π Published on: 2024-12-18 19:30:53
β± Duration: 00:10:44 (644 seconds)
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TOP NCAA BASKETBALL PLAYS 12/18/24 – MY TOP 3 NCAAB PLAYS & ANALYSIS FREE!
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π΅οΈββοΈ Transcript:
what’s up all you filthy degenerates and welcome not only to the holiday season but this is kind of when it all picks up we have the college basketball and NBA picks they’re going to be up and running on the channel more frequently okay that’s just going to be putting it blunt uh we’re going to try to do it six seven days a week um and if we can we will do it every single day uh but I don’t force picks here uh full disclosure um with college football really in effect I don’t like to bet college basketball which is kind of one of my bread andb butter Sports um until a month or two into the season after we get through the invitationals I’ll have a couple sprinkles uh there wherever I do see an opportunity um but not enough to really kind of share with you guys outside of Discord those plays uh so I want to get down into my picks for today uh we’re going to start this off hump day uh with three picks in the college basketball arena um one week before Christmas so hopefully you got all your presents done um if you haven’t uh I’m sure you can get a hold of me and send me my Christmas presents uh in some form or fashion just kidding I love you guys let’s get into the picks make sure you like comment and subscribe down below uh we’re going to hit this one running and like I said we’re going to have a lot of NBA college basketball uh picks to go along now where as we ramp up with the die down of college football uh leading up until um kind of where we’re at within you know even having hockey and uh the postseason for NFL so it’s kind of part of that whole cycle and rotation that we do but we’re going to get into outlier that is the platform that I use to do a lot of my data analysis outside of a couple other p paid subscriptions uh to really compile the Best Bets available and If you have not signed up for outlier uh make sure you do so um they do run specials from time to time in my link down below 7-Day free trial uh it’s 20 bucks a month and I can tell you guys this um platform not only wins me bets but it saves me $20 at least in juice a night um if not hundreds of dollars so um check them out for yourself really does kind of give you the edge in terms of making the bet bets possible and we we’re going to break it all down from from a perspective within this first game and we’re going to start this off let me know in the comments if this is kind of how you guys want to Vibe with me um if it’s going to be kind of just the games that I’m kind of keying in on um you want me just to talk about them or would you rather me run the entire board uh which you know possibly may not be as thorough okay um but as we get into it uh we have the Toledo Houston game now this is an interesting game because uh we can look at kind of the the numbers here for Houston and quite frankly guys you know they’ve been playing defense a whole uh hell of a lot better than you know a lot of people probably expected them to to start out uh they’ve cashed unders uh quite frankly in their last uh seven games um if we look at them and this is something where at home they’ve cast cashed seven games in a row okay um and in these games the odds makers kind of have the line settled at the 130 134 level okay um it’s kind of in that me that me um middle 130s uh range and that’s okay uh we could see these totals getting down below uh really not even getting close to 140 um except for a couple of them but this one set at 142 half if you look at Toledo they can score a little bit more so but we got to ride the under um this is one of my favorite bets of the day uh and we can talk about kind of that Houston defense top five in points field goal percentage and twoo percentage um get getting it done you know against a couple of a lackluster opponents but still rebounds the ball well um I like to look at assist to turnover ratio that’s one of my favorite metrics out there and 21st in the nation within that okay um Toledo uh they do you know kind of get up and down a little bit more so uh coming in at 69th in total points scored um in terms of offense but I I think they’re going to struggle against a Houston Le defense that is at home and really does protect home court so I think that’s where we’re going to get any under 142 and a half a little bit too Tipsy for me so we’re going under 142 and a half Toledo and Houston that’s one of my favorite bets of the day okay uh next uh I want to talk a little bit about the USC game that we have it’s it’s going to be a late night um kind some late night action okay and as I navigate over here okay um I’m going to pull up the kind of what we have going on with USC um and this is a game where you know I think USC hasn’t really played um it’s kind of interesting to see USC kind of play into this big 10 schedule and and I know we haven’t really done that yet it’s starting to kick off um you know very very soon and it’s something where look at Cal State Northridge all right now when I look at this game at face value I think that you have to understand USC I think their defense is just sorry and I think that Cal State Northridge can score points with the best of them okay okay um so that’s kind of where I lend myself towards taking an over in the spot uh and more so if we want to get into kind of why uh I’ll pull up the numbers okay and that’s kind of where we’re going to pull it up here uh and you could see what I’m talking about okay and this is kind of where we look into a USC metric and not only is this a great Insight but the over at home for USC is hitting at a rate of 71% okay uh but looking at this USC kind of lead Club they they can score they can score up and down but they can’t play a lick of Defense okay um and the middle of the pack and pretty much everything I know they’ve had some pull away wins uh covering the number uh but nothing where I’m going to go jump up and down against quality opponents maybe Washington okay they lost to Oregon 6860 as that big 10 schedule starts to kick off um just super weird guys seeing Oregon USC playing each other in the Big 10 um this is kind of my concern on how that’s going to affect the student athletes is with the uh travel games more so than the football schedule so I’m talking basketball baseball field hockey lacrosse uh swimming soccer all that all those non-revenue Sports um that have more travel kind of obligations with the exception of basketball which does bring in quite a bit of money so that’s kind of where we’re going to look at this um I think that in terms of um Northridge when we talk about their defense um they do well um not not too shabby they rebound the basketball pretty well as well but it’s something where I think USC is going to be the a little bit more so athletic than the team that they’re playing um and then offensively if we look at kind of what uh Cal State Northridge is able to do um I think they’re going to be able to score in USC so I I think this is going to be an up and down game um and the one interesting thing is I kind of like a little bit of Cal State Northridge plus the points if you can find a plus 11 kind of where I’m at um I don’t want to say they’re live dog uh but I do think that uh they might catch USC sleeping uh so that would be kind of where I lend in this argument but I do like the over as my official play uh and that’s where we’re going to go over 150 A5 uh in this as a Best Bet okay and then the last game that we are going to get into um this is going to be uh Cal State Bakersfield and Portland now this game grabbed my attention uh because if you look at Cal State they have not won a road game and this one is really really kind of fishy in my opinion okay um and quite frankly if you look at kind of why um Portland is is probably one of the worst teams in college basketball almost dead last in every offense and defensive statistic outside of blocks okay and on the other hand um Cal State Bakersfield uh they could you know uh play pretty much a how should I say this um they can compete with everyone uh in my opinion okay they come into this game uh five and six but they’re four and0 at home and 0 and five on the road so this game grabbed my attention pretty strongly because of how the Public’s betting this now uh this is where you could see okay well we have an 0 and5 team but why is everybody taking Portland okay why is everybody taking Portland and why is this number kind of just it was kind of a fishy line movement in my perspective as well but then you look over at the amount of the handle that’s on Cal State Bakers field I think this is where you get a better team okay and I I’ve I’ve done this before I’ve talked about it um quite frankly I don’t care you get a better team that has to go on the road and play a really more inferior opponent okay uh and me personally guys I think that uh this is a bad line I think Cal State bakersfi takes care of it it’s a little fishy so it would not surprise me if maybe Portland pulls the upset but I think as it stands right now guys um very hard not to back them okay um as you look at these last six games on the road um you know you go back to March Hawaii I’ll discredit that I I mean everybody that plays at Hawaii kind of has a little issue um within all that Logistics logistically speaking um and then you know this is a lot of high powerered competition right um in terms of just class up right um Florida golf Co Cal uh and then you talk about kind of UC Irvine and uh even some other uh opponents that they haven’t really done well against okay but it comes down to in my opinion guys the the fact that this is I think a Cal State Bakersfield team that is uh a shade better than Portland um and if they did if they were not 0 and five on the road um I probably would be all over um taking um this and I think it would be a little bit different number okay so I think we get some value with this better team I know it’s a little juicy we’re going to lay that minus 130 I’m taking Cal State Bakersfield and that’ll round out my three pack okay uh so appreciate you guys watching a little bit more of a quicker kind of Rundown bets I just give you guys a three pack and uh of the games that I like in within the college football arena I’m college basketball I can’t switch gears mentally and that’s kind of why I don’t do that um like the co mingle but anyways those are my Best Bets I’ll put it up for you guys on the screen like comment and subscribe down below if you have not done so we’ll see you over in the Discord also if you want to become a channel member there’s a link down Bel below for that um and we’re going to start doing some cool stuff come January 2025 um got some things in the works but uh trying to navigate all with these Seasons transition positioning has been a little bit difficult okay so with that I’ll leave you uh hope you guys are all doing well uh enjoy this leadup to the Holiday Bowl season all this good stuff uh great time to be alive and we’ll see you all in the next video cheers
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