📅 Published on: 2024-11-28 07:00:25
⏱ Duration: 00:26:02 (1562 seconds)
👀 Views: 5039 | 👍 Likes: 606
📝 Video Description:
🔥 Europa League Predictions and Betting Tips
📆 Thursday 28th November 2023
Joe is back with Europa League predictions and betting tips! If you want daily football content from Joe, be sure to like, comment, and subscribe. Here’s what we’ve got for you:
🏴 Manchester United host Bodo/Glimt in what could be an exciting match. We analyze the potential for goals and BTTS.
🇦🇿 In Azerbaijan, we look at Qarabag vs Lyon, focusing on the card market and potential value bets.
🇮🇹 Lazio welcome Ludogorets in a game that promises goals. We examine Lazio’s impressive home form.
🇳🇱 AZ Alkmaar face Galatasaray in an intriguing matchup. We discuss Galatasaray’s unbeaten run and potential for an away result.
🇵🇹 Porto travel to Anderlecht in a game that could see plenty of second-half action.
💡 We showcase the new features on OddAlerts, including the Last 10 Data tool and updates to the Betslip Generator.
🎯 Player props focus: We consider various markets across the Europa League fixtures.
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♻️ Please share and comment!
💬 Let me know your Europa League predictions. If we hit 500 likes, I’ll do another video for tomorrow’s matches!
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Betslip Generator: https://oddalerts.com/app/betslip-generator
Player Props Tool: https://oddalerts.com/app/player-props
#EuropaLeague #FootballPredictions #BettingTips
Games covered:
– Manchester United vs Bodo/Glimt predictions and stats
– Qarabag vs Lyon predictions and stats
– Tottenham vs Roma predictions and stats
– Lazio vs Ludogorets predictions and stats
– AZ Alkmaar vs Galatasaray predictions and stats
– Anderlecht vs Porto predictions and stats
– Slavia Prague vs Fenerbahce predictions and stats
🎙 Channel: OddAlerts 📈
🌍 Channel Country: United Kingdom
📂 Tags:
football predictions today,football predictions,soccer predictions,football betting tips,predictions,prediction,betting,oddalerts,btts,btts tips,btts predictions,both teams to score today,btts today,prediction football today,europa league predictions,europa league betting tips,manchester united vs bodo/glimt,qarabag vs lyon,tottenham vs roma,lazio vs ludogorets,az alkmaar vs galatasaray,porto vs anderlecht,europa league,europa league tips
🕵️♂️ Transcript:
welcome back football fans to another episode of the prediction show it is Thursday the 28th of November and we have the Europa League to dig into in this episode so many games Manchester United are playing Rangers away Ajax are away Fen aache are away some great games and then of course we’ve got the uh conference League or Chelsea’s league as it should be called if they don’t win this there’s something seriously wrong so that’s what we’re going to be looking at today and I’m also going to show you a couple of new features that have launched on the website in the last 24 hours there’s also a Black Friday deal so stick around for that and before we get started there was no Champions League video for Wednesday which is a real shame because this happened on Tuesday a perfect night rexam over evens we talked about how you’ve got to take that if you see it pretty much in most games this season um they got the job done one n at home following on from a 3-0 win which we also looked at on Friday’s video Last Friday uh breast to get the most cards at 1.95 away at Barcelona it was I think 4-0 um in the end in terms of the card count and the odds for that one dropped dramatically 1.95 we got it at uh and then of course the double containing both English teams in the Champions League on that night Manchester City and Arsenal both btts well done if you got on those and uh there was no Wednesday video because we didn’t hit the threshold for likes 500 is what we need and the same applies for this video if you want to see a video on Friday morning as well which will cover all of Friday’s games just let me know by liking commenting and if you’ve not subscribed already what are you playing at just a quick plug for X as well before we get going I’ve started to post Daily Doubles and daily trebles and this one yesterday uh this land did this was a treble using some new features from the B slip generator which I will show you towards the end of this video you can now select over 0.5 goals on the BET slip generator and these were all value bets as well so you can see a treble there basically just every home team to score in these games 1.5 odds in the Indian Super League I believe that game was 42 um so there is quite a lot of value to be had here with this new market and I will be posting these every morning at about 8: 900 a.m. UK time we’re also going to be checking out the last 10 data for all Europa League teams this is the last 10 data um across all competitions and we will get to that but first congratulations to this user you have won a month of OD alerts Pro well done to you I will be in touch and if you want to win OD alerts Pro tonight let me know in the comments what is the score going to be between Manchester United and Bodo glimp get your predictions in the comments for that game and any other Europa League game that is being played tonight get your predictions in what are you betting on what do you like from this video what do you think Joe that’s that’s not a good selection and I’ll see you in the comments so let’s get started then with the Europa League games for today we will look at that put some predictions together Galatasaray away from home as we saw before uh Manchester United are hting Bodo glimp now you would expect amarim to get his first win there the probability model is and let’s have a look at the odds the odds for the victory are 1.22 which seem very very low I mean of course they are expected to win but Bodo glimp are a very good goalscoring team um and the value in this game might be for them to just simply score at Old Trafford tonight let me know what you think about this one they’ve scored in all but one game game including uh goals against Porto if we look at their away form in general a couple of blanks to be fair um one in the Europa League and then one against tromo what might be interesting is to look at uh Sporting’s form how many goals did they concede under amarim are they a team that would you know score four even if it meant conceding two you know score four 5 six as they usually did um but Bodo glimps they are a good team they’ve got good pedigree and recent years as well in Europe and they come into this game having scored two or more goals in five of the last six games they scored against quag in the previous round um over 2.5 goals could be an option if you don’t want to go with them to score but you think you know it’s likely that they will and then man united bounce back so 1.97 for btts on Pinnacle there let’s have a look at the probability model for btts um and see what it is saying for this so uh 1.66 so it is a value bet this actually in terms of btts let me know what you think about that one Manchester United surely will begin to improve under amarim but um in terms of XG against ipswitch it was ipswitch certainly in the second half that continued to um threaten Manchester United’s goal and uh those Defenders that they’ve got might take them a couple of weeks maybe a month to get into the swing of things in terms of that high pressing system uh that amarim wants them to do so 1.95 and yes we will be doing man versus machine in this episode as well uh the machine is on a perfect record since last week um six predictions out of six I can’t compete with that can I um the machine can scan everything all that once I’m I’m here making videos editing videos thinking about you know what competitions people will want to see the machine doesn’t care about any of that so that’s man united Bodo glimp let’s take a look at another fixture here now starting with Leon away at quarab bag it is three defeats out of four for quarab bag but they have had a pretty tough run Malmo Tottenham Ajax Bodo glimp four pretty tricky fixtures especially for a team of quags level and for leyon they have lost once which was at home to Bashas and um they’ve had an okay run you would expect them to win or certainly compete in every single one of those games um if we look at their overall form there are quite a few draws four draws in the last five games so if we look at cards here actually away from home across the last 25 um Leon have received a card in 57% of away games which is pretty low to be fair uh quag 67% um in terms of the opponent quab bag’s opponents getting booked quite often um but as we discussed in Discord yesterday with uh what team was it uh Zagreb we had Zar greb to get the most cards in the Discord uh 2.3 the odds the odds have been incredible for that market um in the Champions League um we had it with breast and then in the Discord yesterday Zar grab at 2.3 and it landed um quite comfortably and um I’m just thinking about it potentially here for leyon away at quarab bag do you think quag will get more cards than leyon if we look at the Europa League form only and we go to overall we can see there is a higher card count for both of these teams and I always think it’s interesting to check check both when you come to these European competitions because quarab bag look at their opponents per game it’s dropped drastically because they’re playing better opponents when they play in their own League same with you know a lot of these teams someone like mold or something you know when they’re playing in their own domestic League Luda gettes as well for example they’re obviously going to smash it and they’re obviously going to get fouled a lot because they are the best teams but when they come to the Europa League it levels out a little bit and um yeah they they tend to get a few more cards as we can see here they’ve received three per game so far in the Europa League so 1.72 for quag to get the most cards uh at home to Leon we’ll keep that on and what we’ll do is we’ll you know add to this and then we will trim the fat at the end of the video or towards the end of the video so let’s just uh observe the probability model for a moment as well we’ve got Frankfurt away at midiland that is a highly Ed game for btts 1.64 implied odds uh as is Manchester United Bodo glimp one of the highest so this is the thing if the model is suggesting that BTS is high yet the odds for Man United are 1.22 it’s not really worth going just for the home win is it you might as well go home win in over 2.5 goals or home win in BTS or you know there’s a there’s a few different options you can go with now then let’s take a look at Tottenham hosting Roma this will be a big big European night won’t it under the lights in that fantastic stadium that Tottenham have and they will be hoping to repeat the performance but knowing Spurs they’ll probably lose this game 2-0 you know after beating City so convincingly and and the players that you know performed in that game I mean kulfi is just an incredible player incredible Talent got everything um and we thought they would struggle without the two center backs but they were they were they were challenged in the first 10 15 minutes to be fair and L like Holland should have scored a couple of goals but uh yeah this is uh the away form of Napoli uh sorry of Roma and as you can see it’s not very good in all in all competitions um across both home and away fixtures they have won just once since the 24th of October when they beat Dynamo Kiev um this is the form that got the manager sacked and in comes claudo Ranieri he is now the new gaffer and I think he was in play for this Napoli defeat a 1-nil defeat away at Napoli which you know there’s not much shame in that given how Roma have been playing um given the the sort of squad it’s not as good as the the teams that are up at the top of Sera um but this will be an interesting game claudo Ranieri in The Dugout in England once more and he will um become a sporting director when the season ends he’s a interim coach and here we can see not many draws at all for to toam this season since the opening game I think it was actually yeah the Leicester city game uh they don’t draw many games they’re coming off the back of that fournil win as we discussed what are you thinking for this game what are your thoughts it’s a tricky one to call just because it is Tottenham in terms of the Europa League form only romor have scored three goals compared to the eight of Spurs now the odds for this one 1.7 not fantastic to be honest um the probability model giving odds of 1.95 which would be a little bit more enticing wouldn’t it if you were adding it to any potential bet slips I am going to leave that one in terms of our own bet slip but let me know what you think in the comments we are going to jump now to the last 10 data where we can just have a little browse of this and then jump back to the stats and uh hopefully that can guide us a little bit more maybe it’ll guide us on the games to go and and check out because we can see Lazio here against ludig gettes lud gett have won six of their last 10 Lazio 9 so no team has won more games than Lazio in the last 10 that is nine out of 10 for Lazio they are hosting ludig gretz that should be an interesting one to check out ludig gretz no pushovers you know they they’re more than capable of scoring goals there Galatasaray um a awaya ased alar who have won just two of their last 10 games incidentally no team has won fewer Roma also on two um who we just checked out against Tottenham look look you might as well if you want put Tottenham in the slip but just remember they are Tottenham they are more than capable of beating City 4-0 and then drawing or losing with Roma um so we’ll jump to the defeats and we see that Galatasaray and Ajax are on beat him I think after looking at those you know home the wins the draws and the defeats let’s check out Galatasaray um and let’s check out Lazio ludig garet as well shall We Wrong tab so l IO versus ludig gett Lazio are favorites as we see with ludig gett in the Europa League this season they have not performed at all they’ve scored one goal which is a little bit surprising for them given they score so much in their uh domestic league as we can see here they’re unbeaten All Season scoring two or more goals in the majority of games Lazio on the other hand um at home this season have been near perfect unbeat beaten uh since early March at home fantastic they beat Porto at home in the Europa League already they beat bologa in the previous game which um is good going because bologna uh before that game had only lost once in Sera and they’re scoring more than one goal in the majority of these games as well so what do you think about this one I’m going to jump to the card section as well just to see that the opponents are receiving 4.25 cards per game um if we look at the last 25 five games just to get a bit of a bigger context window here we go to overall and we can see that the opponents for Luda gret receiving three cards per game 2.71 for Lazio let’s jump to this game because I’ve got a bit of an idea in my head about this one of course team to get the most cards is something I’m looking at now with all of these European fixtures so Lazio to score over one goal 1.36 these Al are pretty terrible team to get the most cards ludig Gret .66 as well it’s it’s it’s expected isn’t it that this is going to be a tricky game for Luda gettes tricky to extract value in this game when they are so dominant but what I might go for is a second half goal it’s not worth it guys 1.28 um it’s just not great is it now on to azed hosting Galatasaray and um ased we saw in that data on the last 10 they’ve won just two of the last 10 and this is it we can see here um the two wins have come quite recently and in terms of home games they are scoring in the majority aren’t they they’ve had a bit a bit of an iffy run recently what what enticed me to this game before I started to record the video was actually the odds for Galatasaray are not bad at all 2.15 the thing with Galatasaray is if they turn it on they can beat any team in the Europa League I believe um they’ve beat Tottenham in the previous round of course uh they haven’t lost a game of football since August and that was in the Champions League qualifying that’s why they are playing this game today btts could be interesting for this one Galatasaray um they had btts away from home against RZ didn’t they um they Tim were great for that over evens as well in terms of 2024 they’ve scored in every single away game that they have played galat galatas Galatasaray Galla mustache let’s take a look at the odds so btts 1.5 a bit lower than I thought that was going to be we could go double Chance draw or Galatasaray and then maybe over 1.5 goals it’s not great 1.57 that gets to you could then also look at some cards as well AED to get over one card gets it to evens which I think if we look at that there match result will be draw Galatasaray over one goal for uh the game not for either team and over one card for azed uh both teams to score in the Manchester United Bodo glimp game and quir bag to get the most cards this is 6.73 and I kind of don’t want to remove anything from it um although it’s you know usually higher than I would usually go for but if we are thinking about man versus machine then I need to catch up in terms of the point tally don’t I so let me know what you think about these three we will check out one more game so let’s jump to goals now let’s see who’s scoring the most goals Ander against Porto Andel have scored 29 in the last 10 games Ajax also up there with 26 Galatasaray of course up there Lazio as we saw in great form but the odds are not really that great uh in terms of goals conceded as well um Lazio just six Luda gettes just seven so potentially um you could put together a single for that game I just think the odds aren’t there I was going to say under four goals and Lazio to win but I just don’t think it’s worth it in terms of the odds now let’s look at uh over 2.5 goals quag who are playing leyon eight out of the last 10 Porto Andel keeps popping up doesn’t it so that is a game that we will check out uh Porto against Andel so both of these teams have scored 2.29 goals per game across this period no nil Nils for Porto in this period let’s see how they have started the Europa League campaign uh they are unbeaten Andel and Porto have lost two of their four games and they’ve won just once against hoffenheim away from home they’ve lost their opening two games had a pretty tricky uh opening four fixtures to be honest Andel um apart from these Dynamo Mintz games they were qualifying they played uh Fen Fen varos ra sad ludig gettes and rigas uh rigz btts I might check that out again if you’ve watched the channel this season you’ll know that rigus btts started off so well for us and then it was a nil nil after that wasn’t it they’re they’re at home to PA which could be an okay selection so if we look at all competitions what you can do on the results tab is go to over 2.5 goals and then it will be green or red based on if it is over 2.5 goal so you can see the majority of these games are green the Porto the last four games have seen over 2.5 goals the last five out of the last six and just finally looking at the results Porto come into this with three defeats in the last three games tough games for them they played latio away uh Benfica away which they scored in both of these games as well by the way they’ve scored in every one of these defeats just looking at the timing data as well here Porto across the last 25 games 1.41 goals scored per second half um and uh in terms of conceding in the second half it is marginally more for Andel as well well um in terms of the split between the goals there are more goals in the second half for both of these teams and Porto have scored a second half goal in 76% of their games across this last 25 period this is home or away if we go to away form drops to 64% if we look at home form only 71% for Ander in terms of conceding in the second half it is pretty low for both of these teams but you’ve got to weigh up again the uh Europa League Factor these are two teams that um are not used to playing against teams of this quality um and that that applies for both Andel and Porto I feel so I’m going to go with a Porto to score in the second half uh this gets us to 10.88 so let’s uh take a moment and trim the fat on this [Music] so I’m going to remove the Manchester United game from it um and that takes it to 5.58 and I am happy with that to be honest and let me know what you think man united probably finished 44 now or something so let’s go over this and then we’ll go to the BP generator the machine and uh generate a similar um type of bet slip using the target odds and then we will see who does better man or machine in the next video remember to comment like And subscribe every comment automatically entered into a draw to win OD alerts Pro so we’ve got galatas right to draw or win away at AED who have won just two of their last 10 games over 1.5 goals in that game and over one card for AED alar and quag to get the most cards at home to Leon uh not having the best of times at the moment quag and then Porto to score a second half goal in that game away at Andel let me know what you think about this one 5.58 now uh let’s go to the BET slip generator the machine and I will show you a brand new feature has launched there in the last couple of days just uh a quick one I sorry to come back after creating the betet but I’ve just stumbled across something here um using one of the new probability model values Fen aache to score a goal away at slavia praha they’ve scored in every game for them to score a goal tonight is 1.4 Fen aach to score a single goal let’s have a look at this um I think that’s pretty good usually you would expect it 1.28 or something like that fenerbache to score a single goal now you don’t have to add this on to our existing one if you don’t want but uh I think that’s a good option if you are putting together a double or a treble tonight Fen Bach a to score a single goal now let’s jump to the B slip generator as planned uh because we’re going to you know generate something and do another round of man versus machine so this is the BET slip generator and we are going to look at Target odds of 5.58 eight and uh because that is what me the man in this man versus machine segment has uh selected here we can see the slip again 5.58 uh minimum Al us put this back to 1.2 between 1.2 and 3 uh time frame next 24 hours is okay value bets only we’ll leave this on home wins draws away wins we’ll select that we select over 1.5 goals as well let’s have over 2.5 goals in there let’s put btts in there let’s put the double chances in there as well and I just wanted to show you these two new markets at the bottom over .5 goals for the home team and the away team so as we just saw with Fen aache there um that might be a value bet it probably is 1.4 based on the model um for them to score a single goal 1.4 is pretty tasty I think so let’s hit get and see what we get so then 4.81 is the peak odds given the uh settings that we put in we can hit run again if you want to but um we will see what we’ve got in this list um we’ve got some value remember these are all value bets we’ve got value bets for over 2.5 goals in the Asian AFC cup Costa Rica we’ve got the conference League here 1X double chance for TNS against jagard and that should be an interesting game two very dominant teams in their own respected countries um we’ve got games here from Jordan from Ethiopia from from Armenia uh the Asian AFC cup is popular yeah we’ve got women’s football as well in here let’s take a look um at the top one because this is um the highest in terms of the target odds we want to try and match the 5.58 don’t we so let’s go with this one Ethiopia medin away or Draw probability model is giving it a 71.42% chance it is a value bet of course and then on Friday at midnight so yeah midnight uh we’ve got a home win in Bolivia and then another home win an hour later in Costa Rica so let me save this so we can track it and then I’ll update you on the next episode about man versus machine at the moment machine has not missed a single prediction it has got every single prediction right so far including U I think it was a a 4.5 fold um on Friday’s video and then on the live stream um an unbelievable set of predictions which even when I generated them I thought nah come on they had um Wigan to get something away at barnesley um with the double chance so yeah you know machine is better than me I’ve got no um quals in saying that my creation is smarter than me I’m quite happy to say that to be honest and you can use it right here ot.com apppp betslip generator or just just go to OD alerts.com and you’ll see a link at the top of the page now I mentioned a Black Friday deal and there is one coming stay tuned to X on Thursday night and Friday and you’ll be the first to know set notifications on if you need to um also get in the Discord I will be posting it in there as well go to ers.com Discord if you want to join and that is it for now remember if you want a video tomorrow 500 likes is the requirement if not then I will see you in the Discord have a great day
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