanding what you’ve got and where that value is going to sit and how can you rely upon this this and when you’re building your team is this going to stick or is this not or just you be prepared for a crash or be prepared for a um boom or Doom maybe we should rename the show boom or Doom I don’t know I guess that like that sells um so I think there’s going to be some um regression coming here for leaky monk pretty clearly the last sell High we’re going to go to is another guard and we’re going to head across to Phoenix because tyus Jones is really putting up some big numbers at the moment it doesn’t appear that the Bradley Beal thing is is a problem he’s returning today um and Jones is cooking at the moment 50th ranked player over the last two weeks he’s averaging 33 uh3 fantasy points per game during that time frame and obviously that’s incredibly strong but what is tus doing that makes me skeptical of it I guess that’s the question you’d want to ask I think that he’s around the 100 to 120th Mark in category leagues I think he’s like a 27 Fantasy Point player around that area so what is he doing over this time period that is making it all look awesome well there are two or there are some very very obvious things and I I’ll point this part out he’s also not hitting any free throws at all he’s at 50% over the last four games that he’s played 50% understanding that that is literally one of two he’s taken two free throws in two weeks and he’s hit one of them right so we’re talking he just never gets the line so those numbers are going to fluctuate a lot he would never get there um 9 .3 assists per game what does tyus Jones do like he he does get a lot of assists that is very very true he’s at 7.2 for the season I I I don’t think that he holds at 9.3 but that’s not even the most important part here because he’s at 1.8 steals he was at 1.1 last season one the year before that 0.9 the year before that some of those are in limited minutes 1.8 is an incredibly High number and then he’s adding to that by shooting 50% from three 67% on twos which is a true shooting over 70% which puts his field goal percentage over 58% and even with all of that he’s only averaging 13 points 13 points his usage is at 14% 14.7 to be exact so he’s shooting the absolute lights out one of the best true shootings in the NBA over that time frame and he averages 13 with nine assists and the nine assists can become seven the 1.8 steals become 1 Point 1.2 he might be a nineo per game player he is making everything count and it it he just won’t he just won’t make that stuff count at that level and I think when Beal and that are all sort of rolling there’ll be times when he isn’t needed out there at to close or to handle which will mean that those assist numbers do drop out as long with the shooting as well so what do you do with tyus if you could get any top 70 player you would do it if you could get a top 80 player I would probably do that in a trade um and in the points League obviously he’s just nowhere near as good to me the he’s closer to a waiver wire guy than he is a top 75 player in a points league but again rolling at the moment it is harder from a psychological perspective to move off a player who’s cooking because that’s exactly what he’s doing he go I love this this is great but overall when you’ve got to like have a um a common sense approach to the numbers that are coming and how real are they to be able to stick and these ones are very clearly very clearly not real and and not going to be able to hold in that level or that capacity what does that do though well that means we come back and we talk very soon about the guys who are underperforming and we hope that they’re able to fix that up today’s episode though is brought to you by chime yes we have all been there before through the holidays you’ve spent more than you should have you’ve had to budget and you go well what if I just do this or go over the top and well yeah it’s going to be frustrating so take control of your finances by using a chime checking account with features like no monthly or maintenance fees fee free overdraft up to $200 or getting paid up to 2 days early with direct deposit you can learn more about that at chime.com snba to date chime has spotted members over 32 billion in transactions through spot me friends giving friends a boost eligible members get complimentary boost to temporarily increase a friends spot me limit and when you give a boost they can boost you back to temporarily raise your limit enjoy the holidays while keeping your financial goals on track with chime open your account in 2 minutes at 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that takes no context like there’s nothing I can’t provide contextual information I’m not the one having the negotiation with other managers I don’t know what your team looks like or what their team looks like so if I find if I narrow that sort of stuff down then you become very narrow in your view and go well I’ve got to trade this player for this player and you don’t explore the other 40 options that are possible and that’s Again part of the overarching is that arcing or arching I don’t know we can interchange those terms I feel they both can work similarly idea about fantasy is that you know best player available this it doesn’t exist there are so many guys who are so close and all it takes is like one miss free throw over a week and that player goes from 70th to 80th and now all of a sudden he wasn’t the best player now he’s you’re the third option in that spot so having a narrow focus on one particular player I don’t think is is good business because then that makes you go well Josh said that name or I’ve got that name in my head when you could have there could be someone on every single team in your league who would be a viable Target in a Buy Low or a sell high and having an idea of what can move and what can drop and ranges and all that sort of stuff I think is more valuable versus me I I can’t hold your hand and tell you what you should do in each individual trade for each individual player because that requires so much context that is impossible to provide so that is why I don’t do that and I think it would actually be detrimental to you if I did say trade this player for this player I think that is I think that ends up being very detrimental because it provides too much of a narrow focus and takes all context out of discussion yes agree or not you might not I don’t know we’ll see so let’s look at the guys who I believe at the moment are underperforming and we’re probably going to get some sort of um some sort of bump up in their numbers and we’ll start in New Orleans and no it’s not Deonte Murray even though I do believe that he is a little bit of a by low especially after shooting 133% in a Revenge game yesterday Trey Murphy Ken Murphy he is uh he’s back the minutes are fine yes Ingram is going to return but honestly Tre mury is a better player than BR Ingram um Zion will return I’m guessing it’s at some point and Herb Jones will be there as well but I think people there are times where and maybe I’m wrong on this but people do underestimate how good Trey Murphy is and they just think well Trey will just go and play 26 minutes a night coming off the bench when these other guys are back and I just don’t think that that is the case I think that he is very very good yes he is and you look at the ranks like he is struggling he’s averaging 33 fantasy points over the last two weeks he’s the 101st ranked player over that time and it is a six game sample size and he’s playing 35 minutes so we’re not even talking about a ramp process in terms of returning from his injury and he sat out some games on the on back Tob backs but he played the last back toback he played 29 minutes in 37 minutes and these last three games have been 38 29 37 minutes the two games prior of that 40 and 38 like they are rolling him out big minutes but what is going on at the moment why can’t he do anything well it’s nothing is just going in this is an elite shooter who’s shooting 32% from three he’s shooting under 49% on his twos that is a 52% true shooting number 52% is an incredibly low number you know what he shot last season 61 you know what his true shooting was the year before 65 we’re talking Elite shooting numbers this is a guy that has had two seasons and one of them last season only 82 from the line but the two prior 91 and 82 you’re talking about a guy that shot um 6061 from two the last two seasons we’re talking about a guy that shot his three-pointers at 41 and 38 and 38 across his first three seasons and now all of a sudden he can’t shoot and that 32% is actually higher than season number which is 30.1 30.8 so yeah I’m very confident that Trey is going to be better than this I think that we’re talking about a top 75 rest of season player um be very cautious with him though because when you go to look at rankings when you if you go and look on the old Yahoo and they’ll show you the fantasy rankings or even if you look on basketball monster and you decide to look at straight nine cat including turnovers it’ll tell you well this guy’s actually a second round player and I’m here to tell you that he’s not he is not a second round player those turnovers are obviously incredibly low because he doesn’t do anything with the ball in his hand so to speak so you’re going to get some some weird sort of numbers in terms of um yeah how you’re viewing those projections or numbers even if I look at where he is look at what his current Yahoo rank is at the moment he’s listing him as 102nd on a season average which again is not that far off but just be be aware of those those turnover numbers which actually at at one per game um there’s a chance that he’s actually able to go lower than that to be honest he’s not a high turnover player at all and that’s yeah that’s something to to watch there but what we do want to take uh or pay attention to with Trey is just the shooting like the free throws the threes the twos he’s getting the triple whammy where all of his shooting numbers are down that means his field goals are down that means his scoring is down that means his three pointers per game are down um and yeah like maybe he isn’t a 35 minute a night player but I think he’s going to be 30 plus and I think he’s going to be 30 40 50 swots better than this I think his fantasy points will be 30 5 to 36 a game and he’s currently a 33 and I feel pretty good about Trey and I also think there’s a lot of skepticism about him at the moment so I think that acquiring him because I’ve had people tell me they’re going to drop him like which I don’t I understand why they’re doing it I think it’s silly like he’s currently only 86% rosted on Yahoo which again is is pretty silly so people are like not really believing necessarily and that means that there is an opportunity to a grab him off the wire if that’s what ends up happening but also to be able to um buy low in any sort of deal I’d be very very interested in doing that this one may not be as obvious but it’s happening because Jarrett Allen at the moment is just not producing the numbers that you want he is 94th over the last two weeks he’s down to only 30 fantasy points a game he’s averaging just 13 real life points 13 and that is obviously not what you want out of Jarrett Allen is it because he’s been injured not really that Cavs any different in terms of who’s available also like not really it’s just some very weird things going on now his usage is down it is low we’re talking 13 usage for Jarrett Allen for the season Jared Allen is running and why do I keep saying Jared Allen like that but he was a 16 usage player this season last season he was incredibly high at 19.5% usage he’s down at 13 and over the last three games he’s at 10% usage his minutes are also down but we’re aware of that like he’s at 28 minutes a night over the last six we know that that is what Kenny ainson is going to do but that’s not really the point here bro has blocked Two Shots over his last six games and he’s only at 1.1 blocks last season on 1.2 the year before that he’s only at one this season so we’re not he’s not a two block per game guy but he can triple his number and still be below expectations he’s just not blocking shots he’s also not hitting free throws and one of the one of the values of Allen is he’s not a free throw Destroyer 74 and 73 the last two seasons 74 this season last six games 67 he’s also not taking many freee throws at all he was at four last last year 2.5 at the moment which of course is not like a a negative thing when you’re hitting lower numbers you’re okay you want the lower volume but I think that’s all about usage and touches and getting more of the ball and more scoring also assists do we think that he’s a great assist player not really but he did average 2.7 last season he’s at 1.5 at the moment maybe he’s not a 2.7 guy maybe he is under two but there’s plenty of scope for that to improve but the obvious ones here are the free throws are going to jump and the blocks are going to jump like I’m very confident those blocks are going to jump up and that’s probably all you really need here with Jarrett who is I think in a 50 to 65 sort of a rest of season range a 34 to 36 Fantasy Point player and at the moment he’s not that guy like he’s not anywhere close to that he is you know struggling the usage is down the minutes are down not blocking any shots and you know you would know this yourself and and you would have talked about it yourself with him or other players you’d be like why have I got a center who’s not blocking shots you’re 7 foot tall block shots you’re seven foot tall grab rebounds like we hear that all the time so at the moment Jared Allen’s not doing any of that he’s not well the rebounds are fine but he’s not blocking the shots and you know that’s I guess what you want out of his Center and he’s not bringing it so like there is room here for you to be able to get a little bit of value back in a deal and for Allan to be able to improve the production that getting out of him let’s go to Minnesota um is Julius Randall good or a good fit don’t know probably not actually and that’s really been the case for Julius Randall through a lot of the lot of his career he is struggling though at the moment 102nd over the last two weeks just 34 fantasy points he’s averaging under 20 points per game I’m not here to tell you how great Julius Randle is and he’s going to be an awesome player and he fixes the Wolves problems because he’s frustrating and he’s frustrated me for years he’s a bad body language Legend he’s a bad Defender he’s at times a guy that can dominate The Ball but there are things that are happening with his game at the moment which don’t really add up to the things that we’ve seen from Julius Randall in the past Randall hit 1.7 threes a game last season he’s at 1.6 this season he was at 2.8 the year before that and over the last six games he’s hit 13 a game is that because he’s not taking them not really he’s just at 25% now we can argue whether he’s a a good three-point shooter or not and that’s okay you he might not be good but he’s also rolling over the last 15 games at 28% from three that is an extended cold streak I think that he’s going to be better than that so that will bump up the assists are only at 3.2 he’s at 4.1 this season he was at five last season do the wolves have all these amazing passes and ball handlers not really so maybe there is a change that needs to happen here where Randall has to get the ball in his hands a little bit more and do more facilitating because those assist numbers are low his last six Games 3 2 3 443 right they’re not the numbers you expect from Julius Randall he also and he’s not a he is not a Defender do you know many shots he has blocked this season Ian forier looks at this and go bro can you like do something one he’s blocked one shot a game no sorry not not not a game one shot for the entire season Julius Rand blocked one shot again not a good shot block ER but he blocked 12 in 46 games last season 21 the year before that 39 the year before that you might not think that that matters but it does you go from a a you know what what is he last season a.3 blocks guy to 0.1 okay terrible it’s a big drop man has not blocked a shot since what is the date the 8th of November so we’re closing in on a month without blocking a single shot pair that in with kn getting threes and not hitting them and also ball handling responsibilities down I think that Randall is able to be better than this from a fantasy points perspective by three to four extra points I think that for category leagues he’s about 100th at the moment I think he can be top 70 top 75 at least and there’ll be people that continue to be frustrated with him and I understand that like very clearly understand that he’s frustrating he’s annoying and he’s be annoying to players as a teammate and he causes problems in a lot of different spots with his play style but from us as a fantasy point of view like there are very clear things here that have to improve and will almost definitely improve with Julius Randall let’s go to the Chicago Bulls because as much as I can talk about Vu being someone who is outperforming expectations Kobe white at the moment is struggling over the last two weeks he’s 149th and he’s out with an ankle injury today he’s averaging under 27 fantasy points now I was down on Kobe white this season he was going way too high in some spots for me people were at times drafting him in the 50s that was on some weird ESPN leagues but like 70s and ‘ 80s like I’m not sure about this with the influx of other guards with him spending time off ball and his inconsistency I’m a little worried but this has also gone way past anything I thought could have been the problem he is like I said out he’s basically over the last two weeks not a rostal 12 team League guy 26 fantasy points is also bad okay that’s that’s all well and good minutes are down that’s number one one thing but 14 points a game bro come on last season he averaged 19 points a game he’s at 14 he also playing Five fuel minutes a game which is notable 14 points a game he’s at 2.5 threes per game and I think he should be hitting three a game he might not but I think he should he’s not a steals or blocks guy but 7 steals and2 blocks that there should be some improvement in especially the steals 38% from the field okay he’s at 44 for the year he’s at 45 last year he’s at 44 the year before that going to be an improvement free throw attempts he’s not getting to the line at all 2.7 attempts is very very low he’s hitting under 32% from three his true shootings at 52% these are all really obvious things I don’t think he’s a 20 point per game scorer he’s not a 20 and7 sort of a guy he’s not I think he’s like an 18 player 18 and4 19 and4 sort of a guy I think that there are very clear things here field goal attempts free throw attempts field goal percentage threo percentage steel numbers scoring all needs to rise he should be 30 plus fantasy points easily and while he is injured it probably makes a little bit easier to buy low because the person like how long he’s it going to be out for are they going to fake tank him or whatever they’re going to do and sit him down I think that you have got an ability here again without going crazy and thinking he’s a top 50 play he isn’t like as a top 80 top 90 guy I think he’s able to do that he’s able to improve from where he’s at pretty comfortably um but but yeah it’s just it’s in a huge slump at the moment and it’s not about other players necessarily even taking the shots off him it’s just about that they’re not going in and yeah his ball handling responsibilities are low and I’m not really sure that changes but it’s more about just things just not going in and also why are he steals at 7 right not expecting him to be a high steals Guy but there should be an ability for that to um for that to improve I would say not relatively quickly but that can turn around very fast and that should be able to help Kobe get back in business lastly let’s go to Houston because I’ve also had people tell me that they are dropping tar een and I don’t agree with it I don’t agree that you should be dropping tar een because yes it is a struggle at the moment and he has been like at the start of the year didn’t really play much at all came in started being part of that defensive terror group along with the men Thompson coming off the bench and I’ve given you some skepticism about hey when you come off the bench there’s a lot more variability a lower floor lower ceiling for playing time and that Still Remains true but this is a bad stretch from E he’s 116th over the last two weeks he’s averaging 27 fantasy points he’s at nine real life points a game nine now he is I believe better than this he’s only playing 22 minutes a night during that time frame as well now we’ve saw periods when he was getting 2728 he had that run where he had like a couple of like 40 games I think let me double check that uh not a 35-minute game 27 but he’s only played over 30 minutes twice but the problem is in the last 2 weeks he’s had two games under 20 minutes a 19 and an 18 game which were really really really quite bad in fact in both of those games he didn’t hit a single shot he was 0 of 12 combined so he’s a guy that has had some solid passing in in the in the past but one assist a game under 10 points 73s 38 from the field 24 from three 44 from two it’s very easy to love what tar does it’s very easy to go overboard and what tar een does but it’s also easy to go overboard the opposite direction go well maybe he is just trash and like you he’s not a 38% shooter irrespective of what you think of him as a shooter and he’s not a good three-point shooter that I’m very confident in saying he is not a good three-point shooter but he’s also not a guy that’s going to be 24% or 44% on TW or averaging nine points a game or shooting 28 or 48% true shooting this is a a player that should be rosted in all spots points leagues not as important as in category leagues that is true he’s not as good in those sort of formats but to me this is uh very clear if someone drops you ad or you just throw like your worst two players in a deal and see what you can do because this is almost bottom of the barrel stuff he’s still getting 2.3 steals and8 blocks it’s just that people will obsess about the scoring they’ll obsess about the way that he’s impacting field goals in those two over ofer games the over seven and over for five in two consecutive games with will have really soured suon if it’s you and that’s part of the idea of a byow sell high if you’ve got tar e you should be going okay like maybe I’ll set her down on how I view this because that’s not a real thing moving forward and if you don’t have him then maybe you see if someone’s uh in full panic mode about about where we sit with E and about where his um production May lie so that was a boo sell High underperforming overperforming player show tell me do you have anyone else that you would Chuck onto that list I’m sure there’s others like Tes hbert you can put him on there no problem but um I didn’t want to because he had that really strong stretch as well last week and now the last couple of games have been pretty poor we know that but these are some names to to talk about let me go through the list of the other names that I did have as potentials to talk about LeBron was one that I considered there as a byow Darren Fox was considered there um demard de R rozan although he hasn’t played many games in that period of time I through Brandon Ingram on there even though that’s a small sample size of games as well in terms of some of the s bu options uh on there Larry marinin John Collins but Collins is the one I included yesterday Al last week PJ Washington I also included him last week there are a few guys who have sort of um had that number on the other one was Dennis Sher was another name that I considered to put onto the the sell high list what you need to do though right now right now right now is hit the old uh thumb up button on this video but also remember let’s uh let’s be let’s be good let’s be good to ourselves let’s recognize goodness let’s be um let’s understand that our mindset and the way we treat others is important and you could there’s that boring old phrase of like you know treat others the way that you would want to be treated and while there’s some nonsense towards you around that and the way that it gets trotted out so trly just having more of a positive idea and and positive mindset does help you in so many interactions and I I I try and live by this as much as I can and I want you guys especially when you’re feeling downed to recognize that you did something good and you are going to be able to do those good things continually guys we are done here thank you so much for listening everyone see [Music] you and


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