📅 Published on: 2024-11-26 21:45:22

⏱ Duration: 00:46:16 (2776 seconds)

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Unlock the secrets to mastering NBA Fantasy Basketball with insights on buy low and sell high strategies. Discover why Tyrese Maxey and Myles Turner are prime targets for savvy managers, and learn which players like Jalen Williams and OG Anunoby might be at their peak value. Stay ahead in your league with expert analysis on player performances and trade opportunities.

Join Josh Lloyd from the Locked on Fantasy Basketball podcast as he breaks down the latest trends and player stats. With a focus on the Philadelphia 76ers’ Tyrese Maxey and Indiana Pacers’ Myles Turner, Josh provides actionable advice for fantasy trades. Are you ready to make the most of your roster by capitalising on current player performances?

Explore the potential of players like PJ Washington and Brook Lopez, and understand how their recent performances could impact your fantasy team. Don’t miss out on the chance to elevate your game with these insights.

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🕵️‍♂️ Transcript:

let’s take a look at some blos who might be sell highs let’s take a look at some blos who might be buy lows under an overperforming NBA players and they are not named Michael Bolton thanks Josh it’s Michael Bolton here and it’s time for another episode of the locked on Fantasy Basketball podcast let’s get to it let’s get to it indeed you are locked on fantasy your daily NBA fantasy podcast part of the locked on podcast Network your team every day hello and welcome to the locked on Fantasy Basketball podcast brought to you by basketball monster my name is Josh lyd and suspect says don’t just do trades for the sake of doing you’re right you got me you got me you could also find me on Blu Sky Josh lloyd. b.so on Twitter at Redrock bble on Tik Tok red roore bble and on Instagram @ lockon fantasy basketball today episode is brought to you by Robin Hood Robin Hood gold provides the Privileges of a high net worth for any net worth the generous benefits are now available for only $5 a month and new gold standard is here with Robinhood gold sign up at robinhood.com Gold thank you also for making locked on Fantasy Basketball your first listen every day we are free we are available on all platforms so double bang and thumb it up and uh let’s go the annexation of Canada we’re ready to go 90k Subs is what we’re what we’re aiming for all right I think we’ll do a marginal disclaimer here again it is true like just don’t trade for the sake of trading stop being horny for Fantasy trades well don’t stop being horny you can do whatever you want but stop being horny for fantasies trades stop being horny for real life NBA trades your immediate reaction to a trade should be no and that does not mean you say no your immediate internal reaction be like I’m not doing this and then convince yourself that it makes sense right don’t trade for the sake of it find out what is the point ask that question to yourself what is the point of me doing this all right what is the point of it a bow player does not mean you need to you doesn’t mean you need to get them it doesn’t need mean you need to get them a boo player does not mean you need to panic if they’re on your team a s High player does not mean you need to get rid of that player if a s High player is on your team you can just enjoy it a there’s so many ways around this but just understand that these are players that I think are currently underperforming and some of them will be right some of them will be wrong and some of them will be right in the short term and wrong in the long term and vice versa same with High there’ll be stuff that happens and they’re cooking and they’re doing it they might do it for three more weeks or then something might happen with three other players get injured and they’re able to maintain usage there’s a number of different factors around all of this stuff that’s what makes it a really interesting thing I guess in Fantasy is that we we don’t know which is great we don’t want to know we don’t want to know what’s happening in the future necessarily maybe you do I don’t know but it is really hard to to um to be able to predict a lot of this stuff and that’s where the the fun I guess comes in let’s talk about it let’s actually do a bit of a recap on where we were on this two weeks ago we like to give this stuff two weeks to cook and and settle and figure out where we are so two weeks ago we did the Buy Low sell High show let’s take a look at the guys that we had or I had labeled as by low players Paul George was just coming back from an injury and I said okay he’s also not playing well people hate Paul George there might be an opportunity here and there there was sort of like he was the 80th ranked player at that point since then he’s 54th in in minus one um or in the minus one rankings that I use he’s 54th so it’s an improvement but of course now he’s hurt his knee again and he is out again on Wednesday you remembering the classic line that I said the other day about Nick Nur saying that he could come back in my ass Nick he obviously could not come back in that game and he is injured again and this team continues to lie and lie and lie and lie and lie and lie and lie they also lied a few times as well so yeah it theoretically yeah Paul George was able to improve he might still be better than 54th I think he will be but man it is a it is tough slighting the jayen Suggs one did not work as I intended it to he was 60th and since then he’s 104th and he got hurt that is a double whammy negative that would yeah I could double down on this and put him as a byow again I won’t because I’m usually don’t backto back guys but yeah he he got worse over that time frame I still think that there is by low on that and if you did it I I I think a top 50 season can come from jayen SES although I’m less confident in it now Larry marinan was a pretty easy one I did throw out caveats on that and they still apply that I don’t think Larry is going to be playing in April or for majority of March but his per game stuff had to change he went from 12th to 50th and that has sort of settled in cam Thomas I thought was an easy one and again I am the biggest cam Thomas fan in the world he went from 107th to 61st but now the back injury is causing a problem so you have to be a little bit concerned there and the other one is Anthony Simons and this one’s gone off the rails of course he was 141st and then he um suffered this illness that cost him this time and he left a game like five minutes in or whatever and he’s been brutal in the other game so he has been absolutely Dreadful he’s 273rd over the last two weeks that is just a gigantic L on that one I there are people who are dropping Anthony Simons in fantasy leagues I would not do that even if I’m not a massive fan of where he is as a player long term or his future or anything like I’m not a hugee fan of it I I would not be dropping him I don’t think there’s any situation here that the blaze has just bench him or he’s not better than what he is but yeah that’s been a pretty rough go of things from Anthony Simons on the sell high side of the equation I thought jiren Jackson was a sell High we were going to get players back the players have just started coming back like now so he was 21st he did drop marginally to 24th I actually think he’s going to drop further so this is one that probably just needs a little bit more time to bake so I’m okay with that one Darius Garland was one of the easiest ones there he’s had a couple of really quite poor games games since then nothing against darus he’s really good still he went from 24th to 58th Tyler hero did start to cool down he’s gone from 23rd to 30th in that time frame I think he’s going to continue to cool down even further from there just some of the shooty numbers is not realistic to hold um the poop cookie himself Michael Pond Jr he was 41st he’s down to 97th and again I I think that makes a lot of sense it made a lot of sense at the time that’s why I put him on the list um I think 97 is actually relatively reasonable range for him to be in rest of season between 75 to 100 I think that’s about right for Porter and he’s called off back to that area now makes makes sense and the other one there is Norman power which of course if I’m going to talk about how you the Suggs one with the injury or the Simons well with the illness hurt me on the byow side of this I’m obviously benefiting here from Norman pal um getting hurt in one of the games but you he was 20th and since the time we did that show he is 210th that does not mean that Norman pal is a Dr under any circumstance at all but we will see what happens with him and like he did like that game that he missed with the hamstring it’s not like he played five minutes he played like he came back into the game as I have uh routinely criticized the clippers for so he played okay minutes just that all of the numbers that he was putting up have disappeared because yeah he was never going to be that player he was never going to be that level of shooter nobody was and it was a very obvious one there and I just don’t I don’t know if uh I’ll make Kawhi Leonard returns ever honestly I I just don’t know if he’s going to play or when that’s going to happen so Pal’s going to have usage but a lot of the stuff just didn’t really have a strong chance of being able to hold let’s talk uh about AOW now for this period who we looking at we are going to Philadelphia and I actually do think that tyres Maxi is a pretty pretty strong boo he is he’s worked most of the Season either through a hamstring injury or with games without Paul George and embiid and it looks like it’s going to be more time without Paul George and embiid there so that’s you that’s something that’s going to hold he I I think around between 30 and 40 is a realistic rest of season expectation for Maxi I think he’s could be like a 40 Point fantasy player but over the last two weeks he’s at 33 he’s averaging just 17 points with only 3.7 assists he’s somehow getting 2.3 steals in that time and he also hasn’t missed a free throw in that time but he’s been returning from injury he’s played Just 25 minutes a night over the that time frame but that’s not really the the thing okay that’s yeah the minutes are low and he’s going to push those back up but he’s it like he hasn’t blocked a shot the assists are incredibly low the scoring is low the three-point attempts everything is low here and those minutes are going to ramp way back up so there there’s a lot about it there this one’s not an easy one to to be able to do or to boo because there are people who have Tyrus Maxi who will view him significantly higher than I do or they will understand the reasons why things are down for him but that doesn’t always happen people don’t always look at what the minutes were since he returned they’ll just remember bad games that’s that’s honestly what what people just go huh he hasn’t been playing well has he look at these he’s only giving me 33 fantasy points that’s not what I signed up for without looking at the underlying numbers which of course drives everything and there that’s the opportunity you have to be able to get a bu low going especially like last game you played 30 minutes but he had 17 points right so it’s not like that those minutes are um you fresh in someone’s mind the first game he played he was only 20 minutes and he struggled there there is opportunities here and this Al even goes into some of the shooting numbers that Maxi is putting up which have been pretty poor for the season at 41% last season he was at 45 shooting 37% from three he’s at under 30% from three for the season so there’s still plenty of room for Maxi to be able to bump up I don’t think he’s going to go back to a 40% shooter from three which he was for two years prior to last season I actually think that’s not not going to happen but he’s got plenty of room to be able to improve uh from here and from where we are so don’t um yeah if I’ve got tus Max here I think it’s a good sign that there’s going to be some significant room for improvement here and I would be using this little it’s a very small window but I would be using this to try and see if I can do anything we got more buy lows we got more sell Highs coming up but first of all today’s episode is brought to you by Robin Hood gold yes with Robin Hood gold you do not need a silver spoon to eat up the financial favors of the 1% Robinhood gold allows others to get the rates and the perks that are usually reserved for The High Society now the resourceful individual with Robin Hood gold can earn the very liberal rate of 4.25% apy on uninvested cash and be rewarded with a handsome 3% retirement boost on IRA account contributions Robinhood gold provides the Privileges of a high net worth for any net worth the generous benefits are now available for only $5 a month the new gold standard is here with Robinhood gold sign up at robinhood.com sgold um what was I going to say yeah robinhood.com gold terms apply for product specific disclosures visit robinhood.com gold investing involves risk rates made change and gold membership is offered by Robin Hood gold LLC today’s episode is also brought to you by fan juwel sports book get ready to tackle all of the NFL action with vanel America’s number one Sportsbook right now the new new customers all your new customers if you bet $5 and win your first $5 bet they will give you $150 in bonus bets when you win the Angel Sportsbook app is perfect for placing those live bets on the NFL cuz everything that you could possibly need the bets the odds bang they’re there the live stats the live play byplay it is all in one place no more fishing around for extra devices or extra screens or multiple tabs all you do is you open up the old app and everything that you need is in that one place so when you get that hunch in the middle of the game you can go and check out all of the 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timing cuz he would have clearly been here but the fact that he showed that he still able to do that should give you incredible confidence in being able to add or or re um read is the right word but like you buy lower H it’s his teammate Miles Turner that I’m a bit worried about well a bit worried about where the Productions been down he’s had this calf issue a little bit his minutes have been slightly suppressed don’t think that old mate Moses Brown is going to cut into it so what’s happening here with Turner over the last two weeks he’s the 73rd ranked player he’s giving you just 32 fantasy points I think he’s a 35 Plus Fantasy Point player I think he’s a top 50 category League guy relatively easily he’s averaging just 15 points with 1.9 blocks in the last two weeks he’s shooting 52 from in the field only 63 from the line now Mar Turner is known to be a good free throw shooter that’s a horrendous number 62.5% he’s also not taking many free throws his twoo numbers are down his usage rate is under 20 which I expect that to be higher and this is not a high assist player but he’s at 1.3 why why can’t he be 2 2.1 2.2 there’s a lot here and all of this adds up right you might think these are little things but when all all of when everything happens all at once which is basically where we’re at w with this and Miles Turner is you get free throws down you get um usage down you get minutes down you get assists down you get blocks maybe a little bit down although his block rate has fallen off a little bit when all that happens at once your scoring is down it it leads to dropping 20 30 spots five six seven fantasy points like he’s averaging 32 minutes a game for the season he’s at 22 usage for the season but over the recent times he’s down to 19 like I said his um free throws last season 77 the year before 78 the year before 75 this season can’t hit any I don’t know why there’s no real reason for it and free throws do fluctuate a lot but I don’t expect him to be this bad like that’s Rudy go level free throws like why is it so low I expect that to jump up significantly his free throw attempts despite usage being you know 22 for the season they’re down all this stuff should be able to jump up I think relatively easily like it’s not hard to see him getting would average assist wise last season uh he’s actually 1.3 so like that’s yeah all right I actually think he’s going to improve there cuz he last season he played 27 minutes this season I think he’s playing 32 33 so he should be able to hit two 2.1 assists I think around that Mark but it’s the free throw percentage it’s the free throw attempts it’s the usage it’s the minutes it’s the scoring it doesn’t take much to swing this around and again looking at recent games people will be a little bit frustrated he’s had only two blocks in the last two games a 10 and 10 a 17- n that was on the back toback at least he played in that his last three games or last four games has been two 10o scoring performances there was a five block game in there his last two games he is at what has he made in free throws it’s been not very good two out of God two out of five 40% his last two games and especially when something happens on a Sunday man this guy cost me my week that’s that’s a it gives you just an extra bit of a scope to get in there I think that Desmond Bane is also a boo and the reason that I that I know this again for a lot of you this will be obvious it will be obvious you’ll be like well he’s just coming back from injury Josh yes but that’s not everybody I’ve already had people go man what’s going on with Desmond ban this guy sucks why is he so bad this is terrible like what do I do with Bane I’ve had the questions so as always with a Buy Low with a sell High you ask you see what the guy’s like and sometimes you be like no I’m good he’s going to come back and you go you know what fair enough congratulations you know what you’re doing no that’s okay but not everyone’s like that over the last two weeks Bane has very obviously been like limited but this is six games now since Desmond Bane has returned he’s he did hit 35 minutes in one game so he’s not limited on that restriction there’s a little bit of the Taylor Jenkins weird rotation going on but he’s just struggling like just everything is just not going right for ban and this is one of the clear examples of shots just not going in he is at under 30 fantasy points a game he is the 130th ranked player I I I think that Bane will struggle to be a top 50 guy this season I’ve got him at 75 around that Mark rest of season understanding that I’m doing this from a head-to-head perspective we’re talking about removing turnovers waiting categories all that sort of stuff the way that I believe through years of research actually contributes more to to head-to-head value but he’s averaging under 13 points he’s hitting 36 from the field he can’t hit free throws either 68% he’s at 46 on his twos his true shooting is 46% he’s at 2 five from three is the most obvious byow situation I’ve ever seen so again be cautious Desmond Bane is not a top 20 player not a top 30 player I don’t believe he’s a top 40 player so when you’re trading someone for him like you just find the manager who’s annoyed you find two guys who you might end up dropping like a perfect example would have been like a Scotty Pippen or a goo badad and you throw that in with somebody or someone whose Valu is about to disappear to try and see what you can do with the Desmond Bane because I know that he’s better than this my expectation will not be as high as others and that’s always what it’s going to happen in a trade that’s why you have discussions and chats it’s why you started off with a hey man like bad luck you should have won last week man Bane you know I know you would expected more and you might leave it for a day then you come back and go hey actually I probably need a little bit of boost in my threes and look I don’t know have this guy and I’ll take Bane like that that’s that’s it’s not like just necessarily throw a trade out there which sometimes works sometimes it’s just about subtle manipulation or or discussions or good relationships whatever and in category leagues the easiest way to do a trade is win-win hey you don’t actually need points and threes but maybe you need rebounds do you want to do an old switch here and that like win- wins that is points League impossible you can’t do a winwin it’s literally impossible to do and you can argue with oh sorry as I hit the Mike you can argue as much as like you can’t actually do a Winn I guess I guess you could if someone’s like I really need something to happen right now because I need two wins now and longterm doesn’t matter for me maybe but you you can’t do a win-win because someone is always going to average more fantasy points than the person as simple as that there’s always going to be a winner and loser although I hate the win and lose term in fantasy trades that doesn’t matter though let’s go to the next one and Austin Reeves is is struggling a little bit what is actually happening with Reeves well he’s 161st for a start over the last two weeks he’s averaging only 26 fantasy points why is that I I think he’s a top 80 player pretty easily this season I think he’s a 33 34 Yahoo Fantasy Point guy so what’s what’s going on here with reaps well the thing that we obviously look at right is he he just can’t shoot he’s at 39% on two-pointers so was when this name came up on my list I went okay and I was a little bit worried about this with Dolton connect in the starting lineup or Dolton connect play more and JJ decided that he’s going to feed everything possible through doton connect okay that’s that’s a little bit concerning here for reefs but then I looked into I go actually not really anything to do with it is it because doton connect being there does not make Austin Reeves shoot 39% on twos it does not give him a 51% true shooting nor does it make him Miss free throws does it make him not block a single shot in two weeks or get just s steals or just two rebounds or maybe the rebounds but probably not so all of these things for Reeves while on the surface and this is where I think you having that ability to do a by low is is really interesting because the other person who’s got him might be like yeah man like the just connect stepping up that he’s the new white guy flavor of the month that maybe we don’t need to like maybe they’re going to lose a little bit of value here and it is possible like his usage is down under 22 but like I said connect does not make you miss free throws he does not make you hit 39% on tws by the way two years ago uh Austin re 63% on twos the year before uh that’s so last season 58 he’s rolling at 39 here and 54 for the season there is a I think an absolutely gigantic jump up coming in free throws in field goals in twos in free throws uh in two shooting even in steals like he’s at 1.1 for the season but he’s down at the moment I he he was at8 last season I think he’s actually better than that and blocks like he’s not a shop blocker obviously but3 blocks point4 blocks one block a week why can’t he get one block a week he’s got zero in the last two weeks so I think it is I think it’s I think it’s coming the last Buy Low I want to go to Detroit I don’t want to actually I do want to go to Detroit cuz actually been loving Detroit style pizza lately there’s a place here in Melbourne which I for years I’ve I’ve wanted man can someone do deep dish here in Melbourne and they open it up they do New York New York style Chicago deep dish and Detroit style pizza and if you are in Melbourne it’s called Deep End Pizza in Fitzroy man I I I have had I haven’t had real Detroit Pizer in Detroit but I have had deep dish in Chicago and this place is is really good go there deep end anyway they didn’t pay me for that but that’s okay they’re cool um Tobias Harris is what we’re talking about as a bow the think hogman I thought he would be much better than he he has been so far obviously he has not lived up to that but he’s also at a real downturn he’s under 28 fantasy points he’s 142 over the last two weeks so what’s what’s actually going on here is it 14 and 6 A2 with 2 and a half assists they’re obviously very very much not good numbers he’s only averaging 13.8 points for the season his usage is actually somehow lower lower than it was in Philadelphia which I’ll be honest with you it looks like that I got that wrong I thought that he would be able to move from being the third option in Philadelphia to be the second you know to be at least option in Detroit and his usage is down it’s very low they paid him $25 million a year to have 18 usage so what else is he actually doing in saying all that so I have adjusted my projections on him because you know we adjust with information when it comes in there are just many other things here that are happening for Harris which are just not a realistic outcome he is not a Steals and blocks guy but it is easily conceivable that he just doubles the steel rate he’s at 6 steals he’s at4 blocks last season he was at 1 and7 why year before 0.9 and5 why can’t we get back to that that’s something there and then also he just can’t hit any shots he’s at 32% from three for the season he’s at 39 over the last two weeks so that’s better but now we can’t hit two 43% incredibly low number 41 from the field 51 true shooting he’s free throws he’s actually taking fewer free throws per game that he did in Philadelphia which is again weird I thought he’d be able to do more but why he averaged 176 and3 last season I his minutes are fine I think he should be able to do that and generate a little bit more defensively and like M maybe a two-pointer can go in once or twice 54% last season 57 the year before 53 the year before that and now we’re rolling at 43% yeah I’m pretty confident that all that stuff there is going to be able to bump up you might not that’s okay people don’t like Tobias Harris I totally get that that also means that the cost to acquire Tobias Harris in a fantasy trade it’s got to be really low man at this point like what would I give up for him like just backend of roster guys just a couple of guys my two worst players just see what’s happening with the the other manager where they feel to Toby is I think he’s going to have a run of top 40 value for a short period of time I don’t know when but yeah there’s some very again it’s all about indicators what’s an indicator here that is going to improve and that two point percentage is just the pretty obvious one I think we’re going to come back we’re going to talk sell highs before we do that though today’s episode is brought to you by built if you are a renter you know that you you you’re paying rent and that’s what you have to do it’s one of the things that happens right you have to you pay your rent very simple stuff but with everything else in life that we 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earning points on your rent payments today here’s a question for you and I feel like I used to know the answer to this what does URL stand for I honestly have I cannot remember at all I’m sure someone will watching this will know yeah don’t remember now let’s take a look at some players who are overperforming this one’s a a tough one I I was debating whether I was going to put the Bronco Jaylen Williams on this list but I I think we have to not because I don’t think that he’s going to be good because he’s been obviously ridiculously good right he is the fifth ranked player over the last two weeks he’s averaging 52 fantasy points 52 ched hongran is not coming back for a very long time this man Jaylen Williams would have to be I haven’t done the teams yet but he would have to be an All-Star at this point he has I I thought he would be very good this season and improve but not like this actually went into look at his rankings cuz I at some point I’m going to find a way to better display these and incorporate as part of the show but I do have a a sheet that I’m tracking the rolling twoe per game averages of players so you’re looking at every two we chunk day by day by day by day all right so I’ve been doing that and the first one of those that I tracked Jaylen Williams was 45th and then 47th then 35th then 23rd then 30th then 2 7 and 23rd so okay that’s all like reasonable and then 15 18 13 13 17 12 12 15 9 9 96 uh 565 right it has been an incredible run so he didn’t start out this playing this way one of the I don’t even know criticisms is the right word one of the things I wanted to see from Jaylen Williams this season was like take more threes mate and he didn’t early on but now he has now he has so and they’re all going in and this like he is just doing some of the most efficient stuff you will ever see 26 points a game he’s at 6.7 rebounds he’s at 2.7 Steals and 1.3 blocks so already number one you know that that is not going to hold he has been playing Center and he will not be doing that now because of hartstein is back well he played a little bit but not as much right he he will not do that he averaged last season 1.1 Steals and 0.6 blocks now he’s a better steals Guy than 1.1 um but these numbers are actually out of control he has not missed a free throw in two weeks what is his actual total numbers during that time free throws uh 20 out of 20 he shot 81 last season and 81 the year before that maybe he’s an 86 guy maybe maybe he’s actually bumped his uh three pointers up to 6.5 ATT 10 per game I think that will come down he’s hitting 63% on twos and it is it is totally totally reasonable to say that Jaylen Williams has improved a ton cuz he has he was at 57.9 on twos his first season 57.6 on twos his second season he’s at 58.1 on twos this season and over the last two weeks he’s at 63 so hasn’t missed a free throw he’s hitting 6 to 7% above on two pointers his three-point volume is up he’s blocking 1.3 shots and 2.7 steals which both numbers could conceivably cut in half easily if he averaged 1.5 steals for the say and 0.7 blocks and shot 60% on twos and hit two threes a game You’ go that’s still really good and you know what he is then the 20th best player not the fifth so it is always a hard thing for a guy that is cooking like this like he is putting up ridiculous numbers but he is a mile above a mile and we love him we love him and it is incredibly hard to part ways and I would only do it if I could get someone that I thought was a first- round player back it’s the only way I would do it or you know I get back to maybe top 14 guys maybe but there’s a lot here that again and even this season for a 3we period of beginning the year he was like 30th 25th which is reasonable for him rest of season this is not I don’t believe that he can hold this and I I don’t like saying that cuz I like Jaylen Williams I like him a lot there’s just a lot there that that can’t hold and I know there was going to be someone in the comments there’s going to be someone in the chat who’ll be like yeah Josh why can’t he hold this and that is the person that you sell High to because if you believe that it can hold at these numbers and even if it drops 10% on everything here 10% 10% yeah 10% not 10 percentage points but 10% right that goes from the fifth best player to the 17th best player or the 20th best player or something it’s all it takes it’s it’s all it takes and you’ve fallen off and then you you’ve lost the first round value on it it just is a th there’s things there that seem unlikely out of all of those things there it is reasonable to me that he hits did he get 6.7 rebounds he might do that like that is incredibly possible he averaged four last season by the way incredibly possible um he could be a 63% two-point guy I’m not going to rule that out entirely I don’t think it’s likely but that’s possible but he’s not going to hit every single free throw he’s not going to average 1.3 blocks he might average 25 points a game 24 points a game remember he’s at 22 for the season um us is way up as well 29% over the recent time frame so yeah I I love Jaylen Wilson jayen Wilson Jaylen Williams but that is just not a realistic number I’ve said it many times on this show I am I’ve been incredibly wrong on John Collins this season I don’t know whether I’ll end up being wrong at the end of the season but every indication to me was and I’ve clearly misread it was that the Jazz weren’t going to be using him in a big role they brought him off the bench in the preseason they brought him off the bench to begin the season yep so that’s cool that’s what I thought would happen and that’s what’s happening players got hurt Taylor Hendricks he didn’t start he still came off the bench they put Cody Williams in there they put uh Kyle filipowski in there all right and then Walker kesla got hurt and Collins elevated into the starting lineup and cooked and now Philip palsky is hurt again and Collins is now playing at Power Forward something which he didn’t do early in the season and all of that stuff is true I got that all wrong on Collins I actually have adjusted a lot of my you future projections on him a lot because I I thought based on what they were doing that he’d play like 22 minutes A N that’s not useful St bumped him way up and irrespective of all of that everything he is doing now has no no shot of holding even though like I know I was wrong and I’ve adjusted I think he’s going to be actually probably a top 75 guy rest of season I thought he was going to be 150th at the start of the year he has changed my opinion absolutely ridiculously like well not not that he’s changed my opinion because I think we all know that when John Collins plays he puts up stats that’s been the case for years right but he’s averaging two steals game over the last two weeks he also hasn’t missed a single free throw like Jaylen Williams and he is a pretty good free throw guy but like a 79 free throw guy maybe not a guy that never misses why is why is this happening he’s a incredibly good rebounder a very good scorer for the season he’s averaging 18 and N he’s over he’s at to 20 and 10 over the last seven games in 33 minutes without missing a free throw in fact I believe he has missed one free throw for the entire season let me double check that 40 47 of 48 yes he was at last season he was at 75 uh 79 the year before 80 the year before 79 all right so he’s going to fall he’s missed one free throw he is at two steals a game over this period last season 66 we can even look at that on a per 36 minute basis because last season he was at8 steals per 36 the year before 7 steals per 36 the year before 7 steals per 36 this season the last seven games 2.2 triple triple the rate assists he’s actually he’s dishing assists you know his assist rate was the last two years 1.4 and 1.5 per 36 it’s it now 2.7 doubled and that’s not has nothing to do with minutes hasn’t not missing free throws tripling a steel rate doubling an assist r R it was it doubling yeah D doubling and assist rate irrespective of my incorrect evaluation of his minutes and roll none of that none of that can hold and that pushes him back down so if anyone now it is hard because of the Utah scenario but if anyone says oh you know I’m valuing this guy top 50 and they’ve got they got reasons to do that he’s averaging 42 fantasy points over the last two weeks if anyone does believe that then here you go have him all good of course I don’t have John Collins at any team because I just didn’t buy into any of this stuff and it’s going to be incredibly wrong but there’s just there’s a lot here happening and what if we get to a situation where Kesler plays 30 minutes filipowski pushes to 28 and Collins goes back to a 24 minute player like I’ve got him projected to about 28 minutes rest of season which is 16 and8 around that Mark there’s just and even that like that pushes him in the 70 Zone there’s just a lot happening here which again any I think reasonable person would suggest has no shot of being real I really love Oobi as a player this is an interesting one I remember about four or five years ago maybe even longer six years ago when I was doing this show back from even not even this house that I’m living in now an old house and we had this debate about the Raptors and I said I I think actually ojen and Obi is the better long-term player than Pascal sakam and of course since then like siakam’s come out and made multip um all NBA teams and you got traded in this Max contract and all that sort of stuff and that’s fine and that that probably ends up being I’m not certain that is but yeah probably ends up being a wrong thing but OG is absolutely dominating at the moment and I for all of the good things that I thought about Oobi I didn’t think this he is the 33rd ranked player over the last two weeks and I know if you go and look on um Yahoo with their incredibly flawed rankings which again there are so many easy ways to look at the Yahoo player rankings understanding why they are the way they are but if you put any Reliance on them you are are going to be you’re going to be very wrong I believe so just you be be aware of of um of the way that you consume that information I’m just going to bring up OG’s actually Yahoo ranking so the Yahoo rankings are actually crazy right so anobi is ranked on Yahoo 14th for the season using totals and over the last 14 days the fifth ranked player fifth okay so that’s that’s crazy right he’s not the fifth best player over the last two weeks I don’t care what how you want to view this I’ve got him 33rd the last two weeks averaging 38 fantasy points there’s so much here that just is just not like I’m not even going to talk about the risk I am actually the risk of injury because he’s had multiple injuries throughout his career he’s playing gigantic minutes for Tom thibo and that is a absolute recipe for disaster here for anobi but there’s just stuff that he’s doing which is just not going to be able to stick like it doesn’t really matter about those minutes and stuff like he will continue to play 37 a night no problem he’s at 23 points a game 23 points a game and his usage is well up he was down at 17 last season he’s at 21 okay he’s shooting 57% from the field 49 last season he is at 67% on his two-pointers over the last two weeks last season 58 the year before 54 he is um at 68 true shooting last season his true shooting was 59 he’s averaging 6.4 rebounds he averaged four last season in 34 minutes so he’s just rebounding uh a million rebounds at the moment everything about this for OG he’s attempting 15.6 field goals a game in the last two weeks 15.6 last season 11 11 there just he’s just getting funnel the ball a lot free throw attempts last season 1.8 last two weeks 2.9 I can easily easily make a discussion here to say that yes OG is showing real offensive glimpses and that usage will stay up higher and field goals will stay up higher he’s also averaging one turnover game for those of you who care about that he was at 1.6 last season and two the year before that so his assisted turnover ratio has actually gone from 1.3 to almost 1.9 for the year um but there’s just like he’s just not going to be a 67 two-point guy he’s not he’s hit three threes a game seems unlikely which is what he’s doing in fact over his last three games at 4.7 threes a game on 61% he can be a good three-point shooter he’s at been 38 39 and 36 the last three seasons he’s at 42 this season 42 and 43 over the last two weeks it is an incredibly hot run with increase usage and increase minutes so can OJ be a top 50 player maybe can he continue to be what yaho says he’s the fifth best player absolutely not if I could get a top 35 or 40 player back I would do it there’s so much risk here plus regression that it’s just and I love OG like and you probably don’t want to get rid of him because of this but it’s always about what if it if the trade makes sense then you pull it off and that’s where we’re at with that I think let’s go to Milwaukee Brook Lopez has had an incredible roller coaster of a season he has been up and down and minutes have been down and usage has been down and percentages have been down and then they’ve been up through the roof it’s been all over the shop for Brooke in fact I’m going to actually have a look at his rolling two we ranks as well cuz they’ve been a little bit crazy there you go let’s read them out 84 85 96 117 132 137 143 170 140 92 80 76 91 85 59 59 58 43 36 these are wild changes 26 and 27 so he’s 27th over the last two weeks he’s averaging 40 fantasy points he’s at 17 points a game with six rebounds and 2.6 blocks and two steals now you could easily argue with me that Brook Lopez could block that many shots and I I get that he blocked 2.4 last season and 2.5 this season that’s okay he can do that but he’s at 41% on threes good three-point shooter seems unlikely he’s at 6 9% on twos and early this season he was nowhere near that in fact he’s only at 62 for the season and he was 62 last season and 63 the year before that and 54 the year before that he is at what else have we got here two steals a game which is an insane number this man averaged 0. five last season quadruple the steel rate of last season he’s at 1.4 this year look at how many things here are outliers I believe for Brooke top 100 a reasonable expectation for Lopez a reasonable expectation 30 fantasy points a reasonable expectation what he is doing now none of it’s really reasonable at all he’s attempting more free throws he’s not turning the ball over ever which again if that matters to that is something that is happening and hasn’t hasn’t been like that let me just quickly look at his turnover numbers he’s at like 1.2 for the season but down to 0.9 that that which is a difference the steals the rebounds the field goals the the volume the free throw attempts the three-point shooting the three-point attempts everything is way up way up and it is going to come down if I could get a top 60 player back for Brook Lopez I’d be very very comfortable in doing that and the numbers again don’t look Sensational 17 and six with two assist okay cool but two steals 2.6 blocks Elite percentages volume 3es there’s going to be a crash and we’ve already seen a crash this season and it’s about cashing in buying the dip selling the the rise whatever you want whatever you want to phrase it the last one we want to talk about is Paul Washington Jr who has put to put together a very very good run of games a lot of it has come without Luca donic and that might be the factor here but there are other things that are not just the Luca absence that has impacted PJ Washington Washington is at 35 fantasy points a game over the last two weeks he’s the 55th ranked player in category leagues he’s 80 I think around 80 to 90 to 100 is reasonable for him but he is going to have some terrible runs this is what this is what PJ does he has unbelievably terrible runs and he’s done it again this season as well if I look at the you the the rankings rolling rankings he was pushed out to 200th at one point 21th 202nd 209th 40th 80th he’s into 55th so what’s actually going on here with PJ what is what is over the top Luca being out has helped a lot but this man averaged 4.9 rebounds per game last season he’s at 10 10 over the last six games and Luca being out does help that what else is going on he’s at Four free throw attempts per game and hitting them at 92 last season 2.4 attempts at 73 he’s hitting 92% of his free throws as I said that’s an insane number he’s not that guy he’s also attempting a lot more twos 8.3 per game for the year is at 6.5 and that is just a usage bump without Luca so much here is donic related he’s also at 36% from three you know what he’s shooting for the season 27 he’s better than that obviously but this is a wild fluctuation player who is doubling rebound numbers and I think his rebounds are actually going to be pretty good rest of season better than the five from last season but a blocker game 1.5 steals a game 1.5 steals actually steals across the NBA are way up and that usually happens early in the season teams are less cous with the ball they’re sort of working their way into the season there’s more turnovers therefore more steals so all that stuff is going to probably pull pull down here there’s just a a lot here with PJ the rebounds the free throws the free throw attempts the two-point attempts um the uh the steel numbers all of this is likely to drop and if I could get a top 75 player back I’d be very interested in doing it cuz I know there’s going to be a rough stretch coming up this is what PJ does and if there isn’t a rough stretch then okay that means he’s changed his stripes his last five games 27- 17 4- six 2213 2110 1110 and I believe that 4- six game was the game that donich played maybe but prior to that and then he missed a bunch of time there a few games off prior to that 8 and 11 7 and4 6 and9 17 and 8 12 11 56 115 so horrible start Miss games came back absolutely dominating and it is going to fall I feel I feel confident that it’s going to fall and that is a Buy Low and a sell High show which of course is more just that like this guy is cooking and this guy is struggling what’s going to change and why is it going to change and how should we take advantage of that I hope I hope you’re able to do something with it I hope that gives you Solace if one of your players are struggling or soas you a little bit if guys are absolutely dominating they’re on your team hit that Thumbs Up And subscribe to the the channel let’s hit that uh let’s hit that 90k Mark and again remember maybe you are pulling off a great low deal maybe your negotiating skills are super super topnotch but let’s just let’s let’s keep it positive let’s keep friendly friendly Trash Talk friendly banter that’s all great but remember right you do good things I want you to keep doing good things because we all do them every single day and we just don’t need to focus on the negative nonsense all the time guys we are done here thank you so much for listening everyone see you [Music]

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